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Quant Strategy - Mirae Asset Securities Co., Ltd.

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AP Weekly Insight<br />

<strong>Quant</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Figure 2. Trend in Earnings Revision Ratio for APxJ<br />

Weekly Update<br />

Asia Pacific to Follow US?<br />

Young Jean Hwang<br />

82-2-3774-1780 / YoungJean@miraeasset.com<br />

(%)<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

Earnings revision ratio (weekly)<br />

Earnings revision ratio (4-week MA)<br />

Will Asia Pacific follow the US? In the US, the S&P 500<br />

FY08 forecast EPS has already declined since mid-Aug<br />

2007. FY08 consensus EPS estimate of Asia Pacific ex.<br />

Japan has turned down since mid-Nov 2007. It seems that<br />

the main reason for this is both the subprime mortgage<br />

issue of the US and China’s belt-tightening policy.<br />

Figure 1. FY08 <strong>Co</strong>nsensus EPS Estimate<br />

(pt)<br />

115<br />

MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex. Japan<br />

S&P 500<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

FY08 consensus EPS for the Asia Pacific ex. Japan is<br />

likely to continue its decline. Most of all, the earnings<br />

revision ratio ([# of <strong>Co</strong>'s FY08 EPS upgraded - # of <strong>Co</strong>'s<br />

downgraded] / # of total <strong>Co</strong>'s) for the region fell into<br />

negative territory in the second week in Jan 2008, which is<br />

the first time since early-Sep 2007. The number of<br />

companies of which FY08 forecast EPS downgraded has<br />

begun to increase since mid-Nov 2007. This means that<br />

forward EPS downgrades has been spreading into<br />

companies with upgraded forward EPS estimates (Figure<br />

2).<br />

On a country level, the recent weakness in regional<br />

earnings expectations was primarily driven by declining<br />

earnings forecast for Korea and Taiwan. They have been<br />

classified as “US consumption sensitive countries” and<br />

“China growth beneficiaries”. Earnings revision ratios for<br />

these two countries currently stand at –41% and –14%,<br />

respectively. Though earnings revision ratio for China<br />

remains above 0%, it recently dropped to 9% from the<br />

34% recorded in late Nov 2007 (Figure 3).<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Figure 3. Earnings Revision Ratio by AP <strong>Co</strong>untry<br />

(%)<br />

80<br />

60<br />

Nov-2007 Jan-2008<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

Source :<br />

Indonesia<br />

India<br />

Thailand<br />

Malaysia<br />

New Zealand<br />

China<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Philippines<br />

Australia<br />

Singapore<br />

Pakistan<br />

Japan<br />

Taiwan<br />

Korea<br />

MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

On the sector level, the largest deterioration was seen in<br />

Industrials. Though the earnings revision ratio for Tech<br />

sector increase, it still remains below 0%.<br />

Figure 4. Earnings Revision Ratio by APxJ Sector<br />

(%)<br />

60<br />

Nov-2007 Jan-2008<br />

30<br />

0<br />

-30<br />

Health Care<br />

Energy<br />

Financials<br />

<strong>Co</strong>ns. Discr.<br />

Telecom<br />

Materials<br />

<strong>Co</strong>ns. Staples<br />

Utilities<br />

Tech<br />

Industrials<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 6


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Downward revision of forecast EPS in Asia Pacific ex.<br />

Japan could be a burden on 12-month forward P/E, which<br />

seems relatively high. Recently, 12-month forward P/E in<br />

Asia Pacific ex. Japan plummeted for the third time since<br />

the downward adjustment of 12-month forward EPS in Feb<br />

and Aug 2007 due to subprime volatilty. The 12-month<br />

forward P/E of Asia Pacific ex. Japan sharply declined<br />

from the previous peak of 17.4x to 14.0x in Jan, which is<br />

higher than 12.7x the global market and is the highest<br />

among the levels recorded at the beginning of the year<br />

since 2000. The 12-month forward P/E for the Asia Pacific<br />

ex. Japan appears to have a low chance for recovery,<br />

given that forecast EPS is not highly likely to turn up for<br />

the time being.<br />

Figure 5. 12MF P/E for APxJ<br />

(x)<br />

18<br />

16<br />

16.0x<br />

17.4x<br />

14.6x<br />

14.2x<br />

13.9x<br />

14<br />

14.0x<br />

12.7x<br />

13.0x<br />

11.8x<br />

13.1x<br />

12.9x<br />

12<br />

11.4x<br />

11.7x<br />

11.5x<br />

10.2x 10.6x<br />

10<br />

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

Source :<br />

MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 7


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Earnings & Valuation / Performance Table<br />

Young Jean Hwang<br />

82-2-3774-1780 / YoungJean@miraeasset.com<br />

Table 1. FY08 Forecast Earnings Change (1M)<br />

AP ex JP Australia China Hong India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia New Philippines Singapore Taiwan Thailand<br />

Kong<br />

Zealand<br />

Market -0.3 -0.4 1.4 0.1 0.4 1.9 -0.4 -0.1 -1.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -1.0<br />

Energy 1.0 0.9 1.5 NA 0.0 10.8 -0.2 2.0 2.3 NA 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.5<br />

Materials -0.3 -0.6 0.8 0.7 3.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 NA NA -0.1 -5.2<br />

Industrials 0.5 0.0 2.6 0.1 -1.1 1.5 -0.9 1.6 -9.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 -0.5<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Discretionary -0.9 -3.5 1.4 0.1 6.2 1.5 0.3 0.9 0.1 -1.9 0.0 0.3 -1.0 2.1<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Staples -0.2 -0.4 1.1 1.3 -3.3 2.7 0.5 -0.3 0.7 NA -1.9 -3.7 0.3 0.6<br />

Health Care 0.4 1.1 NA NA -1.4 3.1 0.1 0.0 NA -2.1 NA 0.0 NA NA<br />

Financials -0.3 -0.3 1.2 0.1 0.4 1.5 -1.0 -1.9 -0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.8<br />

I T -1.6 0.2 2.1 0.4 -1.7 NA -0.1 -1.1 2.4 NA NA 0.0 -1.0 0.1<br />

Telecom. Services 1.1 0.2 1.3 -0.2 1.4 -0.4 1.4 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.0 7.5 4.1<br />

Utilities -0.1 -3.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 -5.1 -2.4 1.7 -0.1 -0.8 NA NA 0.1<br />

Note : Above table is as of Jan. 11, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Table 2. 12-month Forward P/E<br />

AP ex JP Australia China Hong India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia New Philippines Singapore Taiwan Thailand<br />

Kong<br />

Zealand<br />

Market 14.8 14.0 18.5 20.5 23.4 16.3 13.7 11.3 16.6 14.0 15.3 14.0 11.0 10.8<br />

Energy 16.7 19.0 16.4 NA 23.7 24.5 11.9 9.6 15.4 NA 7.3 7.6 12.1 10.3<br />

Materials 12.6 12.9 18.4 14.4 12.5 14.0 11.9 10.6 17.8 10.8 NA NA 11.3 9.7<br />

Industrials 16.9 17.9 19.0 18.9 32.4 16.0 12.3 14.4 18.4 28.9 18.1 14.3 12.6 10.2<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Discretionary 14.4 15.5 21.3 20.4 14.8 16.9 12.2 9.4 18.2 15.3 15.4 16.0 13.8 17.4<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Staples 20.0 19.4 19.0 37.0 22.8 19.8 21.3 17.9 21.9 NA 15.9 28.8 21.9 13.2<br />

Health Care 22.1 22.8 NA NA 19.8 12.7 16.0 17.6 NA 30.1 NA 27.8 NA NA<br />

Financials 14.7 12.5 17.8 21.9 31.4 14.3 13.1 9.0 14.5 17.1 17.2 13.2 11.9 11.1<br />

I T 11.4 15.7 18.5 17.7 16.5 NA 16.2 11.1 11.7 NA NA 8.7 10.4 6.8<br />

Telecom. Services 17.3 14.8 22.0 22.0 26.7 13.7 15.4 10.2 17.3 11.3 14.2 15.5 11.6 16.4<br />

Utilities 16.1 15.8 16.1 16.5 30.6 17.6 24.0 10.7 13.3 18.5 11.6 NA NA 8.5<br />

Note : Above table is as of Jan. 11, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Table 3. Performance (1M)<br />

AP ex JP Australia China Hong India Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia New Philippines Singapore Taiwan Thailand<br />

Kong<br />

Zealand<br />

Market -7.0 -10.7 -8.0 -5.0 3.7 -1.0 -11.9 -8.9 7.3 -4.5 -5.9 -8.0 -7.9 -6.1<br />

Energy -2.7 -1.5 -6.7 NA 7.8 4.9 -7.0 -13.6 4.8 NA -11.5 -3.2 -1.9 -7.0<br />

Materials -8.0 -9.9 -5.8 -14.8 -5.1 1.5 -8.6 -12.0 10.1 -5.3 NA NA 1.3 -5.9<br />

Industrials -4.8 -13.8 -6.0 -4.4 -0.3 2.8 -12.2 -3.2 10.9 -3.2 -4.7 -8.6 0.7 -7.4<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Discretionary -6.8 -11.0 4.0 -11.1 -6.4 4.6 -10.6 -10.5 4.7 -9.5 -2.0 1.9 -6.0 -4.9<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Staples 0.0 -5.7 7.4 5.0 10.4 14.5 -7.6 -1.3 15.0 NA 17.5 9.1 8.1 0.8<br />

Health Care -0.7 -1.7 NA NA 1.5 -1.6 -5.1 -1.2 NA 3.3 NA 4.9 NA NA<br />

Financials -8.7 -13.6 -13.1 -4.5 7.7 -4.6 -17.3 -7.9 5.3 0.0 -10.0 -11.4 -3.9 -5.8<br />

I T -12.5 -10.5 -21.3 -10.2 -7.8 NA -13.8 -12.9 1.1 NA NA -18.8 -12.8 -14.4<br />

Telecom. Services -4.7 -1.9 -5.6 -2.3 5.9 -9.1 -4.2 -16.7 5.1 -5.0 0.6 0.0 1.4 0.0<br />

Utilities -0.8 -3.5 -12.5 1.8 15.1 -7.3 -12.5 -9.3 0.2 0.0 -6.6 NA NA -7.7<br />

Note : Above table is as of Jan. 11, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 8


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Table 4. Asia Pacific <strong>Co</strong>mpany Map : Top and Bottom of 1M EPS Change & 1M Performance<br />

Energy Materials Industrials <strong>Co</strong>nsumer <strong>Co</strong>nsumer Health Financials IT Telecomm. Utilities<br />

Discretionary Staples Care Services<br />

Australia Woodside PetroleumIluka Resources Asciano Group Crown Woolworths Sonic Healthcare Challenger Financia <strong>Co</strong>mputershare<br />

2.1 / -2.5 6.4 / 0.2 2.6 / -6.2 5.4 / -11.2 0.2 / -0.9 0.1 / -4.7 2.4 / -5.4 1.0 / -7.2<br />

Caltex Australia Alumina Boart Longyear Tatts Group Goodman Fielder CSL Insurance Australia AGL Energy<br />

-5.3 / -2.1 -3.3 / -3.1 -1.7 / -7.8 -0.6 / -4.1 -0.3 / -9.2 -0.3 / 0.3 -7.3 / -7.1 -2.0 / -2.4<br />

China China Oilfield ServicShougang <strong>Co</strong>ncord China Eastern Airlin Weiqiao Textile Global Bio-Chem Te China Vanke <strong>Co</strong> B Alibaba.com China <strong>Co</strong>mmunicati Guangdong Investm<br />

2.2 / -5.3 9.1 / 15.1 201.9 / 1.7 1.2 / -5.7 5.3 / -5.9 4.8 / -2.0 6.7 / -22.1 2.8 / 7.0 0.3 / -1.6<br />

CNPC (Hong Kong) Maanshan Iron & StChina Intl Marine C FU JI Food & CaterinChina Foods Guangzhou R&F ProLenovo Group China Telecom Guangdong Electri<br />

-3.9 / -6.6 -2.4 / 1.9 -2.3 / 4.3 -6.5 / -5.6 -7.6 / 0.2 -3.2 / 0.2 -3.7 / -22.5 0.0 / 7.4 -6.6 / -5.5<br />

Hong Lee & Man Paper MPacific Basin ShippinLi & Fung Hang Lung Group Tencent Holdings Hutchison TelecommHong Kong & Chin<br />

Kong -0.4 / -12.7 0.8 / -10.1 0.8 / -18.2 4.5 / -2.4 0.0 / -5.2 0.5 / 1.4 1.8 / -3.2<br />

Fosun International Melco International Television Broadcas Shun Tak Holdings Foxconn Internation PCCW CLP Holdings<br />

-4.8 / 6.7 -14.0 / -3.2 -0.6 / 0.5 -2.4 / 7.5 -0.1 / -9.4 0.0 / 0.0 -0.2 / 5.3<br />

Indonesia Energi Mega PersadSemen Gresik (PersUnited Tractors Astra International IndoFood Sukses M Kalbe Farma Bank Pan Indonesia Indosat Perusahaan Gas N<br />

3.7 / 2.0 5.3 / -1.8 3.9 / 7.3 1.8 / 10.0 5.3 / 18.7 3.7 / 5.0 3.0 / -1.5 1.1 / -3.4 0.4 / 0.0<br />

Bumi Resources International Nickel Truba Alam Manun Ramayana Lestari S Astra Agro Lestari Bank Rakyat Indone Telekomunikasi Ind<br />

3.3 / 0.0 -1.7 / 2.1 0.0 / -0.7 1.5 / -1.2 0.6 / 9.5 1.4 / 4.0 0.5 / 0.5<br />

India Bharat Petroleum Tata Steel Bharat Heavy Electr Mahindra & MahindTata Tea Sun Pharmaceutical Infrastructure Devel Wipro Videsh Sanchar Nig Reliance Energy<br />

7.1 / -19.1 5.8 / -8.4 1.7 / -4.3 19.4 / -5.9 0.5 / -12.9 0.2 / 3.1 3.7 / -6.2 0.4 / -1.6 44.7 / -6.3 6.5 / -1.1<br />

Oil & Natural Gas Ultratech Cement GMR Infrastructure Indian Hotels Hindustan Lever Cipla Reliance Capital Satyam <strong>Co</strong>mputer SMahanagar TelephoNTPC<br />

-0.4 / -3.1 -0.4 / -7.0 -8.6 / -10.8 -3.0 / -12.4 -0.2 / -3.6 -2.1 / -3.8 -5.0 / 0.3 -0.5 / -2.7 -5.5 / -9.1 0.0 / 0.3<br />

Japan Inpex Holdings Kobe Steel Tokyu Sanyo Electric Sapporo Holdings Taisho Pharmaceuti Shinsei Bank Alps Electric Nippon Telegraph &Shikoku Electric Po<br />

4.8 / -3.3 1.1 / 1.2 3.4 / 1.3 7.2 / 1.3 2.8 / 0.7 1.4 / 5.4 1.9 / -1.0 0.8 / -10.4 1.3 / -0.9 -0.4 / 0.5<br />

Nippon Oil Dowa Holdings Goodwill Group Edion Uny Dainippon Sumitom SBI Holdings Elpida Memory NTT Do<strong>Co</strong>Mo Hokuriku Electric P<br />

-3.3 / -3.9 -4.3 / -3.5 -43.8 / -21.8 -12.0 / 9.0 -8.5 / -4.6 -1.7 / 0.0 -12.5 / -9.9 -7.6 / -8.8 -0.1 / 2.2 -13.5 / -1.3<br />

Korea GS Holdings LG Chem STX Engine LG Electronics Nong Shim Yuhan Hyundai Marine & F LG Philips LCD SK Telecom Korea Gas<br />

0.3 / -1.8 0.8 / -6.2 5.8 / -5.5 2.5 / -8.7 0.1 / -2.0 1.0 / 1.7 5.2 / -8.0 1.0 / -2.7 0.7 / -7.1 2.1 / 1.4<br />

SK Energy Poongsan Doosan Kia Motors CJ CheilJedang Hanmi Pharmaceuti Korea Exchange Ba Hynix SemiconductoKT Korea Electric Pow<br />

-6.0 / -2.4 -8.2 / -4.3 -7.8 / 2.1 -7.4 / -5.4 -4.5 / -8.4 -0.3 / -4.7 -4.0 / 0.4 -12.9 / -2.9 -0.5 / -3.5 1.0 / -2.7<br />

Malaysia Scomi Group Bhd Lafarge Malayan CeMalaysian Bulk Car Genting Bhd PPB Group Bhd SP Setia Bhd Telekom Malaysia BYTL Power Interna<br />

14.8 / 19.9 0.6 / -1.6 4.1 / -1.8 3.1 / 2.6 #### / 1.7 12.9 / 6.9 0.4 / 1.7 0.9 / -1.5<br />

Petronas Dagangan IJM <strong>Co</strong>rp. Bhd Astro All Asia Netw British American To Multi-Purpose Holdi DiGi.com Bhd Petronas Gas Bhd<br />

0.0 / 0.6 -11.5 / 2.9 -5.3 / 6.1 0.0 / 0.6 -53.6 / 0.0 -0.1 / 5.7 -0.2 / 1.9<br />

New<br />

<strong>Co</strong>ntact Energy<br />

Zealand 0.3 / -1.5<br />

Auckland Internatio<br />

Telecom <strong>Co</strong>rp. of N Vector<br />

-2.7 / -6.3 -0.2 / -2.6 -0.4 / -1.8<br />

Philippines San Miguel Megaworld Philippine Long Dist First Philippine Hold<br />

2.5 / 10.0 3.7 / -1.4 0.0 / 1.0 0.0 / -5.1<br />

Jollibee Foods Bank of the Philippi Globe Telecom PNOC Energy Deve<br />

-1.4 / 2.1 -1.2 / 0.0 0.0 / 3.7 -0.2 / -3.0<br />

Singapore Neptune Orient Line Parkway Holdings Singapore Exchange<br />

3.2 / -16.1 5.8 / -2.5 2.0 / -13.1<br />

Singapore Airlines<br />

Yanlord Land GroupVenture<br />

-0.8 / -3.9 -2.1 / -15.5 -0.2 / -12.3<br />

Thailand Banpu PTT Chemical Airports of Thailand BEC World CP ALL Siam <strong>Co</strong>mmercial B Advanced Info Servi Electricity Generati<br />

0.1 / 6.5 1.2 / -7.5 7.7 / -0.9 0.4 / -5.1 0.3 / -8.9 1.3 / -1.9 0.0 / -1.0 0.4 / -1.9<br />

Thai Oil Siam Cement Thai Airways Interna Siam Makro Krung Thai Bank Hana Microelectron Glow Energy<br />

-0.2 / -2.5 -0.6 / -0.9 -3.1 / -12.6 0.0 / -0.5 -1.0 / -3.6 -1.9 / -11.5 0.0 / -0.8<br />

Taiwan Asia Cement U-Ming Marine TranInventec Appliances President Chain Sto Polaris <strong>Securities</strong> AU Optronics Taiwan Mobile<br />

3.1 / 4.6 0.4 / 2.7 6.6 / -3.7 0.8 / 0.6 11.8 / -1.3 5.8 / -3.2 0.0 / 2.9<br />

China Steel China Airlines Yulon Motor Uni-President Enterp Chang Hwa <strong>Co</strong>mmeCMC Magnetics Chunghwa Telecom<br />

-0.8 / 2.2 -171.2 / 2.4 -2.2 / 2.6 0.0 / -6.1 -8.4 / -0.8 -15.6 / -3.7 -1.8 / 4.4<br />

Note : Above table is as of Jan. 11, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 9


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Table 5. Earnings & Valuation / Performance : Global Market<br />

<strong>Co</strong>untry Weight # <strong>Co</strong>'s EPS G (%) EPS Change (%) ERR - 12MF 12-month Forward Valuation Performance<br />

08E 09E LT(5Y) 2008E 2009E 01/11 1W 1M PER PBR EV/EBITDA DY PEG 1W 1M 12M YTD<br />

(%) (YoY) (YoY) Forcast 1W 1M 1W 1M (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%) (x) (%) (%) (%) (%)<br />

AC World 100.0 2,884 12.4 11.5 12.1 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.3 -4 -3 -9 13.0 2.2 7.9 2.9 1.1 -1.6 -6.3 0 -5<br />

Developed Market 88.5 1,958 12.0 11.3 11.3 1.6 0.2 1.5 0.4 -8 -5 -15 13.0 2.2 8.0 2.9 1.1 -1.7 -6.4 -2 -5<br />

EAFE 43.2 1,211 9.0 10.2 9.8 1.7 -1.6 1.7 -1.5 -4 -3 -17 12.3 1.9 7.3 3.3 1.3 -2.4 -8.0 -4 -5<br />

Pacific 13.0 587 5.8 10.5 12.5 3.1 -1.5 3.1 -1.4 -7 -6 -12 14.5 1.6 7.5 2.3 1.2 -3.2 -10.9 -8 -6<br />

North America 45.3 747 15.5 12.5 12.7 1.4 1.9 1.3 2.1 -14 -9 -13 13.7 2.9 8.7 2.5 1.1 -0.9 -4.9 -1 -4<br />

Europe 30.2 624 10.2 10.1 8.7 1.2 -1.5 1.2 -1.4 -1 -1 -21 11.6 2.1 7.2 3.8 1.3 -2.1 -6.7 -3 -5<br />

Emerging Market 11.5 926 15.5 12.9 19.4 0.5 -0.5 0.3 0.1 5 3 4 13.3 2.3 7.7 2.6 0.7 -1.3 -5.1 31 -3<br />

Asia 6.3 554 16.3 14.4 22.8 0.5 -0.4 0.5 -0.8 6 2 3 14.5 2.3 7.8 2.4 0.6 -2.0 -5.5 37 -3<br />

Latin America 2.3 147 16.1 11.3 16.4 0.7 -1.8 -0.1 1.8 9 9 -7 12.2 4.2 8.2 3.6 0.7 0.4 -5.5 29 -5<br />

Europe 1.8 102 9.5 9.4 13.0 -0.7 0.4 -0.7 1.1 -1 1 36 11.8 1.7 7.2 2.2 0.9 -0.3 -3.5 24 -2<br />

AC Asia Pacific 19.3 1,141 9.0 11.7 15.9 2.3 -1.2 2.2 -1.3 -1 -2 -5 14.5 1.8 7.6 2.4 0.9 -2.8 -9.2 3 -5<br />

AC AP ex. Japan 10.7 743 9.0 14.1 17.6 0.5 -0.3 0.5 -0.4 4 2 3 14.8 2.4 8.3 2.9 0.8 -3.0 -7.0 26 -4<br />

AC Asia 16.4 1,043 9.7 11.6 17.3 2.6 -1.4 2.5 -1.5 0 -2 -4 14.5 1.7 7.5 2.1 0.8 -2.4 -9.0 2 -5<br />

AC Asia ex. Japan 7.8 645 10.5 14.6 21.2 0.5 -0.3 0.5 -0.6 6 3 6 15.0 2.3 8.2 2.5 0.7 -2.2 -5.6 34 -3<br />

Australia 2.8 88 12.6 6.7 8.6 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1 -10 -5 -15 14.0 2.6 8.3 4.1 1.6 -5.2 -10.7 8 -6<br />

Hong Kong 1.1 54 -20.2 16.7 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 13 11 15 20.5 2.2 14.7 2.6 1.4 -3.0 -5.0 34 -3<br />

Japan 8.6 398 8.9 9.0 13.5 1.9 -0.4 2.0 -0.4 -10 -9 -20 13.7 1.4 7.1 1.7 1.0 -2.5 -11.9 -16 -7<br />

New Zealand 0.1 10 5.9 6.7 7.2 0.0 -0.6 0.1 -0.5 -20 -10 -10 14.0 2.3 7.2 5.2 2.0 -4.2 -4.5 -9 -5<br />

Singapore 0.5 37 3.8 14.7 14.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0 0 36 14.0 2.0 4.2 3.6 1.0 -3.8 -8.0 11 -5<br />

China 1.8 112 22.1 17.2 25.1 0.3 1.4 0.3 1.3 16 9 28 18.5 3.3 9.4 2.0 0.7 -1.1 -8.0 71 -2<br />

India 1.0 63 20.8 24.6 31.7 0.1 0.4 0.1 -2.3 10 2 15 23.4 4.2 14.1 0.9 0.7 -0.5 3.7 58 3<br />

Indonesia 0.2 23 11.2 15.3 30.3 0.5 1.9 -0.1 0.7 48 9 0 16.3 4.4 7.3 2.6 0.5 2.2 -1.0 72 3<br />

Korea 1.6 113 15.9 13.9 19.3 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 -21 -19 -9 11.3 1.6 6.1 1.9 0.6 -4.9 -8.9 28 -7<br />

Malaysia 0.3 56 -5.8 11.8 15.9 0.0 -1.5 0.0 -1.7 15 26 8 16.6 2.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 4.0 7.3 39 6<br />

Pakistan 0.0 13 19.2 10.5 12.9 -3.1 -2.8 -3.3 -3.4 10 -10 -20 11.0 NA 6.7 5.1 0.9 -2.4 -7.1 26 -1<br />

Philippines 0.1 18 15.6 19.6 14.3 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 28 17 6 15.3 2.5 6.8 2.8 1.1 0.8 -5.9 14 -3<br />

Taiwan 1.1 123 15.4 8.5 20.7 0.4 -0.3 0.2 -0.9 0 -2 -16 11.0 1.8 6.5 5.0 0.5 -2.7 -7.9 1 -7<br />

Thailand 0.1 33 18.5 6.5 12.0 4.2 -1.0 3.7 -1.5 17 17 -3 10.8 2.0 6.1 3.9 0.9 -3.3 -6.1 29 -8<br />

AC Americas 47.6 894 15.6 12.4 12.8 1.3 1.7 1.2 2.1 -12 -6 -12 13.6 2.9 8.7 2.5 1.1 -0.8 -5.0 0 -4<br />

US 41.6 637 15.9 12.8 12.8 1.4 1.7 1.4 2.0 -17 -9 -13 13.6 2.9 8.8 2.4 1.1 -0.9 -5.3 -1 -5<br />

Canada 3.7 110 12.1 8.1 11.2 0.6 1.2 -0.3 1.3 -2 -5 -10 14.6 2.3 7.1 3.0 1.3 -0.8 -0.2 10 -1<br />

Argentina 0.1 11 19 106.2 NA -0.1 -1.3 1.5 3.8 -25 -13 13 10.4 NA NA 2.7 NA -5.1 -10.1 -7 -7<br />

Brazil 1.5 68 13.4 10.8 14.9 0.5 -4.6 0.0 0.6 11 8 -12 12.0 3.2 7.8 3.7 0.8 0.6 -5.5 45 -5<br />

Chile 0.1 27 16.7 13.1 13.1 0.4 3.1 0.9 4.4 33 41 0 14.7 1.4 6.9 3.1 1.1 -2.7 -9.3 4 -7<br />

<strong>Co</strong>lombia 0.0 7 21.9 15.5 NA NA -13.5 NA -16.7 0 0 0 12.6 NA NA 3.5 NA -3.5 -7.0 3 -4<br />

Mexico 0.5 28 22.3 8.7 21.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.9 -8 -7 -11 11.8 4.1 6.7 3.6 0.6 1.8 -4.2 8 -2<br />

Peru 0.1 6 54.1 -6.6 15.0 65.6 39.1 0.7 -0.7 100 33 33 15.8 NA NA NA 1.1 -2.4 -4.0 83 -1<br />

AC Europe 31.9 726 10.1 10.1 8.9 1.1 -1.4 1.1 -1.3 -1 -1 -14 11.6 2.0 7.2 3.7 1.3 -2.0 -6.5 -2 -5<br />

Austria 0.2 16 9.8 11.0 10.7 -1.1 -0.2 -1.2 -3.5 -6 6 31 9.6 1.7 5.8 3.1 0.9 -6.0 -8.9 -17 -9<br />

Belgium 0.5 22 1.1 12.6 8.0 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 0.2 -23 -5 -14 10.0 1.8 12.9 4.1 1.2 -1.9 -5.4 -19 -4<br />

Denmark 0.4 23 15.0 13.7 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 -18 -23 -5 13.3 2.5 8.9 2.2 1.0 -3.8 -10.4 2 -8<br />

Finland 0.8 23 -9.4 8.9 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 30 13 -39 13.2 2.8 7.8 3.5 1.3 -5.5 -12.5 20 -10<br />

France 4.6 74 10.8 9.9 6.5 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.3 -8 -9 -30 11.3 1.8 6.4 3.6 1.7 -2.0 -6.9 -6 -5<br />

Germany 4.1 61 11.4 12.2 8.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 5 4 -30 12.0 1.9 6.3 3.2 1.4 -1.6 -4.6 12 -5<br />

Greece 0.3 15 15.1 18.1 21.4 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 -7 -7 -7 12.5 2.6 7.9 3.9 0.6 -3.7 -4.7 6 -5<br />

Ireland 0.3 14 7.7 9.4 8.6 -0.2 -0.8 -0.2 -1.3 -14 -14 7 8.5 1.4 7.6 4.8 1.0 -4.9 -10.1 -30 -3<br />

Italy 1.8 40 11.2 10.1 6.4 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1 -0.6 8 3 -44 11.0 1.8 5.6 4.8 1.7 0.0 -4.9 -11 -3<br />

Netherlands 1.2 24 2.7 9.9 6.2 -0.1 0.6 0.1 0.6 21 13 -17 11.1 2.0 7.1 3.9 1.8 -3.3 -7.3 -2 -6<br />

Norway 0.4 22 3.8 12.5 12.7 -0.3 -1.9 -0.3 -1.2 9 0 -27 11.5 2.3 5.5 3.8 0.9 -7.8 -10.2 2 -11<br />

Portugal 0.2 12 10.5 11.8 8.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.6 0.1 -9 0 0 14.5 2.5 8.7 4.1 1.8 -1.6 -6.4 2 -4<br />

Spain 1.9 33 12.3 13.2 7.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 6 -9 -19 11.6 2.2 7.1 4.4 1.5 -1.2 -8.3 2 -5<br />

Sweden 1.0 49 9.2 8.6 6.7 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.1 7 16 -18 10.5 2.0 7.0 4.6 1.6 -3.3 -13.6 -16 -10<br />

Switzerland 3.0 39 27.6 11.2 11.7 -0.7 -2.2 -0.8 -2.2 -8 0 -39 12.6 2.6 9.1 2.8 1.1 0.0 -8.0 -10 -4<br />

UK 9.4 157 8.2 7.9 9.3 -0.2 1.6 -0.1 1.6 -6 -4 -16 11.4 2.2 7.7 4.1 1.2 -2.4 -5.3 -2 -4<br />

Czech Rep. 0.1 7 18.5 11.3 7.1 -0.5 0.5 -0.5 0.0 17 17 50 14.7 2.8 8.3 3.8 2.1 -6.4 -8.4 25 -7<br />

Hungary 0.1 4 9.8 8.0 7.6 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.3 -25 -25 50 10.1 2.2 6.4 3.4 1.3 -1.4 -7.9 3 -6<br />

Poland 0.2 28 10.4 10.4 19.4 -3.7 -1.6 -6.0 -3.0 -4 8 15 11.5 1.2 6.2 4.5 0.6 -6.1 -13.1 -3 -8<br />

Russia 1.2 32 8.7 7.8 13.3 -0.9 0.6 -0.7 1.7 -10 5 19 11.8 1.5 7.5 1.4 0.9 1.4 -0.2 31 1<br />

Turkey 0.2 31 10.1 17.0 9.4 -0.6 1.5 0.6 2.6 6 -6 61 9.9 2.1 5.5 4.2 1.1 -1.6 -8.7 35 -7<br />

Israel 0.3 32 13.5 11.6 15.0 0.6 1.2 0.6 1.1 18 0 4 14.4 2.7 9.6 4.2 1.0 -2.5 -1.0 20 -2<br />

Egypt 0.1 17 9.7 22.1 15.0 -0.7 -1.9 -0.6 -2.0 17 0 -8 17.5 12.1 9.6 2.4 1.2 2.0 11.9 53 4<br />

South Africa 0.8 51 20.6 15.6 11.9 -0.2 -0.9 -0.2 -1.0 -2 -2 -8 10.7 2.4 6.7 3.9 0.9 -3.9 -7.4 10 -3<br />

Note : Above table is as of Jan. 11, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 10


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Table 6. Earnings & Valuation / Performance : MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex. Japan<br />

<strong>Co</strong>untry Weight # <strong>Co</strong>'s EPS G (%) EPS Change (%) ERR - 12MF 12-month Forward Valuation Performance<br />

08E 09E LT(5Y) 2008E 2009E 01/11 1W 1M PER PBR EV/EBITDA DY PEG 1W 1M 12M YTD<br />

(%) (YoY) (YoY) Forcast 1W 1M 1W 1M (%) (%) (%) (x) (x) (x) (%) (x) (%) (%) (%) (%)<br />

Market 100.0 743 9.0 14.1 17.6 0.5 -0.3 0.5 -0.4 4 2 3 14.8 2.4 8.3 2.9 0.8 -3.0 -7.0 26 -4<br />

Energy 8.7 40 17.1 11.9 14.6 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.6 33 31 44 16.7 3.2 9.5 2.1 1.1 -1.3 -2.7 79 0<br />

Materials 12.7 77 8.9 9.2 9.9 0.2 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 4 5 -12 12.6 2.7 8.4 2.7 1.3 -3.6 -8.0 53 -3<br />

Chemicals 2.0 21 8.7 -4.6 8.0 0.2 -1.0 0.2 -0.6 10 0 -14 12.0 2.0 11.9 4.6 1.5 0.0 -1.1 59 -1<br />

Metals & Mining 9.3 33 8.8 11.6 9.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.3 3 16 3 12.6 2.8 7.7 2.2 1.4 -4.5 -9.8 64 -3<br />

Paper & Forest Products 0.2 4 31.5 39.8 36.1 -2.6 -3.8 -3.7 -4.2 0 0 25 16.1 2.5 12.6 1.9 0.4 -10.0 -16.4 0 -13<br />

Industrials 12.4 137 3.8 22.7 25.5 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.7 -5 -7 3 16.9 2.4 10.2 2.1 0.7 -3.4 -4.8 45 -3<br />

Building Products 0.1 2 21.7 19.5 6.3 0.4 9.1 0.4 9.7 -50 -50 100 19.1 1.8 12.1 1.1 3.0 -1.5 1.8 76 -1<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nstruction & Engineering 2.6 18 25.6 31.7 29.5 1.0 -0.4 1.3 1.9 -6 -12 -6 22.1 4.3 15.7 1.3 0.7 -4.6 3.0 125 1<br />

Electrical Equipment 0.7 11 24.9 23.6 35.0 -0.3 -0.8 0.2 0.1 -18 -9 0 19.9 3.2 13.6 1.2 0.6 -2.3 -6.2 70 -3<br />

Machinery 1.6 14 39.2 30.3 52.5 0.5 -0.9 0.5 -0.9 -29 -21 21 11.8 3.2 8.5 1.5 0.2 -5.1 -5.5 89 -6<br />

Trading <strong>Co</strong>mpanies & Distrib 0.4 6 1.8 20.0 34.5 3.8 1.8 7.0 5.1 0 -25 -50 22.6 2.1 16.0 1.0 0.7 -8.5 -6.3 73 -11<br />

<strong>Co</strong>mmercial Services & Supp 0.4 4 9.8 12.6 12.1 0.0 -0.2 0.7 0.6 50 -25 -25 16.8 5.7 9.0 3.5 1.4 -8.9 -13.9 -18 -10<br />

Airlines 0.8 13 32.9 15.9 15.2 0.7 -0.1 0.7 -1.0 -38 -8 -38 12.9 1.5 6.9 3.5 0.9 -3.7 -7.9 19 -6<br />

Marine 1.0 18 -3.4 19.8 32.5 0.4 0.9 0.6 -0.5 29 35 24 9.9 1.7 6.6 3.4 0.3 -1.3 -12.3 82 -3<br />

Road & Rail 0.4 5 -9.8 21.7 5.1 0.4 -2.7 0.3 -1.8 -40 -20 -20 22.8 1.8 12.0 4.0 4.5 -3.6 -3.2 16 -1<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Discretionary 5.4 83 17.0 16.2 22.3 0.6 -0.9 0.6 -1.0 5 5 13 14.4 2.1 9.3 2.9 0.6 -4.9 -6.8 10 -6<br />

Auto <strong>Co</strong>mponents 0.3 5 11.1 9.0 15.7 0.4 -1.5 0.4 -1.6 -40 0 -40 9.5 1.6 7.1 2.1 0.6 -2.0 -8.0 13 -5<br />

Automobiles 1.1 15 21.1 17.7 14.7 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.5 36 21 7 11.0 1.3 6.9 1.8 0.7 -1.9 -4.9 11 -3<br />

Household Durables 0.4 7 63.1 11.9 78.3 1.5 2.7 1.4 -0.4 20 20 67 9.5 1.8 7.4 2.0 0.1 -6.1 -11.8 36 -5<br />

Textiles, Apparel & Luxury G 0.3 9 19.7 30.2 15.9 1.1 0.2 1.0 -0.2 14 14 -14 11.8 1.8 8.5 2.8 0.7 -6.3 -11.5 -2 -10<br />

Hotels, Restaurants & Leisur 1.2 16 3.2 12.6 13.8 0.7 -2.6 0.7 -1.5 -25 -19 25 18.2 2.5 10.3 3.9 1.3 -3.0 -4.3 -1 -3<br />

Media 0.5 12 7.7 17.9 14.0 0.4 -0.1 0.4 -0.4 9 0 27 17.5 2.3 10.5 4.9 1.3 -1.9 -2.8 -1 -3<br />

Retailing 1.5 15 12.4 18.1 23.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 13 7 7 19.8 3.8 12.8 2.6 0.9 -8.6 -8.2 30 -10<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Staples 5.0 47 2.1 14.9 13.9 0.8 -0.2 0.7 -0.4 2 -2 16 20.0 3.4 12.6 2.9 1.4 -1.5 0.0 30 -1<br />

Food & Staples Retailing 2.2 8 7.6 16.0 11.2 0.7 0.2 0.7 -0.4 -29 -14 14 21.2 3.3 12.3 3.1 1.9 -2.9 -5.9 29 -4<br />

Food, Beverage & Tobacco 2.4 33 -3.7 13.8 15.5 1.0 -0.7 0.9 -0.7 12 0 21 18.5 3.3 12.3 2.8 1.2 -0.4 5.3 33 2<br />

Household & Personal Produ 0.4 6 20.2 17.6 19.6 0.6 0.8 0.4 1.7 -20 0 -20 23.9 7.9 17.3 2.2 1.2 -0.7 4.8 26 2<br />

Health Care 1.2 15 20.0 20.5 19.2 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.9 -7 -7 -13 22.1 5.0 15.0 1.8 1.1 -2.1 -0.7 25 -3<br />

Biotechnology 0.5 1 26 29.5 22.9 0.9 1.3 0.7 1.6 -100 0 100 25.0 8.7 16.8 1.4 1.1 0.3 -1.4 67 -2<br />

Pharmaceuticals 0.3 8 18.3 15.3 18.1 0.3 -0.5 0.3 0.2 13 0 25 18.6 3.5 13.7 1.0 1.0 -3.7 0.9 7 -5<br />

Financials 33.8 185 7.2 13.7 17.6 0.5 -0.3 0.5 -0.6 5 2 8 14.7 2.1 7.2 3.5 0.8 -2.9 -8.7 16 -4<br />

Banks 17.2 69 10.9 12.1 13.2 0.8 -0.2 0.7 0.0 0 0 -6 12.8 1.9 3.7 4.2 1.0 -1.8 -7.0 10 -3<br />

Capital Markets 1.3 14 4.3 8.4 18.2 0.6 -0.5 0.6 -0.4 -8 -17 58 11.2 1.7 13.3 3.8 0.6 -5.7 -7.7 20 -9<br />

Insurance 4.3 15 -0.1 10.7 18.4 -0.1 -2.0 0.0 -0.9 -7 -13 20 16.8 2.9 9.3 3.2 0.9 -4.4 -11.9 14 -7<br />

Information Technology 10.4 93 22.6 14.7 20.3 0.5 -1.6 0.3 -2.3 0 -9 -25 11.4 1.9 5.8 3.1 0.6 -5.7 -12.5 -9 -10<br />

Internet Software & Service 0.6 4 42.5 35.2 42.1 0.5 0.0 0.5 -1.3 50 50 75 36.1 12.1 25.5 0.5 0.9 -6.1 -7.2 96 -1<br />

IT Services 1.1 7 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 4.7 12.1 1.4 NA -5.2 -8.1 -21 -10<br />

Software 0.0 1 38.9 31.6 2.0 0.4 -4.9 2.8 -4.3 100 -100 -100 14.3 1.8 8.6 NA 7.2 -3.6 -18.1 -15 -4<br />

<strong>Co</strong>mmunications Equipment 0.2 5 23.8 19.1 21.2 0.0 -2.2 0.1 -3.4 0 0 20 12.1 2.6 8.7 3.8 0.6 -6.7 -18.1 -28 -11<br />

<strong>Co</strong>mputers & Peripherals 1.5 21 22.4 16.8 22.5 1.7 -0.4 0.9 -1.3 -11 -5 -15 9.8 2.1 7.1 4.5 0.4 -7.0 -15.9 -6 -13<br />

Electronic Equip. & Instr. 2.3 26 43.3 9.5 28.5 0.9 -0.3 0.7 -1.2 19 0 -25 9.3 1.7 4.8 2.6 0.3 -4.8 -11.9 3 -12<br />

Office Electronics 0.0 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA -2.8 -9.7 -15 -6<br />

Semiconductors 4.7 28 12.6 16.8 14.0 0.4 -2.8 0.3 -3.3 -17 -13 -58 11.2 1.5 4.9 3.4 0.8 -5.7 -13.0 -15 -10<br />

Telecom. Services 7.5 30 -4.6 13.4 18.0 0.6 1.1 0.5 1.0 17 10 -14 17.3 3.2 7.6 3.1 1.0 -0.1 -4.7 46 -1<br />

Diversified Telecom. Service 3.0 17 6.6 8.2 8.9 0.7 2.1 0.5 1.5 13 25 -13 14.6 2.5 6.7 4.2 1.6 0.9 -1.8 17 0<br />

Wireless Telecom. Services 4.5 13 -12.6 18.0 23.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 23 -8 -15 19.6 3.9 8.6 2.4 0.8 -0.8 -6.6 77 -3<br />

Utilities 3.0 36 3.6 7.8 9.4 0.5 -0.1 0.9 0.2 0 18 18 16.1 1.6 10.6 2.8 1.7 -2.2 -0.8 23 -1<br />

Electric Utilities 1.4 10 3.6 6.5 3.0 0.2 -1.2 1.3 -0.4 -10 0 -10 14.3 1.3 10.4 3.1 4.8 -1.3 2.2 16 2<br />

Gas Utilities 0.6 7 -4.7 10.9 13.9 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 33 50 83 21.8 3.8 15.2 1.9 1.6 -2.4 -2.0 50 -2<br />

Note : Above table is as of Jan. 11, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 11


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Asia Pacific <strong>Co</strong>untry & Sector Rating<br />

Young Jean Hwang<br />

82-2-3774-1780 / YoungJean@miraeasset.com<br />

Table 1. Asia Pacific <strong>Co</strong>untry Rating for January<br />

Asia Pacific <strong>Co</strong>untry Rating by Median Z-score of 6 Criteria<br />

13-<strong>Co</strong>untry Rank's Z-score<br />

30%<br />

-0.5<br />

Negative<br />

40%<br />

0<br />

Neutral<br />

30%<br />

0.5<br />

Positive<br />

Positive<br />

Momentum 1 Momentum 2 Growth Profitability Valuation Liquidity<br />

(Breadth) (Magnitude)<br />

12m Fw. EPS Wtd. Avg. of Wtd. Avg. of Wtd. Avg. of Median Z-score of Money Supply Growth<br />

Monthly FY07 & FY08 EPS FY07 & FY08 EPS FY07 & FY08 12m Fw. P/E, P/B, less Target Policy Rate<br />

Revision Ratio Monthly Change Growth (YoY) ROE EV/EBITDA (Distance from<br />

(13 <strong>Co</strong>untries Rank) (13 <strong>Co</strong>untries Rank) (13 <strong>Co</strong>untries Rank) (13 <strong>Co</strong>untries Rank) (13 <strong>Co</strong>untries Rank) Median since 2000)<br />

India<br />

Positive Positive Positive Positive Negative Positive<br />

(p.78) Z-score (1.44) 1.41 1.70 1.06 1.46 -8.30 3.73<br />

Positive<br />

Indonesia<br />

Positive Positive Negative Positive Negative Positive<br />

(p.96) Z-score (1.22) 1.44 1.00 -0.57 4.30 -0.96 1.97<br />

Positive<br />

China<br />

Positive Positive Positive Positive Negative Neutral<br />

(p.66) Z-score (1.08) 1.98 4.13 1.23 0.92 -4.67 0.35<br />

Positive<br />

Hong Kong<br />

Positive Positive Neutral Negative Negative Positive<br />

(p.72) Z-score (0.73) 1.46 1.96 0.00 -2.79 -6.48 11.44<br />

Singapore<br />

Neutral<br />

Positive Neutral Negative Negative Neutral Positive<br />

(p.84) Z-score (0.42) 1.84 0.35 -1.57 -0.90 0.49 3.95<br />

Thailand<br />

Neutral<br />

Neutral Neutral Neutral Positive Positive Negative<br />

(p.102) Z-score (0.15) 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.50 0.90 -1.67<br />

Korea<br />

Neutral<br />

Neutral Negative Neutral Negative Positive Positive<br />

(p.54) Z-score (0.08) -0.07 -1.05 0.23 -1.36 1.80 0.88<br />

Malaysia<br />

Neutral<br />

Positive Neutral Negative Negative Neutral Neutral<br />

(p.90) Z-score (0.00) 1.00 0.38 -3.55 -1.00 0.00 0.00<br />

Taiwan<br />

Neutral<br />

Neutral Negative Neutral Neutral Positive Negative<br />

(p.60) Z-score (-0.20) -0.47 -0.58 0.08 0.14 1.13 -2.76<br />

Philippines<br />

Neutral<br />

Neutral Negative Neutral Neutral Negative Neutral<br />

(p.114) Z-score (-0.22) -0.26 -0.53 0.15 -0.18 -0.54 -0.01<br />

Negative<br />

Japan<br />

Neutral Negative Negative Negative Neutral Neutral<br />

(p.42) Z-score (-0.70) -0.41 -1.46 -1.00 -3.84 0.00 0.33<br />

Negative<br />

Australia<br />

Negative Negative Negative Positive Negative Positive<br />

(p.48) Z-score (-0.79) -0.60 -0.98 -1.65 1.39 -1.00 3.38<br />

Negative<br />

New Zealand<br />

Negative Negative Negative Neutral Neutral Negative<br />

(p.108) Z-score (-0.99) -1.25 -3.47 -3.10 0.00 -0.16 -0.74<br />

Note : For more information, refer to the monthly quantitative report “The Guiding Light : Asia Pacific / <strong>Co</strong>untry” published on Jan. 2, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 12


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Table 2. Asia Pacific ex. Japan Sector Rating for January<br />

Asia Pacific ex. Japan Sector Rating by Median Z-score of 5 Criteria<br />

21-Sector Rank's Z-score<br />

Momentum 1 Momentum 2 Growth Profitability Valuation<br />

(Breadth) (Magnitude)<br />

30%<br />

-0.5<br />

Negative<br />

40%<br />

0<br />

Neutral<br />

30%<br />

0.5<br />

Positive<br />

12m Fw. EPS Wtd. Avg. of Wtd. Avg. of Wtd. Avg. of Median Z-score of<br />

Monthly FY07 & FY08 EPS FY07 & FY08 EPS FY07 & FY08 12m Fw. P/E, P/B,<br />

Revision Ratio Monthly Change Growth (YoY) ROE EV/EBITDA<br />

(21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank)<br />

Positive<br />

Internet Software<br />

& Services Positive Negative Positive Positive Negative<br />

(p.178) Z-score (2.77) 5.49 -7.20 2.77 9.99 -7.96<br />

Positive<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nstruction<br />

& Engineering Neutral Positive Positive Positive Negative<br />

(p.58) Z-score (1.05) -0.17 3.50 1.05 1.38 -2.83<br />

Positive<br />

Marine<br />

Negative Positive Positive Positive Positive<br />

(p.82) Z-score (0.95) -0.85 6.37 1.12 0.84 0.95<br />

Positive<br />

Household Durables<br />

Positive Positive Positive Neutral Positive<br />

(p.106) Z-score (0.60) 0.55 2.60 5.01 0.27 0.60<br />

Positive<br />

Automobiles<br />

Neutral Positive Positive Negative Positive<br />

(p.90) Z-score (0.59) 0.00 0.76 0.59 -3.13 0.95<br />

Positive<br />

Energy<br />

Positive Positive Neutral Positive Negative<br />

(p.34) Z-score (0.54) 1.68 0.54 0.47 0.88 -1.13<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Neutral<br />

Positive Positive Neutral Neutral Negative<br />

(p.130) Z-score (0.45) 0.82 0.84 0.34 0.45 -2.07<br />

Metals & Mining<br />

Neutral<br />

Negative Positive Negative Positive Neutral<br />

(p.50) Z-score (0.19) -0.83 1.07 -0.64 3.10 0.19<br />

Electronic Equipment<br />

Neutral<br />

& Instruments Negative Neutral Positive Neutral Positive<br />

(p.170) Z-score (0.11) -1.10 0.11 2.87 -0.16 1.00<br />

Machinery<br />

Neutral<br />

Neutral Neutral Positive Positive Neutral<br />

(p.66) Z-score (0.00) 0.00 -0.34 2.57 6.06 0.00<br />

Telecom. Services<br />

Neutral<br />

Negative Positive Neutral Positive Negative<br />

(p.186) Z-score (0.00) -1.00 1.10 0.00 0.88 -1.52<br />

Note : For more information, refer to the monthly quantitative report “The Guiding Light : Asia Pacific / Sector” published on Jan. 2, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 13


AP Weekly Insight<br />

Table 2. Asia Pacific ex. Japan Sector Rating for January (<strong>Co</strong>ntinued)<br />

Asia Pacific ex. Japan Sector Rating by Median Z-score of 5 Criteria<br />

21-Sector Rank's Z-score<br />

Momentum 1 Momentum 2 Growth Profitability Valuation<br />

(Breadth) (Magnitude)<br />

30%<br />

-0.5<br />

Negative<br />

40%<br />

0<br />

Neutral<br />

30%<br />

0.5<br />

Positive<br />

12m Fw. EPS Wtd. Avg. of Wtd. Avg. of Wtd. Avg. of Median Z-score of<br />

Monthly FY07 & FY08 EPS FY07 & FY08 EPS FY07 & FY08 12m Fw. P/E, P/B,<br />

Revision Ratio Monthly Change Growth (YoY) ROE EV/EBITDA<br />

(21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank) (21 Sectors Rank)<br />

Capital Markets<br />

Neutral<br />

Positive Neutral Negative Negative Neutral<br />

(p.146) Z-score (0.00) 1.51 0.00 -1.14 -1.31 0.28<br />

Retailing<br />

Neutral<br />

Positive Negative Neutral Positive Negative<br />

(p.114) Z-score (-0.07) 1.37 -1.50 -0.07 1.66 -2.71<br />

Auto <strong>Co</strong>mponents<br />

Neutral<br />

Negative Positive Neutral Negative Positive<br />

(p.98) Z-score (-0.42) -2.09 0.67 -0.42 -0.99 0.75<br />

Banks<br />

Neutral<br />

Neutral Negative Neutral Negative Neutral<br />

(p.138) Z-score (-0.44) -0.07 -0.67 -0.44 -1.00 0.12<br />

Insurance<br />

Negative<br />

Positive Negative Negative Neutral Negative<br />

(p.154) Z-score (-0.58) 0.87 -0.58 -1.49 -0.43 -1.23<br />

Chemicals<br />

Negative<br />

Positive Negative Negative Negative Neutral<br />

(p.42) Z-score (-0.69) 1.29 -1.45 -0.69 -1.88 0.00<br />

Semiconductors<br />

Negative<br />

Negative Negative Neutral Negative Positive<br />

(p.162) Z-score (-0.97) -5.25 -1.15 -0.11 -0.97 0.56<br />

Airlines<br />

Negative<br />

Negative Negative Positive Negative Positive<br />

(p.74) Z-score (-1.00) -2.05 -1.00 1.82 -3.27 0.64<br />

Utilities<br />

Negative<br />

Negative Negative Negative Negative Negative<br />

(p.194) Z-score (-1.00) -1.78 -0.92 -1.00 -5.22 -0.73<br />

<strong>Co</strong>nsumer Staples<br />

Negative<br />

Neutral Negative Negative Neutral Negative<br />

(p.122) Z-score (-1.04) 0.30 -1.04 -1.34 0.00 -1.66<br />

Note : For more information, refer to the monthly quantitative report “The Guiding Light : Asia Pacific / Sector” published on Jan. 2, 2008.<br />

Source : MSCI, I/B/E/S, FactSet, <strong>Mirae</strong> <strong>Asset</strong> Research<br />

Jan 18, 2008 MIRAE ASSET RESEARCH 14

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