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What was the year 2008 generally<br />

like for Swedbank?<br />

Actually, the most important thing was that within<br />

a year, we managed to turn an organisation, the<br />

entire culture of which is built on growth, into an<br />

organisation which could adequately correspond<br />

to the needs of a shrinking market demand without<br />

revolutions and excesses, while at the same<br />

time preserving efficiency. Our revenue decreased<br />

by 2% before provisions and the level of expenditure<br />

remained the same. The operating profit only<br />

decreased by 3% before the provisions, and the<br />

revenue and expenditure ratio, which at the best<br />

times has been 38%, was slightly over 39%. We<br />

have also maintained this figure in 2009. Thus,<br />

within 2008 we managed to create a basis to further<br />

operate as efficiently in the banking environment<br />

in 2009 as before.<br />

In which ways have the world’s financial<br />

markets and the poor state of economy<br />

in Estonia influenced Swedbank?<br />

I remember that at the beginning of 2008, we<br />

held an information day for the employees and<br />

after my first presentation as the manager of<br />

the bank, I felt as if a mean Santa Claus had entered<br />

the room and taken away all the presents.<br />

We then talked at length about the negative outlook<br />

on the developments in the economy and it<br />

was certainly similar to shock – on the one<br />

hand, the increasingly worsening foreign economy<br />

and on the other, the economy in Estonia<br />

after the burst of the real estate bubble. All this<br />

was discussed in the first presentation and the<br />

consequence was not a quick mental turnaround<br />

of the organisation – the change in internal<br />

attitudes to match the environment was a<br />

long and time-consuming process.<br />

What are the most important activities<br />

that you paid the most attention to last year?<br />

It is very easy to answer this question. Those<br />

three main activities were: Credit, Costs and Customers<br />

– three capital C-s. We obviously also had<br />

to respond to changes in the credit portfolio quality<br />

and compensate the decrease in revenue by<br />

decreasing expenditure. The growing market,<br />

which was based on providing services and products,<br />

had now become a customer-friendly market<br />

increasingly more complexly focused on the<br />

needs of the customer. For us, since the spring in<br />

2008 inside the organisation this meant a strong<br />

shift towards the customer-friendly management<br />

model. We have also worked very seriously on improving<br />

service.<br />

How should Estonian manufacturing<br />

enterprises be feeling at the moment?<br />

The worst period for Estonian manufacturers<br />

was this spring, when no more orders were<br />

coming in. If you have no orders but there are<br />

employees and a bank loan, what do you do?<br />

This is a situation in which the society should<br />

have some answers in store to the question:<br />

what to do in difficult times? I am generally not<br />

in favour of aid packages but this was a really<br />

extraordinary situation. In the automobile industry,<br />

for instance, if nobody buys cars today, it<br />

is clear that the cars already purchased will<br />

wear off within about five years and people will<br />

start buying again. The question is what is the<br />

manufacturer supposed to do for the following<br />

two years? In several Estonian manufacturing<br />

enterprises, the situation was similar. By now<br />

the exporters I have been in contact with recently<br />

are saying that there is more work than in<br />

spring. It seems that recovery is taking place at<br />

the moment – I dare not predict whether there<br />

will be growth. The recovery of manufacturing<br />

does certainly not necessarily mean that the<br />

level of unemployment will not increase. We<br />

were afraid of July, but July was not actually<br />

that bad. It was probably the influence of the<br />

summer – some people went home to enjoy<br />

their holiday pay, others did seasonal work. We<br />

will now see in autumn whether the fall will be<br />

painful or not.<br />

What would the economic forecast<br />

of the Swedbank manager be?<br />

I think that it is currently most important that the<br />

situation will probably not get any worse. If there<br />

was a relatively sharp increase in the world’s<br />

stock markets in spring and there were no macro<br />

indicators to back it up, by now macro indicators<br />

have started to support the upturn. It is naturally<br />

different by regions. At the same time, the external<br />

environment has improved, capital markets<br />

have recovered and the availability of money is increasingly<br />

on the rise. It is interesting that the situation<br />

on the capital and money market is<br />

improving on a weekly basis and the credit risk<br />

prices keep falling. This means that the external<br />

environment, particularly the mood in the external<br />

environment, is positive.<br />

If we look at the immediate future in Estonia,<br />

the prices of real estate, for instance, have<br />

dropped so much that the average price per<br />

square metre and the average salary are starting<br />

to come close to each other – this is a level<br />

that could be sustainable. I have talked to developers<br />

and according to them, this is the level<br />

at which we could start building again.<br />

But everyone is currently probably waiting to<br />

see what is going to happen and when the economy<br />

in Finland or Sweden, for instance, will recover.<br />

We might be at a breaking point at the<br />

moment, but we will first have to wait for the autumn<br />

to arrive, it is too early to make far-reaching<br />

conclusions yet. I have previously rather<br />

been known as a person with a negative outlook<br />

but at the moment, I am positively minded about<br />

the future. •<br />

Financial Brokerage Enterprises<br />

Place<br />

Sales Change Net profit Change Return Labour costs Efficiency per Investments %<br />

Enterprise in sales in net profit on equity per employee employee of the first<br />

*group<br />

th. EEK place % place th. EEK place % place % place EEK/month place th. EEK place th. EEK place (0...100)<br />

1 SWEDBANK AS* 15,553,500 1 103.3 10 6,109,100 1 82.9 9 18.8 9 29,579 5 1,868 5 886,200 1 100.0%<br />

2 SMS LAEN AS* 90,415 8 125.4 4 25,186 6 236.2 1 64.0 2 52,377 2 4,305 2 1,429 8 89.2%<br />

3 GILD PARTNERS AS* 156,108 5 116.5 5 67,534 4 83.9 8 63.4 4 56,408 1 2,439 3 3,688 6 65.6%<br />

4 3 STEP IT OÜ 212,103 4 99.5 11 4,242 7 88.1 6 29.5 6 46,055 3 9,222 1 12 61.2%<br />

5 GVANDRON OÜ 2,228 14 144.0 1 525 10 154.0 2 64.6 1 13,370 14 557 12 1,316 10 59.3%<br />

6 MEGARAM OÜ 2,969 12 129.7 2 38 12 100 5 63.8 3 16,748 13 371 14 14 47.4%<br />

7 TAVID AS* 122,173 7 113.3 6 65,710 5 102.1 4 41.5 5 24,360 8 1,164 8 1,332 9 40.6%<br />

8 EESTI KREDIIDIPANK AS 358,390 3 111.0 8 71,421 3 86.4 7 20.5 7 26,640 7 1,765 6 7,883 4 36.0%<br />

9 ERGO KINDLUSTUSE AS* 924,357 2 99.2 12 124,615 2 117.2 3 17.3 10 19,997 10 1,675 7 10,049 3 30.1%<br />

10 PÕLVAMAA HOIU-LAENUÜHISTU TUÜ 2,460 13 111.8 7 122 11 50.0 10 4.5 12 29,430 6 615 11 9 13 26.2%<br />

11 TALLINNA ÄRIPANGA AS* 129,700 6 99.1 13 -7,500 14 -2.2 13 34,766 4 2,027 4 21,900 2 23.2%<br />

12 KINDLUSTUSEST KINDLUSTUSMAAKLER OÜ 15,384 11 108.9 9 532 9 30.0 12 19.2 8 21,542 9 440 13 99 11 21.5%<br />

13 IIZI KINDLUSTUSMAAKLER AS* 84,613 9 126.6 3 -2,911 13 -30.5 14 19,075 12 631 10 4,064 5 17.8%<br />

14 EUREX CAPITAL OÜ* 28,822 10 98.6 14 4,038 8 33.6 11 14.4 11 19,901 11 721 9 2,381 7 15.5%<br />

www.konkurents.ee<br />

1 EUR = 15.6466 EEK; 1 EEK = 0.0639 EUR; based on 2008 data<br />

62

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