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Tradeflow Study - UNDP Black Sea Trade and Investment Promotion ...

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.<br />

Other commercial services (which exclude construction, personal/cultural, financial,<br />

insurance, royalties <strong>and</strong> computer services) have a large potential for the region <strong>and</strong> account<br />

for around one tenth of the potential for exporting to the region. Exports of other commercial<br />

services have outperformed world trade growth for Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria,<br />

Romania, Russia <strong>and</strong> Ukraine. Moreover, import dem<strong>and</strong> has been very dynamic in Albania,<br />

Armenia, Bulgaria, Greece, <strong>and</strong> Romania. All WTO members of BSEC have liberalised other<br />

business services for mode 2 channel of supply <strong>and</strong> most of the subsectors of mode 3 supply<br />

(except for Turkey). Moreover, with the exception of Greece <strong>and</strong> Turkey most of the<br />

subsectors have been liberalised in mode 1 channel of supply. Most countries have unbound<br />

restrictions for mode 4 supply. For National Treatment, except for the case of Turkey (in<br />

modes 1-3) <strong>and</strong> Greece (in mode 1), few restrictions exist in modes 1-3. Albania, Romania<br />

<strong>and</strong> Turkey have few restrictions in mode 4, while Armenia, Georgia <strong>and</strong> Greece have<br />

unbound limitations for mode 4. Overall, it appears that other business services presents a<br />

high intra-regional trade potential since the sector is extremely dynamic in the region <strong>and</strong><br />

restrictions are relatively limited for Market Access <strong>and</strong> National Treatment.<br />

Other significant trade potential exists for computer <strong>and</strong> information services. Computer<br />

<strong>and</strong> information services have been performing far better than world trends for all countries in<br />

the region for both imports <strong>and</strong> exports (except for Russia for imports). Moreover most<br />

countries have no limitations on Market Access or National Treatment for communication<br />

services, except in mode 4. Distribution services have few restrictions on Market Access<br />

<strong>and</strong> National Treatment in modes 1-3 <strong>and</strong> thus indicate an important channel for cross-border<br />

trade in these modes of supply (mode 4 remains unbound for Armenia, Georgia <strong>and</strong> Greece,<br />

<strong>and</strong> partly unbound for Romania <strong>and</strong> Turkey).<br />

Opportunities for intra-regional trade promotion are more limited for financial <strong>and</strong> insurance<br />

services owing to the severe restrictions existing in most countries of the BSEC region,<br />

despite significant growth, particularly for insurance services where imports have outstripped<br />

world growth for 70% of the countries in the region. Construction services are also<br />

restricted <strong>and</strong> thus make it more difficult to promote intra-regional trade.<br />

58/135

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