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RD&D-Programme 2004 - SKB

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to transmute all transuranics from uranium fuel in present-day light-water reactors. Others see<br />

ADS as a complement that is particularly suitable for transmuting neptunium, americium and<br />

curium, while most of the plutonium should be burned in light-water reactors. In the long term,<br />

these systems may be replaced by fast reactors.<br />

There is no consensus among experts on which technical route to follow for the important parts<br />

of a P&T system.<br />

Interest in P&T is mainly concentrated to the national research laboratories in the USA, Europe,<br />

Japan and a few other countries. The universities in many countries, including Sweden, also<br />

show strong interest. The research is attracting considerable interest among students in nuclear<br />

science. Numerous important research programmes are being pursued at universities and<br />

research laboratories in many countries.<br />

The nuclear energy industry, however, has shown only a limited interest in this work, which is<br />

mainly being pursued in France and a few other countries with large nuclear programmes. The<br />

nuclear energy industry’s long-term interest is more focused on new types of reactors – often<br />

called Generation IV.<br />

National and industrial R&D efforts on spent fuel and high-level waste management in nearly<br />

all countries are (and should be) primarily focused on resolving questions surrounding deep<br />

geological disposal. Despite all the delays and setbacks experienced in many countries, the<br />

prospects of achieving this goal are much better and lie much closer in time than the very longterm<br />

and costly goal of developing, launching and operating an efficient system for partitioning<br />

and transmutation.<br />

When all of these circumstances are weighed together, the conclusion can be drawn that it is<br />

unlikely that industrial-scale ADS facilities can be put into operation before 2050.<br />

Successful development of P&T will not render deep geological disposal obsolete. The complex<br />

processes will inevitably generate some waste containing small amounts of long-lived radionuclides.<br />

A deep repository is required for this waste. Successful development of P&T may,<br />

however, reduce the requirements on the engineered barriers in the deep repository, as well as<br />

the volumes needed for waste deposition.<br />

For Sweden it is important to follow international development efforts and to maintain a<br />

reasonable level of competence in the country at least as long as a substantial part of our<br />

electricity is produced by nuclear power. Competence developed through P&T research is also<br />

valuable and useful in the work of maintaining and developing safety and fuel supplies for the<br />

existing light-water reactors. And it is also of importance for assessing the further development<br />

of the waste management programme.<br />

As already noted, development of P&T for large-scale operation can be expected to take several<br />

decades. Transmuting all nuclear fuel from already existing nuclear power reactors alone would<br />

take at least another 100 years. P&T on an industrial scale requires large nuclear facilities that<br />

must be accepted by society.<br />

Introduction of a system for P&T in order to efficiently reduce the quantity of long-lived<br />

radionuclides that must be disposed of in a geological deep repository would thus require a<br />

long-term commitment to nuclear energy.<br />

The costs of P&T cannot be predicted with any accuracy before the systems have been better<br />

defined and tested. The estimates that have been made point towards electricity production<br />

costs that are between 10 and 50 percent above the costs from modern light-water reactors. The<br />

investments needed in R&D and in new nuclear facilities are extremely large. However, they are<br />

spread over long time, and most should be regarded as investments in energy production. It is<br />

not economically defensible to implement P&T without making use of the energy generated by<br />

the process. This is particularly true of transmutation of plutonium. Some experts believe that<br />

it might be feasible to build small ADS facilities specifically for transmutation of americium,<br />

curium and neptunium.<br />

RD&D-<strong>Programme</strong> <strong>2004</strong> 317

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