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Global Health Watch 1 in one file

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dispute settlement mechanism, which was not considered <strong>in</strong> the 2004 report)<br />

and other trade policy <strong>in</strong>stitutions conform to this pr<strong>in</strong>ciple.<br />

On the second po<strong>in</strong>t, recognition is grow<strong>in</strong>g of both the desirability and<br />

the difficulty of devis<strong>in</strong>g some mechanism of global <strong>in</strong>come transfers. Yunker<br />

(2004) uses a global econometric model (the World Economic Equalization<br />

Programme, or WEEP) to simulate the effects over a 50–year period of a ‘global<br />

Marshall Plan’ to raise economic growth <strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world us<strong>in</strong>g major<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> development assistance f<strong>in</strong>anced by national treasuries. While<br />

he is candid about the huge uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong>herent <strong>in</strong> such simulations, he<br />

concludes that if such a programme were implemented, ‘the liv<strong>in</strong>g standards<br />

of what are the poorest countries of today would have improved sufficiently,<br />

by the end of the period, to be comparable to those of the richest countries<br />

today’. This result, <strong>in</strong>conceivable <strong>in</strong> a bus<strong>in</strong>ess-as-usual scenario, is relatively<br />

<strong>in</strong>sensitive to variations <strong>in</strong> key assumptions. However, it would require annual<br />

development assistance commitments by the rich countries on the order of<br />

2–4% of GNI or GNP – far higher than the 0.7% target, now reached by only a<br />

few countries (see part E, chapter 5).<br />

If such national commitments are unlikely, what <strong>in</strong>ternational revenuerais<strong>in</strong>g<br />

mechanisms might be considered? Taxes on arms trade and <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

air travel have been proposed, although neither would raise<br />

substantial revenue (US$ 5–20 billion annually). A carbon tax on high-<strong>in</strong>come<br />

countries only (at a rate low enough not to be a drag on consumption) would<br />

generate around US$ 125 billion annually; the rationale for not impos<strong>in</strong>g it<br />

universally is that some low-<strong>in</strong>come countries with small populations could<br />

pay higher amounts of their <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong> such a tax than people <strong>in</strong> high-<strong>in</strong>come<br />

countries, render<strong>in</strong>g it regressive rather than progressive. A currency transaction<br />

tax of 0.25% (the so-called Tob<strong>in</strong> tax) would generate over US$ 170<br />

billion annually, accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>one</strong> estimate (others suggest it may be considerably<br />

less), and is perhaps the least difficult to implement.<br />

Other suggestions to address the problem of MNEs and wealthy <strong>in</strong>dividuals<br />

shift<strong>in</strong>g assets and operations around the world <strong>in</strong>clude the issuance of <strong>one</strong><br />

tax identification number that ensured corporate or personal confidentiality,<br />

but would allow all jurisdictions believ<strong>in</strong>g they had a tax claim to levy it; and<br />

national withhold<strong>in</strong>g taxes on all capital leav<strong>in</strong>g a country, to limit the possibilities<br />

for capital flight (Clunies-Ross 2004).<br />

These policy options, even more than others we have described, face formidable<br />

political difficulties. They challenge the orthodoxy of neoliberal economics,<br />

and would <strong>in</strong>volve fundamental shifts <strong>in</strong> the global distribution of wealth<br />

and power. History suggests that such changes demand radical (and not always<br />

<strong>Health</strong> for all <strong>in</strong> a ‘borderless world’?<br />

43

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