2012 Global Market report - NAI Global

2012 Global Market report - NAI Global 2012 Global Market report - NAI Global

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Harrisburg/York/Lebanon, Pennsylvania Lancaster, Pennsylvania Contact NAI CIR +1 717 761 5070 Metropolitan Area Economic Overview 2011 Population 2016 Estimated Population Employment Population Household Average Income Median Household Income Total Population Median Age 1,136,796 1,211,743 612,747 $69,122 $56,829 39 With variable economic conditions nationally, the Central Pennsylvania market, with strong ties to the manufacturing and medical sectors, has shown no signs of significant economic retrenchment. Rental rates have remained static and vacancy rates have slightly decreased by 1% or 2%. Large national companies including Hershey Foods, Rite- Aid, Graham Packaging and Giant foods, combined with a large government sector, help provide stability to our area. Occupancy for the CBD and the suburban office continues to hover at approximately 90%. The office market is showing signs of movement with a significant purchase in Carlisle of two medical office buildings totaling 38,810 SF and Trans Core leasing 46,000 SF of office space in Harrisburg. The Central Pennsylvania office market rates remain relatively low allowing tenants to find competitive rates that fit their needs. The Industrial market remains the largest segment of economic development in Central Pennsylvania. With major highways, Rt. 81, 83, and the Pennsylvania Turnpike (I-76), the region offers a centralized hub for distribution. Volvo Construction Equipment is in the process of a $100 million project to move operations from North Carolina to Central Pennsylvania. This follows a 2007 renovation of 200,000 SF of warehouse space. Additionally, Volvo added another 28,800 SF for office space. Also in the region, Menlo Logistics, a leader in worldwide truck logistics, expanded regionally and leased another 201,600 SF in Harrisburg. New development has not dramatically rebounded within the past year. However, the lack of new projects has contributed to an overall lowering of vacancy rates across all sectors. The second half of 2011 has evidenced occasional signs of development with 7.67 acres of land being developed for retail in Carlisle and 9.7 acres being developed for office space in the suburban East Shore of Harrisburg. Central Pennsylvania is currently poised in a strong regional position as a leader in pushing through the current economic rebound. Contact NAI Commercial Partners +1 717 283 0600 Metropolitan Area Economic Overview 2011 Population 2016 Estimated Population Employment Population Household Average Income Median Household Income Total Population Median Age 528,756 565,996 275,192 $70,730 $56,486 37 Lancaster’s CBD continues to see new investment on the heels of the Convention Center opening including the acquisition of the former Pennsylvania Academy of Music by Millersville University as well as redevelopment of the Historic East Side into a mix of retail, office and residential uses. Lease rates/property values within the city have stabilized as a result of lower vacancy rates and migration of many businesses into the city attracted by an urban environment’s amenities. Lease rates for all classes of suburban offices have remained fairly consistent over the previous 12 months with some positive absorption in Class B and C spaces but overall vacancy levels remain historically high. Any new projects being developed are coming from the institutional sectors and include a new county forensic center and the new Ann B. Barshinger Cancer Center being developed at Lancaster General Hospital’s Health Campus. The industrial market has seen the most activity throughout 2011 with significant demand coming from established business owners that have taken advantage of attractive pricing and financing to acquire existing buildings that have come on the market. Lease rates have remained fairly constant throughout the industrial market with modest positive absorption being realized. Industrial land sales have been virtually non-existent as buyers look to revitalize existing buildings rather than incur the time and expense of ground up construction. Retail occupancy rates for anchored centers have risen, while unanchored centers have experienced mild negative absorption as a continuation of performance of 2010. Anchored retail center absorption was a positive 11,927 SF for the first half of 2011 creating an overall vacancy rate of 5%. The market continues to be under served, but is progressing with examples such as Mill Creek Square’s lease-up (Kohl’s, Bed Bath & Beyond anchored) adding Staples, along with Red Robin in the prominent pad position. Also boosting retail growth is the county’s second Target entry which opened in Lititz. CBD leasing activity remains soft, but suburban and regional demand is on a gradual upswing evidenced by backfilling of the vacant Circuit City and Linens N Things by HH Gregg and Home Goods respectively. Harrisburg/York/Lebanon At A Glance (Rent/SF/YR) low High effective avg. Vacancy doWntoWn offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) suburban offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) IndustrIal $ $ $ $ $ $ 17.50 16.00 14.00 19.50 16.75 12.00 $ $ $ $ $ $ 24.00 22.00 17.50 21.00 20.00 17.00 $ 20.75 $ 19.00 $ 15.75 $ 20.25 $ 18.37 $ 14.75 N/A 6.00% 8.00% N/A 13.00% 20.00% Bulk Warehouse Manufacturing High Tech/R&D retaIl $ $ $ 1.25 1.00 4.00 $ $ $ 4.00 3.00 9.00 $ $ $ 2.75 2.50 6.50 17.00% 10.00% 12.00% Downtown Neighborhood Service Centers Community Power Center Regional Malls $ $ $ $ 12.00 6.00 15.00 13.00 $ $ $ $ 15.00 20.00 25.00 25.00 $ 13.50 $ 13.00 $ 18.00 $ 18.00 13.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% deVeloPment land Low/Acre High/Acre Office in CBD Land in Office Parks Land in Industrial Parks Office/Industrial Land - Non-park Retail/Commercial Land Residential $ $ $ $ $ 75,000.00 125,000.00 80,000.00 100,000.00 150,000.00 N/A $ $ $ $ $ 150,000.00 225,000.00 135,000.00 250,000.00 1,750,000.00 N/A Lancaster At A Glance (Rent/SF/YR) low High effective avg. Vacancy doWntoWn offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) $ N/A 11.00 $ N/A 13.00 N/A $ 12.00 N/A N/A Class B (Secondary) suburban offIce $ 7.50 $ 9.00 $ 8.25 12.00% New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) IndustrIal $ $ $ 18.00 14.00 10.00 $ $ $ 22.00 18.00 12.00 $ 20.00 $ 16.00 $ 11.00 N/A 17.00% 21.00% Bulk Warehouse Manufacturing High Tech/R&D retaIl Downtown $ $ $ $ 3.50 3.50 6.75 6.00 $ $ $ $ 5.50 4.50 8.25 10.00 $ $ $ $ 4.50 4.00 7.50 8.00 5.00% 19.00% 9.00% N/A Neighborhood Service Centers Community Power Center Regional Malls $ $ $ 10.00 16.00 18.00 $ $ $ 13.00 22.00 22.00 $ 11.50 $ 19.00 $ 20.00 12.00% 6.00% 9.00% deVeloPment land Low/Acre High/Acre Office in CBD Land in Office Parks Land in Industrial Parks Office/Industrial Land - Non-park Retail/Commercial Land Residential $ $ $ $ $ N/A 125,000.00 80,000.00 60,000.00 175,000.00 20,000.00 $ $ $ $ $ N/A 250,000.00 110,000.00 80,000.00 450,000.00 40,000.00 2012 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com 129

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Philadelphia Suburbs, Pennsylvania Contact NAI Geis Realty Group +1 215 568 7222 NAI Mertz +1 215 221 1100 Metropolitan Area Economic Overview 2011 Population 2016 Estimated Population Employment Population Household Average Income 5,987,739 6,086,531 3,104,793 $83,835 On the heels of a strong Q4 of 2010, the market was poised for a respectable rebound in 2011. The year showed early promise but continued national economic weakness and Washington’s dysfunction resulted in a lackluster market. Rates barely moved, absorption was positive in the CBD but vacancy is still over 14%. The market activity could be described as “musical chairs”, with the healthcare sector once again leading the way with real expansion. Notable transactions include: Children’s Hospital of Pennsylvania renewed and expanded a lease at 100 Penn Square West for 252,000 SF; Janney Montgomery Scott relocated to Three Logan Square leasing 125,000 SF and Glaxo Smith Kline is moving from the CBD to the Philadelphia Navy Yard for a 205,000 SF build to suit. Philadelphia continues to receive interest on a global basis as heavy manufacturing, hi-tech, drug and alternative energy companies seek labor, power, rail, port and economic incentives offered specifically within The Philadelphia Naval Yard and other industrial sites under the control of the Philadelphia Industrial Development Corporation. The Naval Yard was designated a KOIZ adding 1200 acres of industrially zoned land with port and rail facilities to the 44,000 acres of developable land designated within Pennsylvania's KOZs throughout the state. Notable transactions include the sale of 150 acres for Teva Pharmaceutical’s 1,000,000 SF distribution center; completion of the 700,000 SF Produce Terminal and Car Vision’s lease of 736,640 SF. Liberty Property Trust is building two 51,000 SF flex buildings within the former Navy Yard on speculation. Retail has experienced little change and remained resilient in 2011. Food related business openings continue to lead the market. In Center City, several national retailers and local entrepreneurs have turned vacant locations into successful business locations. Notable transactions include the purchase of the 70,000+ SF former Please Touch Museum on Race Street in Center City. In Northeast Philadelphia, Giant Supermarket, LA Fitness and Bottom Dollar Supermarket have recently opened. Contact NAI Geis Realty Group +1 215 568 7222 Metropolitan Area Economic Overview 2011 Population 2016 Estimated Population Employment Population Household Average Income 1,942,193 2,014,910 1,060,872 $106,424 A slow recovery continues in the Philadelphia suburban office market where a slight positive absorption is encouraging. The recovery, however, seems isolated to just a few submarkets. The overall vacancy rate is near 20%, but markets such as Conshohocken, Plymouth Meeting Main Line and Jenkintown have experienced positive absorption and increased asking rates. Sale activity is significantly down as most of the action seems to be owners involved in “workouts”, or properties being taken over by special servicers looking to stabilize their assets. Due to a lack of speculative construction, large blocks of space (50,000 SF+) are difficult to find and could create potential build to suite activity. Significant lease activity includes Brokerage Concepts relocated to Lakeside I in Blue Bell for 43,000 SF, Larsen Allen LLP relocated to 610 Germantown Pike in Plymouth Meeting for 28,000 SF, NRC relocated to 2100 Renaissance Boulevard in King of Prussia for 80,000 SF and PJM Interconnection leased 2750 Monroe Boulevard in Valley Forge for 105,846 SF. The Philadelphia industrial suburban market is a diversified and balanced economy and remains active with a decrease of vacancy to 6%. Rates are holding steady and large blocks of space are hard to find. Significant activity includes GE Infrastructure leased 33,000 SF in Bensalem, Estee Lauder leased 241,000 SF in Bristol and National Fulfillment Services leased 125,000 SF in Delaware County. The retail market is moving in the right direction, but some of the players are changing. big box users such as Best Buy, Staples and Target are becoming more conservative; Wegmans and Walmart continue to grow and open new locations. Traditionally strong retail centers such as King of Prussia, Cherry Hill and Oxford Valley are now experiencing big box vacancies and supermarket closings have increased due to over saturation and Wegmans growth in the market. Median Household Income $62,375 Median Household Income $81,028 Total Population Median Age 37 Total Population Median Age 39 Philadelphia At A Glance (Rent/SF/YR) low High effective avg. Vacancy doWntoWn offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) suburban offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) IndustrIal $ $ $ $ $ N/A 24.00 17.00 27.00 25.00 16.00 $ $ $ $ $ N/A 32.00 23.00 35.00 33.00 23.00 N/A $ 27.00 $ 20.00 $ 31.00 $ 29.00 $ 19.00 N/A 12.00% 11.00% 25.00% 17.00% 18.50% Bulk Warehouse Manufacturing High Tech/R&D retaIl $ $ $ 1.50 2.25 5.50 $ $ $ 4.50 5.00 8.50 $ $ $ 3.00 3.25 6.00 14.00% 8.00% 10.00% Downtown Neighborhood Service Centers Community Power Center Regional Malls $ $ $ 18.00 12.00 18.00 N/A $ $ $ 80.00 20.00 38.00 N/A $ 35.00 $ 16.00 $ 27.00 N/A 9.00% 11.00% 10.00% N/A deVeloPment land Low/Acre High/Acre Office in CBD Land in Office Parks Land in Industrial Parks Office/Industrial Land - Non-park Retail/Commercial Land Residential $ $ $ $ N/A 80,000.00 30,000.00 90,000.00 400,000.00 N/A $ $ $ $ N/A 400,000.00 200,000.00 750,000.00 2,000,000.00 N/A Philadelphia Suburbs At A Glance (Rent/SF/YR) low High effective avg. Vacancy doWntoWn offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) suburban offIce New Construction (AAA) Class A (Prime) Class B (Secondary) IndustrIal N/A N/A N/A $ 27.00 $ 25.00 $ 16.00 N/A N/A N/A $ 35.00 $ 33.00 $ 23.00 N/A N/A N/A $ 31.00 $ 29.00 $ 19.00 N/A N/A N/A 25.00% 17.00% 18.50% Bulk Warehouse Manufacturing $ $ 2.50 2.75 $ $ 4.75 5.00 $ $ 4.00 3.10 8.00% 7.00% High Tech/R&D retaIl Downtown Neighborhood Service Centers Community Power Center Regional Malls $ 7.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A $ 12.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A $ 8.50 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8.00% N/A N/A N/A N/A deVeloPment land Low/Acre High/Acre Office in CBD Land in Office Parks Land in Industrial Parks Office/Industrial Land - Non-park Retail/Commercial Land Residential $ $ $ $ N/A 80,000.00 30,000.00 90,000.00 400,000.00 N/A $ $ $ $ N/A 400,000.00 200,000.00 750,000.00 2,000,000.00 N/A 2012 Global Market Report n www.naiglobal.com 130

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania<br />

Philadelphia Suburbs, Pennsylvania<br />

Contact<br />

<strong>NAI</strong> Geis Realty<br />

Group<br />

+1 215 568 7222<br />

<strong>NAI</strong> Mertz<br />

+1 215 221 1100<br />

Metropolitan Area<br />

Economic Overview<br />

2011<br />

Population<br />

2016 Estimated<br />

Population<br />

Employment<br />

Population<br />

Household<br />

Average Income<br />

5,987,739<br />

6,086,531<br />

3,104,793<br />

$83,835<br />

On the heels of a strong Q4 of 2010, the market was poised<br />

for a respectable rebound in 2011. The year showed early<br />

promise but continued national economic weakness and<br />

Washington’s dysfunction resulted in a lackluster market.<br />

Rates barely moved, absorption was positive in the CBD but<br />

vacancy is still over 14%. The market activity could be<br />

described as “musical chairs”, with the healthcare sector once<br />

again leading the way with real expansion.<br />

Notable transactions include: Children’s Hospital of<br />

Pennsylvania renewed and expanded a lease at 100 Penn<br />

Square West for 252,000 SF; Janney Montgomery Scott<br />

relocated to Three Logan Square leasing 125,000 SF<br />

and Glaxo Smith Kline is moving from the CBD to the<br />

Philadelphia Navy Yard for a 205,000 SF build to suit.<br />

Philadelphia continues to receive interest on a global basis as<br />

heavy manufacturing, hi-tech, drug and alternative energy<br />

companies seek labor, power, rail, port and economic<br />

incentives offered specifically within The Philadelphia Naval<br />

Yard and other industrial sites under the control of the<br />

Philadelphia Industrial Development Corporation. The Naval<br />

Yard was designated a KOIZ adding 1200 acres of industrially<br />

zoned land with port and rail facilities to the 44,000 acres of<br />

developable land designated within Pennsylvania's KOZs<br />

throughout the state. Notable transactions include the sale<br />

of 150 acres for Teva Pharmaceutical’s 1,000,000 SF<br />

distribution center; completion of the 700,000 SF Produce<br />

Terminal and Car Vision’s lease of 736,640 SF. Liberty<br />

Property Trust is building two 51,000 SF flex buildings within<br />

the former Navy Yard on speculation.<br />

Retail has experienced little change and remained resilient in<br />

2011. Food related business openings continue to lead the<br />

market. In Center City, several national retailers and local<br />

entrepreneurs have turned vacant locations into successful<br />

business locations. Notable transactions include the purchase<br />

of the 70,000+ SF former Please Touch Museum on<br />

Race Street in Center City. In Northeast Philadelphia, Giant<br />

Supermarket, LA Fitness and Bottom Dollar Supermarket have<br />

recently opened.<br />

Contact<br />

<strong>NAI</strong> Geis Realty<br />

Group<br />

+1 215 568 7222<br />

Metropolitan Area<br />

Economic Overview<br />

2011<br />

Population<br />

2016 Estimated<br />

Population<br />

Employment<br />

Population<br />

Household<br />

Average Income<br />

1,942,193<br />

2,014,910<br />

1,060,872<br />

$106,424<br />

A slow recovery continues in the Philadelphia suburban<br />

office market where a slight positive absorption is<br />

encouraging. The recovery, however, seems isolated to just<br />

a few submarkets. The overall vacancy rate is near 20%,<br />

but markets such as Conshohocken, Plymouth Meeting<br />

Main Line and Jenkintown have experienced positive<br />

absorption and increased asking rates.<br />

Sale activity is significantly down as most of the action<br />

seems to be owners involved in “workouts”, or properties<br />

being taken over by special servicers looking to stabilize<br />

their assets. Due to a lack of speculative construction, large<br />

blocks of space (50,000 SF+) are difficult to find and could<br />

create potential build to suite activity. Significant lease<br />

activity includes Brokerage Concepts relocated to Lakeside<br />

I in Blue Bell for 43,000 SF, Larsen Allen LLP relocated to<br />

610 Germantown Pike in Plymouth Meeting for 28,000 SF,<br />

NRC relocated to 2100 Renaissance Boulevard in King of<br />

Prussia for 80,000 SF and PJM Interconnection leased<br />

2750 Monroe Boulevard in Valley Forge for 105,846 SF.<br />

The Philadelphia industrial suburban market is a diversified<br />

and balanced economy and remains active with a decrease<br />

of vacancy to 6%. Rates are holding steady and large blocks<br />

of space are hard to find. Significant activity includes GE<br />

Infrastructure leased 33,000 SF in Bensalem, Estee Lauder<br />

leased 241,000 SF in Bristol and National Fulfillment<br />

Services leased 125,000 SF in Delaware County.<br />

The retail market is moving in the right direction, but some<br />

of the players are changing. big box users such as Best<br />

Buy, Staples and Target are becoming more conservative;<br />

Wegmans and Walmart continue to grow and open new<br />

locations. Traditionally strong retail centers such as King of<br />

Prussia, Cherry Hill and Oxford Valley are now experiencing<br />

big box vacancies and supermarket closings have increased<br />

due to over saturation and Wegmans growth in the market.<br />

Median<br />

Household Income<br />

$62,375<br />

Median<br />

Household Income<br />

$81,028<br />

Total Population<br />

Median Age<br />

37<br />

Total Population<br />

Median Age<br />

39<br />

Philadelphia At A Glance<br />

(Rent/SF/YR) low High effective avg. Vacancy<br />

doWntoWn offIce<br />

New Construction (AAA)<br />

Class A (Prime)<br />

Class B (Secondary)<br />

suburban offIce<br />

New Construction (AAA)<br />

Class A (Prime)<br />

Class B (Secondary)<br />

IndustrIal<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

N/A<br />

24.00<br />

17.00<br />

27.00<br />

25.00<br />

16.00<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

N/A<br />

32.00<br />

23.00<br />

35.00<br />

33.00<br />

23.00<br />

N/A<br />

$ 27.00<br />

$ 20.00<br />

$ 31.00<br />

$ 29.00<br />

$ 19.00<br />

N/A<br />

12.00%<br />

11.00%<br />

25.00%<br />

17.00%<br />

18.50%<br />

Bulk Warehouse<br />

Manufacturing<br />

High Tech/R&D<br />

retaIl<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

1.50<br />

2.25<br />

5.50<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

4.50<br />

5.00<br />

8.50<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

3.00<br />

3.25<br />

6.00<br />

14.00%<br />

8.00%<br />

10.00%<br />

Downtown<br />

Neighborhood Service Centers<br />

Community Power Center<br />

Regional Malls<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

18.00<br />

12.00<br />

18.00<br />

N/A<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

80.00<br />

20.00<br />

38.00<br />

N/A<br />

$ 35.00<br />

$ 16.00<br />

$ 27.00<br />

N/A<br />

9.00%<br />

11.00%<br />

10.00%<br />

N/A<br />

deVeloPment land Low/Acre High/Acre<br />

Office in CBD<br />

Land in Office Parks<br />

Land in Industrial Parks<br />

Office/Industrial Land - Non-park<br />

Retail/Commercial Land<br />

Residential<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

N/A<br />

80,000.00<br />

30,000.00<br />

90,000.00<br />

400,000.00<br />

N/A<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

N/A<br />

400,000.00<br />

200,000.00<br />

750,000.00<br />

2,000,000.00<br />

N/A<br />

Philadelphia Suburbs At A Glance<br />

(Rent/SF/YR) low High effective avg. Vacancy<br />

doWntoWn offIce<br />

New Construction (AAA)<br />

Class A (Prime)<br />

Class B (Secondary)<br />

suburban offIce<br />

New Construction (AAA)<br />

Class A (Prime)<br />

Class B (Secondary)<br />

IndustrIal<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

$ 27.00<br />

$ 25.00<br />

$ 16.00<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

$ 35.00<br />

$ 33.00<br />

$ 23.00<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

$ 31.00<br />

$ 29.00<br />

$ 19.00<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

25.00%<br />

17.00%<br />

18.50%<br />

Bulk Warehouse<br />

Manufacturing<br />

$<br />

$<br />

2.50<br />

2.75<br />

$<br />

$<br />

4.75<br />

5.00<br />

$<br />

$<br />

4.00<br />

3.10<br />

8.00%<br />

7.00%<br />

High Tech/R&D<br />

retaIl<br />

Downtown<br />

Neighborhood Service Centers<br />

Community Power Center<br />

Regional Malls<br />

$ 7.00<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

$ 12.00<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

$ 8.50<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

8.00%<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

N/A<br />

deVeloPment land Low/Acre High/Acre<br />

Office in CBD<br />

Land in Office Parks<br />

Land in Industrial Parks<br />

Office/Industrial Land - Non-park<br />

Retail/Commercial Land<br />

Residential<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

N/A<br />

80,000.00<br />

30,000.00<br />

90,000.00<br />

400,000.00<br />

N/A<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

$<br />

N/A<br />

400,000.00<br />

200,000.00<br />

750,000.00<br />

2,000,000.00<br />

N/A<br />

<strong>2012</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Market</strong> Report n www.naiglobal.com 130

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