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data available in the computer, that can be added. Also the consumption history can be modified or<br />

deleted according to the requirement. Once the forecastin master and history file is generated,<br />

calculations can be started. Three calculations re involved in the process; Smooth average<br />

calculation, trend calculation and seasonality calculation. After these calculations are over the report<br />

can be generated. It is important to note that unless all three calculations are over the report<br />

generated will not be as is expected.<br />

The trend component of the forecast quantity gives the expected increase or decrease in the<br />

consumtion from the average forecast consumption. This is expected to be low in comparison to the<br />

average. A rigorous process is available to calculate this component also. In this, first the smoothed<br />

average of all the items in all the quarters in the past are calculated and stored in the forecast master<br />

table. Then the trend is calculated as follows:<br />

Trend in consumption of an item for a quarter is the difference of consumption in the previous<br />

quarter anad the consumption in the previous to previous quarter. This trend is calculated for all the<br />

quarters for which data is available. Then a mechanism similar to that for finding smmothed average<br />

consumption is applied to find smoothed average trend.<br />

The above procedure, though sophisticated by nature, requires abnormally high computation time.<br />

Considering its effect on the overall forecast quantity, a simpler but much faster mechanism is also<br />

considered. In this, the average of earliest consumption and latest consumption is taken over the<br />

period of consumption.<br />

The monthly requirement computation involves finding the average consumption of and item as<br />

indirect material over the period of last 18 months. The average quantity is updated as monthly<br />

requirement in the stock item master.<br />

Material Requirement Planning Module<br />

This module accepts the quarterwise production plan. This production plan can be decided based on<br />

the orders received from different agencies for different end products. Once this plan is entered, this<br />

module calculates the amount of raw material required at different period of time. Then the net<br />

quantity for which procurement action has to be initiated, considering all the stock and dues<br />

quantities, is also calculated.<br />

Optionwise explanation follows<br />

MAIN: (mp000menu.4ge)<br />

1. Plan maintenance (mp001nplan.4ge)<br />

Add, Inquire, Modify, Delete, Exit<br />

(mp001nplan, mp001aplan, mp001ipl, mp001mplan, mp001dplan, mp001fdues)<br />

Data expected for addition:<br />

EP Code<br />

Plan year<br />

Plan quantity<br />

Action:<br />

After EP Code, Ep description is displayed<br />

Ordnance Factories Institute of Learning, Dehradun 16

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