Exclusive Investment Offering: Condominium Interest - Transwestern
Exclusive Investment Offering: Condominium Interest - Transwestern
Exclusive Investment Offering: Condominium Interest - Transwestern
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34<br />
Market Overview<br />
The Falls Church Retail Submarket<br />
Ideally positioned between Washington D.C., Fairfax<br />
County and Arlington County, the Falls Church<br />
competitive market includes Seven Corners and<br />
other areas outside of the City limits. The greater<br />
Falls Church submarket has a retail inventory of 3.2<br />
million square feet in approximately 177 buildings.<br />
Nearly 59% of this inventory is comprised of shopping<br />
centers verses 41% in freestanding or mixed-used<br />
use complexes. The majority of this submarket was<br />
developed in the 1960s, however experienced a<br />
significant spike in construction starts in 2005, largely<br />
influenced by the updates to the City’s Comprehensive<br />
Plan. Today, Falls Church is a dynamic retail market<br />
offering neighborhood conveniences from small<br />
boutiques to large grocery stores, all serving the City’s<br />
affluent residential population. Premier retailers within<br />
a mile radius of The Broadway include Giant, Cosi,<br />
Baja Fresh, Verizon, Starbucks and Panera Bread. It<br />
is reported that the Panera Bread, located at 450 W.<br />
Broad Street, is one of the company’s top performing<br />
average vacancy of 2.7% over the last three years. New<br />
projects are commanding above average rents in the<br />
suburban metropolitan area at $40.00 to $45.00 triple<br />
net, which are comparable to major economic nodes<br />
such as Fairfax Center.<br />
The overall competitive market has also exhibited<br />
strong performance. The submarket is comprised of<br />
over 3.2 million square feet of retail space with just<br />
3.9% vacancy. Greater Falls Church has experienced<br />
significant stability, having never exceeded 5.7%<br />
vacancy over the last ten years. Year to date absorption<br />
totals positive 8,350 square feet of retail space and is<br />
backed by strong leasing in 2007 which saw 14 deals<br />
inked year to date, compared to 12 in 2006. Rental rates<br />
continue to see steady growth; the current average<br />
direct rental rate is $36.00 and has increased 3.0% over<br />
the last year and 7.0% average annual growth over the<br />
past four years.<br />
Deliveries and Development Pipeline<br />
There were no retail projects delivered in the third<br />
quarter of 2007, however the submarket gained 10,000<br />
square feet in the first half of the year with the delivery<br />
of The Byron. The project is directly across the street<br />
from the Subject Property and is a similar mixed-used<br />
format to The Broadway. The Byron has 2,600 square<br />
feet of available space and includes notable tenants<br />
Cosi and Verizon.<br />
locations in the nation, with retail sales estimated at<br />
over $500 per square foot.<br />
Submarket Fundamentals<br />
The City of Falls Church, occupying just 2.0 square<br />
miles, currently registers a low 1.3% vacancy out of its<br />
683,000 square foot inventory. The City has exhibited<br />
high demand for upscale retail while maintaining a low<br />
Currently there are two projects under construction<br />
in the City of Falls Church, the Spectrum and Pearson<br />
Square, scheduled to deliver a total of 58,400 square<br />
feet in the first quarter of 2008. The Spectrum, also<br />
developed by Waterford Development, will deliver<br />
33,000 square feet of retail space, of which currently<br />
70% of the retail tenancy is under lease negotiations<br />
for $40.00 to $45.00 triple net. In addition, as detailed<br />
in the preceding section, the City has additional 87,600<br />
square feet of retail in planning to contribute to the<br />
Nails Boutique at The Shops at The Broadway