Loxley - OSK

Loxley - OSK Loxley - OSK

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RHB Research 06 Mar 2013 KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS SURFING HIGH ON ICT BOOM Strong backlog with further upside to grow. As at early-FY13, Loxley’s ICT & Projects backlog stood at around THB8bn. 70% of it will be recognized as revenue in FY13 due to the short-term nature of the ICT contracts. Loxley has also identified THB28bn worth of high-potential prospective projects from its existing and new clients where it stands a good chance of winning them. Among them are ToT’s 3G infrastructure roll-out Phase 2 worth THB10bn, as well as a THB9bn fibre optics project in Myanmar. It also has indentified the THB4.5bn Water Resources Management Platform (WRMP) project, which is part the government’s THB350bn flood prevention and management initiative. WRMP will involve centralizing and implementing the country’s water management via a desktop computer, whether it is increasing water flows to agricultural fields in the Central Plains or diverting water to the sea from retention centers. Supported by its strong working relationship with its government agency clients, we believe Loxley should be able to win some of those high potential projects and thus further expand its backlog. Apart from high revenue visibility arising from the high backlog, the company should be able to benefit from economies of scale, especially in procuring devices and technology. Figure 9: Breakdown of Loxley’s current THB8bn ICT & Projects backlog Source: Loxley Figure 10: Strong ICT backlog with plenty of room to grow Source: Loxley RHB Research | See important disclosures at the end of this report A comprehensive range of market research reports by award-winning economists and analysts are exclusively available for download from www.rhbinvest.com 8 Powered by Enhanced Datasystems’ EFA Platform

RHB Research 06 Mar 2013 Smart Thailand project. Loxley is also eyeing some portion of the government’s THB80bn ICT infrastructure project aimed at improving the broadband network across the country, known as the Smart Thailand project. Under the project, the government aims to expand the coverage of broadband network to 80% of the population in three years, and 95% of the population by 2020. The project is divided into two phases. The first phase, which is set to kick-start this year and be completed in 2015, will involve upgrading the existing telecom networks to reach 80% of the total population. The second phase, which will span from 2016 until 2020, will entail the installment of broadband network in areas where fibre-optic network is not yet available. Under the Smart Thailand project, the fibre optic network will be used as the main broadband network nationwide, including in public areas such as schools, hospitals and government places, while the Internet connection will be provided at affordable costs or free of charge. In addition, the government will initiate free Wi-Fi projects in collaboration with service providers to offer the service in remote areas. In view of its strong track record, we think Loxley stands a good chance of being selected to participate in the rollout of the Smart Thailand project. Benefiting from massive 3G investment. In preparation for Thailand’s first 3G wave, the government has allocated THB7.6bn for the ICT sector in FY13, up 102% y-o-y. While the amount may be small, it signals the government’s increasing attention on the sector, which has high potential for growth. We believe the budget for the sector will continue to grow in the future, as state telcos and private players are ramping up upgrades on their existing networks. As such, we think Loxley, being one of the leading players in the field coupled with its strong track record and experience, stands to benefit from the new systems integration and upgrading works of existing systems. Figure 11: Timeline of TOT’s 3G installation Source: SAMART Digital TV. According to Thailand’s latest National Radio and Television Broadcasting Act, there is a possibility that broadcasting will move to digital technology. This will help stimulate broadcasters to expand their businesses by going digital. In this sense, the potential for growth is vast. The shift in broadcasting devices to digital TV systems for five networks in Thailand is estimated to be worth around THB15bn. Moreover, the government controls the majority of TV stations and Loxley has a high chance of winning a good deal of the bids. Customers include the Public Relations Department, Royal Thai Army Radio and Television, MCOT Pcl, Parliament Radio and Television Station and the Military’s broadcasting channel as well as the Military Development Office. New opportunities in neighbouring countries. Supported by its vast experience in the domestic ICT sector, Loxley’s management sees opportunities to provide ICT services abroad as part of its expansion strategy. It is collaborating with AIT in a 50:50 joint venture named Loxley & AIT Holdings Co Ltd, which will be investing in new projects abroad as well as at home. One of these is the THB9bn fibre optic cable project in Myanmar, which is expected to be finalized soon. Other than that, Loxley is also keeping an eye on potential ICT projects in Cambodia, Vietnam and Laos. RHB Research | See important disclosures at the end of this report A comprehensive range of market research reports by award-winning economists and analysts are exclusively available for download from www.rhbinvest.com 9 Powered by Enhanced Datasystems’ EFA Platform

RHB Research 06 Mar 2013<br />

Smart Thailand project. <strong>Loxley</strong> is also eyeing some portion of the government’s THB80bn ICT<br />

infrastructure project aimed at improving the broadband network across the country, known as the<br />

Smart Thailand project. Under the project, the government aims to expand the coverage of<br />

broadband network to 80% of the population in three years, and 95% of the population by 2020.<br />

The project is divided into two phases. The first phase, which is set to kick-start this year and be<br />

completed in 2015, will involve upgrading the existing telecom networks to reach 80% of the total<br />

population. The second phase, which will span from 2016 until 2020, will entail the installment of<br />

broadband network in areas where fibre-optic network is not yet available. Under the Smart<br />

Thailand project, the fibre optic network will be used as the main broadband network nationwide,<br />

including in public areas such as schools, hospitals and government places, while the Internet<br />

connection will be provided at affordable costs or free of charge. In addition, the government will<br />

initiate free Wi-Fi projects in collaboration with service providers to offer the service in remote<br />

areas. In view of its strong track record, we think <strong>Loxley</strong> stands a good chance of being selected to<br />

participate in the rollout of the Smart Thailand project.<br />

Benefiting from massive 3G investment. In preparation for Thailand’s first 3G wave, the<br />

government has allocated THB7.6bn for the ICT sector in FY13, up 102% y-o-y. While the amount<br />

may be small, it signals the government’s increasing attention on the sector, which has high<br />

potential for growth. We believe the budget for the sector will continue to grow in the future, as<br />

state telcos and private players are ramping up upgrades on their existing networks. As such, we<br />

think <strong>Loxley</strong>, being one of the leading players in the field coupled with its strong track record and<br />

experience, stands to benefit from the new systems integration and upgrading works of existing<br />

systems.<br />

Figure 11: Timeline of TOT’s 3G installation<br />

Source: SAMART<br />

Digital TV. According to Thailand’s latest National Radio and Television Broadcasting Act, there is a<br />

possibility that broadcasting will move to digital technology. This will help stimulate broadcasters to<br />

expand their businesses by going digital. In this sense, the potential for growth is vast. The shift in<br />

broadcasting devices to digital TV systems for five networks in Thailand is estimated to be worth<br />

around THB15bn. Moreover, the government controls the majority of TV stations and <strong>Loxley</strong> has a<br />

high chance of winning a good deal of the bids. Customers include the Public Relations Department,<br />

Royal Thai Army Radio and Television, MCOT Pcl, Parliament Radio and Television Station and the<br />

Military’s broadcasting channel as well as the Military Development Office.<br />

New opportunities in neighbouring countries. Supported by its vast experience in the<br />

domestic ICT sector, <strong>Loxley</strong>’s management sees opportunities to provide ICT services abroad as<br />

part of its expansion strategy. It is collaborating with AIT in a 50:50 joint venture named <strong>Loxley</strong> &<br />

AIT Holdings Co Ltd, which will be investing in new projects abroad as well as at home. One of<br />

these is the THB9bn fibre optic cable project in Myanmar, which is expected to be finalized soon.<br />

Other than that, <strong>Loxley</strong> is also keeping an eye on potential ICT projects in Cambodia, Vietnam and<br />

Laos.<br />

RHB Research | See important disclosures at the end of this report<br />

A comprehensive range of market research reports by award-winning economists and analysts are exclusively available for download from<br />

www.rhbinvest.com<br />

9<br />

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