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UBI Banca Group

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comparable transactions for corporate assets consisting of branches, was no longer considered<br />

useable because the market, at least for transactions concerning small business units or<br />

transactions between related parties, had become inactive.<br />

The discounted cash flow criterion was used to estimate the value in use. This considers the<br />

value of each CGU as the result of the sum of the following:<br />

1) the present value of the cash flows forecast over the period for which the projections<br />

were made (2012 – 2016) discounted at a rate that expresses the risk for those flows<br />

(the opportunity cost of the equity); and<br />

2) the present value of the cash flows that can be generated beyond the explicit forecast<br />

period, obtained by capitalising the cash flow for the last year of the forecast (2016) at<br />

a rate that results from the difference between the opportunity cost of the equity and<br />

the expected long-term growth rate for the cash flows.<br />

Discount rates<br />

The discount rates were estimated using the same method as that used in previous<br />

impairment tests, in compliance with IAS 36 and with the “Guidelines for impairment tests on<br />

goodwill in contexts of financial and real crisis” issued by the Organismo Italiano di<br />

Valutazione (OIV – Italian Valuation Body).<br />

The estimate of the opportunity cost of equity as at 31.12.2011, net of the growth rate for<br />

income assumed for the estimate of the terminal value was 9.45%, 1.45% higher than the<br />

percentage assumed for impairment testing purposes in the previous year (8%). That increase,<br />

which affected the reduction in value recorded for all CGUs the year before, was attributable<br />

entirely to the increase in country risk: the one year average of daily yields to maturity on ten<br />

year Italian instruments rose from 4.0% as at 31.12.2010 to 5.3% as at 31.12.2011, an<br />

increase of 1.3%. For the purposes of estimating the opportunity cost of equity we report the<br />

following:<br />

a) a capital asset pricing model was used;<br />

b) in accordance with IAS 36 § A18, the estimate of the cost of equity includes<br />

country risk, which was incorporated into the estimate of the equity risk premium<br />

– assumed to be 6% – and in the beta. These estimates were assumed in<br />

compliance with the recommendations of the OIV guidelines mentioned (reported<br />

in § LG35 b);<br />

c) the specific yield to maturity of the interbank rate for each year of the forecast was<br />

assumed as the risk free rate. The current yield curve requires the present value of<br />

short term cash flows to be discounted at a short-term rate and long term cash<br />

flows to be discounted with long term rates. This is to avoid discounting short-term<br />

cash flows based on short-term rates and an excessively high rate. In this respect<br />

appendix A of IAS 36 specifies the use of the term structure of interest rates (§<br />

A21, IAS 36);<br />

d) the risk free rate used to estimate the cost of equity is consistent with future<br />

interest rates forecast by management and assumed for the estimate of future cash<br />

flows used in the measurement. The risk free rate assumed in the terminal value<br />

was the yield to maturity on the ten year interest rate swap, which was 3.11%.<br />

That rate, although higher, is in line with the estimate of the future long-term rate<br />

forecast by <strong>UBI</strong> <strong>Banca</strong> management;<br />

e) for the network banks and for the <strong>Group</strong> as a whole (second level impairment test),<br />

the method used to estimate the beta was the same as that used in previous years.<br />

That beta is based on the historical volatility over one year of the <strong>UBI</strong> banca share<br />

linked to the benchmark volatility of the Stoxx 600 European market index. The<br />

beta estimate assumed was 1.39x and it was compared with beta estimates<br />

calculated on the basis of historical returns for the share and the market over two<br />

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