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Authors Iain Begg | Gabriel Glöckler | Anke Hassel ... - The Europaeum

Authors Iain Begg | Gabriel Glöckler | Anke Hassel ... - The Europaeum

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liberalisation. <strong>The</strong> City of London strengthened its dominance as Europe’s<br />

major financial centre, apparently unaffected by the UK decision not to<br />

the join the Eurozone, though benefiting greatly from the increased<br />

momentum of European economic integration. Strong catch up growth,<br />

meanwhile, took off in the new member states, particularly the Baltics,<br />

Slovakia and Poland, suggesting that the central and eastern enlargement<br />

would lead to rapid convergence as it had in the case of the Cohesion Four.<br />

<strong>The</strong> December 2005 European Council agreement on the EU Financial<br />

Perspective for 2007-13 significantly increased EU Budget transfers to the<br />

new member states to support public investment in that catch-up. Free<br />

movement of labour within the enlarged EU facilitated above trend growth<br />

in member states such as Ireland, Spain and the UK, strongly suggesting<br />

that if all restrictions on free movement were to be lifted when the current<br />

7 year transition period comes to an end in 2011, there would be overall<br />

benefit to the Union.<br />

As for social cohesion, enlargement profoundly altered the character of the<br />

EU without much serious analysis of the economic and social implications<br />

thereof. It greatly increased ethnic and religious diversity as well as<br />

geographical disparities between EU regions. Average income per head<br />

ranged from a high of 290% of the EU average in London to a low of only<br />

27% in north east Romania. Within the EU15, the wage share in national<br />

income declined in many member states and measures of inequality and<br />

child poverty grew. But Europe saw nothing like the increase in inequality<br />

that occurred in the United States. Rather increases in inequality in<br />

Europe appeared member state specific and episodic rather than part of<br />

a general trend. 2<br />

Worryingly, though, within the Eurozone macroeconomic structural<br />

divergences grew. Whereas in the period up to the establishment of the<br />

Euro, the convergence criteria acted as a discipline on fiscal policy, once<br />

the euro was in being, these disciplines were relaxed and countries like<br />

Greece and Portugal began to accumulate unsustainable deficits, while<br />

Spain enjoyed an unsustainable housing boom as a result of the euro<br />

sharply loosening the domestic monetary conditions.<br />

Despite this record of on the whole improved economic performance, with<br />

the single (though admittedly large) exception of energy policy and climate<br />

change, the momentum for policy integration slowed the entire economic<br />

and social field. Only modest progress was made in strengthening<br />

Eurozone governance. <strong>The</strong> rules of the Stability Pact underwent pragmatic<br />

revision and were made more flexible and intelligent, but it remained only<br />

14<br />

After the crisis: A new socio-economic settlement for the EU

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