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the mystical theology of valentin weigel - DataSpace at Princeton ...

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namely Weigel’s decision to sign <strong>the</strong> Formula Concordiae despite his many reserv<strong>at</strong>ions.<br />

Weigel’s decision-making process and ultim<strong>at</strong>ely <strong>the</strong> decision to keep quiet grows out <strong>of</strong><br />

his reading practice—and so it is to this question <strong>of</strong> reading and decision making th<strong>at</strong> I<br />

now turn.<br />

Of <strong>the</strong> thousands <strong>of</strong> decisions a person must make each day, most normally<br />

involve a rel<strong>at</strong>ively limited set <strong>of</strong> options to choose from (writing this dissert<strong>at</strong>ion vs.<br />

going to <strong>the</strong> movies; e<strong>at</strong>ing chips vs. going for a run), and are geared toward simple goals<br />

(pr<strong>of</strong>essional success; healthy living). In such cases, decision-making is governed by<br />

single factors (cost, pleasure, effort) and <strong>the</strong> evidence needed to decide between <strong>the</strong><br />

options is easy to assess. O<strong>the</strong>r decisions are more difficult: inscrutable evidence and<br />

uncertain outcomes get in <strong>the</strong> way <strong>of</strong> clear choices th<strong>at</strong> would leave <strong>the</strong> conscience<br />

unburdened. Making decisions in a complex system proves difficult because complex<br />

systems produce unintended consequences, <strong>the</strong>re might not exist a single good or bad<br />

outcome, and it is <strong>of</strong>ten necessary to make trade-<strong>of</strong>fs between priorities. Observing<br />

decisions <strong>at</strong> <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> individual agency and choice is perhaps not a useful way <strong>of</strong><br />

analyzing wh<strong>at</strong> have been termed “messy” or “wicked” problems. Wicked problems are<br />

“unbounded in scope, time and resources,” such th<strong>at</strong> it is difficult even to describe <strong>the</strong><br />

problem, and <strong>the</strong>refore even more difficult to ga<strong>the</strong>r and evalu<strong>at</strong>e evidence th<strong>at</strong> would<br />

guide problem solving or decision making. No doubt any individual decision has an<br />

impact on <strong>the</strong> system as a whole, but it is impossible to say just wh<strong>at</strong> th<strong>at</strong> impact might<br />

be, since <strong>the</strong> effect is distorted and filtered through all <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r agents oper<strong>at</strong>ing within<br />

<strong>the</strong> system. One writer has compared simple and complex systems to <strong>the</strong> difference<br />

between throwing a rock and throwing a live bird. Both rock and bird are subject to <strong>the</strong><br />

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