Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading
Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading
Institutional Equities - Online Share Trading
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<strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong><br />
Exhibit 32: NHAI projects awarded recently<br />
Road segment: Improvement in order inflow, but at a cost<br />
In the past six months (April 2011 onwards), NHAI (National Highways Authority of India) awarded projects<br />
worth Rs164bn (around 1,851km) and gave a clear timeline (with project-wise details) for awarding projects<br />
worth nearly Rs483bn during the next six months. However, the delay in order NHAI pick-up in FY11 and<br />
lack of momentum in other sectors, coupled with existing projects nearing completion, increased the<br />
competition for projects. This is visible in the bidding pattern for nine projects awarded this year (NHAI had<br />
estimated aggregate outflow as grants, but on the other hand the developers promised a certain premium in<br />
most of the projects).<br />
Traction in road segment’s order inflow<br />
NHAI is expected to tender road projects of around 24,000km in the next three years, out of which around<br />
8,000km road projects are expected to be awarded in FY12. During the past six months (April 2011 onwards),<br />
NHAI awarded projects worth Rs164bn (around 1,851km) and gave a clear timeline (with project-wise details)<br />
for awarding projects worth around Rs483bn in the next six months. During FY10-11, NHAI had planned to<br />
award around 18,800km, but only 8,450km of road projects (around 50% of planned projects) were awarded<br />
due to a variety of reasons like (land acquisition problems, shifting of utilities, inaccurate preparation of<br />
detailed plan report (DPR), non-receipt of environmental, forest and railway clearances, cost over-run, delay in<br />
commissioning, legal disputes and corruption cases). We believe that most of the issues relating to the project<br />
have been resolved after the implementation of the B. K. Chaturvedi report recommendations (refer Exhibit<br />
no.36) and NHAI seems better placed to speed up the award of projects and meet its target unhindered. The<br />
recent momentum in awarding projects (~25% of planned projects in four months) and newer achievable<br />
targets give us more confidence.<br />
NHDP status (as on 30 April 2011) Phase Total<br />
I II III IV V VI VII<br />
Total length (km) 7,609 7,300 12,109 14,799 6,500 1,000 700 50,017<br />
Completed till date (km) 7,076 5,683 2,294 0 596 - - 15,649<br />
Completion rate as a % of total 93.0 77.8 18.9 - 9.2 - - 31.3<br />
Completion from 30 April 2010- 31 March 2011 (km) 97 616 645 - 353 - - 1,711<br />
Under implementation (UI) (km) 513 1,038 5,805 765 1,918 0 41 10,080<br />
UI as a % of total 6.7 14.2 47.9 5.2 29.5 0.0 5.9 20.2<br />
Balance length for award (BFA) (km) 20 421 4,010 14,034 3,986 1,000 659 24,130<br />
BFA as a % of total 0.3 5.8 33.1 94.8 61.3 100.0 94.1 48.2<br />
Investments ($bn) 1.26 6.60 9.97 8.85 3.71 3.71 34.09<br />
Source: NHAI, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research<br />
Exhibit 33: State-wise PPP road projects<br />
Completed Ongoing Upcoming<br />
Length Project cost Length Project cost Length Project cost Project cost<br />
(km) (Rsmn) (km) (Rsmn) (km) $ bn Rsbn<br />
Rajasthan 416 1,200 352 6,600 1,309 0.4 17.20<br />
Madhya Pradesh 1,629 14,200 974 24,900 914 0.4 17.70<br />
Karnataka 63 1,900 238 5,800 2,650 1.3 56.43<br />
Gujarat 507 32,600 644 29,300 329 0.5 21.30<br />
Maharashtra 403 25,000 2,267 50,500 1,839 1.6 74.20<br />
Andhra Pradesh 45 2,100 655 55,900 2,086 1.4 60.90<br />
Tamil Nadu 113 600 52 15,000 251 - -<br />
Uttar Pradesh - - 1,117 400 2,924 3.9 177.00<br />
Total 3,176 77,600 6,299 1,88,400 12,302 9.4 424.7<br />
Source: NHAI, Nirmal Bang <strong>Institutional</strong> <strong>Equities</strong> Research<br />
15 Infrastructure Sector