27.10.2014 Views

自杀未遂危险因素的病例对照研究 - 北京心理危机研究与干预中心

自杀未遂危险因素的病例对照研究 - 北京心理危机研究与干预中心

自杀未遂危险因素的病例对照研究 - 北京心理危机研究与干预中心

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

2001 8 22 4 Chin J Epidemiol ,August 2001 ,Vol. 22 ,No. 4<br />

281<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

152 1 1 <br />

( 37. 7 %4. 0 % ,<br />

2 = 45. 45 , P < 0. 001) <br />

logistic :( OR = 67. 47 ,95 % CI<br />

8. 85514. 56) ( OR = 13. 85 ,95 % CI 2. 0195. 55) <br />

( OR = 5. 40 ,95 % CI 1. 1226. 08) <br />

<br />

; ; ; <br />

A case2control study on attempted suicide L I Xianyun 3 , YA N G Rongshan , ZHA N G Chi , et al .<br />

3 Research Center of Clinical Epidemiology , Beijing Hui L ong Guan Hospital , Beijing 100096 , China<br />

AbstractObjective To assess the independent risk factors of attempted suicide and the<br />

importance of mental illness as a risk factor. Methods Detailed assessments of 152 suicide attempters<br />

treated in general hospitals and 152 matched controls through questionaires. Results The rate of mental<br />

illness in the suicide attemptersgroup was significantly higher than that in the control group (37. 7 %<br />

versus 4. 0 % , paired Chi square = 45. 45 , P < 0. 001) . Conditional logistic regression identified three<br />

independent predictors of suicidal behavior : severe acute stress ( OR = 67. 47 , 95 % CI : 8. 852514. 56) ,<br />

presence of mental illness ( OR = 13. 85 , 95 % CI : 2. 01295. 55) , and immense psychological effect of<br />

negative life events in the prior year ( OR = 5. 30 , 95 % CI :1. 12226. 08) . Conclusion Mental illness is an<br />

important risk factor of attempted suicide , but not an essential pre2condition of suicide attempts. It is<br />

important to establish a national suicide prevention plan that which is pertinent to the conditions in China.<br />

Key wordsRisk factors ; Attempted suicide ; Case2control study ; Mental illness<br />

1990 180 <br />

34 ,<br />

[1 ] ,<br />

<br />

,<br />

,<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

1. :1999 58 <br />

<br />

<br />

:100096 (<br />

) ;(<br />

) ;()<br />

153<br />

,152 ,<br />

1 1 ;<br />

( 5 ) <br />

;<br />

,<br />

<br />

2. :<br />

<br />

3 <br />

3 h ,: <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

(<br />

,<br />

) ; <br />

<br />

(DSM2IV [2 ] )


282 <br />

2001 8 22 4 Chin J Epidemiol ,August 2001 ,Vol. 22 ,No. 4<br />

3. :<br />

<br />

2 t <br />

,,<br />

,logistic <br />

O R ,logistic<br />

,<br />

<br />

<br />

152 ,74. 3 % (113 ) ;<br />

80. 9 %(123 ) ;73. 0 %(111 ) <br />

(33. 0 11. 1) <br />

(33. 6 10. 7) ,t = - 2. 43 , P = 0. 016 <br />

1 <br />

2 ,: <br />

,<br />

,; <br />

; <br />

,(1 ) ( > 1 ) <br />

; ,<br />

; ; <br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

( P > 0. 05) <br />

logistic (3) ,<br />

:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

90 %<br />

1 152 ()<br />

<br />

( + )<br />

( + )<br />

(n)<br />

( + )<br />

( - )<br />

(n)<br />

( - )<br />

( + )<br />

(n)<br />

( - )<br />

( - )<br />

(n)<br />

OR (95 % CI)<br />

P <br />

4 53 2 92 26. 5 (6. 98224. 51) < 0. 001 3<br />

0 29 0 120 - < 0. 001<br />

0 7 0 143 - 0. 016<br />

2 21 6 122 3. 5 (1. 3710. 60) 0. 007<br />

3 <br />

2 = 45. 45<br />

2 152 ()<br />

<br />

( gx s)<br />

<br />

( gx s)<br />

<br />

( gd s)<br />

<br />

t <br />

P <br />

2 151 45. 25 88. 49 2. 23 20. 33 43. 03 87. 71 6. 03 < 0. 001<br />

() 152 1. 25 1. 98 0. 80 1. 00 0. 45 2. 03 2. 71 0. 007<br />

152 6. 22 2. 97 3. 25 2. 22 2. 97 3. 48 10. 53 < 0. 001<br />

( > 1 ) 152 2. 70 2. 18 1. 97 1. 96 0. 72 2. 82 3. 16 0. 002<br />

( 1 ) 152 1. 11 0. 84 0. 04 0. 23 1. 07 0. 87 15. 03 < 0. 001<br />

152<br />

63. 71 60. 27 32. 88 40. 64 30. 84 70. 88 5. 36 < 0. 001<br />

152 113. 32 80. 61 10. 32 24. 31 103. 00 83. 94 15. 13 < 0. 001<br />

(0100) 152 57. 28 13. 10 65. 93 10. 99 - 8. 65 16. 61 - 6. 42 < 0. 001<br />

3 125 54. 88 6. 69 58. 86 5. 40 - 3. 99 8. 67 - 5. 41 < 0. 001<br />

3 125 44. 02 7. 98 51. 26 6. 30 - 7. 23 10. 21 - 7. 92 < 0. 001<br />

3 <br />

3 logistic 3<br />

s gx P OR 95 %<br />

4. 21 1. 04 0. 000 67. 47 8. 85514. 56<br />

2. 63 0. 99 0. 008 13. 85 2. 0195. 55<br />

1. 69 0. 80 0. 036 5. 40 1. 1226. 08<br />

0. 95 0. 71 0. 180 2. 58 0. 6510. 28<br />

- 0. 78 0. 63 0. 218 0. 46 0. 131. 58<br />

0. 56 0. 58 0. 331 1. 76 0. 565. 49<br />

3 152 ,124 <br />

154


2001 8 22 4 Chin J Epidemiol ,August 2001 ,Vol. 22 ,No. 4<br />

283<br />

<br />

,<br />

[3 ,4 ] [5 ,6 ] <br />

<br />

[5 ] ,<br />

,<br />

<br />

,37. 7 %<br />

logistic <br />

,,<br />

<br />

,,<br />

<br />

,<br />

<br />

WHO 1998 <br />

95 [7 ] ;<br />

1020 [8 ] ,950 <br />

1 900,<br />

1998 25 <br />

,<br />

<br />

: (1) <br />

; (2) ;<br />

(3) ,<br />

<br />

,( ) <br />

,,<br />

<br />

; <br />

,(<br />

) ; <br />

,<br />

,<br />

<br />

(SIDA) ;<br />

<br />

,<br />

<br />

1 Murray CJL , Lopez AD. 1996 Global health statistics. Cambridge :<br />

Harvard University Press , 1996. 824.<br />

2 American Psychiatric Association. Diagnostic and statistical manual of<br />

mental disorders. 4th ed. Washington DC , 1996. 12688.<br />

3 Beautrais AL , Joyce PR , Mulder RT , et al. Prevalence and comorbidity<br />

of mental disorders in persons making serious suicide attempts : a case2<br />

control study. Am J Psychiatry , 1996 ,153 100921014.<br />

4 Beautrais AL , Joyce PR , Mulder RT. Psychiatric illness in a New<br />

Zealand sample of young people making serious suicide attempts. N Z<br />

Med J ,1998 ,111 44248.<br />

5 ,. .<br />

,1999 ,13 1102112.<br />

6 ,. 100 . <br />

,1994 ,8 22223.<br />

7 World Health Organization. The world health report 1999. Geneva :<br />

WHO. 1022103.<br />

8 United Nations. Prevention of suicide : Guidelines for the formulation<br />

and implementation of national strategies. New York , 1996. 13.<br />

(:2000207220)<br />

(: )<br />

<br />

<br />

15 d , 4 1<br />

,1 h :<br />

39. 0 ,46 / min ,150 / min ,<br />

,;<br />

,,;97 10 9 / L ,<br />

12. 8 10 9 / L ,,68. 7 % ,21. 9 %4<br />

5 ( HFRS) <br />

,2IgG(1 1 280) ,2IgM ,HFRS <br />

,4 9 <br />

:102200 <br />

3 16 <br />

,,, <br />

17 ( 38. 4 ) , , <br />

HFRS ,19 , <br />

,30 h ,<br />

,<br />

,, <br />

,,<br />

, <br />

(:2001205210)<br />

(: )<br />

155

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!