1 A Prototype Two-Decade Fully-Coupled Fine-Resolution CCSM ...
1 A Prototype Two-Decade Fully-Coupled Fine-Resolution CCSM ...
1 A Prototype Two-Decade Fully-Coupled Fine-Resolution CCSM ...
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A <strong>Prototype</strong> <strong>Two</strong>-<strong>Decade</strong> <strong>Fully</strong>-<strong>Coupled</strong> <strong>Fine</strong>-<strong>Resolution</strong> <strong>CCSM</strong> Simulation<br />
Julie L. McClean 1,2 , David C. Bader 3,2 , Frank O. Bryan 4 , Mathew E. Maltrud 5 , John M. Dennis 4 ,<br />
Arthur A. Mirin 2 , Philip W. Jones 5 , Yoo Yin Kim 1 , Detelina P. Ivanova 2 , Mariana Vertenstein 4 ,<br />
James S. Boyle 2 , Robert L. Jacob 6 , Nancy Norton 4 , Anthony Craig 4 , and Patrick H. Worley 3<br />
1 Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA 92093<br />
2 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore CA 94551<br />
3 Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831<br />
4 National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80303<br />
5 Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545<br />
6 Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL 60439<br />
PUBLISHED<br />
Ocean Modelling, 39, 10-30, 2011<br />
Corresponding author address:<br />
Dr Julie McClean<br />
Climate, Atmospheric Science and Physical Oceanography Division<br />
Scripps Institution of Oceanography<br />
University of California, San Diego<br />
9500 Gilman Drive, 0230<br />
La Jolla, CA 92093-0230, USA<br />
Ph: 858 534 3030/Fax: 858 534 9820<br />
Email: jmcclean@ucsd.edu<br />
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Abstract<br />
A fully coupled global simulation using the Community Climate System Model (<strong>CCSM</strong>) was<br />
configured using grid resolutions of 0.1° for the ocean and sea-ice, and 0.25° for the atmosphere<br />
and land, and was run under present-day greenhouse gas conditions for 20 years. It represents<br />
one of the first efforts to simulate the planetary system at such high horizontal resolution. The<br />
climatology of the circulation of the atmosphere and the upper ocean were compared with<br />
observational data and reanalysis products to identify persistent mean climate biases. Intensified<br />
and contracted polar vortices, and too cold sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the subpolar and<br />
mid-latitude Northern Hemisphere were the dominant biases produced by the model. Intense<br />
category 4 cyclones formed spontaneously in the tropical North Pacific. A case study of the<br />
ocean response to one such event shows the realistic formation of a cold SST wake, mixed layer<br />
deepening, and warming below the mixed layer. Too many tropical cyclones formed in the North<br />
Pacific however, due to too high SSTs in the tropical eastern Pacific. In the North Atlantic<br />
anomalously low SSTs lead to a dearth of hurricanes. Agulhas eddy pathways are more realistic<br />
than in equivalent stand-alone ocean simulations forced with atmospheric reanalysis.<br />
Keywords:<br />
Numerical modelling, atmospheric circulation, ocean circulation, ocean eddies, tropical cyclones.<br />
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1. Introduction<br />
Simulating the Earth System realistically under present day conditions, a necessary precursor to<br />
climate projection, represents a major scientific challenge. The veracity of such simulations is<br />
undermined by missing and inadequately represented processes in component models together<br />
with feedback errors within and among components (Large and Danabasoglu, 2006).<br />
Historically, a successful approach to reducing model biases related to poor fluid dynamical<br />
simulation is to increase the spatial resolution of the component models such that a greater<br />
fraction of the dynamical processes are explicitly resolved, and fewer are parameterized. Errors<br />
in the representation of physical processes may dominate systematic model biases and these<br />
process-related biases may not necessarily decrease in magnitude with increasing resolution.<br />
However, understanding how the explicit simulation of small-scale physical processes impacts<br />
the depiction of coupled processes as well as large-scale climate features in a fully coupled<br />
global system is an essential step towards reproducing a realistic present day climate system.<br />
Here we present results from a two-decade, present-day simulation of the Community Climate<br />
System Model version 4 (<strong>CCSM</strong>4) where a weather-scale resolution atmospheric model is<br />
coupled to an eddying ocean model using atmospheric and ocean/sea-ice components having<br />
approximately five and ten times the horizontal resolution of standard climate component<br />
models. Others have coupled combinations of high and low-resolution components in the <strong>CCSM</strong><br />
framework such as Gent et al. (2009) who use 0.5° atmospheric/land and nominal 1° oceanic/ice<br />
components. This is the first study, to our knowledge, where all components have fine enough<br />
horizontal resolution for both the ocean and the atmosphere to explicitly simulate turbulent<br />
instabilities of the large-scale circulation.<br />
Generally the use of finer resolution in atmospheric global climate models has led to systematic<br />
improvements in the fidelity of atmospheric features, particularly those associated with the largescale<br />
dynamical circulation (Hack et al. 2006). Williamson et al. (1995) showed that the scales of<br />
motion included at T63 (~1.9° transform grid) and higher resolutions were needed to capture the<br />
non-linear processes that appear to drive some larger scale flows. The coupled atmosphere-ocean<br />
dynamics of tropical cyclones are correctly simulated only by the use of very-high horizontal<br />
resolution in both the atmosphere and ocean. In the ocean, the amount of heat mixed downwards<br />
by typhoons may be an important component of global meridional heat transport (Sriver and<br />
Huber, 2007). Accordingly, their explicit simulation in global climate models may be key toward<br />
making assessments of the impact of anthropogenic forcing on mean climate, variability and<br />
extreme events (Emanuel, 2008; Korty et al. 2008; Bengtsson et al. 2007).<br />
Decreasing the horizontal mesh spacing to around 10 km in ocean-only simulations has<br />
improved the depiction of the mean state and variability of the ocean circulation relative to that<br />
in simulations using grid spacing of about 20-50 km (Smith et al., 2000; Hurlburt and Hogan,<br />
2000; McClean et al., 2002; Oschlies, 2002, Maltrud and McClean, 2005; Bryan et al., 2007).<br />
Bryan et al. (2007) discuss particulars of these studies and comment that the improvements<br />
appear to represent a regime shift in the flow dynamics as the grid spacing approaches roughly<br />
10 km. This is generally attributed to the first baroclinic mode Rossby radius being reasonably<br />
well resolved up to approximately 50 degrees latitude (Smith et al., 2000, Figure 1) by such a<br />
grid.<br />
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Specifically improvements generally result when fast narrow (about 100-200 km) flows such as<br />
the Gulf Stream and most of the mesoscale variability (defined as having spatial scales of 50 to<br />
500 km on timescales between 20 and 150 days) are explicitly resolved, together with their eddymean<br />
flow interactions that hitherto were not simulated. Mesoscale variability accounts for about<br />
50% of the variability in the global ocean (Chelton et al., 2007). The Los Alamos Parallel Ocean<br />
Program (POP) ocean general circulation model has been shown to resolve much of the oceanic<br />
mesoscale, both in regional (Smith et al., 2000) and global domains (Maltrud and McClean,<br />
2005, McClean et al., 2006; 2008) when configured with a nominally 0.1º grid.<br />
Understanding the role and importance of mesoscale eddies in the meridional overturning<br />
circulation (MOC) is needed to improve the depiction of present-day conditions in climate<br />
simulations. Böning et al. (2008) argue that in the Southern Ocean eddy fluxes compensate<br />
increased Ekman transport during decadal-scale positive Southern Annular Mode (SAM) events.<br />
Screen et al. (2009) report eddy-driven warming to the south of the Polar Front in the southern<br />
ocean one to three years after a positive SAM anomaly from a 1/12° global ocean primitive<br />
equation model. They consider the enhanced poleward heat flux to be likely associated with the<br />
intensified mesoscale eddy activity. Another example of a mesoscale process of importance to<br />
climate is the Agulhas leakage at the southern tip of Africa, which is characterized by variability<br />
on intraseasonal to interannual timescales. Agulhas eddies, which are resolved in finer resolution<br />
simulations, but are absent in the oceans of standard climate models are the main source of the<br />
warm and salty waters carried towards the North Atlantic as the upper limb of the Atlantic MOC<br />
(Biastoch et al., 2008).<br />
The primary goal of this paper is to examine the general fidelity of air-ocean interaction<br />
processes in the fully coupled fine-resolution <strong>CCSM</strong>4 simulation. We start by describing the fine<br />
resolution coupled model set-up and then compare the state of the simulated atmosphere and the<br />
upper ocean with observational data and reanalysis products to identify persistent mean climate<br />
biases. Next we examine the explicit simulation of the ocean’s response to a spontaneously<br />
generated typhoon event in the North Pacific. Finally we compare the pathways of Agulhas<br />
eddies as depicted by <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and altimetry data to appreciate the role of an active atmosphere<br />
when modeling these climatically important mesoscale eddies.<br />
2. <strong>Coupled</strong> Model Description<br />
The global climate model used in this study is a prototype version of <strong>CCSM</strong>4; its components are<br />
the Community Atmospheric Model version 3.5 (CAM3.5), the Community Land Model version<br />
3 (CLM3; Dickinson et al., 2006), POP version 2.0 (POP2) and the Community Ice Code version<br />
4 (CICE4.0). CAM3.5 uses the Lin-Rood finite-volume dynamical core (Lin, 2004) and an<br />
updated CAM3 convection parameterization (Neale et al., 2008; Richter and Rasch; 2008). It<br />
was run on a 0.23° x 0.31° spherical grid with 26 levels. POP (Dukowicz and Smith, 1994) was<br />
configured on a tripole grid (Murray, 1996) that has poles in both Canada and Russia, resulting<br />
in a nearly isotropic distribution of resolution in the high northern latitudes. The horizontal grid<br />
spacing at the equator is 0.1º, with the latitudinal spacing decreasing with cosine (latitude).<br />
There are 42 vertical levels, varying smoothly in thickness from 10m at the surface to 250m at<br />
the maximum depth of 6000m. CICE 4.0 (LANL, 2008; Hunke and Dukowicz, 1997) is based on<br />
an Elastic-Viscous-Plastic (EVP) rheology, uses multiple ice thickness categories (Bitz and<br />
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Lipscomb, 1999), and runs on the same horizontal grid as POP; CICE improvements are<br />
highlighted in Gent et al. (2009). Although this resolution may cause the EVP model to operate<br />
at its limits of validity, CICE has been extensively used at 9km resolution (Maslowski et al.,<br />
2004). In addition, some issues that are manifest only at high resolution have previously been<br />
identified and corrected (Lipscomb et al. 2007).<br />
The POP configuration is essentially identical to that used by Maltrud et al. (2010), though we<br />
will highlight some key elements here. The ocean topography interpolated onto this grid was<br />
formed from a combination of ETOPO2 (http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/fliers/01mgg04.html)<br />
and BEDMAP (http://www.antarctica.ac.uk//bas_research/data/access/bedmap/) bathymetric<br />
data sets, with the two smoothly blended between 68°S and 71°S. The interpolation used a<br />
weighting scheme that decreased quadratically with distance from the model grid point over a<br />
length scale equal to twice the local grid spacing. In order to improve topographic interactions<br />
with the flow, partial bottom cells (PBCs; Pacanowski and Gnanadesikan, 1998) were<br />
implemented, with partial cell thicknesses limited to be no thinner than the thickness of the<br />
uppermost cell (10 meters), or 10% of the full cell thickness, whichever was greater. Only a few<br />
key passages (the Strait of Gibraltar, Canadian Archipelago) were manually modified to<br />
accommodate sufficient transport, or to terminate large estuaries. The <strong>CCSM</strong>4 overflow<br />
parameterization (Danabasoglu et al., 2010) was not implemented in the version of POP used in<br />
this experiment.<br />
POP used a second order accurate centered difference advection scheme for both horizontal<br />
momentum and tracers. Although this method can result in numerical over- and under-shoots,<br />
tests using the flux-limiting advection scheme in <strong>CCSM</strong>4’s POP were judged to be too diffusive<br />
at high resolution. Subgrid scale horizontal mixing was parameterized using biharmonic<br />
operators for momentum and tracers. The viscosity and diffusivity values vary spatially with the<br />
cube of the average grid length for a given cell (see Maltrud et al., 1998) and have equatorial<br />
values, denoted by the subscript 0, of ν 0 = -2.7 x 10 10 m 4 /s and κ 0 = -0.3 x 10 10 m 4 /s, respectively.<br />
Vertical mixing coefficients for momentum and tracers were obtained from the K-Profile<br />
Parameterization (Large et al., 1994). Background values for vertical tracer diffusion range from<br />
10 −5 m 2 /s near the surface to 10 −4 m 2 /s at depth, with viscosity values an order of magnitude<br />
higher. Density is calculated from the equation of state for seawater derived by McDougall et al.<br />
(2003). Freshwater fluxes to the ocean are applied as a virtual salt flux. Unlike the simulation of<br />
Maltrud et al. (2010), the time step was 4.65 minutes to allow for higher amplitude and higher<br />
frequency forcing.<br />
POP was initialized with a two-step process. First, the model was started at rest using potential<br />
temperature and salinity from the World Hydrographic Program Special Analysis Center (WHP<br />
SAC) climatology (Gouretski and Koltermann, 2004). High amplitude transients required that a<br />
time step of approximately one minute be used for several simulated days to avoid numerical<br />
instability. This ocean state was then used to initialize a 2-year <strong>CCSM</strong> simulation configured<br />
with a 0.5° atmosphere, the final state of which became the initial condition for the simulation<br />
described here. The standard initialization option in CICE was used whereby the specified nonlinear<br />
sea-ice thickness distribution was the same at each grid point over the entire domain<br />
poleward of 70°N and 60°S. This initialization option was chosen rather than use the ice state<br />
from the existing 2-year simulation as the ice in that simulation was showing indications of poor<br />
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performance. We experimented with starting from an initial state with no ice however that failed<br />
probably because significant shocks due to large fluxes in the Polar regions accompany such a<br />
start up. CAM was at rest initially, with prescribed profiles of temperature, vapor and trace gas<br />
concentrations and was allowed to come into equilibrium. Aerosol concentrations were<br />
prescribed in the same manner as in earlier <strong>CCSM</strong>3 simulations (Collins et al., 2006). Presentday<br />
conditions were represented by 1990’s green house gas (GHG) concentrations, particularly<br />
355 ppmv for CO 2 . The land surface in CLM was initialized with climatologically observed<br />
surface types and vegetation.<br />
The components of the coupled model exchanged information at different time intervals, with the<br />
atmosphere, sea ice, and land models coupling every time step (15 minutes), and the ocean every<br />
6 hours. The ocean coupling interval was chosen as a compromise between an improvement in<br />
stability and accuracy over daily coupling that is still used in lower resolution versions of <strong>CCSM</strong>,<br />
and efficiency considerations associated with the additional communication and component<br />
synchronization required by more frequent coupling. It should be noted that the fluxes supplied<br />
to the ocean are computed using much more frequent updates of the atmospheric variables, then<br />
averaged over the ocean’s coupling period. The coupled code executed at 0.43 simulated years<br />
per day on 512 nodes on the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s Atlas supercomputer.<br />
This machine has 1152 total nodes, each containing eight, 2.4 GHz processors connected by a<br />
high speed network.<br />
3. Climatology of the <strong>Coupled</strong> System<br />
In this section we compare the climatology of the simulated circulation of the atmosphere and<br />
the upper ocean with observational data and reanalysis products to identify persistent mean<br />
climate biases. We use averages from model years 13-19 whenever possible. This period is<br />
chosen as a trade-off between using years that are no longer clearly dominated by the adjustment<br />
of the component models to their initial conditions and the need for a sufficiently long period for<br />
the statistics to be meaningful. In addition, comparisons will be made with two other simulations<br />
that use this POP model configuration to provide contrasting realizations of the ocean and<br />
ocean/ice without the complexity of an active atmosphere. One is a global coupled CICE 4.0 and<br />
POP2.0 simulation forced with the repeat annual cycle (normal-year) Coordinated Ocean-ice<br />
Reference Experiment (CORE) dataset (Large and Yeager, 2004; Griffies et al., 2009), with the<br />
6-hourly forcing averaged to monthly values. The other is the stand-alone 0.1° POP2.0<br />
simulation of Maltrud et al. (2010). We then offer explanations for the large-scale ocean and seaice<br />
biases in the subpolar oceans largely in terms of atmospheric circulation biases. Details of<br />
the CLM results will not be discussed here.<br />
The coupled model used the standard set of atmospheric parameter (tuning) constants employed<br />
in the Gent et al. (2009) simulations, thus the model’s climatology is very similar to those of<br />
earlier <strong>CCSM</strong> simulations (Collins et al. 2006; Bala et al., 2008). Significantly, the net energy<br />
imbalance at the top of the atmospheric model was a small net energy input of less than 1 Wm -2 .<br />
Similarly, the zonal mean distribution of net energy flux at the model top was very close to<br />
values from Clouds and Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) observations, although the<br />
longwave and shortwave components had compensating mean zonal errors between 5 and 15<br />
Wm -2 (in a mean of ~250-300 Wm -2 ) in the mid-latitudes, which is in excess of the 1-4 Wm -2<br />
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observational uncertainty in the CERES data (Loeb et al., 2008). The primary driver of the global<br />
atmospheric circulation is the net differential heating as a function of latitude (Sellers, 1969; and<br />
others). Since the net flux errors are small, we would not expect them to have a significant<br />
influence on the short seven-year climatology presented here. On the other hand, smaller but<br />
persistent longer term trends in the model biases may result from the component errors,<br />
especially when cloud feedbacks are considered in climate change scenarios. While the model<br />
climatology overall is very good considering that no tuning was conducted, below we highlight<br />
biases that would have implications for the mesoscale coupled atmosphere-ocean features.<br />
A comparison of precipitation climatologies from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and Xie-Arkin (1997) observations<br />
reveal errors that exceed 5 mm day -1 across a long and narrow band in the tropical north Pacific<br />
(Fig. 1). It also shows that higher resolution does not improve the common problem of a double<br />
or split inter-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) (Lin, 2007), manifested as the ~5 mm day -1<br />
precipitation deficit over the tropical western Pacific ocean and the Bay of Bengal. Neale and<br />
Slingo (2003) noted that increasing resolution alone does not solve the problem. More recent<br />
studies, including those of Wapler et al. (2010) and Boyle and Klein (2010), attempt to<br />
understand the complex interactions between microscale cloud physics and mesoscale<br />
atmospheric dynamics that are missing in GCM simulations. This remains an active topic of<br />
research, as the solution remains elusive. Less serious errors, such as the too extreme<br />
precipitation over the mountain ranges on the western coasts of the Americas, expose the<br />
requirement to adjust precipitation and cumulus parameterizations to properly reproduce the<br />
physics on the correct scales.<br />
The difference between climatological annual mean potential temperature from the upper-most<br />
ocean level (5m) for model years 13-19 and 0.25° daily Reynolds et al. (2007) satellite-derived<br />
SST data averaged over 1982-2008 (Fig 2a) is seen in Fig. 2b. Cold biases dominate in the<br />
Northern Hemisphere (NH) with extreme values of 10° and 6°C, respectively (Fig. 2b) occurring<br />
in the subpolar North Atlantic (NA) and Pacific (NP); in the subtropics they are up to 1°C. The<br />
highest warm biases are due to poleward displacements of the Gulf Stream (GS) and Kuroshio<br />
Current Extension (KE); more modest biases are found across much of the tropical NP (< 1°C)<br />
and in the Southern Ocean (SO) (up to 2°C). In upwelling zones along the west coasts of North<br />
and South America SST is generally up to 2°C too cold. Off the west coast of Africa surface<br />
waters between 0°and 20°S show a bias of the same magnitude but opposite sign; these<br />
contrasting biases are likely due to the errors in the representation of the dominant processes<br />
controlling the regional upwelling. Warm biases of greater than 7°C were reported in these<br />
upwelling zones in the standard <strong>CCSM</strong>3 (Collins et al. 2006). Gent et al. (2009) attribute their<br />
reduced SST biases in these regions to better-resolved orography that situates stronger winds<br />
closer to the coast, inducing increased upwelling.<br />
Equivalent seasonal climatological SST bias figures for years 13-19 (not shown) primarily show<br />
that the NH cold biases persist all year. In the NH subtropical gyres the extent and magnitude (up<br />
to 1.5°C) of the cold biases are greatest in boreal summer and fall, defined here as June-July-<br />
August (JJA) and September-October-November (SON), respectively. The positive biases<br />
associated with the KE and the GS are smaller in extent and magnitude relative to those in the<br />
December-January-February (DJF) and March-April-May (MAM) seasons. In the SO cold<br />
biases of generally up to 0.5°C are seen across the entire region in JJA and SON; the biases are<br />
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almost all positive in DJF (up to 2.5°C) with reduced warm biases occurring during MAM. In the<br />
eastern tropical Pacific the largest cold bias both in extent and magnitude (>2°C) is found in<br />
MAM. Maximum warm biases of >2.5° and >1°C, occur in JJA in the western tropical Indian<br />
Ocean and central tropical Pacific, respectively.<br />
Temperature and salinity biases also appear below the surface as SST and sea surface salinity<br />
(SSS) errors are transmitted into the interior by downwelling processes. Fig. 3 shows the<br />
magnitude of the subsurface drifts averaged over various latitude bands (78°S-50°S, 50°S-20°S,<br />
20°S-20N, 20°N-50°N, and 50°N-90°N). In the Polar regions, the temperature biases are<br />
strongest near the surface and show the same pattern as SST. However in the subtropics the<br />
trend is small at the surface and increases with depth as anomalously warm mode waters are<br />
ventilated into the gyres. In the tropics, the pattern reflects changes in the layered equatorial<br />
current system. The depth dependence of the salinity trend (Fig. 3b) is similar to that of<br />
temperature in the tropics and the Polar regions, while that of the subtropical NH is quite<br />
different to that of temperature. While the surface average shows a moderate freshening, the<br />
Atlantic and Pacific display opposite trends, with an overall increase in SSS in the Atlantic and<br />
decrease in the Pacific (not shown).<br />
Insight into some of the causes of the large-scale SST biases in the high and mid-latitudes are<br />
obtained by examining the atmospheric circulation. In Figs. 4a and c we show annual<br />
climatologies of 500 mb geopotential height and sea level pressure from European Center for<br />
Medium-Range Forecasts-European Reanalysis 40 (ECMWF-ERA40) along with their<br />
differences from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 (Figs 4b, d). In Fig. 5a surface wind stress vectors and their<br />
magnitudes from QuikSCAT (September 1999-August 2007) are shown together with the vector<br />
differences and their magnitudes between <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and QuikSCAT (Fig. 5b). The <strong>CCSM</strong>4 fields<br />
are averaged over model years 13-19. A major feature of this simulation is the intensification and<br />
contraction of both polar vortices through the depth of the troposphere. In Fig. 4b, the<br />
geopotential height anomalies are less than -100 m over Eurasia, while positive anomalies<br />
greater than 40 m can be seen over large areas between 40° and 60°S. The sea level pressure<br />
difference field (Fig. 4d) depicts the surface manifestation of this problem, with excessively deep<br />
low-pressure systems over the poles and intensification of the subtropical highs. The circulation<br />
around the intensified Azores High likely contributes to the anomalously cold SSTs in the<br />
tropical Atlantic. Similarly the wind stress vector differences between <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and QuikSCAT<br />
show that <strong>CCSM</strong>4 winds are too strong over the subpolar NP and NA oceans and over much of<br />
the SO (Fig. 5b). Particularly, <strong>CCSM</strong>4 wind stress magnitudes (plot not shown) exceed the<br />
QuikSCAT values (Fig. 5a) by up to 0.09 Nm -2 in the eastern subpolar NA where the winds are<br />
southwesterly. In this area root-mean-square (RMS) wind stress magnitude differences between<br />
QuikSCAT and the National Oceanography Center flux climatology are about 0.04 Nm -2 (Risien<br />
and Chelton, 2008); clearly here the model-data wind stress magnitude differences exceed the<br />
uncertainty in the QuikSCAT wind stresses. The contraction and intensification of the polar<br />
vortex, and resulting biases in the planetary wave structure, are described by Boville (1984). The<br />
problems most likely result from errors in the gravity-wave and mountain wave<br />
parameterizations, which lead to an anomalously strong polar-night jet trapping energy in the<br />
troposphere.<br />
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The NH winter sea-ice pack extends eastward across the entire Labrador Sea and reaches across<br />
the East Greenland Sea into the Norwegian Sea (not shown). This is most likely caused by the<br />
overly intense polar atmospheric circulation rather than the zonally-symmetric initial ice<br />
configuration poleward of 70°N. In the Arctic the seasonal amplitude of total ice area (Fig. 6a) is<br />
seen to increase during the first 8 years of the simulation and then maintains the same too large<br />
magnitude relative to NASA Team Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) observations<br />
(Cavalieri et al., 1996; 2008) for the remaining years of the simulation. The SSM/I data is for the<br />
period 1980-1999. Similarly time series of area-averaged Arctic ice thickness and concentration<br />
(not shown) do not show any significant trends after the initial ice spin-up phase during the first<br />
decade of the simulation. In the Southern Hemisphere (SH) sea-ice is initially placed everywhere<br />
poleward of 60°S; however its area then shrinks rapidly over the first five years of the simulation<br />
and a seasonal cycle results whose amplitude is quite realistic (Fig. 6b). Here as well, time series<br />
of area-averaged ice concentration and ice thickness (not shown) in the second decade of the<br />
simulation show no significant trends and their respective seasonal amplitudes are generally<br />
repeating. Hence, memory of the sea-ice initial condition diminishes rapidly. In general the<br />
biases in the polar/subpolar winds, typically excessive northwesterlies (Fig. 5b), would produce<br />
excessive equatorward ice advection in the Nordic Seas whereas over the SO they would advect<br />
ice towards the South Pole.<br />
The too extensive sea-ice pack in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and the displaced North Atlantic Current (NAC) cause<br />
anomalously cold surface waters to be located too far to the east in the NA subpolar gyre.<br />
Evaporative cooling of the surface water accompanies the overly strong subpolar winds that<br />
produce too strong Ekman currents that advect these cold surface waters toward the southeast,<br />
some of which enter the equatorward eastern boundary current (Fig.7). Flatau et al. (2003; Fig.<br />
12a) show the location of the 7° and 8° isotherms, a rough indicator of the NAC axis, during<br />
positive and negative phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation from SST observations during the<br />
1990s. In <strong>CCSM</strong>4 these isotherms (Fig. 7) are located even further eastwards than their observed<br />
counterparts during the positive NAO phase when anomalously strong wind stresses advect the<br />
NAC front towards the southeast. Subsequently in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 the anomalously cold water circulates<br />
around the subtropical gyre contributing to the cold bias seen in Fig. 2b. This same process is<br />
active in the subpolar NP.<br />
To appreciate the fidelity of the large-scale upper-ocean <strong>CCSM</strong>4 ocean circulation we compare<br />
mean sea surface height (SSH) for years 13-19 with the 0.5° mean dynamic ocean surface<br />
topography (MDOT) product of Maximenko et al. (2009) (Figs 8a and b). They combined<br />
satellite radar altimetry with the geoid model of the GRACE Recovery and Climate Experiment<br />
(GRACE) and synthesized upper-ocean velocities from 15-m drifting ocean buoys, hydrographic<br />
profiles, and ocean wind; inclusion of the latter data improved the depiction of the fine-scale<br />
dynamic topography. The product is global in coverage at latitudes equatorward of 65°. For<br />
contrast with <strong>CCSM</strong>4, we also consider the mean SSH field from stand-alone global 0.1° POP<br />
(Maltrud et al., 2010) for years 95-99 (Fig 8c). The patterns and magnitudes of mean SSH from<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 agree best with MDOT (Fig. 8a). The difference plot between POP and MDOT (Fig.<br />
9b) highlight overly high POP mean SSH values in western boundary current frontal and<br />
recirculation regions: The Tasman Front in the southwestern Pacific near New Zealand, the<br />
Agulhas Current System, the KE and the GS-NAC. In the SO to the south of Australia and New<br />
Zealand and in the southeastern Atlantic sector POP values are more negative relative to MDOT.<br />
9
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<strong>CCSM</strong>4-MDOT (Fig. 9a) shows much more modest differences in these regions, except for<br />
narrow bands associated with the western boundary current and Antarctic Circumpolar Current<br />
(ACC) fronts. In the central subtropical regions of <strong>CCSM</strong>4 mean SSH values are order 10 cm<br />
lower than MDOT; these regions generally coincide with the cold SST biases identified in Fig<br />
2b. <strong>CCSM</strong>4 is slightly more negative (10-20 cm) relative to MDOT where the NAC fails to<br />
properly form the Northwest Corner and in the Labrador and Bering Seas.<br />
To further understand the realism of the ocean circulation in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 we integrated mean mass<br />
transports (years 13-19) through choke points and compared the results with available<br />
observational estimates (Table 1). We use directions here only to differentiate inwards and<br />
outwards flow across a section, channel or opening. The mean mass transport through Drake<br />
Passage is 169 Sv (1 Sv = 10 6 m 3 s -1 ); the observed value is 136.7 ± 7.8 Sv (Cunningham et al.,<br />
2003). The Indonesian Throughflow is -13.8 Sv; recent new measurements by Sprintall et al.<br />
(2009) estimate it to be -15 Sv (into the Indian Ocean). Transport through the Mozambique<br />
Channel is 18.5 Sv southward compared to 16.7 Sv southward observed by Ridderinkhof et al.<br />
(2010). The flow through the Florida- Bahamas Strait is 20.5 Sv while Larsen (1992)’s value<br />
from cable data is 32.3±3.2 Sv. The Windward Passage transport in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 is low (0.17 Sv into<br />
the Caribbean Sea) however observational estimates have shown significant variability; a more<br />
recent estimate is an inflow of 3.6 Sv (Smith et al., 2007). Across the Greenland-Scotland ridge<br />
(GSR) the net <strong>CCSM</strong>4 transports are all northward: 6.5 Sv (Denmark Strait), 1.0 Sv (Iceland-<br />
Faroe Ridge) and 5.5 Sv (Faroe-Scotland Ridge). Observational estimates vary with net estimates<br />
of 0.8 Sv northward (Østerhus et al., 2005) and 3 Sv southward (Olsen et al., 2008) through the<br />
Denmark Strait, 3.8 Sv northwards (Østerhus et al., 2005) and 2.1 Sv southward (Olsen et al.,<br />
2008) across the Iceland-Faroe Channel, and 3.8 northward (Østerhus et al., 2005) and 2.1<br />
southward (Olsen et al., 2008) through the Faroe-Scotland Channel. These biases, especially<br />
those across the GSR, are likely due in part to the overly strong polar atmospheric circulation.<br />
To provide a context for these mass transport results we examine the mean mass circulation in<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 by considering the zonally-integrated flow: the MOC, and the closely related meridional<br />
heat transport (MHT). We use model years 15-19 as the covariances between velocity and<br />
temperature were not archived before year 15. Meridional overturning stream functions for the<br />
global and Atlantic oceans are shown in Fig. 10. The shallow low latitude cells with upwelling<br />
branches at the equator are the most intense features in Fig. 10a with maximum strengths of<br />
around 39 and 38 Sv centered at 60 m in the NH and Southern Hemisphere (SH), respectively,<br />
with the majority of the mass flux sinking within 30° of the equator. In the subpolar zones, the<br />
shallow surface cell is weak (5 Sv equatorwards) in the NH while the Deacon cell in the SH has<br />
a maximum of 38 Sv flowing towards the equator. The strong clockwise cell in the upper 2000-<br />
3000 m of the water column whose southward branch represents the transport of North Atlantic<br />
Deep Water (NADW) connects to the Deacon Cell at intermediate depths leading to strong<br />
upwelling at 60°S. Below it the counter-clockwise deep cell whose lower branch represents the<br />
transport of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) has a maximum value of 18 Sv in the SH centered<br />
at around 3500 m. The Atlantic overturning cell (Fig. 10b), driven by downwelling north of<br />
50°N, has a maximum strength of 18 Sv just south of 40°N centered at 1000m, 14Sv crosses the<br />
equator into the SH, and 15 Sv exits the South Atlantic. The strength of the bottom cell is 5 Sv.<br />
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These values can be compared with those from the equivalent stand-alone POP simulation<br />
(Maltrud et al., 2010). In the Atlantic the maximum overturning strength is 25 Sv, 18 Sv crosses<br />
into the SH and then exits the South Atlantic, and the strength of the bottom cell is 3 Sv. The<br />
strength of the global bottom cell is 12 Sv and the Deacon Cell is 43 Sv. Relative to the forced<br />
stand-alone simulation the strength of the Atlantic mid-depth overturning cell is too weak and the<br />
bottom cell is too strong in <strong>CCSM</strong>4.<br />
The excessive NH ice cover will inhibit convective activity in the subpolar NA of <strong>CCSM</strong>4<br />
resulting in lower NADW transport. However in the SO convective activity will be enhanced.<br />
The too-strong SO zonal winds will cause increased evaporative cooling producing too cold<br />
surface waters at convection sites in the Ross and Weddell Seas. Fig. 2b and the seasonal SST<br />
bias figures for JJA and SON support this assertion since cold SST biases are found across the<br />
entire SO south of 60°S during these seasons. As well the formation of too-thick (although not<br />
too extensive) ice in the first decade of the simulation would also have contributed to producing<br />
overly dense surface waters by increasing the salinity of local surface waters. The resulting<br />
enhanced convective activity will produce excessive formation of Antarctic Bottom Water<br />
(AABW) hence the overly robust bottom cell circulation seen in the MOC plots.<br />
Further support for these assertions can be obtained by looking at the seasonal climatological<br />
mixed layer depths (MLDs) from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 (model years 13-19), stand-alone POP (model years<br />
95-99), and observations (Figs 11 and 12) using the 2° resolution global climatology by de Boyer<br />
Montégut et al. (2004). The criterion used to determine the MLD is a threshold value of<br />
temperature from a near-surface value at 10 m depth (ΔT=0.2°C). The temperature criterion<br />
rather than the density criterion is used, as the spatial coverage of the observed density based<br />
MLD estimates is very incomplete in some regions. Figs. 11 a-c show the winter (DJF) MLDs<br />
from observations, <strong>CCSM</strong>4, and POP; their difference fields are seen in Figs 11 d-e. Clearly the<br />
MLDs in the subpolar NA and Norwegian Sea are too shallow (Fig. 11d), while in POP (Fig 11e)<br />
they are too deep relative to observations. The <strong>CCSM</strong>4 MLDs are largely all less than POP in<br />
these regions (Fig. 11e). The shallow ML biases in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 are due to the too extensive ice cover<br />
inhibiting deep convection, and hence deep water formation, in the Labrador and Nordic Seas<br />
during this season. Conversely, too much convective activity may be taking place in POP. In the<br />
Arctic the <strong>CCSM</strong>4 MLDs are deeper than either the observed or POP values. In <strong>CCSM</strong>4 the<br />
Arctic temperature stratification is very low in the upper water column hence the overly deep<br />
MLDs are an artifact of the temperature-based criterion. It should be noted that in stand-alone<br />
POP the upper-level potential temperature and salinity was restored to climatology on a time<br />
scale of 30 days in regions of observed diagnosed/climatological ice.<br />
In the austral winter (JJA) MLDs in both POP and <strong>CCSM</strong>4 are too deep in the ACC relative to<br />
observations (Figs. 12a, b, c, d, and e). In the Pacific sector of the SO POP MLDs are generally<br />
deeper than those from <strong>CCSM</strong>4, while to the south of Australia and southeastwards of New<br />
Zealand <strong>CCSM</strong>4 has deeper MLDs (Fig. 12f). The reasons for these differences are complex and<br />
require further study. The wind stresses used to force POP did not include surface currents in the<br />
drag law calculation. In a recent study Hutchinson et al. (2010) using an eddy-resolving<br />
quasigeostrophic model of the SO showed that in simulations forced in this manner too much<br />
power is inputted to the SO eddy field such that it becomes too energetic. On the other hand,<br />
surface currents are included in the <strong>CCSM</strong>4 calculation however the polar atmospheric biases<br />
11
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over-ride any benefit. Finally, the actual MLD definition may be misleading in an area of low<br />
stratification. In the Weddell and Ross Seas <strong>CCSM</strong>4 shows deeper MLDs than POP (Fig.12f),<br />
probably an outcome of the too cold, too saline surface waters conjectured above. AABW<br />
formation is too weak in POP while it is likely too strong in <strong>CCSM</strong>4.<br />
Together these results indicate a consistent understanding of the depiction of the global MOC<br />
(Fig 10a) from <strong>CCSM</strong>4. The wind biases in the two hemispheres result in too little convection in<br />
the NA and too much in the SO. In turn this leads to a weak mid-depth overturning cell with a<br />
too robust cell at depth. A comparison with the POP global MOC shows the <strong>CCSM</strong>4 deep cell to<br />
be intruding into waters as shallow as 2000 m at 38°S whereas in POP the mid-depth cell extends<br />
to depths of 2700 m at the same location.<br />
It is clear that the <strong>CCSM</strong>4 MOC biases primarily arise from the contracted and intensified polar<br />
atmospheric vortices. Another possible although more minor cause contributing to these biases<br />
may be the representation of the deep overflows in the NA. As is typical with z-level models,<br />
overflows of dense water tend to be diluted as they flow along the ocean floor. For example, the<br />
Denmark Strait Overflow Water (DSOW) is too warm by 1-2ºC in the Irminger Basin due to<br />
excess mixing with relatively warm overlying water. As noted in the model description section<br />
this version of POP does not use any overflow parameterization and tests using the diffusionbased<br />
Beckmann and Döscher (1997) scheme showed minimal improvement in overflow<br />
characteristics in the 0.1º global POP configuration of Maltrud and McClean (2005).<br />
So how realistic is the associated global total mean heat transport from <strong>CCSM</strong>4? We compare it<br />
with observational estimates based on atmospheric reanalyses by Trenberth and Carron (2000)<br />
and from stand-alone POP (Fig. 13a). The <strong>CCSM</strong>4 MHT is larger (smaller) than POP to the<br />
south of 30°S (from 30°S to the equator) and lies almost entirely outside of the observed<br />
uncertainty in the SH. It increases to the north of the equator but underestimates the observed<br />
and POP MHT maxima at 15°N. Further north it decreases to a level between those of<br />
observations and POP, again mostly not within the observed uncertainty. Further we decompose<br />
the MHT from the two simulations into their respective total, mean and eddy heat transport<br />
components (Fig 13b). Equatorward of 45°S both the mean and eddy contributions are generally<br />
lower in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 than in POP especially in the ACC and the NH mid-latitude western boundary<br />
currents, consistent with the weaker MOC in <strong>CCSM</strong>4. Between 45° and 60° S the <strong>CCSM</strong>4<br />
southward eddy fluxes are consistently larger than those in POP. In the NH subtropics (20° and<br />
40° N) POP eddy heat fluxes range from 0.1 to 0.2 PW southward whereas in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 they are<br />
up to 0.15 PW northwards. These two latitude ranges coincide with those previously identified as<br />
being dominated by cold SST biases, and hence are the likely explanation for the behavior of the<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 eddy fluxes in those regions.<br />
4. Tropical Cyclone Event<br />
In this section we move away from the mean zonally-averaged construct used earlier to<br />
understand ocean heat flux. Here we consider a specific tropical cyclone event and calculate the<br />
ocean heat convergence associated with its passage. Our context however continues to be about<br />
understanding the important mechanisms controlling the movement of mass and heat in this<br />
simulation.<br />
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A very positive feature of the simulation is its ability to generate and propagate intense tropical<br />
cyclones when environmental conditions favor their development. To identify events in model<br />
years 13 through 19, we created animations of the 850 mb relative vorticity field (ζ 850 ), which<br />
was calculated from the 850 mb winds interpolated to a spectral resolution T63 grid (Bengtsson,<br />
et al. 2006). Possible cyclone events were associated with persistent vorticity centers exceeding 5<br />
x 10 -5 s -1 . More detailed analyses of individual storm events was performed using the full high<br />
resolution output.<br />
Compared to climatology, few storms were generated in the tropical NA, due to the anomalously<br />
low SSTs (Fig. 2b) and accentuated Azores High (Fig. 4b). The animation of ζ 850 shows easterly<br />
waves forming off Africa, however no hurricanes developed in the tropical Atlantic. A few<br />
waves that survived upon reaching the Gulf of Mexico did develop into storms as a result of the<br />
more favorable local conditions. Conversely, the too-high SSTs in the central tropical North<br />
Pacific (Fig. 2b; 160°E - 120°W) permitted too many tropical storms to form. Nevertheless, the<br />
high resolution of the simulation permits the spontaneous generation and recurvature of Saffir-<br />
Simpson Category 4 typhoons, as seen in an event with sustained 850 mb wind speeds of 66.5<br />
ms -1 from July-August of year 19 over the western tropical Pacific.<br />
The SST response under and to the right of the track is seen in Fig. 14a. Observational studies of<br />
the upper ocean response to the passage of extreme tropical storms such as those by Jacob et al.<br />
(2000) and Jaimes and Shay (2009) guide our interpretations. The cold SST "wake” is produced<br />
by the entrainment of cold subsurface water either through Ekman pumping or by instability of<br />
the vertical shear of forced near-inertial oscillations (Jaimes and Shay, 2009). A surface<br />
temperature drop of more than 3.6°C is seen at station 9 (133°E, 26°N) on 08/04/19, a day after<br />
the passage of the storm over this location, relative to the pre-storm conditions on 07/29/19 (Fig.<br />
14b). The ocean mixed layer deepened from about 40 m to 80 m, while the temperature below<br />
the bottom of the mixed layer and above 150 m increased by up to 2°C. Surface salinities<br />
increased from about 34.6 to 34.73 (not shown). By 08/18/19 the near-inertial oscillations had<br />
largely abated (not shown), and the mixed layer shallowed to almost pre-storm conditions and<br />
warmed by 0.8°C.<br />
The amount of net surface heating, Q, needed to restore the upper water column to pre-storm<br />
temperatures can be approximated by:<br />
Q = ∫∫∫ ρ 0<br />
C P<br />
ΔTdhdWdL = 5.8 ×10 20 J<br />
where ΔT is the magnitude of the negative part of the temperature anomaly, h is the depth to<br />
which the negative part of the temperature anomaly extends, and dW and dL are the cross-track<br />
and along-track extents, respectively (Emanuel, 2001). The cross-track extent was identified by<br />
differencing SST before the storm and 24 hours afterwards; h was calculated using a 0.2° C<br />
threshold value of temperature from the 10 m value 24 hours after the storm’s passage. Emanuel<br />
(2001) obtained a similar value of Q using approximate values for one NA hurricane event. The<br />
amount of heat mixed downwards into the oceans by typhoons may be an important component<br />
of the global meridional heat transport (Sriver and Huber, 2007). A calculation of Q for all<br />
typhoon events and a subsequent integration in time (such as a year) to estimate the average<br />
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cyclone-induced ocean heat convergence awaits a simulation where the number of hurricane<br />
occurrences more correctly reflect current climatic conditions.<br />
5. Ocean Mesoscale and Agulhas Eddies<br />
The majority of ocean variability is generally accounted for by mesoscale fluctuations; Chelton<br />
et al. (2007) report that more than 50% of the variability over much of the World Ocean is<br />
accounted for by eddies with amplitudes of 5-25 cm and diameters of 100-200 km. Fig. 15 shows<br />
the mesoscale RMS sea surface height anomaly (SSHA) from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 for years 15-19 and the<br />
AVISO-blended altimetry product from TOPEX/POSEIDON and ERS 1 and 2 (TPERS) for<br />
1997-2001. The ocean model fields were subsampled every 7 days and binned to match the<br />
spatial and temporal sampling of the data. The mesoscale energy is obtained by band-pass<br />
filtering the SSHA between 20-150 days; we are aware that it also contains energy at scales<br />
longer than a few hundred kilometers. The overall comparison generally shows good agreement<br />
in terms of the magnitude and spatial distribution of the variability, however in the ACC and the<br />
KE the mesoscale variability is unrealistically large in places; this is likely due in part to a<br />
barotropic intraseasonal response to the overly strong winds in that region. As well, at latitudes<br />
higher than 50° sampling limitations and the objective analysis procedure produce an<br />
underestimated TPRES signal (Brachet et al., 2004).<br />
A significant improvement in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 is the depiction of the variability associated with Agulhas<br />
eddies in the South Atlantic. The unrealistic band of strong SSH variability extending<br />
northwestward across the basin that was seen in two earlier global stand-alone 0.1° POP<br />
simulations, without (Maltrud and McClean, 2005; Fig. 4b) and with PBCs (Maltrud et al., 2010)<br />
on dipole and tripole grids, respectively, and forced with different synoptic fluxes, is not seen in<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4. This bias was attributed to Agulhas eddies predominately following the same toonorthwestward<br />
path across the South Atlantic and reaching waters offshore of South America at<br />
about 12-15°S.<br />
We hypothesize that the two-way coupling of 0.1° POP to the high-resolution atmosphere in<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 has produced more realistic Agulhas eddy pathways and surface dissipation locations.<br />
Examination of the <strong>CCSM</strong>4 time-evolving latent and sensible heat fluxes, wind stress curl and<br />
Ekman pumping velocities reveals the signature of Agulhas eddies in the Cape Basin region<br />
(west of South Africa) in all these fields; to the west their signatures are barely discernable.<br />
These exchanges and feedbacks likely reduce the range of the eddy sea surface height<br />
displacements causing them to start to spin-down. This assertion is supported by the significant<br />
reduction in mesoscale variability westward of the Cape Basin region (Fig. 15a).<br />
The POP/CICE and the two stand-alone POP simulations were forced with atmospheric fluxes<br />
that were in part derived from National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for<br />
Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis products (Kalnay et al., 1996). Uppermostlevel<br />
model potential temperature was included in the calculation of the net surface heat flux<br />
along with the NCEP turbulent fluxes. The 40-year NCEP reanalysis products have a spectral<br />
resolution of triangular wavenumber 62 (T62) or about 210-km grid spacing. Rouault et al.<br />
(2003) found that the NCEP model tends to underestimate latent and sensible transfers from the<br />
Agulhas Current and the Retroflection. They attribute this to the model’s inability to represent<br />
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the fluxes over the warmest waters in the core of the current. Since the core is only 80-100 km<br />
wide they suggest that the one-degree SST product used to force the atmospheric model is<br />
inadequate to resolve the Agulhas Current and its mesoscale variability. Underestimated<br />
turbulent fluxes and the lack of feedbacks would result in less eddy spin-down in the forced<br />
simulations, consistent with the strong band of mesoscale variability found across much of the<br />
South Atlantic.<br />
To further quantify the causes of the improvement in <strong>CCSM</strong>4 we compared Agulhas eddy tracks<br />
from satellite altimeter-derived sea surface height anomaly from AVISO for 2004-2008 and from<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 for model years 15-19 (Figs. 16a and b). We identified and tracked eddies using the<br />
Okubo-Weiss parameter, W, which measures the relative importance of deformation and rotation<br />
and is given by the sum of squares of the normal and shear components of strain minus the<br />
square of the relative vorticity (Isern-Fontanet et al., 2003; 2006). Eddies were identified by<br />
closed contours of W = -0.8 x 10 -12 s -2 . AVISO shows three repeating (41, 42%, and 17%)<br />
northwesterly-directed pathways located progressively equatorward of each other by 2.5°of<br />
latitude; they terminate progressively eastward of each other at 32°W and 24°S, 25°W and 26°S,<br />
and 18°W and 26°S. <strong>CCSM</strong>4 shows two repeating tracks (78% and 13%) directed toward the<br />
northwest about 4° apart; they terminate at 23°W, 25°S and 25°W, 21°S. Some latitudinal spread<br />
is seen in the cluster of pathways constituting the primary pathway. Their signature disappeared<br />
slightly to the east of the observed dissipation locations. For contrast we show tracks from the<br />
coupled POP/CICE simulation forced with normal year CORE forcing. It has two eddy tracks<br />
(90% and 10%) that extend all the way across the South Atlantic (Fig. 16c). The dominant<br />
northwestward pathway has too much of a northward component; the cluster of tracks<br />
comprising it have almost no latitudinal spread and they all terminate at about 14°S.<br />
To support our assertion that the POP eddies are both generated with higher amplitudes and<br />
maintain higher amplitudes during their passage across the Cape Basin than their observed or<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 counterparts we have calculated the evolution of the along-track amplitude of SSHA for<br />
long-lived anticyclonic eddies from AVISO, <strong>CCSM</strong>4, and POP/CICE together with their<br />
respective means (Fig. 17). The mean SSHA amplitudes at the formation locations from AVISO<br />
and <strong>CCSM</strong>4 are about 40-50 cm while it is 100 cm from POP/CICE. These values decrease to<br />
about 30 cm after 300 days both for AVISO and <strong>CCSM</strong>4 but only drop to 50 cm in the case of<br />
POP/CICE. Clearly POP/CICE eddies are shed from the Agulhas Retroflection with higher<br />
SSHA amplitudes than those derived from observations or in <strong>CCSM</strong>4. After 300 days their mean<br />
amplitudes decrease to the values of the other cases in their formation regions.<br />
Finally we examined the subsurface signature of a particular <strong>CCSM</strong>4 Agulhas eddy that<br />
followed the black track in Fig. 16b by identifying it in time-evolving fields of 10°C isotherm<br />
depth (not shown). The eddy was shed from the Agulhas retroflection at the beginning of year 15<br />
and was last identified at the surface using the tracking procedure above in March of year 17 at<br />
about 23°W, 25°S. The subsurface signature of the eddy can be identified as a coherent feature<br />
for at least 8-9 months after it was no longer identifiable at the surface and is last seen at depth at<br />
about 35°W, 23°S.<br />
6. Discussion and Conclusions<br />
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We examined the general fidelity of air-ocean interaction processes in a prototype two-decade<br />
fully coupled fine resolution <strong>CCSM</strong>4 simulation. The simulation’s climate is very reasonable<br />
considering that no tuning was done to correct for finer model resolution. As noted by Pope and<br />
Stratton (2002), any changes in resolution require significant testing to properly adjust the<br />
multiple constants in resolution dependent parameterizations. In other versions of <strong>CCSM</strong>, the<br />
scale adjustments for parameterization constants (model tuning) required many simulations, each<br />
lasting several decades, which was beyond the scope and resources of this investigational study.<br />
This simulation was extremely computationally expensive and only one simulation could be<br />
conducted, therefore we needed to minimize risk by choosing component setups with minimal<br />
changes from those that had already been successfully conducted. Our choices for the coupled<br />
model setup therefore were guided by our experience with a forced stand-alone 0.1° POP<br />
simulation on this same grid (Maltrud et al. 2010), low resolution fully-coupled <strong>CCSM</strong><br />
simulations (Collins et al., 2006; Bala et al. 2008), and the Gent et al. (2009) <strong>CCSM</strong> simulation<br />
that was configured with higher than standard-resolution atmosphere/land components (0.5°).<br />
Given the resource constraints tests of increases in vertical resolution and other subgrid scale<br />
parameterizations in both the atmosphere and ocean await investigation in future simulations.<br />
The major high latitude biases in the simulation were dominated by problems in the atmospheric<br />
model’s circulation, which were likely a major cause in the drift and worsening SST errors. The<br />
intensified and contracted polar vortices point to problems with the scale sensitivity of the<br />
parameterization constants associated with gravity and mountain wave sub-grid scale schemes,<br />
exacerbated by the non-linearities associated with the polar filter required to keep the solutions<br />
stable on the fine spacing on the spherical grid. Early test simulations of atmosphere-only runs<br />
forced by climatological surface conditions showed some signature of the high-latitude<br />
problems, but they were not as severe and the belief was that a fully coupled simulation would<br />
bring the atmosphere into a more realistic state. In reality, the biases worsened as a result of the<br />
coupling and introduced problems into the ocean.<br />
Higher resolution does little to correct the large-scale biases in the radiation and precipitation<br />
fields that most likely result from subgrid-scale parameterization weaknesses (Pope and Stratton,<br />
2002). The anomalous high latitude atmospheric circulation was reflected in surface wind<br />
stresses that were too strong in the subpolar NA, NP, and SO. As a result, cold SST biases and<br />
excessive ice were created in the subpolar NH. These anomalously low SSTs caused a dearth of<br />
hurricanes in the North Atlantic, while too high SSTs in the tropical eastern Pacific resulted in an<br />
excessive number of tropical systems forming in the NP.<br />
Encouragingly however the coupled simulation provided an important example of an improved<br />
depiction of mesoscale processes important to climate relative to the forced ocean simulations.<br />
The amplitude of SSHA in eddies being shed from the Agulhas Retroflection are unrealistically<br />
high in the forced simulations; their amplitudes remain unrealistically high as they move across<br />
the South Atlantic basin following a too northwesterly path. These higher amplitudes are<br />
attributed to the coarseness of the NCEP atmospheric fluxes used to force the ocean model and<br />
the SST product used as a bottom boundary condition for the NCEP atmospheric prediction<br />
model. Exchanges and feedbacks between the high-resolution atmosphere and ocean are<br />
implicated as the cause for the more realistic <strong>CCSM</strong>4 Agulhas eddy SSH displacements at the<br />
time of their formation and their spin-down in the Cape Basin. Therefore it is likely that the<br />
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resulting respective energetics of the Agulhas eddies in the coupled versus the stand-alone<br />
models determine their differing pathways and surface dissipation locations. Unrealistically high<br />
mean SSH was seen in the western boundary currents and recirculation regions, including the<br />
Agulhas System, of a forced stand-alone high-resolution ocean simulation. On the other hand,<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 in these regions was in much better agreement with the observed dynamic topography<br />
estimate from the combined altimetry, GRACE geoid, and surface drifter data. Again the low<br />
resolution atmospheric fluxes forcing the stand-alone model are likely to be a contributor to these<br />
biases. Hence demonstrable improvements in the depiction of both the mean and mesoscale<br />
variability of the upper ocean circulation were found in the fully coupled fine resolution<br />
simulation relative to the stand-alone ocean simulations.<br />
In all, this prototype simulation demonstrates the computational feasibility and model readiness<br />
to execute coupled high resolution simulations and highlights the future potential of very high<br />
resolution, long coupled climate runs to examine such features as decadal variability or the<br />
impact of ocean mixing by tropical storms on ocean heat transport. More importantly, the<br />
simulation shows the potential for the spontaneous simulation of important coupled mesoscale<br />
features that were previously impractical in a global coupled model, particularly the generation<br />
of intense tropical cyclones under the correct environmental conditions.<br />
Toward the goal of improving the performance of the ocean model in the coupled system, we are<br />
conducting stand-alone ocean or coupled ocean/ice simulations configured as consistently as<br />
possible with the coupled model set-up. In this way, we can shed light on ocean biases without<br />
the complexity of an active atmosphere. These results can then help us understand the ocean’s<br />
behavior in the fully coupled system. Hence we are running stand-alone 0.1° POP with the model<br />
ocean surface velocities incorporated into the drag law calculation as is done in <strong>CCSM</strong>4. We<br />
wish to know if the eddy field will be weakened as found by Hutchinson et al. (2010). The<br />
current wind stress forcing formulation will also likely provide too much momentum to the<br />
western boundary currents hence we hypothesize that the biases seen in the mean SSH of POP<br />
(Figs. 8 and 9) may be reduced once ocean surface currents are included in the stress calculation.<br />
Global coupled 0.1° POP/CICE is also being run and evaluated to improve the fidelity of the<br />
coupled ice/ocean system, especially the ice cover in the Southern Hemisphere in austral<br />
summer. Finally, the effects of using the baroclinic restratification parameterization developed<br />
by Fox-Kemper et al. (2008) and Fox-Kemper and Ferrari (2008) will be tested in future<br />
simulations. It is based on the concept that ageostrophic baroclinic instabilities form in the ocean<br />
surface mixed layer at horizontal fronts and act to re-stratify the ocean. This submesoscale<br />
parameterization has already been evaluated in stand-alone 0.1º POP (Fox-Kemper et al., 2011),<br />
and in the coupled context should help to re-stratify the upper ocean following the passage of<br />
typhoons.<br />
The promising results of the present investigation have lead to a multi-institutional effort to<br />
develop a CMIP (<strong>Coupled</strong> Model Intercomparison Project)-capable high resolution version of<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>, involving multiple dynamical cores and systematic evaluation of the scale dependence of<br />
sub-grid scale schemes. We hope to perform accurate hindcasts of twentieth century climate, as<br />
well as projection of twenty-first century climate, which will explicitly simulate climate change<br />
at small scales, including climatologies of extreme events. These simulations will provide the<br />
means to study mesoscale air-sea coupling over long time scales and understand its importance<br />
17
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to climate change. A recent study by Bryan et al. (2010) is a forerunner of such analyses. They<br />
found by comparing this <strong>CCSM</strong> simulation with others having lower resolution components that<br />
it is only when the ocean model largely resolves eddies that the characteristics of observed<br />
frontal scale ocean –atmosphere interaction are captured.<br />
Acknowledgements<br />
This work was supported by the Office of Science (BER), U.S. Department of Energy at the<br />
Lawrence Livermore, Oak Ridge, Argonne, and Los Alamos National Laboratories under<br />
contracts DE-AC52-07NA27344 (AAM, DCB, DPI, JSB, JLM), DE-AC05-00OR22725 (PHW,<br />
DCB), DE-AC02-06CH11357 (RLJ), DE-AC52-06NA25396 (PWJ, MEM, and as an SIO<br />
subcontract: JLM and YYK), respectively and by grants DE-FG02-05ER64119 (JLM, YYK),<br />
and DE-PS02-07ER0706 (JMD). NASA contract 1273575 (via U. Maine) also supported JLM<br />
and YYK. Participation of FOB, JMD, MV, NN, and AN were supported by the National<br />
Science Foundation through its sponsorship of NCAR. Computer time was provided by the<br />
Department of Energy as part of the Multiprogramatic and Institutional Initiative at Lawrence<br />
Livermore National Laboratory. Altimeter products are from Ssalto/Duacs, Aviso and Cnes,<br />
ERA-40 reanalysis came from ECMWF and NCAR, and QuikSCAT winds are from the<br />
Scatterometer Climatology of Ocean Wind (SCOW) data set found at<br />
http://cioss.coas.oregonstate.edu/scow/. We thank both reviewers and the guest editor of this<br />
special edition for their helpful comments and suggestions.<br />
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Figure Captions<br />
Fig. 1. Annual average precipitation rate (mm/day) from Xie-Arkin observations (1997) (top)<br />
and <strong>CCSM</strong>4 (bottom) for model years 13-19.<br />
Fig. 2. (a) Climatology of daily 0.25° Reynolds et al. (2007) satellite-derived SST (°C) data<br />
averaged for 1982-2008. (b) Difference field (°C) between the mean potential temperature for<br />
model years 13-19 from the upper-most model level (5m) and the observed SST climatology.<br />
Contour line is 0°C.<br />
Fig. 3. <strong>CCSM</strong>4 ocean potential temperature (left) and salinity (right) change from model year 19<br />
– model year 1. Red line depicts high latitude regions (50º-90º), green lines are mid-latitudes<br />
(20º-50º), blue line is the tropics (20°S-20°N), and black lines are global. Thick and thin lines<br />
represent the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemispheres, respectively.<br />
Fig. 4. (a) Annual average of geopotential height at 500 mb from ERA40 and the (b) difference<br />
(m) of the model annual average geopotential height at 500 mb (m) and the ERA40 field. (c)<br />
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Annual average of sea level pressure (mb) from ERA40 and the (d) difference (mb) of the model<br />
annual average sea level pressure and the ERA40 field.<br />
Fig. 5. (a) Annual average wind stress vectors (Nm -2 ) from QuikSCAT superimposed on their<br />
vector magnitudes (color contours). (b) Wind stress difference vectors (Nm -2 ) between annuallyaveraged<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 and QuikSCAT superimposed on the magnitudes of their vector differences<br />
(color contours). Model wind stresses are averaged for model years 13-19.<br />
Fig. 6. Time series of (a) Arctic and (b) Antarctic total ice area (km 2 ) from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 for years 0-<br />
19 (red) and from SSM/I (blue) for 1980-1999. The SSM/I data are for the period 1980-1999.<br />
Fig. 7. North Atlantic mean (a) velocity (ms -1 ) and temperature (°C) from the uppermost level<br />
(5m) of the ocean component of <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and (b) wind stress (Nm -2 ) and 5m temperature (°C) for<br />
years 13-19. Thin black contour line is 7°C.<br />
Fig. 8. (a) Mean dynamic ocean surface topography (cm) from Maximenko et al. (2009). Mean<br />
sea surface height (cm) from (b) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 for model years 13-19 and (c) a stand-alone tripole 0.1°<br />
POP simulation for model years 95-99. The same grid is used in the two simulations.<br />
Fig. 9. Difference fields (cm) between (a) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 mean sea surface height (model years 13-19)<br />
and mean dynamic ocean surface topography (MDOT), and between (b) stand-alone tripole 0.1°<br />
POP sea surface height (model years 95-99) and MDOT.<br />
Fig. 10: Mean meridional overturning streamfunction (Sv) for model years 15-19 for the (a)<br />
global ocean and (b) the Atlantic Ocean. Negative contours are dashed and denote a counterclockwise<br />
sense of flow.<br />
Fig. 11. Mixed layer depth (m) climatologies for December-January-February from de Boyer<br />
Montégut et al. (2004) observations, (b) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 (model years 13-19), and (c) POP (model years<br />
95-99). Differences (m): (a) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 – data, (b) POP – data, and (c) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 – POP. MLD<br />
criterion is based on a ΔT=0.2°C from the near-surface temperature value at 10 m.<br />
Fig. 12. Mixed layer depth (m) climatologies for June-July-August from de Boyer Montégut et<br />
al. (2004) observations, (b) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 (model years 13-19), and (c) POP (model years 95-99).<br />
Differences (m): (a) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 – data, (b) POP – data, and (c) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 – POP. MLD criterion is<br />
based on a ΔT=0.2°C from the near-surface temperature value at 10 m.<br />
Fig. 13: (a) Zonally-integrated global ocean total meridional heat transport (PW) from <strong>CCSM</strong>4<br />
(model years 15-19), POP (model years 95-99) and Trenberth and Caron (2000) atmospheric<br />
reanalysis estimates. (b) Zonally-integrated global ocean total, mean, and eddy meridional heat<br />
transports from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and POP.<br />
Fig. 14. (a) Track of a Category 4 tropical cyclone event in July-August of model year 19<br />
superimposed on the SST (°C) cold water "wake” under and to the right of the track of the center<br />
of the storm in the tropical northwest Pacific. (b) Vertical profiles of temperature (°C) at station<br />
9 (133°E, 26°N) that correspond to pre-storm conditions (07/29/19), a day after the passage of<br />
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the storm’s center (08/04/19), and the water column once the near-inertial oscillations have<br />
largely abated (08/18/19).<br />
Fig. 15. Mesoscale RMS SSHA (cm) from (a) the ocean component of <strong>CCSM</strong>4 for years 15-19<br />
and (b) the AVISO-blended (TOPEX/POSEIDON and ERS 1 and 2) altimetry for 1997-2001.<br />
Fig. 16. Agulhas eddy pathways from (a) AVISO altimetry, (b) <strong>CCSM</strong>4, and the (c) coupled<br />
POP/CICE simulation. Numbers are percentage of times that eddies follow the same track.<br />
Fig. 17. Evolution of along-track amplitude of SSHA (cm) as a function of time since eddy<br />
formation for AVISO (upper), <strong>CCSM</strong>4 (middle), and POP/CICE (lower).<br />
25
1084<br />
Channel/Strait/Opening<br />
<strong>CCSM</strong>4 Observed<br />
(Sv)<br />
(Sv)<br />
1 Sv = 10 6 m 3 s -1<br />
References for<br />
observational<br />
estimates<br />
Barents Opening 3.1 northward 1.5±0.1<br />
northward<br />
Ingvaldsen et al.<br />
(2004)<br />
Bering Strait 1.4 northward 0.8±0.16<br />
northward<br />
Woodgate and<br />
Aagaard (2005)<br />
Canadian Archipelago 1.2 southward 0.7-2.0<br />
southward<br />
Sadler (1976),<br />
Fissel et al. (1998)<br />
Melling (2000)<br />
Denmark Strait<br />
6.5 net<br />
southward<br />
0.8 net<br />
northward<br />
3 net southward<br />
Østerhus et al.<br />
(2005)<br />
Olsen el al. (2008)<br />
Drake Passage 168.9 eastward 136.7±7.8<br />
eastward<br />
Cunningham et al.<br />
(2003)<br />
English Channel 0.17 northward 0.1-0.2 Otto et al. (1990)<br />
northward<br />
Pacific Equatorial<br />
30.7 eastward 26 eastwards Kessler et al. (2003)<br />
Undercurrent (140°W)<br />
Faroe-Scotland Channel 5.5 net<br />
northward<br />
3.8 net<br />
northwards<br />
2.1 net<br />
southward<br />
Østerhus et al.<br />
(2005)<br />
Olsen el al. (2008)<br />
Florida-Bahamas Strait 20.5 northward 32.3±3.2 Larsen (1992)<br />
Fram Strait<br />
3.1 net<br />
southward<br />
4±2 & 2±2 net<br />
southward<br />
Schauer et al.<br />
(2004)<br />
Iceland-Faroe Channel 1.0 net<br />
northward<br />
3.8 net<br />
northward<br />
1 net southward<br />
Østerhus et al.<br />
(2005)<br />
Olsen el al. (2008)<br />
Indonesian Throughflow 13.8 westward 15.0 westward Sprintall et al.<br />
(2009)<br />
Mozambique Channel 18.5 southward 16.7 southward Ridderinkhof et al.<br />
(2010)<br />
Taiwan-<br />
Luzon Straits:<br />
2.2 northwards<br />
3.4 westwards<br />
1.6 southward<br />
6±3 westward<br />
3.0 westward<br />
Wang et al. (2004)<br />
Tian et al. (2006)<br />
Qu (2000)<br />
Windward Passage 0.17 southward 3.6 southward Smith et al. (2007)<br />
1085<br />
1086<br />
Table 1: Depth-integrated mass transports (Sv) through selected channels, straits, and openings<br />
from <strong>CCSM</strong>4 and observations.<br />
26
Fig. 9: Difference fields (cm) between (a) <strong>CCSM</strong>4 mean sea surface height (model years 13-<br />
19) and mean dynamic ocean surface topography (MDOT), and between (b) stand-alone<br />
tripole 0.1° POP sea surface height (model years 95-99) and MDOT.<br />
9