Mayhem in Mali:A Militant Leadership Monitor Special Report
Mayhem in Mali:A Militant Leadership Monitor Special Report
Mayhem in Mali:A Militant Leadership Monitor Special Report
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<strong>Mayhem</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>: A <strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />
Personalities Beh<strong>in</strong>d the Insurgency<br />
A Focus on the various Islamist <strong>Militant</strong>s and Tuareg rebels <strong>in</strong> Northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
the loom<strong>in</strong>g west african offensive <strong>in</strong> mali<br />
By Andrew McGregor ...................................................................................................................................................2<br />
the tribal militias of northern mali<br />
By Andrew McGregor ...................................................................................................................................................6<br />
Amir of the Southern Sahara: A sketch of AQIM’s Mokhtar Belmokhtar<br />
By Dario Cristiani .........................................................................................................................................................9<br />
.<br />
For Profit Jihad: An In-Depth Profile of AQIM’s Abou Zeid<br />
By Dario Cristiani .......................................................................................................................................................12<br />
Nomadic Tuareg tribes<br />
Algerian Leaders of AQIM Reassert Control with Appo<strong>in</strong>tment of New Saharan Amir<br />
By Andrew McGregor .................................................................................................................................................14<br />
AhmAd al-Tilemsi: The Commander of MUJWA’s Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden Brigade<br />
By Jacob Zenn....................................................................................................................................................15<br />
Br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g militant salafism to the tuareg: a profile of veteran rebel iyad ag ghali<br />
By Andrew McGregor .................................................................................................................................................16<br />
Regional neighbors wary of <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> mali<br />
By Andrew McGregor .................................................................................................................................................20<br />
Outlook<br />
By Jacob Zenn ............................................................................................................................................................22<br />
Introduction<br />
In this Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> (QSR) on <strong>Mayhem</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>, we focus on the various Islamist fighters<br />
who have taken over northern <strong>Mali</strong>. The QSR <strong>in</strong>cludes profiles of important personalities <strong>in</strong> the Sahel<br />
region such as Abou Zeid, a brutal, committed and resilient militant under whose leadership AQIM<br />
has become extremely realist and results-oriented. A portrait is also provided of former AQIM leader<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar whose strong knowledge of the territory and connections with local gangs have<br />
allowed him to play a prom<strong>in</strong>ent role <strong>in</strong> the region. Another sketch <strong>in</strong> the QSR is of AQIM’s new<br />
Saharan amir Jemal Oukacha whose appo<strong>in</strong>tment can be seen as an attempt by the Boumerdes-based<br />
leadership to reassert their authority <strong>in</strong> the wild Sahara/Sahel sector. A snapshot of the commander of<br />
MUJWA’s Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden brigade, Ahmad al-Tilemsi, is <strong>in</strong>cluded along with description of MUJWA’s<br />
split from AQIM, which occurred under his leadership <strong>in</strong> 2011. The conclud<strong>in</strong>g profile is of veteran<br />
Tuareg rebel Iyad ag Ghali, the head of Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> a religiously-oriented armed group.<br />
Residents flee<strong>in</strong>g south from an<br />
Islamic <strong>in</strong>surgency <strong>in</strong><br />
northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong>, the<br />
Jamestown Foundation’s premier<br />
subscription-based publication,<br />
allows subscribers to access<br />
unique biographies and <strong>in</strong>sightful<br />
analyses about key militants and<br />
leaders <strong>in</strong> countries around the<br />
world.<br />
The op<strong>in</strong>ions expressed with<strong>in</strong> are<br />
solely those of the authors and do<br />
not necessarily reflect those of The<br />
Jamestown Foundation.<br />
This <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>in</strong>cludes<br />
articles from Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong>,<br />
Jamestown’s Global Terrorism<br />
Analysis publication.<br />
We focus not only on the leadership of the West African states and African Union <strong>in</strong> tackl<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
problem but also on the lack of resolve by all parties <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the military <strong>in</strong>tervention and the<br />
<strong>in</strong>terrelated assembl<strong>in</strong>g of Islamist and Tuareg rebel forces.<br />
The Economic Community of West African States has endorsed a military <strong>in</strong>tervention operation<br />
<strong>in</strong> the northwest side of the beleaguered Sahel belt that is scheduled to beg<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> January. ECOWAS<br />
will send 3,300 troops to northern <strong>Mali</strong> to “rega<strong>in</strong> the occupied regions <strong>in</strong> the north of the country,<br />
dismantle the terrorist and crim<strong>in</strong>al networks and restore effectively the authority of the state over<br />
the entire national territory,” said Ramtane Lamamra, the commissioner for peace and security of the<br />
African Union, which has endorsed the plan.<br />
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<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
The ECOWAS military operation might have difficulty<br />
gett<strong>in</strong>g started by January however, chiefly because the roles<br />
of the 15 member states are uncerta<strong>in</strong>. A leaked <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />
ECOWAS assessment of the Nigerian armed forces, which<br />
would lead any ECOWAS <strong>in</strong>tervention, says the Nigerian<br />
armed forces are <strong>in</strong> terrible shape and unlikely to be able<br />
to carry out anyth<strong>in</strong>g more than rear-area support and<br />
security operations. Algeria may f<strong>in</strong>d itself compelled to<br />
jo<strong>in</strong> the campaign as the price of keep<strong>in</strong>g Western troops<br />
out of it. Alternatively, there is also the possibility of a quick<br />
deterioration <strong>in</strong> the situation <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> before then<br />
or even a preemptive al-Qaeda strike designed to warn off<br />
possible participants <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>tervention.<br />
The Loom<strong>in</strong>g West African<br />
Offensive <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong><br />
Andrew McGregor<br />
As Tuareg rebels battle radical Islamists with heavy weapons<br />
for control of the northern <strong>Mali</strong> city of Gao, <strong>Mali</strong> and the<br />
other 15 nations of the Economic Community of West<br />
African States (ECOWAS) have planned a military offensive<br />
designed to drive both groups out of northern <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong> an<br />
effort to re-impose order <strong>in</strong> the region and prevent the sixmonth<br />
old conflict from destabiliz<strong>in</strong>g the entire region.<br />
An ECOWAS Intervention Force<br />
(PANA Onl<strong>in</strong>e [Dakar], May 30). Though the Islamists<br />
have agreed to talks, the mediators <strong>in</strong> Ouagadougou have<br />
<strong>in</strong>sisted the largely Tuareg Islamist Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> movement<br />
of Iyad ag Ghali sever all ties with al-Qaeda before talks can<br />
proceed, a move that seems most unlikely at this po<strong>in</strong>t (AFP,<br />
June 18; for a profile of Ag Ghali, see <strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong><br />
<strong>Monitor</strong>, February 2012). Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> spokesman Sena<br />
Ould Boumama has warned that his movement “will fight<br />
ECOWAS if it engages us <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>” (al-Akhbar<br />
[Timbuktu], n.d., via Le Politicien [Bamako], June 7).<br />
Côte d’Ivoire, Senegal, Niger and Nigeria are all expected to<br />
contribute troops to the mission if it receives authorization.<br />
Mauritania, which has conducted cross-border counterterrorist<br />
operations <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong> the past but is not a member<br />
of ECOWAS, has only expressed its “availability to jo<strong>in</strong><br />
common efforts” to resolve the crisis (AFP, June 4). The<br />
ECOWAS <strong>in</strong>tervention, which is projected to consist of<br />
3,270 men, will have to stabilize southern <strong>Mali</strong> before it<br />
can effectively restore control of the north to the Bamako<br />
government.<br />
Algeria, with a capability for desert operations and a powerful<br />
military with decades of combat experience, has been urged<br />
by some Western and regional nations to take a lead<strong>in</strong>g role<br />
<strong>in</strong> any <strong>in</strong>tervention, but appears reluctant to provide ground<br />
forces. Algeria’s participation is widely viewed as the key to<br />
success for any military <strong>in</strong>tervention. Earlier this month,<br />
Algerian <strong>in</strong>telligence chief General Muhammad “Toufik”<br />
Mediène described a potential Algerian role consist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
of <strong>in</strong>telligence provision and airlifts of necessary materiel<br />
from Tamanrasset and Reggane (Jeune Afrique, June 14).<br />
Algeria’s ma<strong>in</strong> condition for participation will likely be the<br />
complete absence of Western troops from the campaign,<br />
particularly French forces.<br />
ECOWAS ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s that a military <strong>in</strong>tervention would be a<br />
last resort if talks hosted by the ECOWAS-appo<strong>in</strong>ted mediator<br />
(Burk<strong>in</strong>o Faso President Blaise Compaore) should fail, but<br />
with negotiations <strong>in</strong> Ouagadougou go<strong>in</strong>g nowhere and<br />
divisions between the formerly allied rebel groups erupt<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>to open conflict <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>, there will be <strong>in</strong>evitable<br />
pressure to step up preparations for a military <strong>in</strong>tervention.<br />
One obstacle to deployment so far has been the absence of a<br />
formal <strong>in</strong>vitation from <strong>Mali</strong>an authorities, though there has<br />
been discussion with<strong>in</strong> ECOWAS of launch<strong>in</strong>g a military<br />
<strong>in</strong>tervention without <strong>Mali</strong>’s consent (PANA Onl<strong>in</strong>e [Dakar],<br />
June 9; Le Combat [Bamako], June 20).<br />
Nigerien President Mahamadou Issoufou is a strong<br />
supporter of the <strong>in</strong>tervention and claims to have <strong>in</strong>formation<br />
regard<strong>in</strong>g the presence of Afghan and Pakistani <strong>in</strong>structors<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g with the Islamists <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>, but has not<br />
shared the details publically (France 24, June 7. With a<br />
large and often restless Tuareg m<strong>in</strong>ority <strong>in</strong> northern Niger,<br />
Issoufou has much to lose by allow<strong>in</strong>g the creation of an<br />
<strong>in</strong>dependent state <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>. The Niger Foreign<br />
M<strong>in</strong>ister has stated that “the military option is the only one”<br />
for <strong>Mali</strong> (Le Politicien [Bamako], June 7).<br />
The Government <strong>in</strong> Bamako<br />
ECOWAS has explicitly rejected the rebels’ “so-called<br />
declaration of <strong>in</strong>dependence” and has stated that it will<br />
“never compromise on the territorial <strong>in</strong>tegrity of <strong>Mali</strong>”<br />
2<br />
In post-coup Bamako, the lack of political leadership<br />
rema<strong>in</strong>s a major stumbl<strong>in</strong>g block to resolv<strong>in</strong>g the crisis.<br />
Dissatisfaction is grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> many quarters with the
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
prevarications of Transitional Government Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister<br />
Cheick Modibo Diarra and his cont<strong>in</strong>ued opposition to a<br />
foreign military <strong>in</strong>tervention (22 Septembre [Bamako], June<br />
19). <strong>Mali</strong>’s 70-year-old transitional president, Dioncounda<br />
Traoré, was attacked by pro-coup demonstrators <strong>in</strong> Bamako<br />
on May 22, endur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>juries that forced his evacuation<br />
to a Paris hospital (AFP, June 5). Complicat<strong>in</strong>g matters is<br />
the cont<strong>in</strong>ued presence of coup-leader Capta<strong>in</strong> Amadou<br />
Haya Sanogo, despite the ECOWAS-ordered dissolution<br />
of Sanogo’s Comité National pour le Redressement de la<br />
Démocratie et la Restauration de l’Etat (CNRDRE) on June<br />
7.<br />
In return for end<strong>in</strong>g his destructive putsch and agree<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to step aside for a transitional government, Sanogo has<br />
been rewarded with official former head-of-state status, a<br />
generous monthly allowance, a prom<strong>in</strong>ent residence and<br />
two vehicles. This decision came despite the opposition of<br />
ECOWAS, which wanted to return Sanago to a subord<strong>in</strong>ate<br />
position <strong>in</strong> the military (L’Indépendant [Bamako], May 23;<br />
Le Combat [Bamako], June 12). The 39-year-old Americantra<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
Sanogo is reported to rarely leave his well-guarded<br />
residence <strong>in</strong>side the Kati military base outside of Bamako.<br />
In a recent <strong>in</strong>terview, Sanogo <strong>in</strong>sisted that if the Army<br />
were given the means, it “would recover the north <strong>in</strong> a few<br />
days” (Jeune Afrique, June 9). Members of the CNRDRE,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Sanogo, cont<strong>in</strong>ue to wield <strong>in</strong>fluence by hav<strong>in</strong>g<br />
formed the Comité militaire de suivi de la réforme des forces<br />
de défense et de sécurité (CMSRFDS) on June 12 to absorb<br />
the CNRDRE, though the new committee will allegedly act<br />
<strong>in</strong> only an advisory role (Le Pays [Ouagadougou], June 14;<br />
L’<strong>in</strong>dicateur du Renouveau [Bamako], June 18).<br />
Supporters and opponents of the March military coup<br />
have organized themselves <strong>in</strong>to two fronts: the pro-putsch<br />
Coord<strong>in</strong>ation of the Patriotic Organizations of <strong>Mali</strong><br />
(COPAM) and the anti-putsch Front for Safeguard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Democracy and Republic (FDR), though <strong>in</strong> a positive<br />
sign, the two groups have been meet<strong>in</strong>g for discussions of<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>’s political future (Le Republica<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], June 18).<br />
COPAM took advantage of the attack on Dioncounda Traoré<br />
to hold a convention to advance the name of Capta<strong>in</strong> Sanogo<br />
as the new transitional president, which only created further<br />
suspicion as to the motives and identity of those beh<strong>in</strong>d<br />
the attack on the transitional president (L’Indépendant<br />
[Bamako], May 23, May 25; Le Combat [Bamako], June 2;<br />
Info Mat<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], June 7). S<strong>in</strong>ce then, several leaders<br />
of COPAM have been jailed while others appear to have left<br />
the country. Nonetheless, a pro-Sanogo radio station, Raio<br />
Kayira, urges opposition to ECOWAS “meddl<strong>in</strong>g” <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
affairs and hosts regular calls for the death of Dioncounda<br />
Traoré and former members of the government (Jeune<br />
3<br />
Afrique, May 30).<br />
Clashes between the MNLA and Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
On May 26, Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> and the secular Mouvement<br />
National de Libération de l’Azawad (MNLA) announced<br />
their merger as the Transitional Council of the Islamic State<br />
of Azawad (L’Essor [Bamako], May 30). However, by June<br />
1, the MNLA had issued a new document declar<strong>in</strong>g all<br />
provisions of the May 26 merger agreement “null and void”<br />
(AFP, June 1). Mossa ag Attaher, an MNLA spokesman,<br />
admitted that the group had made a mistake <strong>in</strong> draft<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
agreement: “[We] accepted the idea of an Islamic State but<br />
it should have been written that we will practice a moderate<br />
and tolerant Islam, with no mention of Shari’a” (AFP, June 1).<br />
A June 8 statement from Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> expressed the<br />
movement’s disappo<strong>in</strong>tment with the MNLA’s withdrawal<br />
from the Gao Agreement, but stated the movement would<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ue alone if necessary: “Unfortunately we were surprised<br />
with the Nouakchott statement issued by the Political Bureau<br />
of the movement which stated its clear refusal of the project<br />
of the Islamic state… therefore the Jama’at Ansar Al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
declares and ensures to the sons of its Islamic ummah<br />
[community] its adherence to the Islamic project.”[1] Clashes<br />
between the two movements were reported the same day <strong>in</strong><br />
Kidal, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the city be<strong>in</strong>g roughly divided between<br />
the two armed groups (AFP, June 8).<br />
Though the short-lived agreement spoke of an “<strong>in</strong>dependent<br />
Azawad” nation, Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> leader Iyad ag Ghali has s<strong>in</strong>ce<br />
returned to his opposition to the establishment of a new state:<br />
“We are not ask<strong>in</strong>g for much: just the application of Shari’a<br />
law <strong>in</strong> the northern and southern regions. We are <strong>Mali</strong>ans<br />
and we are aga<strong>in</strong>st the division of <strong>Mali</strong>… Anyone who does<br />
not lead the fight under our flag is our enemy and will be<br />
fought. Secularism is disbelief. Whoever is for a secular state<br />
is our enemy and will fought by all means” (Reuters, June<br />
16).<br />
While the MNLA were will<strong>in</strong>g to agree to an Islamic State,<br />
their conception of a moderate and tolerant Islamic base<br />
quickly proved at odds with the Islamists of Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> and<br />
the al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) spl<strong>in</strong>ter group,<br />
Movement for Unity and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa (MUJWA),<br />
whose eagerness to beg<strong>in</strong> lash<strong>in</strong>g people for trivial offenses<br />
threatens to dissipate even the small popular support they<br />
may have enjoyed several months ago. Their numerous<br />
prohibitions and severe punishments have defied even the<br />
advice of the AQIM Amir, Abu Musab Abdul Wadud (a.k.a.<br />
Abdelmalek Droukdel), who used a May 23 audiotape<br />
release to warn the Islamists: “It is a mistake to impose all the<br />
rules of Islam at once on people overnight… So, for example,
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
shutt<strong>in</strong>g down places of drugs, liquors and immoralities is<br />
someth<strong>in</strong>g that they can seek to do now without delay, but the<br />
implementation of the just punishment is the responsibility<br />
of the Shari’a legislators and should come gradually” (Sahara<br />
Media [Nouakchott], May 23).<br />
Face-to-face negotiations between Iyad ag Ghali and MNLA<br />
leader Muhammad ag Najim <strong>in</strong> Gao have had little success,<br />
as the gulf between the freedom and <strong>in</strong>dependence sought<br />
by the Tuareg of the MNLA and the strictly regulated<br />
future offered by the Salafists of Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> is too great<br />
(Le Republica<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], May 30). Ag Ghali, who is<br />
reported to now speak only Arabic and wishes to be known<br />
by the Arabic name of Abu Fadil, is <strong>in</strong>sistent on giv<strong>in</strong>g space<br />
to AQIM <strong>in</strong> the new state of Azawad, a break<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong><br />
negotiations with the MNLA (Jeune Afrique, June 9).<br />
Prior to the current fight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Gao, a major clash between<br />
the MNLA and Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> occurred <strong>in</strong> Timbuktu on June<br />
13. Other confrontations have been reported <strong>in</strong> northern<br />
towns where residents have demonstrated <strong>in</strong> favor of the<br />
MNLA and aga<strong>in</strong>st the Islamists (L’Essor [Bamako], June<br />
19; AFP, June 13). The <strong>Mali</strong>an government is also prepar<strong>in</strong>g<br />
a file for submission to the International Crim<strong>in</strong>al Court<br />
(ICC) concern<strong>in</strong>g the slaughter of disarmed prisoners at<br />
Aguelhok <strong>in</strong> late January, an action claimed by Ansar al-<br />
D<strong>in</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g a jo<strong>in</strong>t operation with the MNLA (Le Combat<br />
[Bamako], June 12). In its public statements and attitudes, it<br />
is clear the MNLA is now try<strong>in</strong>g to distance itself from the<br />
Islamist factions, particularly with possible ICC prosecutions<br />
loom<strong>in</strong>g if ECOWAS is successful <strong>in</strong> retak<strong>in</strong>g northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
(Info Mat<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], June 12).<br />
Dissension <strong>in</strong> the North<br />
There are many <strong>in</strong>dications that those northern <strong>Mali</strong>ans<br />
who have not fled the country outright have already tired<br />
of Islamist rule. By some reports, the situation <strong>in</strong> Gao (coadm<strong>in</strong>istered<br />
by the MNLA) is becom<strong>in</strong>g critical, with a lack<br />
of food, water, electricity and currency (L’Essor [Bamako],<br />
May 23). In Kidal, youth and women tired of Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong>’s<br />
social restrictions gathered to display their opposition to<br />
the movement with slogans, public smok<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> defiance of<br />
the ban on tobacco use, and stone-throw<strong>in</strong>g by the women,<br />
who removed their Islamist-decreed veils after Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
elements retreated <strong>in</strong> damaged vehicles (Le Republica<strong>in</strong><br />
[Bamako], June 7; Le Combat [Bamako], June 7).<br />
In the town of Bourem, MUJWA outraged local residents<br />
by open<strong>in</strong>g three prisons for those “caught do<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>,” one<br />
for men, one for women and one for children. In Douentza<br />
(Mopti Region), the power supply has been shut down for<br />
4<br />
lack of fuel and MNLA fighters are reported to be loot<strong>in</strong>g local<br />
homes (L’Essor, June 12, June 19). In the town of Goundam,<br />
two-thirds of the population of 12,000 has left, while the<br />
rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g young men often have verbal confrontations with<br />
the rebels that result <strong>in</strong> their arrest (L’Essor [Bamako], June<br />
7).<br />
The <strong>Mali</strong>an Army<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce 1991, the <strong>Mali</strong>an military has suffered from<br />
underfund<strong>in</strong>g, nepotism, corruption, under tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, poor<br />
pay and a failure to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> its aircraft and armor. Chronic<br />
demoralization is the result of purges of the officer corps,<br />
attempts to <strong>in</strong>tegrate former Tuareg rebels with loyalist<br />
troops and be<strong>in</strong>g required to operate <strong>in</strong> unfamiliar desert<br />
terra<strong>in</strong> with a lack of <strong>in</strong>telligence, equipment or ammunition<br />
(Jeune Afrique, June 17). <strong>Mali</strong>an troops suffered greatly <strong>in</strong><br />
the northern campaign earlier this year from an almost total<br />
lack of air support from the much-decayed <strong>Mali</strong>an air assets.<br />
On a recent visit to the Amadoui Cheickou Tall military<br />
base, <strong>Mali</strong>an Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister Cheick Modibo Diarra told<br />
government troops: “If God gives me the time and strength<br />
to liberate the country, I promise that my government will<br />
not spare any effort to create a strong, modern, efficient and<br />
effective army, an army that frightens, an army that br<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
peace” (L’Essor [Bamako], June 5). Where the money will<br />
come from to support a revival of the military is uncerta<strong>in</strong>;<br />
the economic disaster that followed the coup d’état has<br />
resulted <strong>in</strong> the state budget be<strong>in</strong>g reduced from FCFA 1400<br />
billion (2600 million USD) to FCFA 870 billion (1653 million<br />
USD) (Le Combat [Bamako], June 4). Even the removal of<br />
ECOWAS sanctions has failed to renew capital flows <strong>in</strong>to<br />
<strong>Mali</strong> until the army returns to its barracks and a new, elected<br />
government is formed.<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>an fortunes <strong>in</strong> the north will rest <strong>in</strong> the hands of three<br />
senior officers known for their fight<strong>in</strong>g skills and distaste for<br />
barracks life: Colonel al-Hajj Gamou, a Tuareg, Colonel Ould<br />
Meydou, an Arab, and Colonel Didier Dakuo, a southerner.<br />
Gamou and Meydou met with Algerian authorities last<br />
month regard<strong>in</strong>g future operations <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> (AFP,<br />
May 24). Colonel Meydou narrowly escaped the military<br />
revolt at the Kati military base that started the coup and took<br />
refuge <strong>in</strong> Mauritania, where he says he is prepared to return<br />
to the field with 1,000 men of the Arab militia he commands<br />
(Jeune Afrique, June 17).<br />
Us<strong>in</strong>g deceit, Colonel Ag Gamou was able to escape from<br />
northern <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong>to Niger with his command <strong>in</strong>tact when<br />
the rest of the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army collapsed. Though presently<br />
disarmed, some 600 pro-state Tuareg fighters under his<br />
command are await<strong>in</strong>g redeployment <strong>in</strong>to northern <strong>Mali</strong> at
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
a military base near Niamey (Independent [London], May<br />
10; L’Indépendant [Bamako], June 18).<br />
In addition to the desert-fight<strong>in</strong>g skills of these militias,<br />
roughly 2,000 regulars with ten armored vehicles under<br />
Colonel Dakuo are available <strong>in</strong> the Mopti Region town of<br />
Sévaré, close to the southernmost area occupied by the<br />
rebels. For now, this total group of roughly 3,000 to 4,000<br />
men represents all the forces the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army can count<br />
on. They will face rebels equipped with superior Libyan<br />
arms supplemented by vast stocks of military materiel seized<br />
from the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army earlier this year. Nearly all the Army’s<br />
Russian-made assault tanks have been destroyed or disabled.<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>’s military will be handicapped <strong>in</strong> their re-conquest of<br />
the north by the absence of its elite unit, the “Red Beret”<br />
parachute commando regiment of some 600 men under the<br />
command of Colonel Abid<strong>in</strong>e Gu<strong>in</strong>do. The regiment, which<br />
doubled as the presidential guard, was officially disbanded<br />
by the putschists after it rema<strong>in</strong>ed loyal to ex-President<br />
Amadou Toumani Touré and succeeded <strong>in</strong> spirit<strong>in</strong>g Touré<br />
out of the country before he could be arrested. A failed<br />
counter-coup led by the “Red Berets” on April 30 complicated<br />
matters further, with members of the regiment now be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
put on trial for oppos<strong>in</strong>g the new government.<br />
The Role of Militias<br />
The Arabs of northern <strong>Mali</strong> have largely rema<strong>in</strong>ed loyal to<br />
the concept of a secular and unified <strong>Mali</strong>an state and have no<br />
wish to come under Tuareg rule, whether secular or Islamist.<br />
An armed branch of the Arab opposition, the Front national<br />
de libération de l’Azawad (FNLA, also known as al-Jabhah<br />
al-Arabiya, “the Arab Front”), has vowed to wage war “for<br />
the liberation of Timbuktu and the <strong>in</strong>dependence of our<br />
territory,” while ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g a secular, non-secessionist and<br />
non-Islamist identity (AFP, June 5; L’Essor [Bamako], June<br />
7).<br />
Another group is the Front de libération du Nord-<strong>Mali</strong><br />
(FLNM - National Front for the Liberation of Northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>), formed on May 28 as an umbrella group for the<br />
largely Black African Songhai and Peul/Fulani Ganda Koy<br />
and Ganda Iso militias, which have a strong anti-Arab and<br />
anti-Tuareg character (Le Republica<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], May 30;<br />
for the Ganda Koy, Ganda Iso and other <strong>Mali</strong>an militias,<br />
see Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong>, April 20). The militias, which have<br />
a notorious reputation for violence aga<strong>in</strong>st civilians, say<br />
that the peace talks <strong>in</strong> Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso do not concern them as<br />
negotiations should follow military action (VOA, June 26).<br />
A Timbuktu militia allegedly formed from the Songhai and<br />
Tuareg ethnic groups has vowed to expel the Islamists from<br />
that city. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Hamidou Maiga, a former officer <strong>in</strong><br />
5<br />
the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army, the Mouvement patriotique de résistance<br />
pour la libération de Tombouctou (MPRLT) “will engage <strong>in</strong><br />
military action aga<strong>in</strong>st the <strong>in</strong>vaders until they leave” (AFP,<br />
June 7).<br />
Retak<strong>in</strong>g Northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
<strong>Mali</strong>an military sources have <strong>in</strong>dicated a plan to retake the<br />
north would beg<strong>in</strong> with the liberation of Douentza <strong>in</strong> Mopti<br />
region. Military operations are projected to employ irregular<br />
but unreliable units such as the Ganda Iso and Ganda Koy<br />
militias (Le Politicien [Bamako], June 7). A drive from<br />
the south could be accompanied by the re<strong>in</strong>sertion of<br />
Colonel Ag Gamou’s Tuareg militia from the southeastern<br />
border with Niger. The number of rebels is uncerta<strong>in</strong>, but<br />
the MNLA claims to have 10,000 men under its command,<br />
while the Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> is estimated to have 500 and MUJWA<br />
to have some 300. Driv<strong>in</strong>g these groups out of the cities of<br />
Gao, Kidal and Timbuktu might require challeng<strong>in</strong>g urban<br />
warfare, but deal<strong>in</strong>g with a guerrilla campaign <strong>in</strong> the desert<br />
wilderness could prove even more difficult.<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton and Paris would undoubtedly be called on<br />
to provide <strong>in</strong>telligence (particularly aerial surveillance),<br />
logistical support and f<strong>in</strong>ancial support. If Algeria prevents<br />
the use of American or French <strong>Special</strong> Forces for gather<strong>in</strong>g<br />
operational <strong>in</strong>telligence on the ground, it might deploy its<br />
own Groupe d’Intervention Spécial (GIS) for this purpose.<br />
The deployment of air assets, whatever their source, will be<br />
complicated by the possible rebel possession of anti-aircraft<br />
weapons from Libya’s armories. Such weapons appear to have<br />
been used by Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> on June 15 aga<strong>in</strong>st two unmarked<br />
planes (likely American surveillance aircraft) fly<strong>in</strong>g over<br />
Timbuktu (AFP, June 17).<br />
Conclusion<br />
While both Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> and the MNLA are engaged <strong>in</strong><br />
talks <strong>in</strong> Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso, it is safe to say that time is runn<strong>in</strong>g out<br />
for a negotiated solution. The crisis <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> and the outflow<br />
of refugees is destabiliz<strong>in</strong>g the entire region. There is also no<br />
desire either regionally or <strong>in</strong>ternationally to allow the further<br />
entrenchment of terrorist groups <strong>in</strong> the area such as AQIM<br />
or MUJWA, neither of which are <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> negotiations or<br />
any other effort to restore order to northern <strong>Mali</strong>. However,<br />
the opposition of Algeria to the <strong>in</strong>volvement of Western<br />
militaries (on the ground at least) and a general Western<br />
reluctance to become heavily <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> such efforts after<br />
the Libyan debacle will ultimately leave such efforts <strong>in</strong> the<br />
hands of ECOWAS. However, this organization can deploy<br />
only a limited number of troops from a handful of countries<br />
with a limited history of cooperation <strong>in</strong> the field. The use of
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
different languages, arms and communications systems will<br />
not enhance the efficiency of a West African <strong>in</strong>tervention<br />
force, and the absence of accurate <strong>in</strong>telligence could prove<br />
fatal <strong>in</strong> a confrontation with experienced, determ<strong>in</strong>ed and<br />
well-armed rebels on their home turf. Without substantial<br />
cooperation and support from Algeria or Western militaries,<br />
the small composite force of roughly 3,300 men envisaged<br />
by ECOWAS may experience many of the same setbacks<br />
experienced by the shattered <strong>Mali</strong>an military earlier this<br />
year. While grow<strong>in</strong>g divisions amongst the <strong>Mali</strong>an rebels<br />
may seem to present an opportune time for <strong>in</strong>tervention,<br />
any military defeat suffered as the result of an over-hasty<br />
deployment could rock the political foundations of West<br />
African nations such as Nigeria that are endur<strong>in</strong>g bloody<br />
<strong>in</strong>surgencies of their own.<br />
Note<br />
1. Sanda Ould Bouamama, Spokesman of Jama’at Ansar al-<br />
D<strong>in</strong>, “Statement from Jamaat Ansar Al-D<strong>in</strong> about the MNLA<br />
repeal<strong>in</strong>g of the Gao agreement,” Timbuktu, June 8, 2012.<br />
The article above was published as “Interven<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>:<br />
West African Nations Plan Offensive aga<strong>in</strong>st Islamists<br />
and Tuareg Rebels” <strong>in</strong> Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong> on June 28,<br />
2012.<br />
The Tribal Militias of Northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong><br />
Andrew McGregor<br />
Follow<strong>in</strong>g shock<strong>in</strong>g developments <strong>in</strong> March—a military<br />
coup, the collapse of the national security forces, the conquest<br />
of northern <strong>Mali</strong> by Tuareg rebels and the emergence<br />
of an Islamist group with apparent ties to al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong><br />
the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM)—the land-locked African<br />
nation entered <strong>in</strong>to a tense stand-off. Even as the military<br />
staff of the Economic Community of West African States<br />
(ECOWAS) was form<strong>in</strong>g plans for a military <strong>in</strong>tervention<br />
and neighbor<strong>in</strong>g Algeria placed a re<strong>in</strong>forced garrison and<br />
substantial air elements on high alert at their military base<br />
<strong>in</strong> the southern oasis of Tamanrasset, the most immediate<br />
source of further conflict became Arab and African tribal<br />
militias unwill<strong>in</strong>g to accept Tuareg dom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong> northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>.<br />
Ganda Koy<br />
6<br />
The most prom<strong>in</strong>ent of these militias is known as Ganda<br />
Iso (“Sons of the Land”), the successor to an earlier group<br />
notorious for its attacks on civilians known as Ganda Koy<br />
(“Lords of the Land”). Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Seydou Cissé, regarded<br />
as the “found<strong>in</strong>g father” of Ganda Iso, the earlier Ganda<br />
Koy movement was formed over 1994-1995 by Imam<br />
Muhammad n’Tissa Maiga to resist attacks on the sedentary<br />
and semi-nomadic population (largely black African Songhai<br />
and Peul/Fulani) from bandits and lighter-sk<strong>in</strong>ned nomads<br />
(primarily the Tuareg, Arabs and Mauritanians, collectively<br />
and commonly referred to <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> as “the whites”).<br />
After its formation, Ganda Koy engaged <strong>in</strong> brutal attacks<br />
on the lighter-sk<strong>in</strong>ned peoples of northern <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong> a<br />
conflict that became racially and ethnically def<strong>in</strong>ed. Ganda<br />
Koy’s most notorious operation <strong>in</strong>volved a massacre of 53<br />
Mauritanians and Tuareg marabouts (holy men) of the Kel<br />
Essouk clan near Gao <strong>in</strong> 1994. The militia was alleged to have<br />
received support and fund<strong>in</strong>g from the <strong>Mali</strong>an army and was<br />
composed largely of former <strong>Mali</strong>an soldiers, many of whom<br />
were granted an amnesty and reabsorbed <strong>in</strong>to the military<br />
when the movement was officially dissolved <strong>in</strong> March, 1996<br />
(Jeune Afrique, September 24, 2008). In reality, however,<br />
the movement had merely entered a dormant phase and has<br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce been resurrected <strong>in</strong> one form or another whenever<br />
tensions rise between the rival communities of northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>.<br />
Ganda Koy was effectively disrupted by Colonel Amadou<br />
Baba Touré, who succeeded <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>filtrat<strong>in</strong>g the movement<br />
with his own agents so that their every move was known<br />
<strong>in</strong> advance. The Colonel also harassed the leadership of the<br />
movement, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Cissé, with short periods of detention<br />
without charge. Cissé attempted to conv<strong>in</strong>ce Colonel Touré<br />
that Ganda Koy was not engaged <strong>in</strong> an ethnic struggle, but the<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ued pressure from security forces split the movement<br />
(L’Indépendant [Bamako], August 12, 2010; <strong>Mali</strong> Dema<strong>in</strong><br />
[Bamako], September 26, 2008).<br />
Efforts by Ganda Koy <strong>in</strong> 2008 to enter the political process<br />
were rebuffed by the <strong>Mali</strong>an establishment. Refusal to hear<br />
Ganda Koy grievances led to threats from the movement<br />
that they would resume their military activities (Nouvelle<br />
Liberation [Bamako], November 19, 2008; Le Tambour<br />
[Bamako], November 25, 2008).<br />
A Ganda Koy unit believed to be largely Fulani <strong>in</strong> orig<strong>in</strong><br />
attacked a military camp at Ouattagouna <strong>in</strong> Gao region<br />
<strong>in</strong> March 2011. The attack closely followed the arrest of a<br />
Ganda Koy commander, Aliou Amadou (a.k.a. Sadjo),<br />
on charges of possess<strong>in</strong>g illegal weapons (22 Septembre
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
[Bamako], March 25). When the president of the Ganda Koy<br />
movement, Colonel Abdoulaye Maiga, did not appear for a<br />
press conference <strong>in</strong> July, 2011 it was believed that his absence<br />
was due to pressure from the military (22 Septembre<br />
[Bamako], July 4, 2011).<br />
A statement attributed to Ganda Koy was issued <strong>in</strong> December<br />
2011, <strong>in</strong> which the movement declared it was reactivat<strong>in</strong>g its<br />
armed units <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> as of December 11 to counter Tuareg<br />
fighters return<strong>in</strong>g from Libya with their arms and called<br />
on Songhai and Fulani members of the <strong>Mali</strong>an military to<br />
jo<strong>in</strong> the fight<strong>in</strong>g units of Ganda Koy as soon as possible (Le<br />
Politicien [Bamako], December 16, 2011).<br />
Ganda Iso<br />
Seydou Cissé says he formed Ganda Iso <strong>in</strong> 2009 <strong>in</strong> the<br />
<strong>in</strong>terests of “ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g social stability <strong>in</strong> the region” and<br />
ensur<strong>in</strong>g there would be justice rather than immunity for<br />
malefactors: “We had no choice <strong>in</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g the Ganda Iso.<br />
Each community had its own militia. And to be feared and<br />
dreaded, we needed to have our own militia” (L’Indépendant<br />
[Bamako], August 12, 2010).<br />
Sergeant Amadou Diallo, a Peul/Fulani, was appo<strong>in</strong>ted head<br />
of the military arm of the movement with responsibility<br />
for tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g recruits, while Seydou Cissé was to be the<br />
civilian head of the political movement. This arrangement<br />
fell apart after Sergeant Diallo conducted a broad daylight<br />
massacre of four Tuareg civilians <strong>in</strong> the village of Hourala<br />
on the weekly market day, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g swift retaliation from<br />
armed Tuareg (<strong>Mali</strong> Dema<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], September 5, 2008;<br />
Nouvelle Liberation [Bamako], September 9, 2008). At<br />
this po<strong>in</strong>t Cissé says, he realized Diallo had “deviated from<br />
our goal” and “deflected our plans.” Though Ganda Iso was<br />
blamed for this attack, Cissé claims it was the result of Diallo<br />
ally<strong>in</strong>g himself with the Tolobé Peul/Fulani of Niger, whom<br />
Cissé described as “great bandits.” When Cissé was called<br />
to account by then <strong>Mali</strong>an president Ahmadou Toumani<br />
Touré, he told the president he was only seek<strong>in</strong>g respect for<br />
his people and asked for the transfer of his nemesis, Colonel<br />
Ahmadou Baba Touré. A split followed between Diallo and<br />
the civilian leadership of the movement; accord<strong>in</strong>g to Cissé:<br />
“Sergeant Diallo did not understand our struggle. While we<br />
are fight<strong>in</strong>g for the security of the area, he was fight<strong>in</strong>g for his<br />
own account. In a document that the State Security gave me,<br />
Ahmadou Diallo required as a condition of peace that the<br />
state gives him 30 million FCFA [West African CFA Francs],<br />
a villa and a car” (L’Indépendant [Bamako], August 12,<br />
2010). An ex-member of Ganda Iso echoed this evaluation:<br />
“The movement of Diallo is not a product of the Ganda Koy.<br />
It pursues the unsatisfied plan of a man who manipulates his<br />
7<br />
brothers to try to <strong>in</strong>timidate the <strong>Mali</strong>an nation <strong>in</strong> the sole<br />
goal of mak<strong>in</strong>g money” (Nouvelle Liberation [Bamako],<br />
September 26, 2008).<br />
Ganda Iso’s September, 2008 kill<strong>in</strong>g of the four Tuareg<br />
civilians was variously reported to have occurred <strong>in</strong> reaction<br />
to the murder of an elderly Peul man by an armed group <strong>in</strong><br />
T<strong>in</strong> Hamma or as the result of damage to Peul herds dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
a May 12 attack by Imghad Tuareg on a <strong>Mali</strong>an gendarmerie<br />
base <strong>in</strong> Ansongo (L’Essor [Bamako], October 7). [1] It is<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong> whether the Ganda Iso killers were aware that<br />
three of their Imghad victims were also cous<strong>in</strong>s of Colonel al-<br />
Hajj Gamou, the powerful leader of a loyalist Imghad Tuareg<br />
militia, but a reported call from Diallo after the kill<strong>in</strong>gs to<br />
the office of the <strong>Mali</strong>an president compla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g that Colonel<br />
Gamou’s militia was harass<strong>in</strong>g Peul/Fulanis <strong>in</strong> the Ansongo<br />
region suggests that this had a role <strong>in</strong> the selection of targets.<br />
However, mak<strong>in</strong>g a personal enemy of one of the most<br />
effective and occasionally ruthless desert fighters <strong>in</strong> northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong> was ultimately a poor decision and Diallo soon had new<br />
compla<strong>in</strong>ts that Gamou had buried many of Diallo’s relatives<br />
up to their neck <strong>in</strong> holes <strong>in</strong> the desert. [2]<br />
On the night of September 14, 2008 a gun battle broke out <strong>in</strong><br />
Gao when one of Colonel Gamou’s patrols surprised a group<br />
of Ganda Iso (possibly led personally by Ahmadou Diallo)<br />
allegedly caught <strong>in</strong> the midst of an assass<strong>in</strong>ation attempt<br />
on Muhammad ag Mahmud Akil<strong>in</strong>e, the director of <strong>Mali</strong>’s<br />
Agency for Northern Development (Nouvelle Liberation<br />
[Bamako], September 16, 2008; L’Indépendant [Bamako],<br />
September 18, 2008). While the Army was busy arrest<strong>in</strong>g<br />
some 30 suspected members of Ganda Iso and hunt<strong>in</strong>g down<br />
the movement’s leadership, its communications branch was<br />
simultaneously deny<strong>in</strong>g the presence of any militias <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>,<br />
<strong>in</strong>sist<strong>in</strong>g the Army’s deployment <strong>in</strong> Gao was <strong>in</strong>tended only<br />
to “prevent people from creat<strong>in</strong>g a mess” (Le Republica<strong>in</strong><br />
[Bamako], September 24, 2008).<br />
Colonel Gamou retaliated aga<strong>in</strong>st Ganda Iso <strong>in</strong> a September<br />
16, 2008 attack on Fafa, Ahmadou Diallo’s hometown <strong>in</strong><br />
the movement’s Ansongo district stronghold (Nouvelle<br />
Liberation [Bamako], September 19, 2008). The raid<br />
yielded a large store of guns, grenades and mortars, but<br />
many of the movement’s supporters claimed they could not<br />
understand why security forces were focused on a “selfdefense”<br />
unit rather than rebels and brigands <strong>in</strong> northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong> (L’Indépendant [Bamako], September 19).<br />
Security sweeps arrested dozens more members and<br />
Ahmadou Diallo fled to neighbor<strong>in</strong>g Niger, where he was<br />
arrested only days later and extradited to <strong>Mali</strong>, where he was<br />
soon released “on the sly” by his friends <strong>in</strong> the government
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
(Radio France Internationale, September 27, 2008; Info-<br />
Mat<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], June 15, 2009).<br />
Ganda Iso was far from f<strong>in</strong>ished, however, and on January<br />
1, 2009 members of the movement hurled hand grenades<br />
at the homes of three prom<strong>in</strong>ent Imghad Tuareg leaders <strong>in</strong><br />
Timbucktu, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Muhammad ag Mahmud Akil<strong>in</strong>e,<br />
who had escaped an earlier Ganda Iso assass<strong>in</strong>ation attempt<br />
<strong>in</strong> September, 2008. General Ahmadou Baba Touré claimed<br />
that the grenade-throwers were among those arrested <strong>in</strong><br />
the September, 2008 security sweep and later released. [3]<br />
In June, 2009, an armed group believed to be Peul/Fulani<br />
members of Ganda Iso attacked a Tuareg camp <strong>in</strong> Tessit, part<br />
of the Ansongo district of Gao Region, kill<strong>in</strong>g six Tuareg<br />
(Info Mat<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], June 15, 2009). It was reported by<br />
some sources that the murderers were the same as those<br />
suspected <strong>in</strong> the September 2008 kill<strong>in</strong>g of four Tuareg<br />
civilians (Info-Mat<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], June 16, 2009).<br />
After talks with the government, a demobilization and<br />
disarmament “peace flame” ceremony for Ganda Iso was<br />
held <strong>in</strong> 2010, emulat<strong>in</strong>g an earlier and better-known<br />
“peace flame” commemorat<strong>in</strong>g the Tuareg demobilization<br />
and disarmament follow<strong>in</strong>g the 1996 rebellion. The event<br />
was widely regarded as a failure <strong>in</strong> which old and obsolete<br />
weapons were turned <strong>in</strong> for public <strong>in</strong>c<strong>in</strong>eration before<br />
an audience that <strong>in</strong>cluded neither senior members of<br />
government nor the military leader of Ganda Iso, Ahmadou<br />
Diallo (22 Septembre [Bamako], August 9, 2010).<br />
Ganda Iso <strong>in</strong> the Current Conflict<br />
There have been reports that the post-coup <strong>Mali</strong>an military<br />
has resumed its old patronage of the “Ganda” movements by<br />
provid<strong>in</strong>g food and military equipment to 1,000 members of<br />
Ganda Iso and Ganda Koy (Le Combat [Bamako], March<br />
28). Ganda Iso clashed with the <strong>in</strong>dependence-seek<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Mouvement National de Libération de l’Azawad (MNLA)<br />
<strong>in</strong> mid-March, reportedly kill<strong>in</strong>g six rebels and wound<strong>in</strong>g<br />
seven others. The MNLA attacked a Ganda Iso tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g camp<br />
<strong>in</strong> the Ansongo district <strong>in</strong> retaliation on March 15, suffer<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the loss of al-Her ag Ekaratane, a deserter from the <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
Army and the former chief of the camel corps <strong>in</strong> Ansango<br />
(L’Indépendant [Bamako], March 20; 22 Septembre<br />
[Bamako], March 19). Ganda Iso fighters gathered at Gao<br />
are reported to have melted away when comb<strong>in</strong>ed MNLA/<br />
Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> forces approached.<br />
8<br />
The MNLA has ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed from the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />
rebellion that the movement br<strong>in</strong>gs the various peoples of<br />
northern <strong>Mali</strong> together <strong>in</strong> pursuit of an <strong>in</strong>dependent state<br />
of “Azawad,” <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the Kel-Tamashek (the Tuareg selfname),<br />
the Songhai, the Peul/Fulani, the Arabs and the<br />
“Moors” (Mauritanians). In practice, however, there has<br />
been little evidence that any of the non-Tuareg communities<br />
are represented <strong>in</strong> the MNLA <strong>in</strong> any significant numbers.<br />
Ahmadou Diallo appears to have shared the concerns of the<br />
military coup leaders over the handl<strong>in</strong>g of Tuareg rebels by<br />
the Bamako politicians, tell<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>terviewer <strong>in</strong> 2008 that<br />
Bamako’s response to Tuareg rebellions <strong>in</strong> the north was<br />
“too politicized.” Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Diallo, “The military had the<br />
means and the weapons to fight dissidents and bandits <strong>in</strong><br />
the north, but had its hands tied and was forced to follow<br />
orders” (Le Temo<strong>in</strong> du Nord [Bamako], October 17, 2008).<br />
Though this may have been true at the time (as the 2009<br />
defeat of Tuareg rebel leader Ibrahim ag Bahanga attests),<br />
this was no longer the situation when the Tuareg began the<br />
new rebellion last January, wield<strong>in</strong>g firepower superior to<br />
that of the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army courtesy of the looted armories of<br />
Libya.<br />
Diallo is reported to have met his end <strong>in</strong> a battle with MNLA<br />
rebels <strong>in</strong> the Ansongo district on March 25 (Reuters, March<br />
25; L’Essor [Bamako], March 28). A Bamako report that<br />
honored this “outstand<strong>in</strong>g” warrior claimed that Diallo’s<br />
death had dealt a serious blow to the morale of Ganda Iso<br />
and its civilian supporters (Le Combat [Bamako], March<br />
28). It is for now unclear who might succeed Diallo as<br />
military leader of the movement.<br />
In the meantime, a somewhat less aggressive and more<br />
diverse alternative to Ganda Iso may have emerged <strong>in</strong> the<br />
north. On April 4, the newly formed Coalition of People from<br />
North <strong>Mali</strong> brought together a variety of former politicians<br />
and adm<strong>in</strong>istrators from the northern prov<strong>in</strong>ces under the<br />
chairmanship of former Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister and Gao native<br />
Ousmane Issoufi Maigi (2004-2007). The Coalition urged<br />
soldiers and civilians to prepare for a liberation struggle<br />
and there are reports that the recruitment of volunteers<br />
has begun, possibly with an eye to open<strong>in</strong>g a corridor for<br />
humanitarian aid as severe food shortages loom <strong>in</strong> the north<br />
(L’Essor [Bamako], April 7; Le Républica<strong>in</strong> [Bamako],<br />
April 6).<br />
Pro-Government Tuareg Militias<br />
After the current rebellion began on January 17, there were<br />
early reports of victories by Colonel Gamou’s pro-government<br />
Tuareg militia, followed by the surpris<strong>in</strong>g news <strong>in</strong> late March<br />
that this arch-loyalist had defected to the MNLA. However,<br />
when Colonel Gamou arrived <strong>in</strong> neighbor<strong>in</strong>g Niger <strong>in</strong> early<br />
April he admitted that his defection was only a ruse follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the collapse of the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army <strong>in</strong> the north, one that<br />
enabled him to shift 500 men and dozens of combat vehicles
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
through rebel l<strong>in</strong>es to safety without losses. For now his men<br />
have been disarmed and Gamou and his lead<strong>in</strong>g officers<br />
moved to Niamey (Radio France Internationale, April 6). In<br />
the event of an ECOWAS <strong>in</strong>tervention, they would likely be<br />
returned to the field. There are other Tuareg, particularly of<br />
the Imghad, who want no part of the MNLA or the Ansar al-<br />
D<strong>in</strong>, but organized resistance <strong>in</strong> the current circumstances<br />
would be difficult. Many who oppose the rebels have simply<br />
fled across the borders until a safe return is possible.<br />
The Arab Militias<br />
Though Ganda Iso may treat the Arabs and Tuareg as a<br />
common enemy, there are <strong>in</strong> fact enormous differences<br />
between the two communities exacerbated by a traditional<br />
lack of trust and the recent <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>in</strong>to northern <strong>Mali</strong> of<br />
the largely Arab al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb movement<br />
(AQIM). AQIM’s apparent alliance with the newly-formed<br />
Salafist-Jihadist Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> group under the command of<br />
veteran Tuareg militant Iyad ag Ghali has only complicated<br />
affairs.<br />
and Islamist Tuareg <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> (with the latter possibly<br />
receiv<strong>in</strong>g support from AQIM), there is a grow<strong>in</strong>g likelihood<br />
that Arab and African-based “self-defense” militias may take<br />
advantage of such an opportunity to try and reverse the<br />
recent Tuareg ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the region. A descent <strong>in</strong>to tribal and<br />
ethnic warfare <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> would be sure to devastate<br />
an already marg<strong>in</strong>al region for years to come.<br />
Notes<br />
1. Wikileaks: U.S. Embassy Bamako cable 08BAMAKO778,<br />
September 9, 2008.<br />
2. Ibid<br />
3. Wikileaks: U.S. Embassy Bamako cable 09BAMAKO3,<br />
January 5, 2009.<br />
4. Ibid<br />
The above article was published as “‘The Sons of the<br />
Land’: Tribal Challenges to the Tuareg Conquest of<br />
Northern <strong>Mali</strong>” <strong>in</strong> Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong> on April 20,<br />
2012.<br />
After the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army fled Timbuktu, the strong Arab<br />
trad<strong>in</strong>g community <strong>in</strong> that city formed its own resistance<br />
group of several hundred men to combat Tuareg rule, the<br />
Front de Libération Nationale d’Azawad (FLNA). Accord<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to the movement’s secretary-general, Muhammad Lam<strong>in</strong>e<br />
Sidad, the Arabs “have our own <strong>in</strong>terests to defend—a<br />
return to peace and economic stability” (Reuters, April 9).<br />
Unable to match the firepower of the rebels, the Arab militia<br />
has decamped to the outskirts of Timbuktu, wait<strong>in</strong>g for an<br />
opportunity to expel the Tuareg.<br />
Amir of the Southern Sahara:<br />
A Sketch of AQIM’s Mokhtar<br />
Belmokhtar<br />
Dario Cristiani<br />
The pro-government Bérabiche Arab militia led by Colonel<br />
Muhammad Ould Meidou appears to have ceased operations<br />
<strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> for the present, though there are reports of<br />
a new Bérabiche militia <strong>in</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g (Le Combat [Bamako],<br />
January 31). The Bérabiche have often turned to self-defense<br />
militias <strong>in</strong> the past and it is possible that <strong>Mali</strong>’s Kounta<br />
and Telemsi Arabs may do the same now if it is the only<br />
alternative to Tuareg rule.<br />
Conclusion<br />
Many <strong>Mali</strong>ans believe that Ganda Koy and its successor<br />
Ganda Iso enjoy a certa<strong>in</strong> immunity <strong>in</strong> their relationship with<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>’s security forces as a means of apply<strong>in</strong>g pressure on the<br />
nation’s northern communities. A 2009 U.S. Embassy cable<br />
noted that Bamako’s “catch and release policy” regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Ganda Iso suspects “does not seem to have helped matters”<br />
[4] With the loom<strong>in</strong>g possibility of a clash between nationalist<br />
9<br />
Personal Profile<br />
Born <strong>in</strong> the medieval city of Ghardaïa <strong>in</strong> central Algeria,<br />
nearly 372 miles due south of Algiers, on June 1, 1972,<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar is known by different names and<br />
nicknames. He is known as Khaled Abou Abbass, and his<br />
many nicknames <strong>in</strong>clude: “the Elusive,” “Marlboro Man” and<br />
Belawarr (“One-eyed”) referr<strong>in</strong>g to the loss of an eye that<br />
occurred while <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> jihadist activities <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan.<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar became fasc<strong>in</strong>ated with the concept<br />
of jihad as a teenager. The mysterious assass<strong>in</strong>ation of<br />
Abdullah Azzam acted as a catalyst for him. Azzam, a<br />
Jordanian-Palest<strong>in</strong>ian jihadist preacher based <strong>in</strong> Peshawar<br />
and crucial mentor of the late Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden, whose<br />
legacy greatly <strong>in</strong>spired Belmokhtar, represented the turn<strong>in</strong>g<br />
po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> his background. Belmokhtar decided to head to<br />
Afghanistan, jo<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the jihadist current and undertak<strong>in</strong>g<br />
tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> several mujahideen camps throughout the failed
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
state. [1] Shortly after return<strong>in</strong>g to Algeria, he jo<strong>in</strong>ed the<br />
Groupe Islamique Armeé (Armed Islamic Group-GIA),<br />
quickly becom<strong>in</strong>g one of its most important commanders.<br />
Accord<strong>in</strong>g to a Mauritanian media source, Belmokhtar<br />
allegedly travelled to Sudan for meet<strong>in</strong>gs with Osama b<strong>in</strong><br />
Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri while the two lived there <strong>in</strong><br />
the 1990s before be<strong>in</strong>g expelled to Afghanistan (Carrefour<br />
de la République Islamique de Mauritanie, January 8, 2011).<br />
An <strong>in</strong>ternal split occurred among the members of the<br />
GIA divid<strong>in</strong>g those that wanted to severely decrease mass<br />
casualty attacks on civilians—a hallmark of the Algerian civil<br />
conflict—yet still sought to attack <strong>in</strong>ternational targets and<br />
those who reta<strong>in</strong>ed a more parochial outlook focused tightly<br />
on the establishment of an Islamic state with<strong>in</strong> Algeria’s<br />
borders. Those that spl<strong>in</strong>tered off pledg<strong>in</strong>g (<strong>in</strong> theory) not to<br />
attack non-combatants—yet later transform the conflict from<br />
a local to regional one—formed the Groupe Salafiste pour<br />
la Prédication et le Combat (Salafist Group for Preach<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and Combat-GSPC) <strong>in</strong> the late 1990s. Belmokhtar jo<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
the GSPC and was the most active militant of the groups <strong>in</strong><br />
the southern zone. His early rise <strong>in</strong> the then less strategically<br />
important areas for the GSPC—but most vital to al-Qaeda<br />
<strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) today—led to the role<br />
that he currently plays <strong>in</strong> the Sahelian/Saharan territories<br />
encompass<strong>in</strong>g north-eastern Mauritania, northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
and southwestern Algeria. The new center of his activities<br />
has been the city of Tamanrasset at the base of the Ahaggar<br />
Mounta<strong>in</strong>s. Belmokhtar’s <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> smuggl<strong>in</strong>g and other<br />
illicit traffic—<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g possible human traffick<strong>in</strong>g—sharply<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased. In a few years, these types of so-called “collateral”<br />
activities became even more significant than proper “m<strong>in</strong>or<br />
jihad” <strong>in</strong> itself. In the eyes of many global jihadi purists, this<br />
greatly lessened Belmokhtar’s credibility.<br />
It was at this time that he began to focus beyond the previous<br />
narrow scope of overthrow<strong>in</strong>g the Algerian government.<br />
He then became <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> fight<strong>in</strong>g the Mauritanian<br />
state, <strong>in</strong> part because of Mauritania’s diplomatic relations<br />
with Israel (which have s<strong>in</strong>ce been severed <strong>in</strong> reaction to<br />
the January 2009 Israeli assault on Gaza and the resultant<br />
Palest<strong>in</strong>ian casualties) (Al-Ahram Weekly, March 25-<br />
31, 2010). Belmokhtar is considered to be the figure that<br />
expanded jihad from a war-fatigued Algeria <strong>in</strong>to a vulnerable<br />
Mauritania. He is believed to have been beh<strong>in</strong>d the kill<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
17 Mauritanian soldiers <strong>in</strong> the garrison of Lemgheity <strong>in</strong> the<br />
country’s northern Tiris Zemmour Region <strong>in</strong> 2005 as well as<br />
the m<strong>in</strong>d beh<strong>in</strong>d the failed attack on the French embassy <strong>in</strong><br />
Nouakchott (PanAfrican News Agency, June 16, 2005).<br />
The <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g pressure from the Algerian security forces<br />
drove Belmokhtar further south. His primary territorial<br />
base is believed to be the under-governed area of northern<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>. When the GSPC re-branded itself as a franchise of al-<br />
Qaeda, with the birth of AQIM, Belmokthar reta<strong>in</strong>ed his<br />
operational <strong>in</strong>dependence <strong>in</strong> the south, although he had<br />
to “share” this region with another ma<strong>in</strong> commander of<br />
AQIM, Abou Zeid—leader of the “Tariq ibn Ziyad” brigade,<br />
operat<strong>in</strong>g ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> the southern-eastern regions and closely<br />
connected to AQIM’s overall amir Abdelmalek Droukdel,<br />
based <strong>in</strong> the northern Kabylie region <strong>in</strong> the Atlas Mounta<strong>in</strong>s<br />
along Algeria’s Mediterranean coast. [2] Although rivals,<br />
Belmokhtar and Abou Zeid share the same modus operandi,<br />
as they are now more focused on utilitarian undertak<strong>in</strong>gs,<br />
such as smuggl<strong>in</strong>g and kidnapp<strong>in</strong>gs, than on traditional<br />
jihadis acts aimed at damag<strong>in</strong>g the government of Algerian<br />
President Abdelaziz Bouteflika.<br />
The relationship between Mokhtar Belmokhtar and<br />
Abdelmalek Droukdel has always been rather complex.<br />
Although the two personalities have been thought of as<br />
peer competitors for years, this did not prevent them from<br />
pursu<strong>in</strong>g particular collaborative efforts when their tactical<br />
<strong>in</strong>terests converged.<br />
Operational Profile<br />
Belmokhtar’s profile is characterized by a strong mix<br />
of ideology and pragmatism, with the latter sometimes<br />
overwhelm<strong>in</strong>g the former. He is the leader of the Katiba<br />
al-Mulathim<strong>in</strong>—The Battalion of Veiled Men—recall<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the religious reformist message of the Almoravids <strong>in</strong> their<br />
struggle aga<strong>in</strong>st Idrissids. [3] The personal history of his<br />
militancy is similar to that of many fellow jihadists the world<br />
round. He migrated to Afghanistan, the center of the U.S.<br />
and Saudi-sponsored <strong>in</strong>surgency <strong>in</strong> the 1980s, where he<br />
claims to have fought aga<strong>in</strong>st the Soviet forces.<br />
However, given the timetable of his Afghan experience at the<br />
beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the 1990s, it is more likely that he tra<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong><br />
militant camps and possibly took part only <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ternec<strong>in</strong>e<br />
fight<strong>in</strong>g among different jihadi parties <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan who<br />
sought to oust the derelict Marxist regime while jockey<strong>in</strong>g<br />
for power among themselves. This <strong>in</strong>itial experience <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Afghan theatre marks a stark difference between Belmokhtar<br />
and his ma<strong>in</strong> AQIM rival <strong>in</strong> the Sahara/Sahel, Abou Zeid, as<br />
the latter never went to Afghanistan, spend<strong>in</strong>g his militant<br />
years <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>hospitable Sahara rather than <strong>in</strong> a far-flung<br />
jihad.<br />
As Afghanistan mutated from an ideological to a civil war,<br />
Belmokhtar then returned to Algeria <strong>in</strong> 1993. Algeria had<br />
10
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by then turned <strong>in</strong>to one of the focal po<strong>in</strong>ts of the emerg<strong>in</strong>g<br />
global jihadist landscape. The Islamist victory <strong>in</strong> the<br />
elections of 1991, the consequential annulment, the military<br />
coup and the follow<strong>in</strong>g eruption of a massive domestic<br />
crisis threw Algeria <strong>in</strong>to a period of extended turmoil. This<br />
disquiet quickly spiraled <strong>in</strong>to a ghastly civil war mark<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the bloodiest period <strong>in</strong> the history of post-<strong>in</strong>dependence<br />
Algeria. The history of Belmokhtar’s militancy has always<br />
been characterized by a certa<strong>in</strong> degree of heterogeneity<br />
toward the ma<strong>in</strong>stream positions of the Algerian jihad<br />
with regard to the morph<strong>in</strong>g of the GIA, GSPC and AQIM.<br />
These differences were not based on ideological disputes<br />
but on more sordid power conflicts and divergent views on<br />
operational strategies.<br />
Aga<strong>in</strong>, compared to Abou Zeid, he seemed to have undertaken<br />
a diametrically oppos<strong>in</strong>g path <strong>in</strong> life. Abou Zeid moved from<br />
smuggl<strong>in</strong>g and contraband to jihad, us<strong>in</strong>g jihadi ideology<br />
as a tool to frame his rage aga<strong>in</strong>st Algiers, then us<strong>in</strong>g his<br />
expertise to ga<strong>in</strong> momentum and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g his operational<br />
profile with<strong>in</strong> the organization. Belmokthar, <strong>in</strong>stead, moved<br />
from a more typical jihadi fighter profile to a more pragmatic<br />
jihadi smuggler <strong>in</strong> which carry<strong>in</strong>g out illicit activities <strong>in</strong> the<br />
loosely patrolled areas of the Sahara desert allowed him<br />
greater operational autonomy which <strong>in</strong> turn boosted his role<br />
with<strong>in</strong> the group. This evolution highlights a major feature of<br />
his militant personality: a rather strong degree of flexibility,<br />
that allows him to change priorities, aims and operational<br />
modes quickly and depend<strong>in</strong>g on the situations.<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar is considered to be one of the major<br />
protagonists beh<strong>in</strong>d the <strong>in</strong>creased focus of AQIM on the<br />
kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g of seem<strong>in</strong>gly hapless Westerners caught <strong>in</strong><br />
their midst. The <strong>in</strong>stitutionalization of kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g as a<br />
key component of AQIM’s strategy is primarily due to his<br />
aggressive <strong>in</strong>itiatives <strong>in</strong> the Sahara (see Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong>,<br />
January 28, 2010). Along with Adrerrezak al-Parà and other<br />
militants, he took part <strong>in</strong> the spectacular kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g of 32<br />
European tourists <strong>in</strong> 2003. In 2007, members of his group<br />
were allegedly <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the kill<strong>in</strong>gs of four French tourists<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g the Paris-Dakar rally that led the organizers of the<br />
legendary event to relocate it to Lat<strong>in</strong> America <strong>in</strong> 2008<br />
(Rue89, September 24, 2010). Additionally he is thought<br />
to be the organizer of the kidnapp<strong>in</strong>gs of two Canadian<br />
diplomats <strong>in</strong> late 2008 and of the abduction and kill<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
two Frenchmen <strong>in</strong> Niger (France 24, January 11, 2011). The<br />
kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g racket is one of the most reward<strong>in</strong>g revenue<br />
streams for AQIM. It is also consistent with the group’s<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial, operational and logistical needs and its ideological<br />
compulsion to strike out aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>in</strong>fidels.<br />
Recently, Belmokhtar participated <strong>in</strong> an attention-grabb<strong>in</strong>g<br />
11<br />
<strong>in</strong>terview with a Mauritanian onl<strong>in</strong>e news agency, vaguely<br />
expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g how AQIM benefited from the war <strong>in</strong> Libya<br />
by ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g unspecified weapons from the late Mu’ammar<br />
al-Qaddafi’s bountiful arsenals (Agence Nouakchott<br />
d’Information, November 9, 2011). Aside from the arms<br />
assertion, which has been a concern of many Maghreb<br />
analysts, Belmokhtar claimed to be foster<strong>in</strong>g new l<strong>in</strong>ks with<br />
Islamist fighters <strong>in</strong> Libya. In the <strong>in</strong>terview, he acknowledged<br />
the diverg<strong>in</strong>g views he has with several members of AQIM,<br />
although he downplayed these disagreements to normal<br />
dialogue amongst true believers who genu<strong>in</strong>ely share the<br />
same overall jihadi ethic.<br />
Curiously, accord<strong>in</strong>g to Algerian security sources quoted<br />
by the local daily Ennahar at the time of this writ<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
Belmokhtar has founded a new movement named “Southern<br />
Children’s Movement for Justice.” In this light, he appears<br />
to be detach<strong>in</strong>g himself from AQIM and pursu<strong>in</strong>g his own<br />
agenda through this movement, which will carry out attacks<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st foreign targets <strong>in</strong> the Sahel (Ennahar, December<br />
5, 2011). The article also quoted the words of a member<br />
of the group, a person named “Nemr,” native to Ruwaysat<br />
<strong>in</strong> the eastern Ouargla Wilayat (Prov<strong>in</strong>ce), who said that<br />
Belmokhtar refused the idea of carry<strong>in</strong>g out attacks aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />
foreign <strong>in</strong>terests or kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g foreign nationals, stress<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>stead the need to ga<strong>in</strong> the sympathy of Western countries<br />
and <strong>in</strong>ternational public op<strong>in</strong>ion for this strangely named<br />
movement. Nemr stated rather <strong>in</strong>explicably that this nascent<br />
group has received fund<strong>in</strong>g proposals from France, Morocco<br />
and Libya. These entirely contradictory statements sound<br />
eccentric at best. Over the years Belmokhtar has been a<br />
target of counter-<strong>in</strong>telligence efforts to weaken his position,<br />
claim<strong>in</strong>g either that he has been killed or has surrendered.<br />
It would not come as a surprise that this is yet another such<br />
clumsy attempt by the Algerian government to subvert<br />
Belmokhtar.<br />
Conclusion<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar rema<strong>in</strong>s one of the ma<strong>in</strong> leaders of<br />
AQIM, given his predom<strong>in</strong>ant role <strong>in</strong> the southern theatre<br />
of the operation of the group. His strong knowledge of the<br />
territory and his connections with local gangs allow him<br />
to play a prom<strong>in</strong>ent role <strong>in</strong> the region that has become a<br />
major focal po<strong>in</strong>t for AQIM over the past few years as their<br />
agenda has shifted away from the settled center of Algeria’s<br />
north. His predom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong> the region, however, has been<br />
challenged by the rise of Abou Zeid, who is closely connected<br />
to Droukdel and whose emergence <strong>in</strong> the Sahelian/Saharan<br />
region was considered as a move by AQIM central to counter<br />
balance the autonomy of a strident Belmokhtar. The relations<br />
of Belmokhtar with the Kabylie leadership of AQIM are
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
characterized by a certa<strong>in</strong> degree of mistrust and conflict<br />
but these <strong>in</strong>teractions are generally kept fluid <strong>in</strong> order to<br />
accommodate to specific, chang<strong>in</strong>g tactical needs of the<br />
organization as well as to make necessary adjustments to its<br />
chang<strong>in</strong>g political center of gravity.<br />
Notes<br />
1. Andrew Black, “Mokhtar Belmokhtar: The Algerian<br />
Jihad’s Southern Amir,” Jamestown Foundation, Terrorism<br />
<strong>Monitor</strong> 7 (12), May 8, 2009.<br />
2. For a profile of Abou Zeid, see <strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong><br />
<strong>Monitor</strong>, October 2011.<br />
3. Geoff Porter, “AQIM’s Objectives <strong>in</strong> North Africa,” CTC<br />
Sent<strong>in</strong>el, February 2011.<br />
became <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g local smuggl<strong>in</strong>g networks that<br />
crisscrossed the Sahara.<br />
Four factors help expla<strong>in</strong> why he evolved from shepherd to<br />
smuggler:<br />
• The scarcity of legitimate job opportunities for young<br />
men <strong>in</strong> Algeria dur<strong>in</strong>g the period <strong>in</strong> question;<br />
• His <strong>in</strong>timate knowledge of the local desert environment<br />
and pistes (unpaved trail or path);<br />
• The ease of cross<strong>in</strong>g porous borders—Ghadamès,<br />
Libya is approximately 12 miles from the Algerian<br />
border; and<br />
• A strong desire to earn a better liv<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong>, December 30, 2011<br />
For Profit Jihad: An In-Depth<br />
Profile of AQIM’s Abou Zeid<br />
Dario Cristiani<br />
One of the key figures <strong>in</strong> al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb<br />
(AQIM), al-Qaeda’s North African franchise, is Abou<br />
Zeid. Though there is no agreement on his precise given<br />
name, it has recently emerged that his real name is likely<br />
Mohadem Ghadir, which surfaced among certa<strong>in</strong> Algerian<br />
judiciary sources (Echorouk, Jan 21, 2011). For many years<br />
Abou Zeid was known as Adib Hammadou. On the United<br />
Nations webpage outl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g sanctions aga<strong>in</strong>st AQIM, he is<br />
still referred to as such. [1] Abou Zeid’s birth date, like his<br />
real name, is also unclear. He was born sometime between<br />
1957 and 1958, <strong>in</strong> the area of Azouz Toureg, <strong>in</strong> Algeria’s<br />
eastern desert region of DebDeb, <strong>in</strong> the wilaya (prov<strong>in</strong>ce) of<br />
Illizi, near the juncture of the Tunisian, Libyan and Algerian<br />
borders. Several nomadic families settled near this triple<br />
border region and from one of these, the Mabrouk Ghadir—<br />
part of the large Sulaymi Arab tribe of Chaamba—hailed<br />
Abou Zeid’s family. The physical environment <strong>in</strong> which<br />
he was raised had a strong impact both on his personality<br />
and the choices he would make later <strong>in</strong> life. Abou Zeid<br />
never attended a modern school. He briefly attended a local<br />
madrassa where he studied rudimentary Arabic and the<br />
Quran but soon abandoned even that. Dur<strong>in</strong>g his teenage<br />
years he worked with his father <strong>in</strong> the desert tend<strong>in</strong>g to their<br />
family’s camels and rams. [2] In the late 1970s, Abou Zeid<br />
12<br />
He started smuggl<strong>in</strong>g bulk quantities of tea and electronics<br />
from Libya <strong>in</strong>to Algeria where he then sold those products<br />
on the black market <strong>in</strong> the town of al-Oueda. He was <strong>in</strong>itially<br />
wary of smuggl<strong>in</strong>g items prohibited by Islamic strictures such<br />
as cigarettes. In his daily work as a smuggler, he regularly<br />
encountered the Algerian gendarmerie on patrol. He was<br />
arrested for the first time <strong>in</strong> 1984. His subsequent encounters<br />
with the gendarmerie fostered a strong enmity toward local<br />
authorities enforc<strong>in</strong>g the writ of Algiers <strong>in</strong> the territory<br />
he traversed. This early arrest and future arrests were key<br />
moments <strong>in</strong> Abou Zeid’s radicalization. As his views towards<br />
security forces hardened, he began a progression that<br />
transformed him from a petty smuggler to radical Islamist<br />
militant. [3]<br />
A mixture of hatred toward the Algerian state and his father’s<br />
death <strong>in</strong> 1989 pushed a disaffected Abou Zeid further toward<br />
radical Islamist ideology. He jo<strong>in</strong>ed the ranks of the Front<br />
Islamique du Salut (Islamic Salvation Front-FIS) <strong>in</strong> the late<br />
1980s. He soon became one of the ma<strong>in</strong> FIS members of<br />
his local community, runn<strong>in</strong>g several rallies <strong>in</strong> the area of<br />
DebDeb. He climbed the ladder with<strong>in</strong> the FIS before he<br />
jo<strong>in</strong>ed the Groupe Islamique Armé (Armed Islamic Group-<br />
GIA). In the 1990s, he was very close to Kamaredd<strong>in</strong>e<br />
Kherbane, the GIA’s external relations delegate at the time. He<br />
also became one of the ma<strong>in</strong> collaborators of Amir Belabdi<br />
Derradji and enjoyed good relations with Adrerrezak al-<br />
Parà. In this milieu Abou Zeid was one of the core militants<br />
<strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the creation of the Groupe Salafiste pour la<br />
Prédication et le Combat (The Salafist Group for Preach<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and Combat-GSPC) <strong>in</strong> the late 1990s. He accompanied al-<br />
Para dur<strong>in</strong>g the spectacular kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g of 32 European<br />
tourists <strong>in</strong> 2003. He then became the head of operations <strong>in</strong><br />
Zone 5, encompass<strong>in</strong>g the areas of Tébessa, Khenchela and<br />
Batna. S<strong>in</strong>ce then he has played a major role <strong>in</strong> the area (El<br />
Watan, Oct 1, 2010).<br />
Ris<strong>in</strong>g to the Top: Abou Zeid and AQIM
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
The GSPC was re-branded between 2006–2007 and declared<br />
itself the local franchise of al-Qaeda after pledg<strong>in</strong>g bayat (an<br />
oath) to the late Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden. The operational l<strong>in</strong>ks with<br />
al-Qaeda’s central leadership <strong>in</strong> Pakistan were rather loose<br />
and AQIM enjoyed substantial organizational autonomy.<br />
[4] As mentioned earlier, Abou Zeid operates ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Sahelian strip, lead<strong>in</strong>g the brigade operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the east of<br />
this area. [5] He is the head of the “Tariq ibn Ziyad” brigade,<br />
named after the Berber general known <strong>in</strong> Spanish texts as<br />
“Taric al-Tuerto” (Taric the one-eyed) who led the conquest<br />
of Visogothic Spa<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> the early eighth century.<br />
This strong symbolic mean<strong>in</strong>g is aimed at recall<strong>in</strong>g the epic<br />
deeds of the Islamic empire at the peak of its expansion when<br />
much of the Iberian Pen<strong>in</strong>sula was part of “Dar al-Islam.”<br />
Us<strong>in</strong>g such historical term<strong>in</strong>ology is a way of fram<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
movement <strong>in</strong> the Salafi-Jihadi ideological box. [6] AQIM<br />
demonstrated a strong proclivity to act as a normal illegal<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess organization rather than as an ideologically-driven<br />
jihadi group. In the past few months there has been a revival<br />
of more traditional terrorist attacks <strong>in</strong> northern Algeria (see<br />
Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong>, September 22, 2011). The operational<br />
trends seem to <strong>in</strong>dicate a different reality. In this context,<br />
Abou Zeid played a rather key role as he is one of the ma<strong>in</strong><br />
men responsible for the change <strong>in</strong> the movement’s brand<br />
name from GSPC to AQIM, as well as the north to south<br />
shift that occurred <strong>in</strong> terms of geographical priorities.<br />
Five years ago Algeria was the core focus of AQIM’s wrath<br />
with the Sahel. Dur<strong>in</strong>g that period wag<strong>in</strong>g jihad aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />
Algiers was AQIM’s key strategic aim. Today the situation is<br />
starkly different. The broader region that spans across Niger,<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>, Algeria and Libya is now the key operational theatre of<br />
AQIM. The most important activity of AQIM is no longer<br />
attack<strong>in</strong>g government targets—though they still carry out<br />
such acts—but rather smuggl<strong>in</strong>g weapons and illegal goods<br />
of various k<strong>in</strong>ds along with kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g Europeans. The latter<br />
is a way to achieve a f<strong>in</strong>ancial goal while simultaneously<br />
pursu<strong>in</strong>g a jihadi aim. Kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>fidels is consistent with<br />
the jihadi ideology. Savvy AQIM militants roam<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
Sahel are all too well aware that Europeans governments—<br />
unofficially—are more will<strong>in</strong>g than anyone else to pay<br />
ransoms for their kidnapped nationals.<br />
Abou Zeid has been accused of <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> the abduction<br />
of more than 20 European hostages <strong>in</strong> the Sahel countries<br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce 2008—many of them ransomed for millions of Euros.<br />
He also ordered or carried out the executions of Edw<strong>in</strong> Dyers,<br />
a British hostage, <strong>in</strong> 2009 and Michel Germaneau, a French<br />
hostage <strong>in</strong> July 2010 (Afrik, July 26, 2010; L’Expression,<br />
July 25, 2010; Algeria 360, June 4, 2010). Moreover, he was<br />
13<br />
also accused of kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g seven workers of the French<br />
uranium m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g consortium, Areva, <strong>in</strong> Niger (Radio France<br />
Internationale, September 21, 2011). Three of the workers<br />
were released after a few months, while the other four are<br />
still believed to be held by AQIM (Reuters, October 4, 2011).<br />
AQIM’s Operational Evolution and Abou Zeid’s<br />
Personality: Is There a Connection?<br />
Throughout his rise through the FIS to the GIA to the GSPC<br />
to today’s AQIM, Abou Zeid has a long history of personal<br />
<strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> the radical Islamism that has bled Algeria for<br />
decades. He jo<strong>in</strong>ed the FIS <strong>in</strong> the late 1980s and s<strong>in</strong>ce then he<br />
has been a key figure of the “Southerners”—those jihadists<br />
orig<strong>in</strong>ally from southern Algeria and whose theatre of action<br />
was the wider Sahelian area. After deal<strong>in</strong>g with the Algerian<br />
gendarmerie patrols he found radical rhetoric of the 1990s<br />
an apt means of express<strong>in</strong>g his resentment and rage aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />
the central government whom he viewed as perpetrators of<br />
oppression.<br />
Abou Zeid’s rise to the upper echelon of Algerian Islamism<br />
occurred at a slow pace. Although he has held several<br />
important roles <strong>in</strong> these organizations, he became one<br />
of the very top players only <strong>in</strong> the past six to seven years.<br />
Given his long stand<strong>in</strong>g relations with AQIM’s overall amir<br />
Abdelmalek Droukdel—Zeid was one of his ma<strong>in</strong> allies<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g the 1990s—the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g role played by Zeid <strong>in</strong><br />
the Sahelian and Saharan dimension was also considered<br />
a move supported by Droukdel to counter-balance the<br />
autonomy and the <strong>in</strong>dependence of Mokhtar Belmokhtar,<br />
AQIM’s other major leader <strong>in</strong> southern Algeria. Abou<br />
Zeid and Belmokthar are by far the most important AQIM<br />
personalities <strong>in</strong> the Sahel region. The two men, however,<br />
have contrast<strong>in</strong>g personal and historical backgrounds. Their<br />
relations are rather complex, if not controversial. Although<br />
Abou Zeid was a smuggler turned jihadi, Belmokthar had<br />
the credentials of an <strong>in</strong>ternational jihadi fighter from fight<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the Soviets <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan <strong>in</strong> the 1980s.<br />
Although he never completed a proper religious education,<br />
Abou Zeid has always tried to live accord<strong>in</strong>g to his<br />
<strong>in</strong>terpretation of Islamic doctr<strong>in</strong>e. It is for this reason that<br />
he was hesitant to engage <strong>in</strong> smuggl<strong>in</strong>g that could be seen<br />
as contradict<strong>in</strong>g his Islamic pr<strong>in</strong>ciples. Given the type and<br />
volume of goods that AQIM is believed to move through<br />
the Sahel, it seems that for purely pragmatic reasons Abou<br />
Zeid overcame his more idealistic beliefs. The necessity of<br />
f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g reliable sources of <strong>in</strong>come to f<strong>in</strong>ance AQIM’s exploits<br />
coupled with his strong desire for obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g wealth may help<br />
to expla<strong>in</strong> as to why he is currently engaged <strong>in</strong> this rather<br />
un-Islamic bus<strong>in</strong>ess. Trump<strong>in</strong>g his illicit smuggl<strong>in</strong>g, the
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
Abou Zeid of today appears to be more focused on AQIM’s<br />
lucrative kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g enterprise. He is considered the ma<strong>in</strong><br />
figure responsible for the recent wave of kidnapp<strong>in</strong>gs of<br />
Westerners afflict<strong>in</strong>g the Sahel. Moreover, his knowledge of<br />
the human terra<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> this region—for example, be<strong>in</strong>g able to<br />
factor <strong>in</strong> local and tribal loyalties and support networks—<br />
and his reserved, severe nature makes him the perfect brand<br />
ambassador of Algeria’s present Islamist <strong>in</strong>carnation <strong>in</strong> the<br />
form of AQIM.<br />
Conclusion<br />
The operational profile of AQIM that has emerged over the<br />
past few years is consistent with Abou Zeid’s background,<br />
personality and modus operandi. It is therefore extremely<br />
realist and results-oriented t<strong>in</strong>ged with a ruthlessness,<br />
evidenced by the dramatic execution of foreign hostages.<br />
Proper “m<strong>in</strong>or jihad” aga<strong>in</strong>st the near and the far enemies<br />
rema<strong>in</strong>s the most important rhetorical aim of the group.<br />
More concretely, it seems to be one of several goals among<br />
others and not the central and sole goal of the group. The<br />
emergence at the top of the group of a figure like Abou Zeid<br />
who does not have proper “global jihad” credentials like<br />
Belmokhtar—whose Islamic beliefs were built dur<strong>in</strong>g his<br />
daily life <strong>in</strong> the desert rather than rooted <strong>in</strong> a more formal<br />
Islamic education—and was orig<strong>in</strong>ally a simple tea and<br />
electronics smuggler, could help to expla<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />
importance that these activities acquired for AQIM.<br />
Moreover, his desire for accumulat<strong>in</strong>g personal wealth could<br />
expla<strong>in</strong> why he began engag<strong>in</strong>g himself <strong>in</strong> haram (nonpermissible<br />
<strong>in</strong> Islam) traffic. The picture of Abou Zeid is<br />
then that of a brutal, committed and resilient militant whose<br />
jihadi credentials are not quite as strong as those of many<br />
other Algerian jihadi fighters. It was his notion of the group’s<br />
raison d’être comb<strong>in</strong>ed with his demonstrable leadership<br />
capabilities that elevated him to play a lead<strong>in</strong>g role <strong>in</strong> AQIM<br />
despite his shortcom<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> terms of jihadi credentials.<br />
These traits held by Abou Zeid have contributed to the ma<strong>in</strong><br />
operational transformations that have taken place with<strong>in</strong> al-<br />
Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb <strong>in</strong> recent years.<br />
Notes<br />
1. http://www.un.org/sc/committees/1267/NSQE01401E.<br />
shtml<br />
2. Mohamed Mokaddem, Al Qaida Au Maghreb Islamique.<br />
Contrebande au nom de l’Islam, (Paris: L’Harmattan, 2010),<br />
pp. 9-15.<br />
3. Ibid, pp.16-24.<br />
4. Geoff Porter, “The Impact of B<strong>in</strong> Laden’s Death on AQIM<br />
<strong>in</strong> North Africa,” CTC Sent<strong>in</strong>el, May 1, 2011.<br />
5. Mohammad-Mahmoud Ould Mohamedou, “The Many<br />
14<br />
Faces of Al Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb,” Geneva Centre<br />
for Security Policy, Policy Paper Number 15, May 2011.<br />
6. Mathieu Guidere, “The Tribal Allegiance System With<strong>in</strong><br />
AQIM,” CTC Sent<strong>in</strong>el, February 1, 2011.<br />
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong>, October 31, 2011<br />
Algerian Leaders of AQIM Reassert<br />
Control with Appo<strong>in</strong>tment of New<br />
Saharan Amir<br />
Andrew McGregor<br />
AQIM’s Algerian leadership has appo<strong>in</strong>ted al-Vourghan<br />
Brigade leader Jemal Oukacha (a.k.a. Yahya Abu al-<br />
Hammam) as its new Saharan amir (Agence Nouakchott<br />
d’Information, October 4). Al-Hammam’s appo<strong>in</strong>tment was<br />
<strong>in</strong>tended to fill a vacancy created when Nabil Makhloufi<br />
(a.k.a. Abu al-Kama) was killed <strong>in</strong> September, allegedly <strong>in</strong> a<br />
“car accident” <strong>in</strong> the desert between Gao and Timbuktu (Le<br />
Temps d’Algerie [Algiers], October 5).<br />
Al-Hammam is a native of Reghaia, a town <strong>in</strong> Algiers Prov<strong>in</strong>ce<br />
<strong>in</strong> northern Algeria, and has been <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the Islamist<br />
militancy s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000, when he f<strong>in</strong>ished an 18-month term<br />
<strong>in</strong> prison and jo<strong>in</strong>ed the Groupe salafiste pour la prédication<br />
et le combat (GSPC), which later became al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Islamic Maghreb (AQIM). The young jihadi began to come<br />
<strong>in</strong>to prom<strong>in</strong>ence through his participation <strong>in</strong> several raids<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st Mauritanian and Algerian military posts under<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar and Abd al-Hamid Abu Zaid. In 2006,<br />
al-Hammam was sentenced to death <strong>in</strong> absentia <strong>in</strong> Biskra on<br />
terrorism-related charges. By 2010 he was heavily <strong>in</strong>volved<br />
<strong>in</strong> the kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g of European nationals <strong>in</strong> the Sahel region<br />
with the Vourghan Brigade (Liberté [Algiers], October 6).<br />
Al-Hammam is believed to be very close to AQIM leader<br />
Abd al-<strong>Mali</strong>k Droukdel (a.k.a. Abu Mus’ab Abd al-Wadad)<br />
and his appo<strong>in</strong>tment can be seen as an attempt by the<br />
Boumerdes-based leadership to reassert their authority <strong>in</strong><br />
the wild Sahara/Sahel sector, where movement commanders<br />
have grown used to a large degree of autonomy <strong>in</strong> their<br />
operations and decision-mak<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Al-Hammam’s promotion appears to have come at the<br />
expense of Mulatham<strong>in</strong> Brigade leader Mokhtar Belmokhtar,
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
who was reported to have been seriously wounded <strong>in</strong> a clash<br />
with Tuareg rebels earlier this year (see Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong><br />
Brief, July 12). If this is the case, the appo<strong>in</strong>tment may well<br />
create new tensions with<strong>in</strong> the movement, but the decision<br />
marks Droukdel’s <strong>in</strong>tention to establish firmer control of the<br />
movement’s southern brigades <strong>in</strong> anticipation of a major<br />
confrontation with ECOWAS, African Union or Western<br />
forces <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g months. News of the<br />
appo<strong>in</strong>tment was apparently accompanied by orders from<br />
the AQIM leadership to Abd al-Hamid Abu Zaid and others<br />
to respect the decision (El-Khabar [Algiers], October 6). It<br />
has been reported that the division of spoils from AQIM’s<br />
lucrative Saharan kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess has been a recent<br />
source of friction between the movement’s southern amirs.<br />
AQIM’s dom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong> the Sahara/Sahel region is now be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
challenged by the rival Movement for Unity and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West<br />
Africa (MUJWA), which is attract<strong>in</strong>g large numbers of sub-<br />
Saharan recruits (Jeune Afrique, October 14). A spokesman<br />
for the Mulatham<strong>in</strong> Brigade denied Algerian reports that<br />
Mokhtar Belmokhtar was <strong>in</strong>jured <strong>in</strong> a clash between the<br />
AQIM Brigade and MUJWA fighters on September 27 (Le<br />
Temps d’Algerie, October 1). Nonetheless, al-Hammam’s<br />
appo<strong>in</strong>tment is <strong>in</strong> part an effort to re<strong>in</strong>vigorate AQIM’s<br />
profile <strong>in</strong> the region.<br />
With an external military <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> very unlikely<br />
before the end of the year, both AQIM and MUJWA have<br />
an opportunity to rally supporters and prepare an armed<br />
response. MUJWA leader Omar Ould Hamaha has warned<br />
France aga<strong>in</strong>st adopt<strong>in</strong>g an aggressive stance aga<strong>in</strong>st the<br />
Islamists of northern <strong>Mali</strong> as well as claim<strong>in</strong>g Mauritania’s<br />
armed forces would be no match for MUJWA fighters,<br />
who he says are more experienced and better armed than<br />
Mauritanian troops (al-Akhbar [Nouakchott], October<br />
6). Algeria appears to be favor<strong>in</strong>g an approach that would<br />
simultaneously encourage dialogue with northern <strong>Mali</strong>’s<br />
Tuareg rebels (without exclusion) while isolat<strong>in</strong>g AQIM and<br />
MUJWA from the local community (Tout sur l’Algerie<br />
[Algiers], October 12).<br />
Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong>, October 18, 2012<br />
Ahmad al-Tilemsi: The<br />
15<br />
Commander of MUJWA’s Osama<br />
b<strong>in</strong> Laden Brigade<br />
Jacob Zenn<br />
The United States Department of State announced on<br />
December 7 that two found<strong>in</strong>g leaders of the Movement for<br />
Unity and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa (MUJWA), Hamad al-Khairy<br />
and Ahmad al-Tilemsi, were <strong>Special</strong>ly Designated Global<br />
Terrorists (SDGT) under Executive Order 13224, which was<br />
signed <strong>in</strong>to law on September 23, 2011 by President George<br />
W. Bush. [1] As a result of the designation, “all property<br />
subject to U.S. jurisdiction <strong>in</strong> which the Movement for Unity<br />
and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa (MUJWA), Khairy, or Tilemsi has<br />
any <strong>in</strong>terest is blocked and U.S. persons are prohibited from<br />
engag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> any transactions with them or to their benefit.”<br />
Tilemsi, who also uses the name Ahmad Ould Aamari, is<br />
the commander of MUJWA’s Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden brigade and<br />
a member of MUJWA’s Majlis Shura. MUJWA split from<br />
al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) <strong>in</strong> late 2011—<br />
approximately ten decades to the day of the September 11<br />
attacks <strong>in</strong> New York City and Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, D.C.—<strong>in</strong> rejection<br />
of the Algerian dom<strong>in</strong>ation of AQIM’s leadership and to<br />
focus on operations <strong>in</strong> West Africa outside of the Maghreb<br />
region.<br />
In late November, MUJWA ousted the National Movement<br />
for the Liberation of Azawad (MNLA) from the city of<br />
Ménaka, Gao region, with the support of MUJWA’s allies<br />
<strong>in</strong> AQIM, Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> and Boko Haram (Ménaka is the<br />
f<strong>in</strong>al <strong>Mali</strong>an city before the border with Niger). MUJWA<br />
is the lead<strong>in</strong>g Islamist militia <strong>in</strong> Gao, while Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> is<br />
the lead<strong>in</strong>g Islamist militia <strong>in</strong> Timbuktu. AQIM is believed<br />
to operate throughout Gao, Kidal and Timbuktu, which<br />
constitute the three prov<strong>in</strong>ces of northern <strong>Mali</strong> that these<br />
militias call the “Islamic State of Azawad.”<br />
Tilemsi discussed MUJWA’s split from AQIM <strong>in</strong> early<br />
December <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>terview with the Mauritanian al-Akhbar<br />
News Agency that was later featured on jihadist websites. [2]<br />
Other MUJWA leaders had said that MUJWA rejects any<br />
ethnic group exert<strong>in</strong>g superiority over another—whether<br />
Algerians <strong>in</strong> AQIM over sub-Saharan Africans or the MNLA<br />
assert<strong>in</strong>g Tuareg dom<strong>in</strong>ation over “black” ethnic groups.<br />
Tilemsi confirmed MUJWA’s core ideology, while also<br />
rebuk<strong>in</strong>g the MNLA for its secular ideology and for allegedly<br />
loot<strong>in</strong>g Gao after the MNLA <strong>in</strong>itially took control of the city<br />
by expell<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>Mali</strong>an government soldiers from the city<br />
<strong>in</strong> April.
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
Tilemsi said that:<br />
“[The MNLA] is a movement that declared enmity of the<br />
mujahideen by its refusal of the rul<strong>in</strong>gs of the Islamic Shari’a<br />
and its oppression of the Muslims by tak<strong>in</strong>g their money<br />
unjustly and murder<strong>in</strong>g them and its differentiation between<br />
the Muslims who are black and have no rights and the whites<br />
who have rights.”<br />
Tilemsi also criticized the MNLA for its former ties to the<br />
Mu’ammar Qaddafi regime <strong>in</strong> Libya before the regime’s<br />
demise <strong>in</strong> 2011 and for the MNLA’s will<strong>in</strong>gness to coord<strong>in</strong>ate<br />
with France, Mauritania and the <strong>in</strong>ternational forces to oust<br />
the Islamist militants MUJWA, AQIM and Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
from “Azawad,” as anticipated through an <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong><br />
2013. Tilemsi said:<br />
its Islamist credentials to the outside world. F<strong>in</strong>ally, by<br />
denounc<strong>in</strong>g the racism of the MNLA, MUJWA wants to<br />
send a message to potential sub-Saharan African recruits<br />
that MUJWA will represent them (also unlike AQIM which<br />
has a reputation for favor<strong>in</strong>g Arab Algerians). As leader<br />
of the Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden brigade of MUJWA, Tilemsi has<br />
learned from al-Qaeda Central’s example that propaganda<br />
messag<strong>in</strong>g and pressure on Western politicians is an effective<br />
strategy when prepar<strong>in</strong>g for combat on the battlefield.<br />
Notes<br />
1. “Terrorist Designations of the Movement for Unity<br />
and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa, Hamad al-Khairy, and Ahmad<br />
al-Tilemsi,” Media Note, Office of the Spokesperson<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, D.C., December 7, 2012.<br />
“[The MNLA]” have fought with Qaddafi aga<strong>in</strong>st the Libyan<br />
people, then they came to the region (northern <strong>Mali</strong>) by<br />
order from France and coord<strong>in</strong>ation with the apostate<br />
Mauritanian government which tried to recruit them <strong>in</strong><br />
fight<strong>in</strong>g the mujahideen.”<br />
Despite the friction with AQIM over the split, Tilemsi gave<br />
no impression to al-Akhbar that the split has led to a break <strong>in</strong><br />
their broader strategic alliance between MUJWA and AQIM.<br />
The State Department SDGT announcement affirmed that<br />
Tilemsi is a <strong>Mali</strong>an citizen, that he acts as MUJWA’s military<br />
head and that he is “also affiliated with AQIM.” Accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
Tilemsi:<br />
“Our relationship is good with the jihadi groups that are<br />
present with us <strong>in</strong> the field s<strong>in</strong>ce we are jo<strong>in</strong>ed by the fraternal<br />
association of faith and jihad and common dest<strong>in</strong>y and we all<br />
aspire to achieve unity and establish an Islamic Emirate <strong>in</strong><br />
the region.”<br />
2. “Al-Akhbar News Agency <strong>in</strong>terview with commander<br />
Ahmad Ould Aamir aka Ahmad Al-Talmasi Amir of the<br />
Osama b<strong>in</strong> Laden brigade and member of Majlis Shura of<br />
Jamaat Al-Tawhid wa Al-Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa,” https://<br />
ansar1.<strong>in</strong>fo/showthread.php?t=43650, December 4, 2012.<br />
Jacob Zenn, December 11, 2012<br />
Br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Militant</strong> Salafism to the<br />
Tuareg: A Profile of Veteran Rebel<br />
Iyad ag Ghali<br />
One of Tilmesi’s biggest concerns, like the rest of MUJWA<br />
commanders, is the impend<strong>in</strong>g “<strong>in</strong>ternational threat” aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />
MUJWA, which Tilemsi says MUJWA will engage through<br />
“combat and jihad.” To pressure the <strong>in</strong>ternational forces and<br />
Algerian government from <strong>in</strong>terven<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>,<br />
MUJWA is exploit<strong>in</strong>g the suffer<strong>in</strong>g of the families of hostages<br />
MOJWA has kidnapped. MUJWA threatens to kill them all if<br />
the <strong>in</strong>tervention proceeds.<br />
As for Tilmesi’s <strong>in</strong>terview with al-Akhbar, it appears to<br />
have been MUJWA’s form of public diplomacy. By show<strong>in</strong>g<br />
a united front with AQIM, MUJWA wants to portray the<br />
Islamist militants as united and strong, despite that factions<br />
have emerged with<strong>in</strong> their ranks. By criticiz<strong>in</strong>g the MNLA<br />
for be<strong>in</strong>g secular and for loot<strong>in</strong>g, MUJWA wants to show<br />
16<br />
Andrew McGregor<br />
Operat<strong>in</strong>g alongside the long-time Tuareg rebels and heavily<br />
armed veterans of the Libyan military that fill the ranks<br />
of <strong>Mali</strong>’s Mouvement National de Libération de l’Azawad<br />
(MNLA) is a smaller Salafist group led by Iyad ag Ghali, once<br />
the most prom<strong>in</strong>ent of <strong>Mali</strong>’s Tuareg rebels. Today, ag Ghali<br />
is lead<strong>in</strong>g a new armed group <strong>in</strong> pursuit of an <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />
Islamist state <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>, an ambition that may be<br />
barely more popular with the Muslims of northern <strong>Mali</strong> than<br />
it is <strong>in</strong> the national capital of Bamako.<br />
Ag Ghali is a member of the noble Iriyaken clan of the Kel<br />
Ifoghas Tuareg confederation liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the Adrar des Iforas<br />
Mounta<strong>in</strong>s of northeastern <strong>Mali</strong>. His highly <strong>in</strong>dependent
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
character has been described <strong>in</strong> various ways; a <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
government m<strong>in</strong>ister told AFP: “Iyad is a cool customer. He<br />
never panics <strong>in</strong> the face of a difficult situation;” while a U.S.<br />
diplomat described ag Ghali as “an <strong>in</strong>dependent and often<br />
<strong>in</strong>scrutable leader… there is no <strong>in</strong>dication of anyone either<br />
with<strong>in</strong> the Tuareg hierarchy or the <strong>Mali</strong>an government who<br />
holds sway over him” (AFP, August 18, 2003). [1]<br />
The rebellion of the MNLA is the first <strong>in</strong> a long time not to be<br />
dom<strong>in</strong>ated by members of the noble Ifergoumessen clan of<br />
the Kel Imghad. This new leadership is composed of young<br />
rebels with new agendas, Tuareg deserters from the <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
officer corps and confident veterans of the Libyan military.<br />
The theme of the rebellion is “now or never,” and they are<br />
unlikely to be deterred by the <strong>in</strong>tercession of elders or<br />
politicians. This new generation of rebels is wary of leaders<br />
with histories of compromise, such as ag Ghali. Thus forced<br />
to the sidel<strong>in</strong>es just as the strongest rebel force assembled yet<br />
<strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> was about to take the field, ag Ghali created<br />
his own movement that would reflect his grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong><br />
Salafist Islam. The new movement, Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> (Supporters<br />
of Religion), has so far taken credit for the capture of the<br />
garrison town of Aguel Hoc and appears to be operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
cooperation with the MNLA, which has no religious agenda.<br />
Apart from the Tuareg (known locally as Kel Tamashek),<br />
northern <strong>Mali</strong> is home to the Kunta and Bérabiche Arabs<br />
and members of several African tribes, most notably the Peul<br />
(a.k.a. Fulani) and the Songhai. Like the Tuareg themselves,<br />
some of these tribesmen have jo<strong>in</strong>ed the rebellion, while<br />
others rema<strong>in</strong> loyal to Bamako. The MNLA has also tried to<br />
broaden participation <strong>in</strong> the new rebellion to other Tuareg<br />
clans besides the Ifogha.<br />
The Rebellion of 1990<br />
Ag Ghali led the attack on a police station <strong>in</strong> Menaka that<br />
launched a rebellion <strong>in</strong> June 1990. His rebel group, the<br />
Mouvement Populaire pour la Libération de l’Azawad<br />
(MPLA), was composed largely of Tuareg veterans of<br />
Mu’ammar Qaddafi’s Islamic Legion who were demobilized<br />
after Qaddafi’s unsuccessful campaigns <strong>in</strong> Chad. Reflect<strong>in</strong>g<br />
wide disenchantment <strong>in</strong> the north with rule from Bamako,<br />
the Tuareg were also jo<strong>in</strong>ed by numerous Arabs and Songhai.<br />
When the MPLA split <strong>in</strong>to four factions <strong>in</strong> 1991, ag Ghali<br />
founded the Mouvement Populaire de l’Azawad (MPA),<br />
a ma<strong>in</strong>ly Ifogha movement which was more <strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ed to a<br />
peace settlement with Bamako than the other factions. Ag<br />
Ghali signed a treaty with the central government <strong>in</strong> January<br />
1991 and the MPA folded <strong>in</strong> 1996 follow<strong>in</strong>g a comprehensive<br />
peace agreement with most of the northern rebels.<br />
17<br />
Ag Ghali took a religious turn <strong>in</strong> 1999 under the <strong>in</strong>fluence<br />
of the Tablighi Jama’at, a non-violent South Asian Islamic<br />
revival group whose missionaries were active <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> and the<br />
Sahel region at the time. The Tuareg leader even travelled to<br />
the Pakistan headquarters of the movement, but his <strong>in</strong>terest<br />
<strong>in</strong> the highly conservative Tablighi movement was regarded<br />
by his Tuareg neighbors as more of a personal eccentricity<br />
than the start of a new religious trend <strong>in</strong> Kidal (Th<strong>in</strong>k Africa<br />
Press, February 6; Times Higher Education, December 15,<br />
2006).<br />
Beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> 2003, ag Ghali assumed a new role as the goto<br />
<strong>in</strong>termediary with kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g gangs operat<strong>in</strong>g under<br />
the banner of the Groupe salafiste pour la prédication et le<br />
combat (GSPC), the Algerian forerunner to AQIM.<br />
In 2006, Ag Ghali became General Secretary of the Alliance<br />
Démocratique du 23 mai pour le Changement (ADC),<br />
alongside noted Tuareg rebels Hassan ag Fagaga, Ahmad<br />
ag Bibi and the late Ibrahim ag Bahanga. In May 2006, Iyad<br />
ag Ghali led the ADC <strong>in</strong> a brief rebellion <strong>in</strong> Kidal. Most of<br />
the ADC’s demands were met <strong>in</strong> the Algiers Accord that<br />
followed, but, as <strong>in</strong> the case of pacts both earlier and later,<br />
the central government made little effort to implement any<br />
of its terms.<br />
The ADC was more representative of the Tuareg clans<br />
<strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> than Ibrahim ag Bahanga’s breakaway<br />
movement, the Alliance Touaregue Nord <strong>Mali</strong> Pour Le<br />
Changement (ATNMC), which was largely based on the<br />
Ifergoumessen clan of the Kel Ifoghas (a.k.a. Kel Adagh).<br />
Nonetheless, the ADC had split along clan l<strong>in</strong>es by the<br />
end of 2006, primarily over dissatisfaction with ag Ghali’s<br />
leadership.<br />
In 2007, ag Ghali was <strong>in</strong> Bamako, advocat<strong>in</strong>g for the creation<br />
of the jo<strong>in</strong>t Tuareg/<strong>Mali</strong>an Army units called for <strong>in</strong> the 2006<br />
Algiers Accords and <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g a read<strong>in</strong>ess to accept a larger<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>an military presence <strong>in</strong> the north. [2]<br />
Ag Ghali – Diplomat<br />
In November 2007, ag Ghali was appo<strong>in</strong>ted to the <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
consulate <strong>in</strong> the Saudi city of Jeddah. ag Ghali visited the<br />
U.S. Embassy for confidential discussions <strong>in</strong> May 2007, just<br />
prior to his departure for a diplomatic appo<strong>in</strong>tment to Saudi<br />
Arabia. Embassy officials appeared surprised by the man<br />
who presented himself: “Soft-spoken and reserved, ag Ghali<br />
showed noth<strong>in</strong>g of the cold-blooded warrior persona created<br />
by the <strong>Mali</strong>an press.” The rebel leader said he was “tired of<br />
the problems <strong>in</strong> the north and tired of be<strong>in</strong>g blamed for<br />
them each time they arose.” [3]
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
Ag Ghali’s career as a diplomat appears to have ended<br />
abruptly with his expulsion from Saudi Arabia for association<br />
with “doubtful Islamist circles” (22 Septembre [Bamako],<br />
January 12). Informants told the U.S. Embassy <strong>in</strong> Bamako<br />
that some Tuareg rebels were “irked at what they view as<br />
ag Ghali’s self-centered decision to abandon northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g a time of crisis.” [4]<br />
In December, 2008, ag Ghali was be<strong>in</strong>g used by Bamako<br />
as a mediator <strong>in</strong> negotiations with rebel leader Ibrahim ag<br />
Bahanga for the release of <strong>Mali</strong>an soldiers and officers held<br />
prisoner by ag Bahanga’s group. [5] Ag Ghali gradually<br />
became the government’s ma<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>termediary with AQIM<br />
kidnappers Tuareg renegades <strong>in</strong> the region, allegedly<br />
pocket<strong>in</strong>g a substantial percentage of the ransoms worked<br />
out through his efforts.<br />
Massacre at Aghuel Hoc<br />
The northern garrison town of Aguel Hoc was first taken<br />
by the Tuareg on February 18 after a column of armed 4X4<br />
vehicles attacked the town with mortars and mach<strong>in</strong>e-guns,<br />
destroy<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure and communications equipment.<br />
Though the Tuareg were driven off by <strong>Mali</strong>an counterattacks<br />
with heavy artillery and helicopter gunships (likely<br />
piloted by Ukra<strong>in</strong>ian mercenaries), they returned a week<br />
later and Aguel Hoc surrendered on January 26 after a relief<br />
force led by Arab militia leader Colonel Meidou was unable<br />
to reach the town (Le Combat [Bamako], January 26). [6]<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>an <strong>in</strong>telligence sources <strong>in</strong>dicated the attack was led by<br />
Colonel Moussa ag M’Bam (a.k.a. Bamoussa), a deserter<br />
from the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army (Afriq<strong>in</strong>fos, January 27; Le Courrier<br />
d’Algérie, January 31). Ag Ghali claimed it was Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
that <strong>in</strong>itially took control of Aguel Hoc, promis<strong>in</strong>g that this<br />
was “merely a start” (Sahara Media [Nouakchott], January<br />
19). A <strong>Mali</strong>an soldier told reporters that the Tuareg rebels<br />
were more numerous, better armed and possessed better<br />
communications equipment, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g satellite phones<br />
(Reuters, February 10).<br />
After the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army reoccupied Aguel Hoc follow<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
evacuation of the MNLA and Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong>, they reported<br />
the discovery of the rema<strong>in</strong>s of some 82 to 97 soldiers outside<br />
the military camp, many of them display<strong>in</strong>g the marks of<br />
execution by po<strong>in</strong>t-blank gunfire or throat-slitt<strong>in</strong>g (Jeune<br />
Afrique, January 26; AFP, February 13). Among the dead was<br />
the garrison’s commander, Capta<strong>in</strong> Sékou Traoré. A <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
army spokesman said that such an act could only have been<br />
carried out by al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), an<br />
assertion that was later supported by French Development<br />
M<strong>in</strong>ister Henri de Ra<strong>in</strong>court, who said the massacre was a<br />
18<br />
tactic resembl<strong>in</strong>g those “used by al-Qaeda,” though French<br />
Foreign M<strong>in</strong>ister Ala<strong>in</strong> Juppe was more guarded, say<strong>in</strong>g “it’s<br />
not very clear what role al-Qaeda or AQIM played <strong>in</strong> these<br />
attacks…” (AFP, February 13). An official statement from the<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>an government decried the “crim<strong>in</strong>al behavior of these<br />
assailants,” consist<strong>in</strong>g of “elements of AQIM, the MNLA<br />
and a group l<strong>in</strong>ked to religious fundamentalists [i.e. Ansar<br />
al-D<strong>in</strong>]” (L’Essor [Bamako], January 30). Government<br />
claims of al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong>volvement rest largely on the claims<br />
of unidentified witnesses that among the assailants were<br />
“bearded men wear<strong>in</strong>g baggy Afghan cloth<strong>in</strong>g” (Reuters,<br />
February 10). MNLA sources later claimed that the photos of<br />
massacre victims had been “manipulated” and were actually<br />
old images be<strong>in</strong>g used to discredit the movement (Jeune<br />
Afrique, February 19).<br />
Aguelhoc is further from Bamako than the Mississippi is from<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton and <strong>Mali</strong>’s small army, drawn mostly from the<br />
Bambara of the south, has a poor record fight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the alien<br />
wastes of the north. Security there is provided largely by progovernment<br />
Tuareg and Bérabiche Arab militias us<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
same tactics as the rebels. The Tuareg militia is led by Colonel<br />
al-Hajj Gamou, a member of the Imghad, traditionally a<br />
vassal clan to the Ifoghas. The Bérabiche Arab militia is led<br />
by Colonel Abdurahman Ould Meidou, who is reported to<br />
have narrowly escaped two recent ambushes (Toumast Press,<br />
February 22). Both militias were <strong>in</strong>strumental <strong>in</strong> driv<strong>in</strong>g<br />
ag Bahanga’s ATNMC from northern <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2009 (see<br />
Terrorism Focus, February 25, 2009).<br />
Connections to AQIM<br />
One of our best sources for <strong>in</strong>formation regard<strong>in</strong>g ag<br />
Ghali’s views on al-Qaeda (at least as they were <strong>in</strong> 2007),<br />
is a U.S. Embassy cable relat<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>terview ag Ghali had<br />
with embassy officials while he was still leader of the ADC.<br />
Dur<strong>in</strong>g the discussions, ag Ghali said that AQIM’s extremist<br />
ideology had little to no support <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>. Efforts by<br />
the ADC and other Tuareg to encourage AQIM to leave <strong>Mali</strong><br />
were met with assertions the land belonged only “to God.”<br />
Ag Ghali repeatedly urged “targeted special operations” as<br />
the best way to damage AQIM. [7]<br />
While hav<strong>in</strong>g become a Salafist, there is little evidence that<br />
ag Ghali has become a member of AQIM (Info Mat<strong>in</strong><br />
[Bamako], January 31). If he had, he would surely be at odds<br />
with the MNLA and many other Tuareg who desire to see<br />
the terrorist group run out of northern <strong>Mali</strong>. Nonetheless,<br />
ag Ghali’s unusual access to the AQIM leadership was put<br />
to use <strong>in</strong> October 2010, when ag Ghali was designated the<br />
government’s official mediator with AQIM forces <strong>in</strong> northern
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
<strong>Mali</strong> (Le Républica<strong>in</strong> [Bamako], October 4, 2010).<br />
Several Tuareg associates of ag Ghali were arrested <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> December, 2011 <strong>in</strong> connection with the kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
two French nationals <strong>in</strong> eastern <strong>Mali</strong> <strong>in</strong> November. The<br />
kidnappers were also said to be tied to Talib Abdelkrim al-<br />
Targui, a notorious AQIM commander believed by some to<br />
be one of ag Ghali’s many cous<strong>in</strong>s. Al-Targui operates under<br />
AQIM Amir Abdelhamid Abu Zeid (al-Jazeera, January 3).<br />
Mauritanian President Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz said ag<br />
Ghali had “established alliances with the terrorist groups,<br />
and it was he who acted as envoy for the payment of ransoms<br />
(Le Monde, February 9).<br />
The MNLA has tried to distance itself from AQIM, say<strong>in</strong>g<br />
their behavior and <strong>in</strong>terpretation of religious texts is foreign<br />
to the Tuareg. The movement suggests <strong>in</strong>stead that the<br />
government is tied to AQIM, po<strong>in</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g to Bamako’s failure<br />
to take action aga<strong>in</strong>st AQIM bases <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> (AFP,<br />
February 24).<br />
Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
Ag Ghali announced the creation of a new religiouslyoriented<br />
resistance group called Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> (Supporters<br />
of Religion) <strong>in</strong> December 2011 (Tawassoul.net, December<br />
15, 2011). As news of the new armed movement emerged,<br />
Alghabass ag Intalla, leader of the Ifogha and an MP for Kidal,<br />
visited ag Ghali <strong>in</strong> the latter’s stronghold <strong>in</strong> the Boureissa<br />
region to sound out ag Ghali’s <strong>in</strong>tentions. <strong>Report</strong>s emerg<strong>in</strong>g<br />
from the meet<strong>in</strong>g suggested ag Ghali was <strong>in</strong> a radical frame<br />
of m<strong>in</strong>d, but had set conditions for stand<strong>in</strong>g down, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the withdrawal of government troops from Kidal, an end to<br />
the construction of new military barracks and the provision<br />
of a qadi (Islamic judge) alongside each government judge<br />
as a step towards full implementation of Shari’a (Info Mat<strong>in</strong><br />
[Bamako], February 12; 22 Septembre Bamako], January<br />
12). The formation of the Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> may have been Plan<br />
B for ag Ghali, who unsuccessfully put himself forward for<br />
the post of MNLA Secretary-General but was rejected due<br />
to his association with past failures and compromises (Th<strong>in</strong>k<br />
Africa Press, February 6).<br />
Possibly try<strong>in</strong>g to cleave ag-Ghali’s group from its alliance<br />
with the MNLA, Bamako offered on January 7 to create a<br />
new qadi for every adm<strong>in</strong>istrative region <strong>in</strong> the north and<br />
to provide an imam for every major mosque (Th<strong>in</strong>k Africa<br />
Press, February 6). It was not enough to satisfy ag Ghali, and<br />
<strong>in</strong> mid-January he announced that his movement had begun<br />
operations designed to “spread Islamic Shari’a <strong>in</strong> the country<br />
and replace the <strong>Mali</strong>an constitution with it” (Sahara Media<br />
[Nouakchott], January 19). The stated goal of Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> is<br />
19<br />
the “application of Islamic Shari’a and the rehabilitation of the<br />
ulema (religious scholars),” though ag Ghali has promised a<br />
moderate form of Islamist government <strong>in</strong> Azawad similar<br />
to that of Tunisia or that advocated by Egypt’s Muslim<br />
Brotherhood (Le Courrier d’Algérie, January 31).<br />
Even some of ag Ghali’s long-term associates <strong>in</strong> the rebel<br />
movement are uncerta<strong>in</strong> about his <strong>in</strong>tentions <strong>in</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
a Salafist movement <strong>in</strong> the midst of a population largely<br />
<strong>in</strong>imical to the trend. One such associate, MNLA spokesman<br />
Hama ag Sid’Ahmad, has said: “I know that Iyad is an<br />
important person <strong>in</strong> the region and I know that he’s <strong>in</strong>volved<br />
<strong>in</strong> religious matters. But I cannot believe that he would<br />
completely abandon the tolerance that is part of our Tuareg<br />
culture. Not for one second. Maybe Iyad and others realize<br />
that AQIM has a hold on some of our young people, and<br />
they’re try<strong>in</strong>g to present a different message about Islam that<br />
might possibly w<strong>in</strong> back all those that the Salafists have coopted<br />
<strong>in</strong>to their ranks.” (Th<strong>in</strong>k Africa Press, February 6).<br />
Conclusion<br />
The Tuareg have heard endless reasons why an <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />
Azawad is impossible, but note that many of these sound<br />
similar to the reasons why an <strong>in</strong>dependent South Sudan<br />
was also impossible. There is, however, one difference; the<br />
homeland of the South Sudanese is relatively identical to its<br />
boundaries, while an <strong>in</strong>dependent Azawad would border<br />
Tuareg lands <strong>in</strong> three nations with no <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> see<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Azawad become a reality. Not unreasonably, these nations<br />
fear that Tuareg irredentism emanat<strong>in</strong>g from Azawad would<br />
be an irresistible new political force <strong>in</strong> the Sahel/Sahara<br />
region.<br />
However, does any of this have any mean<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the context<br />
of Iyad ag Ghali? Do the Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> fight for Shari’a or<br />
<strong>in</strong>dependence? Or do they fight for a re-<strong>in</strong>vented ag Ghali,<br />
seek<strong>in</strong>g to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> political <strong>in</strong>fluence both <strong>in</strong> Kidal and<br />
Bamako? Ag Ghali has tied his movement to the fortunes<br />
of the MNLA so far, but Bamako will use the presence of<br />
ag Ghali’s armed Islamists operat<strong>in</strong>g side-by-side with the<br />
MNLA to tie the broader rebel movement to AQIM wherever<br />
and whenever possible. The apparent massacre at Aguel Hoc<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicates a movement that is confident enough <strong>in</strong> its arms<br />
and its tim<strong>in</strong>g to make a “no go<strong>in</strong>g back” statement, or a<br />
movement that has succumbed to extremism; earlier rebel<br />
movements would almost certa<strong>in</strong>ly have taken the garrison<br />
prisoner to use as hostages <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>evitable negotiations.<br />
It is difficult to believe the anti-AQIM MNLA and an<br />
allegedly pro-AQIM Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> could be close allies and<br />
ag Ghali has never publicly endorsed al-Qaeda. However,
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
ag Ghali’s own mysterious relations with AQIM cells <strong>in</strong><br />
the kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess, similar contacts with <strong>Mali</strong>an<br />
and Algerian government and <strong>in</strong>telligence officials and his<br />
attempts at spread<strong>in</strong>g Salafism to an unreceptive Tuareg<br />
community <strong>in</strong> Kidal may make the veteran rebel a costly ally<br />
for the MNLA, both locally and <strong>in</strong>ternationally. Though ag<br />
Ghali’s new-found aff<strong>in</strong>ity for Salafism and Shari’a may be<br />
an <strong>in</strong>novative (if locally undesired) approach to the future<br />
of northern <strong>Mali</strong>, it may not be enough to prevent him from<br />
becom<strong>in</strong>g “yesterday’s man” <strong>in</strong> the rebellion unless the Ansar<br />
leader can attract foreign support for his campaign to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Shari’a to the Sahara/Sahel region.<br />
Notes<br />
1. Wikileaks, U.S. Embassy Bamako, Cable<br />
08BAMAKO824, October 3, 2008, Available at: http://leaks.<br />
hohesc.us/?view=08BAMAKO824.<br />
2. Wikileaks, U.S. Embassy Bamako, Cable<br />
07BAMAKO587, May 31, 2007, Available at: http://leaks.<br />
hohesc.us/?view=07BAMAKO587.<br />
3. Ibid.<br />
4. Wikileaks, U.S. Embassy Bamako, Cable<br />
08BAMAKO824, October 3, 2008, Available at: http://leaks.<br />
hohesc.us/?view=08BAMAKO824.<br />
5. Wikileaks, U.S. Embassy Bamako, Cable 08BAMAKO918,<br />
December l, 2008, Available at: http://wikileaks.org/.<br />
cable/2008/12/08BAMAKO918.html#<br />
6. MNLA Communiqué no. 6, February 15, 2012, Available<br />
at: www.mnlamov.net/actualites.html.<br />
7. Wikileaks, U.S. Embassy Bamako, Cable<br />
07BAMAKO587, May 31, 2007, Available at: http://leaks.<br />
hohesc.us/?view=07BAMAKO587.<br />
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong>, February 29, 2012<br />
Regional Neighbors Wary of<br />
Intervention <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong><br />
Andrew McGregor<br />
With ECOWAS and the African Union (AU) now <strong>in</strong><br />
agreement over the formation of a force of 3,300 African<br />
peacekeepers drawn from both ECOWAS and non-<br />
ECOWAS nations, many nations whose support would be<br />
required for the success of such an option have recently<br />
cooled to this plan, while others, such as Algeria, cont<strong>in</strong>ue<br />
20<br />
to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> a reserved position. An apparent victory by<br />
one of the Islamist factions occupy<strong>in</strong>g northern <strong>Mali</strong> over<br />
a well-armed Tuareg rebel militia that has offered to jo<strong>in</strong><br />
counterterrorist operations has not <strong>in</strong>spired confidence <strong>in</strong><br />
the ultimate success of the under-size AU force. [1]<br />
Though January 2013 had long been suggested as the start<strong>in</strong>g<br />
date of an <strong>in</strong>ternational military <strong>in</strong>tervention, UN <strong>Special</strong><br />
Envoy for the Sahel Region, former Italian premier Romano<br />
Prodi, said dur<strong>in</strong>g a visit to Rabat that it would be September<br />
2013 before an <strong>in</strong>tervention could beg<strong>in</strong> (AFP, November 20).<br />
With the <strong>in</strong>tervention reced<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to the distant future, many<br />
refugees from the fight<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong> are return<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to their homes, unhappy with Islamist rule but unwill<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to wait nearly a year or more for assistance <strong>in</strong> driv<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
Islamists out of the region.<br />
Nigeria’s decision to pledge only 600 troops to the projected<br />
force of 3,300 would seem to imperil a project that was<br />
designed to be built around a larger Nigerian core (Daily<br />
Trust, [Lagos], November 22). Chad, a non-ECOWAS<br />
country, has apparently agreed to jo<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>tervention<br />
force, but the composition of the rest of the force has yet to<br />
be revealed (L’Indépendant [Bamako], November 12). The<br />
EU has dampened earlier expectations that European troops<br />
might supplement African forces <strong>in</strong> the mission. Accord<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to EU Counterterrorism Coord<strong>in</strong>ator Gilles de Kerchove:<br />
“The European Council held on October 18 and 19 came<br />
out <strong>in</strong> favor of a military mission to tra<strong>in</strong> the <strong>Mali</strong>an Army.<br />
There is no question of European <strong>in</strong>tervention as such. It is<br />
up to <strong>Mali</strong> to w<strong>in</strong> the north back” (Le Monde, November<br />
12).<br />
Algerian Foreign M<strong>in</strong>ister Mourad Medelci rem<strong>in</strong>ded<br />
concerned parties that: “Algeria is not conv<strong>in</strong>ced that an<br />
exclusively military solution would br<strong>in</strong>g peace and unity to<br />
<strong>Mali</strong>. Our wish is to conv<strong>in</strong>ce our partners that the military<br />
path must be oriented toward the fight aga<strong>in</strong>st terrorism. It<br />
must be accompanied by a political process <strong>in</strong> the form of a<br />
dialogue between the <strong>Mali</strong>an protagonists” (Jeune Afrique,<br />
November 14). In neighbor<strong>in</strong>g Mauritania, national<br />
assembly president Messaoud Ould Boulkheir warned of the<br />
fallout from an <strong>in</strong>tervention: “[<strong>Mali</strong>] is like a volcano about<br />
to erupt… If this volcano awakens, it will dump <strong>in</strong>candescent<br />
ashes over its neighbors” (AFP, November 12). A November<br />
14 communiqué from the Tunisian president’s office warned<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st an “uncalculated military <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>”<br />
that could turn the Maghreb <strong>in</strong>to a “hotbed of tension” and<br />
threaten the security of the Maghreb states (Tunisian Press<br />
Agency, November 15).<br />
Libya delivered its op<strong>in</strong>ion on a military <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong><br />
via Mahfouth Rahim, director <strong>in</strong> charge of African affairs at
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
the Libyan Foreign M<strong>in</strong>istry: “We Libyans believe that we<br />
should not focus on military solutions at the moment to<br />
avert escalation which might lead us to what happened <strong>in</strong><br />
Afghanistan… The military solution would exacerbate the<br />
crisis as the Tuareg rebels and other Islamist groups would<br />
be forced to seek refuge <strong>in</strong> other countries such as Libya”<br />
(PANA Onl<strong>in</strong>e [Dakar], November 14).<br />
Former <strong>Mali</strong>an Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister Ibrahim Boubacar Keita<br />
(1994-2000, parliamentary speaker, 2002-2007) is among<br />
those who have urged caution, not<strong>in</strong>g that the <strong>Mali</strong>an army<br />
needs time to rebuild to counter tactics likely to be used<br />
by the Islamist militants: “The population will be used as a<br />
human shield. Hence the need for extreme care <strong>in</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and skill <strong>in</strong> implement<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>tervention. Military logistics<br />
and <strong>in</strong>telligence will be crucial with a view to know<strong>in</strong>g<br />
exactly whom we are deal<strong>in</strong>g with, before say<strong>in</strong>g: ‘Let’s go <strong>in</strong>,<br />
let’s go <strong>in</strong>!’” (Le Monde, November 4).<br />
In the north, meanwhile, the defeat of the secular Tuareg rebel<br />
Mouvement National de Libération de l’Azawad (MNLA) by<br />
Islamist forces demonstrated the latter’s military strength<br />
and the read<strong>in</strong>ess of the Islamist groups to cooperate <strong>in</strong> the<br />
field. Dur<strong>in</strong>g what has been described as a MNLA attempt<br />
to retake Gao, fight<strong>in</strong>g broke out with forces belong<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
the Islamist Movement for Unity and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa<br />
(MUJWA) near Asango on November 16. Asongo is 120<br />
miles west of Menaka, where the MNLA was attempt<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
create a base for counterterrorist operations (Jeune Afrique,<br />
November 18; AFP, November 20). Locals suggested that<br />
many of those resist<strong>in</strong>g the MUJWA attack <strong>in</strong> Asongo were<br />
not MNLA members, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g local Tuareg political leader,<br />
Alwabegat ag Slakatou and six of his men who were reported<br />
among the dead (AFP, November 20).<br />
AQIM was reported to have sent some 300 re<strong>in</strong>forcements<br />
to Gao from Timbuktu, roughly 185 miles to the west<br />
(AFP, November 17; Jeune Afrique, November 18). The<br />
re<strong>in</strong>forcements were said to belong to AQIM’s Katibat al-<br />
Mulatham<strong>in</strong> (Veiled Brigade) and the Katibat Osama b<strong>in</strong><br />
Laden, led by Abu Walid Sahrawi.<br />
Though MNLA spokesmen described only light casualties<br />
<strong>in</strong> the clash and described the action as “an <strong>in</strong>itial success,”<br />
reports from the area and <strong>Mali</strong>an security sources described<br />
dozens killed <strong>in</strong> “a real bloodbath” (Tout sur l’Algérie,<br />
November 17; AFP, November 20). Both sides presented<br />
casualty figures that were likely <strong>in</strong>flated, with the MNLA<br />
claim<strong>in</strong>g 65 AQIM and MUJWA fighters killed, while<br />
MUJWA announced the death of over 100 members of the<br />
MNLA (AFP, November 20). The MNLA’s chief-of-staff,<br />
Machkanani ag Balla, suffered a serious wound while lead<strong>in</strong>g<br />
21<br />
his men <strong>in</strong> the fight. MUJWA spokesman Walid Abu Sahrawi<br />
said the movement was dedicated to destroy<strong>in</strong>g the MNLA:<br />
“In Azawad, we are go<strong>in</strong>g to pursue the MNLA wherever<br />
they may still be found. We control the situation” (Jeune<br />
Afrique, November 18). Northern <strong>Mali</strong>’s three northern<br />
prov<strong>in</strong>ces are now conveniently divided between the three<br />
Islamist movements—Gao <strong>in</strong> MUJWA, Timbuktu <strong>in</strong> AQIM<br />
and Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> Kidal. The MNLA was expelled from<br />
Gao <strong>in</strong> June and now operates <strong>in</strong> rural areas only.<br />
Accord<strong>in</strong>g to MNLA spokesman Hama ag Sid Ahmad,<br />
MUJWA forces sett<strong>in</strong>g up new bases on the outskirts of Gao<br />
have been jo<strong>in</strong>ed by AQIM commander Mokhtar Belmokhtar<br />
(who appears to be at odds lately with the rest of the AQIM<br />
leadership—see Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong> Brief, November 15)<br />
and various Pakistanis, Egyptians and Moroccans (Tout sur<br />
l’Algérie, November 16).<br />
A spokesman for the Islamist Tuareg group Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong><br />
claimed that movement leader Iyad ag Ghali had tried<br />
to prevent the fight<strong>in</strong>g between MUJWA and the MNLA<br />
and rema<strong>in</strong>ed on the sidel<strong>in</strong>es when the conflict began. In<br />
Ouagadougou, Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso President Blaise Compaoré is<br />
now hold<strong>in</strong>g jo<strong>in</strong>t talks with Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> and the MNLA,<br />
rather than meet the two rebel Tuareg groups separately, as<br />
had been the case so far (AFP, November 16). Accord<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to an Ansar al-D<strong>in</strong> spokesman, if talks go the right way,<br />
“one can foresee ways and means <strong>in</strong> which one can get rid<br />
of terrorism, drug-traffick<strong>in</strong>g and foreign groups” (AFP,<br />
November 14; PANA Onl<strong>in</strong>e [Dakar], November 18).<br />
Note<br />
1. The <strong>in</strong>tervention force briefly took the name “Mission<br />
de la CEDEAO [Communauté Economique des États de<br />
l’Afrique de l’Ouest] au <strong>Mali</strong>” (MICENA - ECOWAS Mission<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong>) before expand<strong>in</strong>g its base by adopt<strong>in</strong>g the new<br />
name “Mission Internationale de Soutien au <strong>Mali</strong>” (MISMA<br />
- International Support Mission to <strong>Mali</strong>).<br />
Orig<strong>in</strong>ally Published as “International Community Cools to<br />
Intervention as Islamists Defeat Tuareg <strong>in</strong> Northern <strong>Mali</strong>” <strong>in</strong><br />
Terrorism <strong>Monitor</strong> on November 30, 2012.<br />
Outlook
<strong>Militant</strong> <strong>Leadership</strong> <strong>Monitor</strong> Quarterly <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Report</strong> u December 2012<br />
Jacob Zenn<br />
As 2012 comes to close, an <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong><br />
appears to be <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly likely. However, the composition<br />
of the <strong>in</strong>terven<strong>in</strong>g forces rema<strong>in</strong>s unclear, with the current<br />
regime <strong>in</strong> power <strong>in</strong> <strong>Mali</strong> demand<strong>in</strong>g no foreign “boots<br />
on the ground” and <strong>Mali</strong>, France, the United States and<br />
ECOWAS yet to see eye-to-eye on how best to implement<br />
the <strong>in</strong>tervention. The key to success for the <strong>in</strong>tervention will<br />
have as much to do with the composition and strategy of<br />
the forces as the ability of <strong>Mali</strong>’s neighbors to close off their<br />
borders with <strong>Mali</strong> to flee<strong>in</strong>g Islamist militants. By forc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the Islamist militants to engage <strong>in</strong> conventional combat and<br />
reduc<strong>in</strong>g their mobility, the <strong>in</strong>terven<strong>in</strong>g forces can negate the<br />
Islamist militants’ key capabilities. AQIM fighters have, for<br />
example, used their mobility and desert hideouts to master<br />
smuggl<strong>in</strong>g and kidnapp<strong>in</strong>g operations <strong>in</strong> the Sahel region<br />
and to carry out occasional terrorist attacks, but their fighters<br />
are no match for a conventional force.<br />
Even without an <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> northern <strong>Mali</strong>, it appears<br />
that the Islamists will encounter troubles <strong>in</strong> manag<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the populations <strong>in</strong> the cities they have taken. Without<br />
experienced economists <strong>in</strong> their ranks, any semblance of<br />
political legitimacy or <strong>in</strong>ternational relationships, their<br />
ability to govern <strong>in</strong> the long-term and hold on to the<br />
population is tenuous. A harsh <strong>in</strong>terpretation of Islamic Law,<br />
which amounts to rul<strong>in</strong>g by the power of the gun, may lead<br />
local citizens to rebel aga<strong>in</strong>st the Islamists, whom they may<br />
see as an occupy<strong>in</strong>g force. What could spare the Islamists,<br />
however, is the craft<strong>in</strong>g of a locally oriented ideology, like<br />
MUJWA’s (Movement for Unity and Jihad <strong>in</strong> West Africa),<br />
which takes <strong>in</strong>to account local histories and narratives. The<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational community will have a key role to play <strong>in</strong> the<br />
<strong>in</strong>tervention even if no foreign boots are on the ground. Yet<br />
they too will have to carefully manage not only the battle<br />
strategy, but also the narrative of the <strong>in</strong>tervention <strong>in</strong> order<br />
to avoid be<strong>in</strong>g perceived by West African Muslims as an<br />
<strong>in</strong>vad<strong>in</strong>g force.<br />
22