Hydrological forecasting and data assimilation â the HydroCast project

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WP2: Probabilistic hydrological forecasting • Use of ensemble precipitation forecast products to produce ensemble hydrological forecasts ‣Nowcast (few hours): weather radar ensemble prediction ‣Short-range (< 48 hours): DMI ensemble prediction system ‣Medium-range (2-10 days): ECMWF ensemble prediction system ‣Seasonal: ECMWF seasonal ensemble prediction system • Framework for quantification and propagation of different uncertainty sources in the hydrological forecast system © DHI #10
DMI’s limited-area, short-range ensemble prediction system • Based on the HIRLAM model • 0.05º horizontal resolution • 25 ensemble members ‣Initial and lateral boundary condition perturbations ‣Model physics perturbations • 54h forecasts, four times per day © DHI #11
Page 1 and 2: Hydrological Forecasting and Data A
Page 3 and 4: Project objective To establish and
Page 5 and 6: WP1: Combining weather radar and nu
Page 7 and 8: First results of combined NWP-weath
Page 9: First results of combined NWP-weath
Page 13 and 14: WP3: Hydrological data assimilation
Page 15 and 16: Optimising the monitoring effort En
Page 17 and 18: MIKE SHE model setup © DHI #17
Page 19 and 20: Test study 3: Integration of modell
Page 21: Thank you for your attention Henrik

Hydrological forecasting and data assimilation â the HydroCast project

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Hydrological forecasting and data assimilation â the HydroCast project