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Powerline Plan and Environ. Assessment Jan. 2013 - Flood Control ...

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<strong>Powerline</strong> <strong>Flood</strong> Retarding Structure<br />

Pinal County, AZ<br />

Draft Supplemental Watershed <strong>Plan</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Environ</strong>mental <strong>Assessment</strong><br />

5.2.4. Recommendations<br />

Many of the outst<strong>and</strong>ing issues associated with earth fissure risk zoning at the PVR FRSs could<br />

be addressed through a final design level of subsidence <strong>and</strong> earth fissure investigation. Such an<br />

investigation would likely include additional subsidence refraction profiling, deep resistivity<br />

soundings, seismic reflection profiling, future subsidence prediction models <strong>and</strong> updated stressstrain<br />

models. Through such an investigative process the existing earth fissure risk zones would<br />

be updated based on a better underst<strong>and</strong>ing of site conditions <strong>and</strong> predicted groundwater<br />

declines. This evaluation would include the forthcoming ADWR update to the modeled gravity<br />

<strong>and</strong> depth to bedrock in the area <strong>and</strong> the updated predictions for groundwater declines as<br />

presented in ADWR’s Modeling Report No. 22 (Hipke, 2010).<br />

A quantitative risk assessment could also be considered as a means of quantifying the earth<br />

fissure risk associated with each earth fissure risk zone, although there would still likely be a<br />

large degree of uncertainty at the end of this assessment. This assessment could be supplemented<br />

by targeted failure modes <strong>and</strong> effects analyses that would address specific identified failure<br />

modes <strong>and</strong> lead to the best solution for mitigating the failure mode(s).<br />

For the alternatives evaluation, AMEC recommends the following:<br />

<strong>Powerline</strong> FRS:<br />

Structures located within moderate earth fissure risk zones at the <strong>Powerline</strong> FRS should<br />

be planned as hardened structures. Additionally, due to the level of uncertainty, the<br />

moderate risk zones in this area are on the higher end of moderate as opposed to the<br />

lower end of moderate. It should be anticipated that the planned IDSM will need to be<br />

hardened as part of the rehabilitation project.<br />

Vineyard Road FRS:<br />

Based on our current underst<strong>and</strong>ing of earth fissure risk conditions at the Vineyard Road<br />

FRS, the section of embankment located within the moderate earth fissure risk zone does<br />

not need to be hardened; however, this area should be the subject of a robust monitoring<br />

program. Our recommendation is based on our current underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the subsurface<br />

profile in this area <strong>and</strong> the results of recent InSAR data. This data suggests the moderate<br />

risk zone at the Vineyard Road FRS is on the lower end of moderate as opposed to the<br />

higher end of moderate.<br />

It is noted that dam concepts involving earth fissure risk zones mitigated through hardened dam<br />

segments <strong>and</strong> cutoff walls have been taken through the FMEA process (workshop <strong>and</strong> report) as<br />

part of this study <strong>and</strong> no potential failure modes have been identified for these concepts. It is<br />

recommended that any additional concept to be considered for final alternative selection<br />

involving earth fissure risk zones without hardened dam segments <strong>and</strong>/or without cutoffs (such<br />

as an embankment dam only with long-term monitoring) should also be taken through an FMEA<br />

workshop prior to alternative selection.<br />

USDA- NRCS <strong>Jan</strong>uary <strong>2013</strong><br />

Kimley-Horn <strong>and</strong> Associates, Inc. Page 45

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