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Authors Iain Begg | Gabriel Glöckler | Anke Hassel ... - The Europaeum

Authors Iain Begg | Gabriel Glöckler | Anke Hassel ... - The Europaeum

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emanate from demographic trends. However, this is where the consensus<br />

just about ends. Intense debates about the breadth and depth of<br />

institutional reform, largely informed by the variety of national institutional<br />

configurations and fed by a divergence in economic performance and<br />

social welfare, have precluded the emergence of a more concrete policy<br />

agenda. And they have left little, if any, room for binding coordination of<br />

national market policy and institutional reforms at the EU level, merely<br />

allowing for their soft “Lisbon-style” coordination.<br />

Regardless of institutional and other divergence, those taking a pessimistic<br />

if somewhat cynical view of government policy have pinned their hopes<br />

for supply-friendly reforms to policy competition among national<br />

governments. In effect they think of coordination as a means of entrenching<br />

institutional inertia and maintaining meagre economic performance.<br />

However, their case has been considerably weakened as the crisis has fully<br />

unfolded. Consequently, expectations for comprehensive unilateral<br />

structural reforms have been undermined.<br />

<strong>The</strong> absence of binding coordination at the EU level would probably have<br />

hurt the effectiveness of market policy and institutional reforms, had<br />

cross-border policy spillovers been important. However, empirical<br />

estimates of the expected effects of coordinated supply-friendly<br />

institutional reforms have been modest, probably implying the incidence<br />

of small cross-border policy spillovers. Yet, estimates of the expected<br />

gains from joint action have been bigger when simulated policy<br />

coordination at the EU level also entailed budgetary consolidation in<br />

addition to market policy and institutional reforms. 12 <strong>The</strong>refore,<br />

challenging national policy preferences and institutional heterogeneity<br />

might have been less justified, let alone politically tolerated. For this<br />

reason, it may not be surprising that the Lisbon process has lacked a<br />

strong normative dimension, that is, it has been short of legal obligations<br />

and sanctions, having instead relied mostly on a strategic and a cognitive<br />

dimension.<br />

Thus, with regard to the strategic dimension, it has been suggested that<br />

joint action in the area of market policy and institutional reform may give<br />

rise to political economies of scale. A government may appeal to its<br />

citizens’ “pride” in order to take measures that bring the economy on an<br />

equal footing with the other member states’ reformed and revitalised<br />

economies. Alternatively, it may attempt to give its own reform initiatives<br />

a universal, ideologically unbiased quality, drawing attention to the fact<br />

that the same or similar reforms are also implemented by governments<br />

92<br />

After the crisis: A new socio-economic settlement for the EU

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