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1 1.10 Application of estuarine and coastal classifications in marine ...

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approach. New <strong>classifications</strong> will be required that represent l<strong>and</strong>-sea <strong>in</strong>teractions <strong>and</strong> are<br />

spatially seamless between l<strong>and</strong>scapes <strong>and</strong> seascapes.<br />

<strong>1.10</strong>.12.2 Underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Communicat<strong>in</strong>g Errors <strong>and</strong> Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty<br />

An important challenge for management is to ensure that decision mak<strong>in</strong>g where<br />

ecological goals <strong>and</strong> objectives are central, such as conservation prioritization, are objective <strong>and</strong><br />

science driven <strong>and</strong> not driven primarily by data availability or technological advancement. In<br />

reality the desire for a rapid, quantitative <strong>and</strong> defensible approach can sometimes override<br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>in</strong> the data. Very rarely are the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties quantified <strong>and</strong> communicated <strong>in</strong> a<br />

spatially explicit way before mar<strong>in</strong>e <strong>classifications</strong> are applied <strong>in</strong> management. For robust<br />

decision mak<strong>in</strong>g to take place, more effort must be focused on evaluat<strong>in</strong>g data errors, bias <strong>and</strong><br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>and</strong> this will become very important <strong>in</strong> MSP where a diverse array <strong>of</strong> spatial datasets<br />

are be<strong>in</strong>g assembled together with novel untested procedures for develop<strong>in</strong>g classified maps.<br />

Uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty comes <strong>in</strong> a variety <strong>of</strong> forms <strong>and</strong> representations <strong>and</strong> requires different techniques for<br />

presentation. It is important to acknowledge that a classification scheme is a model <strong>of</strong> reality <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> many cases is a 2 nd or even 3 rd derivative <strong>of</strong> the orig<strong>in</strong>al data. Mis<strong>classifications</strong> occur <strong>and</strong> can<br />

be due to spatial accuracy, observer bias, environmental variability, process<strong>in</strong>g techniques,<br />

thematic, temporal <strong>and</strong> spatial resolution, etc. Some will say that all maps are a “lie” <strong>and</strong> that<br />

decisions can be made at various stages to make maps “lie” (Monmonier 1996). Inevitably some<br />

maps represent more <strong>of</strong> the true reality than others. Error is particularly problematic when a<br />

highly dynamic system is represented by a static map, yet management decisions will <strong>and</strong> must<br />

be made on best-available data. As noted by Alfred Russell Wallace <strong>in</strong> 1876 “noth<strong>in</strong>g like a<br />

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