Development Cooperation Report 2012 - UNDP Afghanistan

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systems, and to provide 3-5 year forward expenditure plans, with at least indicative
resource allocations.
In the context of Afghanistan, aid predictability has always been a challenging problem
where most of the DPs have not provided the government with complete information
on their rolling three-to-five-year onward level of assistance and/or indicative resource
allocation for projects/programs that are implemented in the county.
Figure 18: Estimated Three Year Projection of External Assistance (2012-2014)
8,000
7,000
6,000
6,389
$Millions
5,000
4,000
3,000
4,530
DEVELOPMENT COOPERATION REPORT
2,000
1,000
797
-
2012 2013 2014
Tokyo Committments
Linear (Reported Data)
While the recently announced pledges at the Chicago and Tokyo conferences are
promising, reported data shows a decline in the volume of external assistance between
2012 and 2014. Lack of information on the precise figures wil make aid unpredictable
over the coming three years. Our record shows that USD 6,389 million is estimated
to be provided during 2012. The trend decreaes to USD 4,530 million in 2013, and
plummets to USD 797 million in 2014, respectively. However looking at the volume of
disbursements in 2011 and the level of commitments made in 2012, it is worth noting
that the 2013 and 2014 figures are best estimates only, and will change as more and
accurate information is received from the DPs. See [Figure 18]