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EuroAsia Interconnector Project Submarine power cable

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<strong>EuroAsia</strong> <strong>Interconnector</strong> <strong>Project</strong><br />

<strong>Submarine</strong> <strong>power</strong> <strong>cable</strong><br />

Feasibility study status<br />

Executive summary<br />

Presented by: Yakov (Yasha) Hain, Senior Executive VP<br />

Israel Electric Corporation Ltd.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit


<strong>EuroAsia</strong> <strong>Interconnector</strong> <strong>Project</strong><br />

<strong>Submarine</strong> <strong>power</strong> <strong>cable</strong><br />

Feasibility study status<br />

Executive summary<br />

Presented by: Yakov (Yasha) Hain, Senior Executive VP<br />

Israel Electric Corporation Ltd.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit


<strong>Project</strong> description<br />

• Euro‐Asia <strong>Interconnector</strong> is a project intended to link<br />

the electrical systems of Israel, Cyprus and Greece<br />

(via Crete) through sub‐marine DC <strong>cable</strong>s and HVDC<br />

onshore stations in each country<br />

• Total capacity – 2000 MW<br />

• Participants:<br />

– DEH‐Quantum Energy<br />

– Electricity Authority of Cyprus<br />

– TSO ‐ Cyprus<br />

– Israel Electric Corporation<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 3


<strong>Project</strong> activities ‐ MOU<br />

March 04, 2012. Tel Aviv. Israel<br />

endorsed its commitment to<br />

implementing the <strong>EuroAsia</strong><br />

<strong>Interconnector</strong> energy bridge<br />

project connecting Greece, Cyprus<br />

and Israel signing an agreement<br />

with DEH‐Quantum Energy LLC.<br />

March 23, 2012. Nicosia. The<br />

Electricity Authority of Cyprus<br />

formalized its participation in the<br />

three‐nation operation to lay the<br />

<strong>EuroAsia</strong> <strong>Interconnector</strong> submarine<br />

electricity <strong>cable</strong> signing a<br />

cooperation agreement with PPC ‐<br />

Quantum Energy LLC<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 4


<strong>Project</strong> activities –working<br />

groups<br />

April 23, 2012. Nicosia. The first<br />

Steering Committee Meeting.<br />

The Committee took decision on<br />

Feasibility study and schedule<br />

for its implementation<br />

June 13, 2012. Tel Aviv. Finalization of the Steering<br />

Committee and the Working Groups. Chairman of ΔΕΗ‐<br />

Quantum Mr. Athanasios Ktorides informed the Steering<br />

Committee that the Cyprus Government had applied to EU<br />

for consideration and approval of the <strong>EuroAsia</strong><br />

<strong>Interconnector</strong> as a cross‐border project of common interest.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 5


<strong>Project</strong> activities –working<br />

groups<br />

Network analysis<br />

Group coordinator: Dr. David Elmakias, IEC<br />

Group coordinator: Mr. Stavros Stavrinos, TSO Cyprus<br />

Dr. Elias Kyriakides, ΔΕΗ-QUANTUM<br />

Mr. Pavel Kulbekov, IEC<br />

Dr. Yair Malakhi, IEC<br />

Mrs. Sanda Harel, IEC<br />

Mr. Evaggelos Anastasiades, EAC<br />

Mr. Ioannis Papageorgiou, EAC<br />

Market analysis and regulation<br />

Group coordinator: Ms. Dimitra Croba,<br />

ΔΕΗ-QUANTUM<br />

Dr. Vladimir Podshivalov, IEC<br />

Ms. Tali Shitrit, IEC<br />

Mr. Sylvian Locar, IEC<br />

Mr. Andreas Poullikas, EAC<br />

Mr. Constantinos Rouvas, EAC<br />

Cable routing and environmental<br />

Group coordinator: Mr. Athanasios<br />

Stivaros, ΔΕΗ-QUANTUM<br />

Dr. Hanoch Ben-Haim, IEC<br />

Dr. Tal Katz, IEC<br />

Mr. Tasos Gregoriou, EAC<br />

Technology issues: <strong>cable</strong> and converter station<br />

Group coordinator: Dr. Hanoch Ben-Haim, IEC<br />

Dr. Elias Kyriakides, ΔΕΗ-QUANTUM<br />

Mr. Ilan Akons, IEC<br />

Mr. Ziv Nir, IEC<br />

Mr. Dinos Charalambides, EAC<br />

Generation<br />

Mrs. Sanda Harel, IEC<br />

Mr. Pavel Kulbekov, IEC<br />

Dr. Yair Malakhi, IEC<br />

Mr. Andreas Poullikas, EAC<br />

Mr. Constantinos Rouvas, EAC<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 6


Description of electricity<br />

systems<br />

Greece<br />

Capacity –12,890 MW<br />

Production –51.9 TWh*<br />

Cyprus<br />

Capacity –1,400 MW<br />

Production –5.2 TWh<br />

* incl. export/import<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Israel<br />

Capacity –13,131 MW<br />

Production –57.3 TWh<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 7


Preliminary <strong>cable</strong> route<br />

Greece<br />

Crete<br />

Cyprus<br />

Israel<br />

The route consists of three sectors:<br />

• Israel –Cyprus section between Hadera site in Israel and Vasilikos site in<br />

Cyprus.<br />

• Cyprus –Crete section between Vasilikos site in Cyprus and Korakia site<br />

in Crete.<br />

• Crete –Continental Greece section between Korakia site in Crete and<br />

Attica region in Continental Greece.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 8


Preliminary <strong>cable</strong><br />

route<br />

Section<br />

Israel –Cyprus<br />

Length, km<br />

330<br />

Maximal<br />

depth, m<br />

2300<br />

Cyprus –Crete<br />

Crete – Continental<br />

Greece<br />

880<br />

310<br />

2700<br />

1400<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 9


Preliminary <strong>cable</strong><br />

route<br />

The major challenge of this project – sea depth<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 10


Technology issues<br />

Request for Information has been prepared<br />

and distributed to the main manufacturers of<br />

HVDC equipment<br />

Four manufacturers answered the RFI:<br />

• Alstom as a HVDC converter manufacturer<br />

• ABB as a HVDC converter and submarine <strong>cable</strong>s<br />

manufacturer<br />

• Siemens as a HVDC converter manufacturer<br />

• Prysmian as a sub‐marine <strong>cable</strong>s manufacturer<br />

Siemens and Prysmian participated in RFI as a<br />

consortium.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 11


Technology issues ‐ <strong>cable</strong><br />

Mass‐Impregnated (MI) Cable<br />

The technology is available for<br />

voltages up to 600 kV and a<br />

transmission capacity of up to<br />

2200 MW<br />

XPLE Cable<br />

The technology is available<br />

for voltages up to 320 kV and a<br />

transmission capacity of up to<br />

1000 MW in one <strong>cable</strong><br />

Preliminary conclusion:<br />

•The project is technologically feasible based on MI 500kV 500 MW<br />

<strong>cable</strong>s.<br />

• <strong>Project</strong> schedule is determined by the submarine <strong>cable</strong> availability<br />

including R&D stage and manufacturing/installation duration<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 12


Technology issues ‐ converter<br />

Line commutated LCC<br />

LCC is the most widely<br />

adopted technology with<br />

many years of service<br />

experience but has<br />

limitation for bidirectional<br />

energy flow.<br />

Preliminary conclusion: feasible<br />

Self‐commutated VSC<br />

VSC technology allows bi-directional<br />

energy flow and true multi-terminal<br />

control.<br />

VSC converters have already<br />

implemented in a few projects, and<br />

planned for on-going projects at +/-<br />

300kV and 350kV.<br />

Theoretically there is no limitation to<br />

voltage level and +/- 500kV VSC<br />

converter is feasible.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 13


Technology issues ‐<br />

configuration<br />

There are three main HVDC basic systems:<br />

• Monopolar HVDC systems<br />

• Bipolar HVDC systems<br />

• Multi‐terminal HVDC systems<br />

Preliminary conclusion:<br />

At this level of information the best alternative is a bipolar configuration<br />

with monopolar bypass and sea electrodes.<br />

The final choice of the configuration will be optimized according to<br />

energy flow and reliability needs.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 14


Network analysis. Study<br />

Objectives<br />

• DC link impact study on existing transmission system.<br />

• HVDC connection to the transmission system<br />

• Steady State analysis of existing system with DC<br />

<strong>cable</strong> connection from the thermal limits and voltage<br />

constraints perspective<br />

• Transmission expansion plan to make possible the<br />

connection of up to 1000 and 2000MW<br />

• Power flow calculation of DC link –<strong>power</strong> losses and<br />

voltage changes<br />

• Contingency Analysis<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 15


Network analysis. Israel<br />

Dynamic Analysis<br />

• In order to maintain stability after a fault, imported <strong>power</strong><br />

should not exceed 30% of the local load.<br />

• An HVDC Interconnection with a 1000 MW capacity is not<br />

expected to present a problem at any point in time.<br />

• An outage of the HVDC Interconnection with a capacity of<br />

2000 MW during export could:<br />

– Risk the integrity of the Israeli <strong>power</strong> system during 3.7% of the time<br />

in the year 2022.<br />

– Cause severe disruptions in energy supply during 5.5% of the time in<br />

the year 2022.<br />

– The risk posed by an outage of a 2000 MW HVDC Interconnection<br />

could be reduced by lowering the capacity factor or by redesign of<br />

system protections.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 16


Network analysis. Cyprus<br />

• Importing <strong>power</strong> into the Cyprus system, maximum <strong>power</strong><br />

loss of 225 MW may be tolerated. It will result in<br />

disconnection of 11% of the consumer loads for at least 15‐<br />

20 minutes. The disconnected consumers will be restored<br />

within 15‐20 minutes by starting the five peaking open‐cycle<br />

gas turbine units, provided that they are available.<br />

• For a sudden loss of <strong>power</strong> import higher than 225 MW, the<br />

resulting shed consumer loads will require a substantially<br />

higher restoration time, ranging from 4 to 6 hours,<br />

depending on the system conditions, as large steam<br />

generating units will have to be committed.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 17


Network analysis. Cyprus<br />

• The maximum <strong>power</strong> that can be imported is<br />

between 850‐900 MW, but if one of the two DC<br />

<strong>cable</strong>s is tripped during such an operation, at least<br />

27% of the system load will be shed and the<br />

corresponding restoration time will be of the order<br />

of several hours, which is unacceptable.<br />

• Higher import is not feasible, due to the constraint<br />

imposed by the minimum stable loading levels of<br />

the generating units.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 18


Market analysis. Greece<br />

• Greece is an “electrical<br />

peninsula”. Greek Wholesale<br />

Market has a weak correlation<br />

with the major European markets<br />

and exhibits higher level of<br />

wholesale prices<br />

• All the northern neighbors of<br />

Greece have lower prices and are<br />

net importers to the Greek<br />

market<br />

• Italy –another “electrical<br />

peninsula” is the only stable net<br />

importer from Greece.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Note: we do not examine here the feasibility<br />

of Crete-Greece interconnection , which is<br />

clearly proved already<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 19


Market analysis. Greece<br />

• Electricity production costs in Israel in the medium<br />

perspective are going to be lower than the Greek ones<br />

• This situation dictates the Greek market as a primary target<br />

for <strong>EuroAsia</strong> <strong>Interconnector</strong> project<br />

• The Italian market is considered as a secondary target,<br />

(+) characterized by high level of prices and<br />

(+) much larger trading activity, but<br />

(‐) access to the market is limited due to the lack of<br />

transmission capacity<br />

Dominant <strong>power</strong> flow through <strong>EuroAsia</strong> <strong>Interconnector</strong><br />

South (Cyprus, Israel) to North (Greece)<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 20


Market analysis<br />

Main scenarios<br />

• Development plans of Cyprus, Greece and Israel based<br />

mainly on gas fired CCGT units and use of renewable<br />

energy sources<br />

• We are expecting a stable gap of 7‐8 $/MMBTU<br />

between Greek and Israeli NG prices in favor of Israel.<br />

• It’s equivalent to 35‐40 €/MWh difference in marginal<br />

costs (operational variable costs) for modern units<br />

• The price of Cypriot natural gas is less certain.<br />

• We consider three scenarios which are dictated by<br />

three Cypriot gas prices possibilities<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 21


Market analysis. Scenario A<br />

“No‐change”<br />

• Fuel prices in Cyprus are similar to the<br />

current level<br />

• The marginal costs are the highest in Cyprus<br />

• Cypriot export to other countries in such<br />

conditions is uneconomical, so Cyprus is<br />

going to be electricity net importer from the<br />

<strong>cable</strong>.<br />

• Both Greek and Israeli electricity is competitive for Cypriot market, but Israeli<br />

electricity, due to their lower costs, has a priority<br />

• Greek export to Cyprus is hardly possible as a stable business pattern<br />

• Relatively small Cypriot market can't fully use the Cable capacity<br />

• The remaining part of electricity is sold at the Greek market<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 22


Market analysis. Scenario B<br />

“Gas parity scenario”<br />

• Fuel prices in Cyprus are similar to<br />

those in Israel.<br />

• The marginal costs (operational<br />

variable costs) is highest in Greece.<br />

Greek export to other countries in<br />

such conditions is uneconomical,<br />

• Greece is energy net importer from<br />

the <strong>cable</strong>.<br />

• Both Cypriot and Israeli electricity is competitive for Greek<br />

market, nobody has a priority.<br />

• Israeli export to Cyprus or Cypriot to Israel is hardly possible as a<br />

stable business pattern.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 23


Market analysis. Scenario C<br />

“Cypriot energy hub scenario”<br />

• Fuel prices in Cyprus are much lower<br />

than in Israel.<br />

• The marginal costs (operational<br />

variable costs) will be lowest in Cyprus<br />

• Cypriot export to both other countries<br />

–Greece and Israel ‐ is economical, so<br />

Cyprus will be energy net exporter to<br />

the <strong>cable</strong>.<br />

• Both Greek and Israeli electricity are going to consume Cypriot<br />

electricity<br />

• This scenario dictates a need for construction of CCGT plants in<br />

Cyprus which will produce electricity mainly for export.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 24


Summary<br />

• Finalising of Feasibility Study report –<br />

02/2013<br />

• <strong>Project</strong> implementation:<br />

– 2018, first stage Israel‐Cyprus and Greece‐<br />

Crete;<br />

– 2020, second stage Cyprus‐Crete.<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit 25


Thank you<br />

November 8, 2012<br />

Doing business with Israel summit

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