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Team B’s Draft Picks (Rounds 10, 12, 16, 17, 18, 19) : Player G A +/- PIM SOG PPP Hits BkS Semin (LW) 25 40 +5 50 200 25 30 20 Carter (RW) 25 35 +5 30 220 20 20 20 Seabrook (D) 8 25 +20 30 150 5 200 150 Seidenberg (D) 5 20 +20 40 180 10 150 150 Girardi (D) 5 25 +15 25 120 10 200 180 M.Stuart (D) 5 15 -5 100 60 0 200 180 TOTAL = 73 160 +60 275 950 70 800 700 *All values above are rough projection/estimates for the sake of comparison. Use at your own risk!* Team B (D-Last) went after forwards first, leaving Hits/BkS defensemen to the very end. • Grabbing Semin represents a sacrifice on Hits/BkS… but that can be made up with the late D. Semin is a point-booster <strong>and</strong> PPP/SOG booster over most D at this spot. • Similar to Semin, Carter doesn’t get any Hits/BkS… but he does give you an upgrade over D in Points/SOG <strong>and</strong> probably PPP. • Seabrook quickly restocks Hits/Bks, helps +/-. He has a poor PPP. 33pts is not bad. • Seidenberg restocks the low Hits/BkS. He’d good for +/-. • Girardi is a great Hits/BkS player who has a chance to fill into some NYR PP time. • Mark Stuart really helps in two categories AND PIM, at the expense of a poor SOG total… but you are hoping that what you stocked in your mid-round forwards can balance that out. • Defensemen drafted for Hits/BkS/PIM are also very replaceable. You may find that you want to switch out Mark Stuart (if Winnipeg plays 2 games in week) for Theo Peckham (if EDM plays 4 games in a week). If your league allows it, streaming in defensemen to take advantage of scheduling can be a significant benefit. 17
Now compare the category totals : Team G A +/- PIM SOG PPP Hits BkS Team A – Balanced 73 187 -5 275 840 95 660 520 Team B – D-Last 73 160 +60 275 950 70 800 700 2: Goals/PIM are two very even categories. 2: Team A has a distinct advantage in Assists & PPP. + 2 categories for Team A. 4: Team B has a distinct advantage in +/-, SOG, Hits & BkS. + 4 categories for Team B. Beyond this, let’s break these totals down by dividing them by 22 weeks of H2H schedule. Team A: G=3.3, A=8.5, +/- = -0.2, PIM=12.5, SOG = 38, PPP = 4.3, Hits = 30, BkS = 24 Team B: G=3.3, A=7.3, +/- = +2.7, PIM=12.5, SOG = 43, PPP = 3.2, Hits = 36, BkS = 32 Anybody who is in a league with SHP as a category knows that just 1 SHP might win the week. Lower quantity categories are more likely to result in weeks where the lesser-stat team might steal the win. Here, Assists would be won in a typical week by Team A by a score of 8.5 to 7.3. But in any week, the assist totals of these players on either team may fluctuate by 0-3 assists. Meaning… Team B is likely to win some weeks… maybe 30%-40%. PPP would be won in a typical week by Team A by a score of 4.3 to 3.2. But in any week, the PPP totals of these players may fluctuate by 0-2 PPP. The same is true of Team B’s +/- difference. 18
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