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Title: Probabilistic Risk Assessment Method for Smart Grids Speaker ...

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<strong>Title</strong>: <br />

<strong>Probabilistic</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>Method</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Smart</strong> <strong>Grids</strong> <br />

<strong>Speaker</strong>: <br />

Dr. Pei Zhang <br />

Director <br />

Greater China on <strong>Smart</strong> Grid <br />

Accenture <br />

Date : <br />

Time: <br />

Venue: <br />

Friday, 13 January 2012 <br />

11:00 am -­‐ 12:30 pm <br />

Lecture Theatre A, Chow Yei Ching Building <br />

Abstract: <br />

EPRI has developed a <strong>Probabilistic</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Assessment</strong> (PRA) method under Power <br />

Delivery Reliability Initiative, which has been successfully implemented by various <br />

energy companies in planning studies of growing complexity. Unlike the traditional <br />

deterministic contingency analysis, PRA combines a probabilistic measure of the <br />

likelihood of undesirable events with a measure of the consequence of the events <br />

(that is, the impact) into a single index – <strong>Probabilistic</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> Index (PRI). EPRI internally <br />

developed the PRA program that uses contingency analysis results as well as the <br />

transmission facility outage in<strong>for</strong>mation as input to compute and graphically display <br />

the risk indices. Kansas City Power & Light (KCP&L), Tri-­‐State Generation and <br />

Transmission Association (TRI-­‐STATE), and New York Power Authority (NYPA) have <br />

adopted PRA method and utilized PRA program to assess their transmission systems. <br />

These research studies have demonstrated that the PRA method significantly <br />

improves the ability of conducting effective transmission operational planning, <br />

long-­‐term transmission expansion planning, and transmission project prioritization. <br />

Biography of the speaker: <br />

Pei Zhang is the Director leading smart grid activities at Accenture. He was the <br />

Program Manager responsible <strong>for</strong> Grid Operation and Planning areas at Electric <br />

Power Research Institute (EPRI). Be<strong>for</strong>e joining EPRI, he worked at National Grid <br />

Company in United Kingdom (UK). He received his Ph. D. degree from Imperial <br />

College of Science, Technology and Medicine, University of London, U.K. His current


esearch interests include power system stability and control, reliability and security <br />

assessment, and application of probabilistic methods to power systems. <br />

Organizer: <br />

Dr. Y. Hou

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