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[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...

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REIMAGINING INDIA<br />

policy enforcement can significantly reduce<br />

persistence of corruption as a major<br />

structural backlash of an economy in<br />

transition such as India. However, tax<br />

competition, competitive and secure contractual<br />

law, deregulation, private ownership,<br />

strong protection of property rights<br />

and other components of political stability<br />

and economic prosperity are the guiding<br />

swords in fighting against corruption 15<br />

as an obstacle to long-term growth and<br />

stability.<br />

brightest reform concepts and case studies<br />

of the macroeconomic and structural<br />

reforms. I suggest learning from two small<br />

countries, Ireland and Iceland.<br />

Ireland dramatically changed its fiscal<br />

policy over the past 20 years. Once a bastion<br />

of poverty, now became the second<br />

wealthiest economy in the European Union<br />

according to real GDP per capita,<br />

after Luxemburg. Ireland’s reform agenda<br />

included a supply-side package of policy<br />

inputs. For example, top individual income<br />

tax rates was slashed from 65 percent<br />

to 42 percent and the corporate tax<br />

rate was reduced<br />

to 12.5 percent<br />

and was made flat. Low Taxes,<br />

Tax competition<br />

In 1980s, unemployment<br />

was se-<br />

Sound regulation<br />

vere at a doubledigit<br />

rate and government spending<br />

consumed more than 52 percent of total<br />

output. Consequently, growth rates were<br />

rachitic and high tax rates discouraged<br />

the creation of productive behavior. Ireland<br />

quickly became the “sick-man-of-<br />

An increase in one percentage point in tax pressure – two<br />

thirds of what was observed over the past decade in the<br />

OECD sample – could be associated with a direct reduction<br />

of about 0.3 percent in output per capita<br />

Europe”. In early 1990s, Irish policymakers<br />

decided to embrace supply-side<br />

economic policy, deregulate product markets,<br />

cut the <strong>size</strong> of government and slash<br />

the expenditures. After decades of low<br />

output, overall government spending was<br />

reduced from 52.3 percent in 1986 to 37.7<br />

percent in 1996. Free trade, rigorous tax<br />

cuts and productive education policies<br />

turned the incredible emulation of the<br />

Irish hare into the Celtic Tiger .16 <strong>The</strong>re is<br />

an interesting comparison between Ireland<br />

and Slovenia as a case study between<br />

the supply-side success and Keynesian<br />

failure. Using the data from Penn World<br />

Tables 17 , by the end of 1990, Slovenia and<br />

Ireland had the same real GDP per capita<br />

after inflation, using current prices as<br />

a comparison measure. Throughout the<br />

1990s, Slovenia’s output grew at low rates,<br />

recovering from economic depression in<br />

transition while having high taxes, high<br />

fraction of government ownership and<br />

weak institutions, while Irish economy<br />

International Lessons For India<br />

<strong>The</strong> growth experience of countries from<br />

around the world offers a useful guideline<br />

in learning from the world’s best and<br />

Picture No.2: Dynamic Engines Of Growth<br />

Sophisticated<br />

Infrastructure<br />

Cost and prices,<br />

Environment of<br />

the firm<br />

Quality of the<br />

Labor Supply<br />

SUSTAINABLE<br />

GROWTH<br />

Human Capital<br />

Source: Forfas, author’s own projections<br />

Business<br />

Performance<br />

Productivity<br />

Performance<br />

Innovation,<br />

Competitiveness,<br />

Entrepreneurship<br />

TARGET<br />

ESSENTIALS<br />

Property Rights,<br />

Rule-of-Law<br />

Free Markets<br />

I<br />

N<br />

P<br />

U<br />

T<br />

S<br />

150 THE <strong>IIPM</strong> THINK TANK

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