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Child Drowning

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1. SCOPE OF THE PROBLEM<br />

1.1 AN INVISIBLE ISSUE<br />

The magnitude of child drowning in LMICs in Asia has been invisible for many reasons. Among them are<br />

the following:<br />

Lack of national-scale, community-based surveys to provide population-based estimates of the<br />

burden of drowning<br />

Reliance on facility-based reporting that fails to capture most cases of drowning<br />

Use of a classification system unsuitable for LMICs<br />

Incomplete, poor quality LMIC data reported to the World Health Organization (WHO)<br />

Reliance on models and expert opinion to adjust incomplete drowning data, which results in<br />

underestimates.<br />

As a consequence, the actual number of children in LMICs in Asia who drown each year has not been<br />

recognized until recently. New surveys jointly conducted by UNICEF and The Alliance for Safe <strong>Child</strong>ren<br />

(TASC) show that the numbers estimated in the WHO Global Burden of Disease process for child<br />

drowning in the countries surveyed are substantial underestimates.<br />

1.2 LACK OF NATIONAL SCALE, COMMUNITY-BASED SURVEYS TO PROVIDE POPULATION-BASED<br />

ESTIMATES OF THE BURDEN OF DROWNING<br />

Information has been available from previous population-based studies on child drowning in various<br />

LMICs in Asia. However, the survey data are of limited quality and largely incomplete. Given these<br />

constraints, it has not been possible to detect the actual number of children who drown in the<br />

communities surveyed. The limitations include the following:<br />

(i)<br />

Scope:<br />

None of the community-based surveys used a large representative population that included<br />

both urban and rural areas to cover an entire country.<br />

Most of the surveys had small sample sizes, often only 500-2,500 children and lacked<br />

statistical power.<br />

The small sample sizes limited the findings to small groups of children (e.g. urban primary<br />

schoolchildren).<br />

(ii)<br />

Not representative:<br />

Most surveys lacked well-defined populations. Often they used numerators and<br />

denominators drawn from hospitals or schools (e.g. per 1,000 admissions; per 1,000<br />

students). It was not possible to calculate comparable drowning rates that showed the<br />

difference in rates and patterns of drowning among children of varying ages.<br />

Many of the surveys were conducted over a short period, and thus failed to capture the<br />

seasonal pattern of drowning (i.e. the number of child fatalities in the dry season vs. rainy<br />

season, during monsoon, floods, etc.).<br />

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