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The World's Largest Hedge Fund is a Fraud - qwafafew

The World's Largest Hedge Fund is a Fraud - qwafafew

The World's Largest Hedge Fund is a Fraud - qwafafew

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of half that amount or 50 cents. <strong>The</strong>refore if the market dropped 1.1%, a .50 delta<br />

put would increase in price by 0.55%, resulting in a -0.55% loss for the fund.<br />

B. However, for all market drops greater than 1.1%, BM would experience a larger<br />

than -0.55% monthly loss and there were numerous instances of monthly market<br />

losses greater than -1.1% during the time period.<br />

C. <strong>The</strong>refore, BM, in order to limit h<strong>is</strong> losses would be forced to buy a series of<br />

shorter dated, higher delta put options with high gamma (a 2 nd derivative term<br />

denoting that for each $1 change in index price, how much the 1 st derivative term<br />

delta would change. Gamma <strong>is</strong> the change in price of Delta and Delta <strong>is</strong> the<br />

change in price of the Option with respect to the Index’s Price). If you aren’t<br />

intimately familiar with calculus, the Engl<strong>is</strong>h translation <strong>is</strong> that BM would need to<br />

be buying a continuing series of 1 day put options because these options and only<br />

these options would have the high gamma he would need to ensure that h<strong>is</strong> delta<br />

changed rapidly enough to protect h<strong>is</strong> portfolio enough so that he could never<br />

experience a greater than 0-0.55% monthly loss. If you’ve gotten th<strong>is</strong> far, then if<br />

a one-year at-the-money OTC OEX index put option cost 8%, a continuing series<br />

of 253 (because that’s how many trading days are in a year) one-day, at-themoney<br />

puts, would cost the square root of 253 or 15.9 times the cost of the oneyear<br />

put. 15.9 times 8% the one year put’s cost = 127.2% <strong>is</strong> the cost of a<br />

continuing series of one-day, at-the-money index put options if a one-year, at-themoney<br />

index put’s cost <strong>is</strong> 8%. And th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> a very conservative set of calculations!<br />

Consider that one would be carrying over stock positions in th<strong>is</strong> strategy over<br />

weekends, so therefore you’d want 365 one-day, at-the-money put options and the<br />

square root of 365 <strong>is</strong> 19.1, so a truer cost of put protection would be 19.1 x 8% =<br />

152.8%. That would mean BM’s stock picking ability <strong>is</strong> not only the world’s best<br />

but that he’d likely have to be an alien from outer-space to be able to pick stocks<br />

that went up over 152.8% per year + the 16% gross returns to the HFOF investors<br />

+ an assumed 4% he’s making in comm<strong>is</strong>sions. <strong>The</strong>refore h<strong>is</strong> stock picking<br />

ability would need to return 170% or so per year in order for him to be carrying<br />

out h<strong>is</strong> strategy as he says he <strong>is</strong> in the HFOF third party marketing materials.<br />

D. 170% per year from stock-picking <strong>is</strong> not likely for any human born on the planet<br />

earth so if BM’s achieving these types of returns then he may be an alien species<br />

from another planet. A DNA test would be sufficient to determine whether th<strong>is</strong><br />

might be the case. However, if BM <strong>is</strong> an alien being possessing superior stockpicking<br />

skills of th<strong>is</strong> magnitude, th<strong>is</strong> would be seen as an unfair advantage in the<br />

marketplace and likely would panic the financial markets. Or maybe he’s human<br />

and just a fraudster – take your pick.<br />

E. Anyone capable of earning 170% per year from stock-picking would not need nor<br />

want any investors.<br />

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