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[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...

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REIMAGINING INDIA<br />

Table 2: Reforms And Income Generation<br />

Components 1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 1995-96 2004-05 2006-07<br />

Agriculture and<br />

allied activities<br />

56.90 46.74 46.07 38.86 31.27 28.24 21.13 18.5<br />

(2.6%)!<br />

Industry 14.28 19.46 20.65 24.50 27.64 28.12 27.15 26.4<br />

(10.4%)<br />

Services 29.80 34.30 33.66 36.64 41.10 43.64 51.72 55<br />

(11%)<br />

Source: Reserve Bank of India (2006) and Central Statistical Organization (2006)<br />

examine the productivity data. <strong>The</strong> growth<br />

theory literature tells us that more productive<br />

countries tend to prosper more compared<br />

to the less productive ones. If market<br />

is determining the pay-off, same kind of<br />

argument holds true within a country but<br />

across its laborers. So it makes sense to look<br />

at labor productivity data in India. Figure 1<br />

gives a glimpse of sector wise labor productivity<br />

growth in India. Output per worker in<br />

the services sector grew at a rate of seven<br />

percent during 1993-99, compared to only<br />

2.7 percent during the previous decade. <strong>The</strong><br />

performance of the labor productivity in the<br />

manufacturing sector was more modest<br />

growing from 3.1 percent to 4.5 percent during<br />

the same period. Agriculture sector was<br />

the lagging sector, with output per worker<br />

rising only to 2.4 percent during 1993-99,<br />

compared to 1.5 percent during the previous<br />

decade. As wages are linked to productivity<br />

it is little surprising to figure out why<br />

people in the services sector making more<br />

money compared to the other sector.<br />

<strong>The</strong> fact that services is the fastest growing<br />

sector (that is, demand for skilled labors<br />

are always there) and requires only skilled<br />

labors (less in numbers in India); wage rate<br />

in the services sector is much higher than<br />

in the agricultural sector. <strong>The</strong> average per<br />

day return of agricultural worker varies between<br />

Rs 25 (read Indian Rupees; Rs 39.5<br />

is one US dollar) in States, like, Bihar, Mi-<br />

zoram, Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh, etc.<br />

to an average of around Rs 125 per day in<br />

States, like, Haryana, Punjab, Kerala,<br />

Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, etc. Although spatial<br />

inequalities exist for agricultural sector;<br />

income inequality becomes large considering<br />

inter-sector inequality, i.e. inequality<br />

between services and agricultural sectors.<br />

<strong>The</strong>se days the average salaries for a standard<br />

Business School graduates ranges between<br />

five lacs to seven lacs, per annum.<br />

Quite evidently these are much higher figures<br />

compared to an average agricultural<br />

earning. So what needs to be done? From<br />

the demand side perspective government is<br />

Table 3: Uncertainty In Agricultural Income<br />

spending money on schemes like, minimum<br />

rural employment guarantee<br />

scheme in 200 most<br />

backward districts in India<br />

with the objective of providing<br />

100 days of guaranteed<br />

unskilled wage employment<br />

to each rural<br />

household opting for it. <strong>The</strong>se schemes are<br />

to be spread to other districts as well. However,<br />

such demand management policies<br />

sometime can be self defeating. For instance,<br />

if these people are hired for building<br />

a road and the project never gets completed<br />

then the money allocated for the<br />

purpose will add on to inflation. A better<br />

1971-72 to<br />

1980-81<br />

way to address this problem associated with<br />

income inequality will be to address long<br />

term supply management policies. <strong>The</strong>re<br />

are two major problems. First has to do<br />

with skill formation. Workers can be trained<br />

giving vocational education. <strong>The</strong> experiences<br />

of some South-East Asian economies<br />

show that one reason these economies fared<br />

well on the distributional aspect of income<br />

1981-82 to<br />

1990-91<br />

1991-92 to<br />

2004-05<br />

GDP<br />

Growth (Mean) 3.16 5.64 5.83<br />

Coff. of Variation 137.75 39.05 31.84<br />

Agriculture and Allied Service<br />

Growth (Mean) 1.83 3.55 2.58<br />

Coff. of Variation 475.21 150.74 188.74<br />

Industry<br />

Growth (Mean) 4.05 7.11 5.81<br />

Coff. of Variation 88.91 28.22 51.85<br />

Services<br />

Growth (Mean) 4.42 6.72 7.78<br />

Coff. of Variation 34.03 17.16 23.04<br />

Source: National Account Statistics<br />

44 THE <strong>IIPM</strong> THINK TANK

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