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[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...

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MORE MARKETS, LESS GOVERNMENT<br />

NSSO rounds undertaken up to 1997<br />

(Please refer to the diagram) iv . Though<br />

the rate of decline of rural poverty<br />

picked up again during the subsequent<br />

years (from 1999-2004), the rate of<br />

GDP growth was in fact less during<br />

this phase than during 1993–1999. <strong>The</strong><br />

average per-capita expenditure in rural<br />

areas was not even ten percent<br />

higher in 1999-2000 than in 1993-1994,<br />

and rural poverty actually went up in<br />

some of the poorer states, such as Assam<br />

and Orissa. Also, food grain offtake<br />

through the public distribution<br />

system declined from 17 million tonnes<br />

per year in the early nineties to 12 million<br />

tonnes per year around the end of<br />

the decade 5 , endangering the food security<br />

of millions of the poor in the<br />

country at the time when the GDP<br />

growth was unprecedented.<br />

<strong>The</strong> State vis-à-vis <strong>The</strong> Poor<br />

<strong>The</strong> Eleventh Five-Year Plan of India<br />

underscores the challenge of providing<br />

employment to 70 million additional<br />

people by 2011-12. It is also a well-established<br />

fact that the incidence of<br />

It is a well-established fact that the incidence of unemployment<br />

is substantially higher in the ‘below poverty line’<br />

category, and particularly high amongst the Scheduled<br />

Castes (SCs) and Scheduled Tribes(STs)<br />

unemployment is substantially higher<br />

in the ‘Below Poverty Line’ category,<br />

and particularly high amongst the<br />

scheduled castes and tribes therein (as<br />

indicated by successive National Sample<br />

Surveys). A critical question therefore<br />

is: what strategies and preparedness<br />

does the State have to meet this<br />

challenge, which is important to be addressed<br />

to prevent the nation’s slide<br />

into anarchy? Do markets provide a<br />

Trends In <strong>The</strong> Poverty Ratio (1972 - 1997)<br />

60<br />

55<br />

55.36<br />

Rural<br />

Urban<br />

50<br />

50.6<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

45.67<br />

45.31<br />

40.5<br />

38.81<br />

35.65<br />

34.29<br />

39.23 39.06<br />

36.6<br />

34.3<br />

36.2<br />

33.4<br />

43.47<br />

36.43<br />

33.73<br />

32.76<br />

41.02<br />

36.66<br />

33.5<br />

30.51<br />

37.15<br />

35.78<br />

29.99<br />

25<br />

28.04<br />

Oct 72-Sep 73<br />

Jul 77- Jun 78<br />

Jan 83- <strong>Dec</strong> 83<br />

Jul 86-Jun 87<br />

Jul 87-Jun 88<br />

Jul 88-Jun 89<br />

Jul 89-Jun 90<br />

Jul 90-Jun 91<br />

Jan 92-<strong>Dec</strong> 92<br />

Jun 93-Jun 94<br />

Jul 94-Jun 95<br />

Jul 95-Jun 96<br />

Jan 97-<strong>Dec</strong> 97<br />

Percent Population<br />

(Source: "<strong>The</strong> Poverty Puzzle" by C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh, Macroscon, Feb. 22, 2000)<br />

THE INDIA ECONOMY REVIEW<br />

71

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