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1 1.10 Application of estuarine and coastal classifications in marine ...

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ecosystems has shown that considerable variability exists with<strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>dividual habitat class<br />

(Harborne et al. 2008). Another approach to mapp<strong>in</strong>g EFH <strong>in</strong>volves quantitative spatial<br />

predictive model<strong>in</strong>g us<strong>in</strong>g the statistical relationship between species <strong>and</strong> a suite <strong>of</strong><br />

environmental variables to extrapolate distributions across space. Benthic habitat data <strong>and</strong><br />

suitability <strong>in</strong>dices <strong>of</strong> relative abundance across environmental gradients are commonly used<br />

with<strong>in</strong> GIS <strong>in</strong> order to develop Habitat Suitability Index (HSI) models (e.g., Rubec et al.,<br />

1998a,b; Brown et al., 2000). HSI models may help predict optimal habitat <strong>and</strong> abundance zones<br />

for various species, therefore aid<strong>in</strong>g managers <strong>in</strong> designat<strong>in</strong>g EFH. Recent advances <strong>in</strong> the field<br />

<strong>of</strong> predictive model<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g application <strong>of</strong> mach<strong>in</strong>e-learn<strong>in</strong>g algorithms, comb<strong>in</strong>ed with an<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> mapped environmental data <strong>and</strong> GIS has facilitated a boom <strong>in</strong> the development <strong>of</strong><br />

accurate spatial predictions that <strong>of</strong>fer great utility <strong>in</strong> fil<strong>in</strong>g data gaps <strong>and</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g fundamental<br />

ecological <strong>in</strong>formation to support management (Elith et al. 2006, Leathwick et al. 2008).<br />

Although spatial predictive techniques are more frequently applied to terrestrial ecosystems,<br />

examples have recently emerged for mar<strong>in</strong>e ecosystems primarily focused on species<br />

distributions (Valavanis et al. 2008, Maxwell et al. 2009, Pittman et al. 2009) <strong>and</strong> biodiversity<br />

(Pittman et al. 2007a, Purkis et al. 2008), although they can also equally be used to predict the<br />

distribution <strong>of</strong> abiotic variables <strong>and</strong> biological habitat types.<br />

<strong>1.10</strong>.5.2 Mapp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> Classify<strong>in</strong>g Fish<strong>in</strong>g Effort <strong>in</strong> the UK<br />

Fish<strong>in</strong>g is widely considered as one <strong>of</strong> the highest impact <strong>in</strong>dustries on the UK mar<strong>in</strong>e<br />

environment <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> its magnitude <strong>and</strong> spatial extent (Jenn<strong>in</strong>gs et al. 2001, D<strong>in</strong>more et al.,<br />

2003; Eastwood et al., 2007). In addition to the removal <strong>of</strong> target-species biomass, ecosystem<br />

39

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