[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...
[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...
[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...
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REIMAGINING INDIA<br />
Table 2: Reforms And Income Generation<br />
Components 1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 1995-96 2004-05 2006-07<br />
Agriculture and<br />
allied activities<br />
56.90 46.74 46.07 38.86 31.27 28.24 21.13 18.5<br />
(2.6%)!<br />
Industry 14.28 19.46 20.65 24.50 27.64 28.12 27.15 26.4<br />
(10.4%)<br />
Services 29.80 34.30 33.66 36.64 41.10 43.64 51.72 55<br />
(11%)<br />
Source: Reserve Bank of India (2006) and Central Statistical Organization (2006)<br />
examine the productivity data. <strong>The</strong> growth<br />
theory literature tells us that more productive<br />
countries tend to prosper more compared<br />
to the less productive ones. If market<br />
is determining the pay-off, same kind of<br />
argument holds true within a country but<br />
across its laborers. So it makes sense to look<br />
at labor productivity data in India. Figure 1<br />
gives a glimpse of sector wise labor productivity<br />
growth in India. Output per worker in<br />
the services sector grew at a rate of seven<br />
percent during 1993-99, compared to only<br />
2.7 percent during the previous decade. <strong>The</strong><br />
performance of the labor productivity in the<br />
manufacturing sector was more modest<br />
growing from 3.1 percent to 4.5 percent during<br />
the same period. Agriculture sector was<br />
the lagging sector, with output per worker<br />
rising only to 2.4 percent during 1993-99,<br />
compared to 1.5 percent during the previous<br />
decade. As wages are linked to productivity<br />
it is little surprising to figure out why<br />
people in the services sector making more<br />
money compared to the other sector.<br />
<strong>The</strong> fact that services is the fastest growing<br />
sector (that is, demand for skilled labors<br />
are always there) and requires only skilled<br />
labors (less in numbers in India); wage rate<br />
in the services sector is much higher than<br />
in the agricultural sector. <strong>The</strong> average per<br />
day return of agricultural worker varies between<br />
Rs 25 (read Indian Rupees; Rs 39.5<br />
is one US dollar) in States, like, Bihar, Mi-<br />
zoram, Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh, etc.<br />
to an average of around Rs 125 per day in<br />
States, like, Haryana, Punjab, Kerala,<br />
Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, etc. Although spatial<br />
inequalities exist for agricultural sector;<br />
income inequality becomes large considering<br />
inter-sector inequality, i.e. inequality<br />
between services and agricultural sectors.<br />
<strong>The</strong>se days the average salaries for a standard<br />
Business School graduates ranges between<br />
five lacs to seven lacs, per annum.<br />
Quite evidently these are much higher figures<br />
compared to an average agricultural<br />
earning. So what needs to be done? From<br />
the demand side perspective government is<br />
Table 3: Uncertainty In Agricultural Income<br />
spending money on schemes like, minimum<br />
rural employment guarantee<br />
scheme in 200 most<br />
backward districts in India<br />
with the objective of providing<br />
100 days of guaranteed<br />
unskilled wage employment<br />
to each rural<br />
household opting for it. <strong>The</strong>se schemes are<br />
to be spread to other districts as well. However,<br />
such demand management policies<br />
sometime can be self defeating. For instance,<br />
if these people are hired for building<br />
a road and the project never gets completed<br />
then the money allocated for the<br />
purpose will add on to inflation. A better<br />
1971-72 to<br />
1980-81<br />
way to address this problem associated with<br />
income inequality will be to address long<br />
term supply management policies. <strong>The</strong>re<br />
are two major problems. First has to do<br />
with skill formation. Workers can be trained<br />
giving vocational education. <strong>The</strong> experiences<br />
of some South-East Asian economies<br />
show that one reason these economies fared<br />
well on the distributional aspect of income<br />
1981-82 to<br />
1990-91<br />
1991-92 to<br />
2004-05<br />
GDP<br />
Growth (Mean) 3.16 5.64 5.83<br />
Coff. of Variation 137.75 39.05 31.84<br />
Agriculture and Allied Service<br />
Growth (Mean) 1.83 3.55 2.58<br />
Coff. of Variation 475.21 150.74 188.74<br />
Industry<br />
Growth (Mean) 4.05 7.11 5.81<br />
Coff. of Variation 88.91 28.22 51.85<br />
Services<br />
Growth (Mean) 4.42 6.72 7.78<br />
Coff. of Variation 34.03 17.16 23.04<br />
Source: National Account Statistics<br />
44 THE <strong>IIPM</strong> THINK TANK