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poster - International Conference of Agricultural Engineering

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MULTIVARIATE STATISTICAL OF PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS AND<br />

CLUSTER ANALYSES IN THE STUDY SUPPORT OF<br />

REGIONALIZATION OF FLOW<br />

Abrahão A. A. Elesbon 1 *, Demetrius D. Silva 2 , Gilberto C. Sedyiama 2 , Carlos A. A. S.<br />

Ribeiro 3<br />

1 Federal nstitute <strong>of</strong> Espírito Santo, Av. Arino Gomes Leal, 1700, Colatina-ES, 29700-558, Brazil.<br />

E-mail: abrahaoelesbon@gmail.com<br />

2 Federal University <strong>of</strong> Viçosa, DEA. Av. Peter Henry Holfs, s/n, Viçosa-MG, 36570-000, Brazil.<br />

3 Federal University <strong>of</strong> Viçosa, DEF. Av. Peter Henry Holfs, s/n, Viçosa-MG, 36570-000, Brazil.<br />

Abstract<br />

This study aims to identify: 1) the most representative variables hydrological regionalization<br />

studies, using principal component analysis (PCA) and 2) to optimize the identification <strong>of</strong> the<br />

hydrologically homogeneous regions in studies <strong>of</strong> regionalization <strong>of</strong> water flow using cluster<br />

analysis (CLUSTER) for the rio Doce basin. Fifteen variables were used in the study,<br />

individualized to 61 gauging stations: Q 7, 10 , Q 90 , Q 95 , Q mld , Q max10 , Q max20 , Q max50 , Q max100 , P a ,<br />

P ss , P sc , A d , L p , L t and S L . The results <strong>of</strong> the principal component analysis pointed out that the<br />

variable SL was the least representative for the study. The first two principal components, Y 1<br />

and Y 2 , were responsible for 77.92% <strong>of</strong> the total variation <strong>of</strong> the data. The best divisions <strong>of</strong><br />

hydrologically homogeneous regions were obtained using the similarity matrix <strong>of</strong><br />

Mahalanobis and the complete linkage clustering method. The Cluster analysis enabled the<br />

identification <strong>of</strong> four hydrologically homogeneous regions in the watershed <strong>of</strong> the rio Doce.<br />

Key words: Principal Components, Cluster Analysis e Regionalization <strong>of</strong> flow.<br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

In general, it is understood by hydrological regionalization process the transferring<br />

information from one region <strong>of</strong> the hydrological behavior known to other sites, <strong>of</strong>ten without<br />

observations.<br />

In this context, multivariate statistical analyzes can help significantly in the studies <strong>of</strong><br />

hydrological regionalization, reducing processing time from the database and increasing the<br />

reliability <strong>of</strong> results. At the international level can prove this statement by the development <strong>of</strong><br />

numerous studies addressing the hydrological regionalization based on multivariate<br />

statistical analyzes (Assani et al., 2011; Kahya et al., 2007; Mwale et al., 2010, Samuel et al.,<br />

2010; Engeland & Hisdal, 2009; Castiglioni et al., 2009).<br />

The principal component analysis (PCA) aims to examine the correlations between variables,<br />

summarize a large set <strong>of</strong> variables into a smaller one and the same meaning, evaluate the<br />

importance <strong>of</strong> each variable and promote the elimination <strong>of</strong> those that contribute little in<br />

terms variation in the group <strong>of</strong> individuals evaluated (WILKS, 2006). In recent years, many<br />

applications <strong>of</strong> this technique have been studied in various fields <strong>of</strong> knowledge such as:<br />

genetics (Price et al., 2006; Haider et al., 2008), chemistry (Bellomarino et al., 2010),<br />

environment (Reid & Spencer, 2009), among others.<br />

Multivariate statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> Cluster is a tool <strong>of</strong> exploratory data with the aim <strong>of</strong><br />

classifying homogeneous groups (Wilks, 2006), which has been used in numerous areas <strong>of</strong><br />

knowledge, for example, medicine (Mezer et al., 2008 ), geomorphology (Melchiorre et al.,<br />

2008) and environmental engineering (Pires et al., 2007; Hatvani et al., 2011). In hydrology,<br />

the cluster analysis is a technique <strong>of</strong>ten used to define classes or for grouping stations into<br />

homogeneous climatic regions.<br />

In view <strong>of</strong> this, this study aimed to develop a methodology based on multivariate statistical <strong>of</strong><br />

principal components and cluster analysis for the identification <strong>of</strong> variables most<br />

representative studies <strong>of</strong> hydrological regionalization and optimize the achievement <strong>of</strong><br />

1

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