[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...
[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...
[Dec 2007, Volume 4 Quarterly Issue] Pdf File size - The IIPM Think ...
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REIMAGINING INDIA<br />
policy enforcement can significantly reduce<br />
persistence of corruption as a major<br />
structural backlash of an economy in<br />
transition such as India. However, tax<br />
competition, competitive and secure contractual<br />
law, deregulation, private ownership,<br />
strong protection of property rights<br />
and other components of political stability<br />
and economic prosperity are the guiding<br />
swords in fighting against corruption 15<br />
as an obstacle to long-term growth and<br />
stability.<br />
brightest reform concepts and case studies<br />
of the macroeconomic and structural<br />
reforms. I suggest learning from two small<br />
countries, Ireland and Iceland.<br />
Ireland dramatically changed its fiscal<br />
policy over the past 20 years. Once a bastion<br />
of poverty, now became the second<br />
wealthiest economy in the European Union<br />
according to real GDP per capita,<br />
after Luxemburg. Ireland’s reform agenda<br />
included a supply-side package of policy<br />
inputs. For example, top individual income<br />
tax rates was slashed from 65 percent<br />
to 42 percent and the corporate tax<br />
rate was reduced<br />
to 12.5 percent<br />
and was made flat. Low Taxes,<br />
Tax competition<br />
In 1980s, unemployment<br />
was se-<br />
Sound regulation<br />
vere at a doubledigit<br />
rate and government spending<br />
consumed more than 52 percent of total<br />
output. Consequently, growth rates were<br />
rachitic and high tax rates discouraged<br />
the creation of productive behavior. Ireland<br />
quickly became the “sick-man-of-<br />
An increase in one percentage point in tax pressure – two<br />
thirds of what was observed over the past decade in the<br />
OECD sample – could be associated with a direct reduction<br />
of about 0.3 percent in output per capita<br />
Europe”. In early 1990s, Irish policymakers<br />
decided to embrace supply-side<br />
economic policy, deregulate product markets,<br />
cut the <strong>size</strong> of government and slash<br />
the expenditures. After decades of low<br />
output, overall government spending was<br />
reduced from 52.3 percent in 1986 to 37.7<br />
percent in 1996. Free trade, rigorous tax<br />
cuts and productive education policies<br />
turned the incredible emulation of the<br />
Irish hare into the Celtic Tiger .16 <strong>The</strong>re is<br />
an interesting comparison between Ireland<br />
and Slovenia as a case study between<br />
the supply-side success and Keynesian<br />
failure. Using the data from Penn World<br />
Tables 17 , by the end of 1990, Slovenia and<br />
Ireland had the same real GDP per capita<br />
after inflation, using current prices as<br />
a comparison measure. Throughout the<br />
1990s, Slovenia’s output grew at low rates,<br />
recovering from economic depression in<br />
transition while having high taxes, high<br />
fraction of government ownership and<br />
weak institutions, while Irish economy<br />
International Lessons For India<br />
<strong>The</strong> growth experience of countries from<br />
around the world offers a useful guideline<br />
in learning from the world’s best and<br />
Picture No.2: Dynamic Engines Of Growth<br />
Sophisticated<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Cost and prices,<br />
Environment of<br />
the firm<br />
Quality of the<br />
Labor Supply<br />
SUSTAINABLE<br />
GROWTH<br />
Human Capital<br />
Source: Forfas, author’s own projections<br />
Business<br />
Performance<br />
Productivity<br />
Performance<br />
Innovation,<br />
Competitiveness,<br />
Entrepreneurship<br />
TARGET<br />
ESSENTIALS<br />
Property Rights,<br />
Rule-of-Law<br />
Free Markets<br />
I<br />
N<br />
P<br />
U<br />
T<br />
S<br />
150 THE <strong>IIPM</strong> THINK TANK