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Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading

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<strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong><br />

Exhibit 16: Road project portfolio<br />

Road projects<br />

Length<br />

(kms)<br />

Concession period<br />

(yrs)<br />

Project cost<br />

(Rsbn)<br />

Debt<br />

(Rsbn)<br />

Grant/(Premium)<br />

(Rsbn)<br />

Equity<br />

(Rsbn)<br />

Revenue<br />

start<br />

Namakkal Karur 44 20 3.45 2.46 0.24 0.45 Operational<br />

Dindigul Samyanallore 53 20 4.15 3.32 0.31 0.52 Operational<br />

Trichy Karur 80 30 7.3 5.1 1.5 0.7 FY12<br />

Trichy Dindigul 88 30 5.37 3.22 1.07 1.08 FY12<br />

Salem Ulenderpet 136 25 10.61 6.37 2.12 2.12 FY12<br />

Gurgaon Faridabad 66 17 7.79 5.84 (1.5) 1.95 FY12<br />

Jaipur Reengus 52 18 5.56 3.89 1.03 0.64 FY12<br />

Pune Satara 140 24 19.85 10.9 (0.91) 8.9 Operational<br />

Kandla Mundra 71 25 11.28 7.9 (0.42) 3.38 Q4FY13<br />

Hosur Krishnagiri 60 24 9.24 6.47 (0.67) 2.77 FY12<br />

Delhi Agra 180 26 29.44 20.61 1.8 7.03 FY12<br />

Total 970 - 119.04 76.08 - 29.54 -<br />

Source: Company, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research<br />

Metro rail projects execution on track<br />

The company has a portfolio of three projects, of which Delhi Metro rail project was commissioned in February<br />

2011, Mumbai metro line phase– I is expected to be operational by 4QFY12 and Mumbai metro line phase -II<br />

by FY16.<br />

Delhi metro rail reported heavy traffic in June 2011 of 12,000 passengers/day (initially estimated as FY12<br />

traffic target) and leased out 25% of land parcels at New Delhi and Shivaji stations at Rs425/sq. ft. We have<br />

assumed passenger traffic of 28,000 in FY12 and average leasing rate of Rs325 /sq. ft. at a majority of real<br />

estate parcels in Dwarka. We have valued Delhi metro rail project based on FCFE methodology with a CoE of<br />

16%, which accounts for Rs 18/share in our SOTP valuation.<br />

Exhibit 17: Metro rail projects<br />

Metro rail projects<br />

Length Project cost Debt Grant Equity COD/Rev Concession<br />

(km) (Rsbn) (Rsbn) (Rsbn) (Rsbn)<br />

start period (years)<br />

Stake (%)<br />

Delhi 23 24.5 17.15 7.35 Feb-11 30 95<br />

Mumbai - Phase 1 11 25 12.75 6.75 5.5 Q4FY12 35 69<br />

Mumbai - Phase II 32 110 70.4 23.1 16.5 Within 5 year 35* 48<br />

Source: Company, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research *could be extended for further 10 yrs<br />

Largest private player in power transmission projects<br />

The company is developing five power transmission projects worth about Rs66bn, which includes WRSS,<br />

Parabati-Koldam, Mumbai transmission, North Karanpura and Talcher II. The company has commissioned<br />

two lines of WRSS project, i.e. Solapur-Karad and Limbdi-Vadavi, and expects the entire project to be<br />

commissioned in FY12. We have valued the transmission business (WRSS project) at Rs14/share by<br />

assuming CoE at 16%.<br />

Exhibit 18: Power transmission projects<br />

Transmission<br />

projects<br />

Project cost<br />

(Rsbn)<br />

Tariff<br />

structure<br />

Stake<br />

(%)<br />

Remarks<br />

WRSS 13.8 Competitive 100 Commissioned two lines ,i.e Solapur Karad and Limbdi - Vadavi<br />

Parabati-Koldam 10.7 Regulated 74 Signed financing agreement with PFC and REC for debt amount of Rs7.7bn<br />

Obtained approval from MOP for commencement of work<br />

Construction activity has commenced at project site<br />

Mumbai transmission 18 Regulated 100 All major equipment orders such as for GIS, transformers, cables placed<br />

Three receiving stations already charged in FY11<br />

North Karanpura 15.5 Competitive 100 Acquisition process completed<br />

Talcher II 8.2 Competitive 100 Acquisition process completed<br />

Total 66.2 - - -<br />

Source: Company, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research<br />

Transmission licence received and project execution commenced<br />

Transmission license received and project execution commenced<br />

47 Reliance Infra

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