Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading
Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading
Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading
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<strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong><br />
Exhibit 16: Road project portfolio<br />
Road projects<br />
Length<br />
(kms)<br />
Concession period<br />
(yrs)<br />
Project cost<br />
(Rsbn)<br />
Debt<br />
(Rsbn)<br />
Grant/(Premium)<br />
(Rsbn)<br />
Equity<br />
(Rsbn)<br />
Revenue<br />
start<br />
Namakkal Karur 44 20 3.45 2.46 0.24 0.45 Operational<br />
Dindigul Samyanallore 53 20 4.15 3.32 0.31 0.52 Operational<br />
Trichy Karur 80 30 7.3 5.1 1.5 0.7 FY12<br />
Trichy Dindigul 88 30 5.37 3.22 1.07 1.08 FY12<br />
Salem Ulenderpet 136 25 10.61 6.37 2.12 2.12 FY12<br />
Gurgaon Faridabad 66 17 7.79 5.84 (1.5) 1.95 FY12<br />
Jaipur Reengus 52 18 5.56 3.89 1.03 0.64 FY12<br />
Pune Satara 140 24 19.85 10.9 (0.91) 8.9 Operational<br />
Kandla Mundra 71 25 11.28 7.9 (0.42) 3.38 Q4FY13<br />
Hosur Krishnagiri 60 24 9.24 6.47 (0.67) 2.77 FY12<br />
Delhi Agra 180 26 29.44 20.61 1.8 7.03 FY12<br />
Total 970 - 119.04 76.08 - 29.54 -<br />
Source: Company, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research<br />
Metro rail projects execution on track<br />
The company has a portfolio of three projects, of which Delhi Metro rail project was commissioned in February<br />
2011, Mumbai metro line phase– I is expected to be operational by 4QFY12 and Mumbai metro line phase -II<br />
by FY16.<br />
Delhi metro rail reported heavy traffic in June 2011 of 12,000 passengers/day (initially estimated as FY12<br />
traffic target) and leased out 25% of land parcels at New Delhi and Shivaji stations at Rs425/sq. ft. We have<br />
assumed passenger traffic of 28,000 in FY12 and average leasing rate of Rs325 /sq. ft. at a majority of real<br />
estate parcels in Dwarka. We have valued Delhi metro rail project based on FCFE methodology with a CoE of<br />
16%, which accounts for Rs 18/share in our SOTP valuation.<br />
Exhibit 17: Metro rail projects<br />
Metro rail projects<br />
Length Project cost Debt Grant Equity COD/Rev Concession<br />
(km) (Rsbn) (Rsbn) (Rsbn) (Rsbn)<br />
start period (years)<br />
Stake (%)<br />
Delhi 23 24.5 17.15 7.35 Feb-11 30 95<br />
Mumbai - Phase 1 11 25 12.75 6.75 5.5 Q4FY12 35 69<br />
Mumbai - Phase II 32 110 70.4 23.1 16.5 Within 5 year 35* 48<br />
Source: Company, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research *could be extended for further 10 yrs<br />
Largest private player in power transmission projects<br />
The company is developing five power transmission projects worth about Rs66bn, which includes WRSS,<br />
Parabati-Koldam, Mumbai transmission, North Karanpura and Talcher II. The company has commissioned<br />
two lines of WRSS project, i.e. Solapur-Karad and Limbdi-Vadavi, and expects the entire project to be<br />
commissioned in FY12. We have valued the transmission business (WRSS project) at Rs14/share by<br />
assuming CoE at 16%.<br />
Exhibit 18: Power transmission projects<br />
Transmission<br />
projects<br />
Project cost<br />
(Rsbn)<br />
Tariff<br />
structure<br />
Stake<br />
(%)<br />
Remarks<br />
WRSS 13.8 Competitive 100 Commissioned two lines ,i.e Solapur Karad and Limbdi - Vadavi<br />
Parabati-Koldam 10.7 Regulated 74 Signed financing agreement with PFC and REC for debt amount of Rs7.7bn<br />
Obtained approval from MOP for commencement of work<br />
Construction activity has commenced at project site<br />
Mumbai transmission 18 Regulated 100 All major equipment orders such as for GIS, transformers, cables placed<br />
Three receiving stations already charged in FY11<br />
North Karanpura 15.5 Competitive 100 Acquisition process completed<br />
Talcher II 8.2 Competitive 100 Acquisition process completed<br />
Total 66.2 - - -<br />
Source: Company, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research<br />
Transmission licence received and project execution commenced<br />
Transmission license received and project execution commenced<br />
47 Reliance Infra