“Direct-to-Market Access” is Here! Learn how you ... - TD Waterhouse
“Direct-to-Market Access” is Here! Learn how you ... - TD Waterhouse
“Direct-to-Market Access” is Here! Learn how you ... - TD Waterhouse
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
NEWS<br />
<strong>TD</strong> WATERHOUSE INVESTOR SERVICES<br />
N O V E M B E R 2 0 0 0<br />
<strong>“Direct</strong>-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> <strong>Access”</strong><br />
<strong>is</strong> <strong>Here</strong>! <strong>Learn</strong> <strong>how</strong> <strong>you</strong> may<br />
be able <strong>to</strong> execute <strong>you</strong>r<br />
trades faster<br />
Value Investing Versus<br />
Growth Investing<br />
WebBroker Select –<br />
Real-time, streaming<br />
financial data<br />
www.tdwaterhouse.ca
2<br />
<strong>“Direct</strong>-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> <strong>Access”</strong> <strong>is</strong> <strong>Here</strong>!<br />
<strong>Learn</strong> <strong>how</strong> <strong>you</strong> may be able <strong>to</strong> execute <strong>you</strong>r trades faster<br />
Did <strong>you</strong> know, that until recently, all<br />
Canadian d<strong>is</strong>count brokers, including <strong>TD</strong><br />
<strong>Waterhouse</strong>, were required <strong>to</strong> review each<br />
trade order before forwarding them <strong>to</strong><br />
the appropriate market?<br />
When d<strong>is</strong>count brokerage services were<br />
introduced approximately 16 years ago,<br />
securities regula<strong>to</strong>rs applied ex<strong>is</strong>ting<br />
regulations that required the review of all<br />
trades before order entry. However, th<strong>is</strong><br />
“suitability” review meant that each order<br />
had <strong>to</strong> be interrupted and analyzed by the<br />
brokerage service <strong>to</strong> determine whether<br />
it matched or was cons<strong>is</strong>tent with the<br />
client’s stated investment objectives.<br />
For example, say a client wanted <strong>to</strong> buy<br />
a volatile tech s<strong>to</strong>ck, but stated in their<br />
account application, (on file with<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>) that their investment<br />
objectives were income and low r<strong>is</strong>k.<br />
Since the order presented falls outside of<br />
these parameters, a <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
Representative would be required <strong>to</strong> contact<br />
the client <strong>to</strong> d<strong>is</strong>cuss their investment<br />
profile before entering the order.<br />
With <strong>to</strong>day’s fast-paced markets and<br />
higher trading volumes, th<strong>is</strong> suitability<br />
review process often leads <strong>to</strong> significant<br />
delays in order execution.<br />
Thanks <strong>to</strong> a wealth of educational and<br />
on-line research services available from<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> and other industry<br />
sources, inves<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong>day are far more<br />
knowledgeable. In fact, <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
has led the way in providing these<br />
services, offering our clients more<br />
than 1,000 investment seminars each<br />
year across Canada, access <strong>to</strong> an<br />
unparalleled selection of online<br />
investment research and resources,<br />
and the opportunity <strong>to</strong> consult with<br />
expert Investment Special<strong>is</strong>ts.<br />
As a result, many <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> clients<br />
are now better equipped <strong>to</strong> make informed<br />
and timely investment dec<strong>is</strong>ions and,<br />
therefore, want their trades executed as<br />
quickly as possible.<br />
On behalf of our clients, <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
spent considerable time and effort<br />
lobbying the securities industry <strong>to</strong> permit<br />
elimination of th<strong>is</strong> extensive manual<br />
review process. We believe th<strong>is</strong> will<br />
better serve the needs of <strong>to</strong>day’s<br />
Canadian inves<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />
These efforts have paid off, and we are<br />
pleased <strong>to</strong> report that recent regula<strong>to</strong>ry<br />
changes now permit approved firms, such<br />
as <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>, that do not offer advice<br />
<strong>to</strong> self-directed inves<strong>to</strong>rs, <strong>to</strong> process orders<br />
without th<strong>is</strong> suitability review.<br />
These new regulations pave the way for<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> <strong>to</strong> offer <strong>you</strong> an enhanced<br />
service that will give <strong>you</strong> more immediate<br />
access <strong>to</strong> the markets, making it possible<br />
<strong>to</strong> execute <strong>you</strong>r trades faster –<br />
particularly if <strong>you</strong> use any of our<br />
Electronic Brokerage Services such as<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> WebBroker8.<br />
Th<strong>is</strong> enhanced service from<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>, called Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<br />
<strong>Market</strong> Access, <strong>is</strong> available <strong>to</strong> <strong>you</strong>,<br />
effective Monday, November 27, 2000,<br />
providing <strong>you</strong> choose <strong>to</strong> accept the<br />
change in the way we process <strong>you</strong>r orders.<br />
Benefits of Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> Access<br />
At <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>, we believe that rapid<br />
and efficient access <strong>to</strong> fast-moving<br />
securities markets <strong>is</strong> one of the most<br />
valuable services we can provide <strong>to</strong> selfdirected<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>rs. However, suitability<br />
reviews can takeup valuable time,<br />
especially during peak trading periods.<br />
When <strong>you</strong> opt for Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong><br />
Access, a suitability review <strong>is</strong> not<br />
required for eligible trades, so <strong>you</strong>r order<br />
can be forwarded directly <strong>to</strong> the s<strong>to</strong>ck<br />
exchange floor for execution. Not only<br />
will th<strong>is</strong> mean <strong>you</strong>r order may be filled<br />
faster, it may also result in <strong>you</strong>r<br />
obtaining a better price for a s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>you</strong><br />
buy or sell, since share prices in <strong>to</strong>day’s<br />
high-energy markets fluctuate both<br />
frequently and rapidly.<br />
The dec<strong>is</strong>ion <strong>is</strong> entirely <strong>you</strong>rs<br />
It’s important <strong>to</strong> note that the dec<strong>is</strong>ion on<br />
whether <strong>to</strong> change the way <strong>you</strong>r orders<br />
are processed <strong>is</strong> completely up <strong>to</strong> <strong>you</strong>:<br />
It’s also important <strong>to</strong> be aware that the<br />
change <strong>to</strong> Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> Access <strong>is</strong> not<br />
done au<strong>to</strong>matically. Securities regula<strong>to</strong>rs<br />
require that <strong>you</strong> agree <strong>to</strong> take full<br />
responsibility for <strong>you</strong>r trading activity<br />
before <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> can apply th<strong>is</strong><br />
change <strong>to</strong> <strong>you</strong>r trade orders.<br />
In addition, not all trades are eligible for<br />
Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> access and there are<br />
certain circumstances in which a trade<br />
could still be reviewed by a <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
Investment Representative (i.e. credit or<br />
margin-related <strong>is</strong>sues, over-limits, ensuring<br />
compliance with exchange policies).<br />
• If <strong>you</strong> would like <strong>to</strong> take advantage of<br />
the benefits available through our<br />
Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> Access service, <strong>you</strong><br />
can choose from one of three<br />
convenient options. (See below.)<br />
• However, if <strong>you</strong> would prefer not <strong>to</strong><br />
change the way <strong>you</strong>r orders are processed,<br />
<strong>you</strong> can decline the acknowledgment<br />
and <strong>you</strong>r trades will continue <strong>to</strong> be<br />
reviewed against <strong>you</strong>r stated<br />
investment objectives and r<strong>is</strong>k level.<br />
<strong>Here</strong>’s <strong>how</strong> <strong>to</strong> let us know<br />
You will be notified through a mail<br />
campaign that begins with active<br />
electronic brokerage service (EBS)<br />
users. (That <strong>is</strong> clients who regularily use<br />
WebBroker, TalkBroker ▲ , Wireless or<br />
TeleMax 8 <strong>to</strong> execute trades.) Clients<br />
trading through an Investment<br />
Representative will be contacted over<br />
the next few months. If <strong>you</strong> would like<br />
<strong>to</strong> select Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> Access service<br />
for <strong>you</strong>r trading, <strong>you</strong> can choose any of<br />
the following options <strong>to</strong> make the change:<br />
1. In the mailing <strong>you</strong> will be provided<br />
with a personal password. Armed with<br />
th<strong>is</strong> password, simply call the<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Interactive Voice<br />
Response System at 1-866-440-7681,<br />
l<strong>is</strong>ten <strong>to</strong> the statement (reproduced<br />
below) and indicate <strong>you</strong>r acceptance.<br />
Your response will be recorded and<br />
the change <strong>to</strong> Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong><br />
processing will be activated within<br />
one business day.<br />
2. Alternatively, if <strong>you</strong> use our electronic<br />
brokerage services (WebBroker,<br />
TalkBroker, Wireless and/or TeleMax),<br />
the easiest way <strong>to</strong> obtain Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<br />
<strong>Market</strong> access <strong>is</strong> by logging on <strong>to</strong> the<br />
electronic brokerage service <strong>you</strong><br />
currently use. (There <strong>is</strong> no need for a<br />
special password.) Read or l<strong>is</strong>ten <strong>to</strong><br />
the message (reproduced below),<br />
which explains the change in service,<br />
and indicate <strong>you</strong>r acceptance.
3. You may also contact any of our<br />
1,200 Investment Representatives <strong>to</strong><br />
indicate <strong>you</strong>r preference. Your<br />
selection of Direct-To-<strong>Market</strong> will<br />
be reflected in <strong>you</strong>r account status<br />
the next day.<br />
Whether <strong>you</strong> contact us by phone or<br />
on-line, <strong>you</strong>’ll be asked <strong>to</strong> acknowledge<br />
th<strong>is</strong> message:<br />
“I acknowledge that <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
does not give me investment advice or<br />
recommendations and does not accept<br />
any responsibility <strong>to</strong> adv<strong>is</strong>e me on the<br />
suitability of any of my investment<br />
dec<strong>is</strong>ions or transactions. I acknowledge<br />
that I am responsible for the financial<br />
impact of my investment dec<strong>is</strong>ions.”<br />
In addition, <strong>you</strong>r acknowledgment<br />
includes <strong>you</strong>r agreement with the<br />
following statement:<br />
“I understand all transactions made for<br />
my account will be subject <strong>to</strong> the rules<br />
governing the exchanges or markets and<br />
clearing houses (if any) where the orders<br />
are executed, and I agree <strong>to</strong> comply with<br />
these requirements. Orders entered by<br />
me may be sent directly <strong>to</strong> the exchange<br />
or market without prior review by<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>. However, <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
reserves the right <strong>to</strong> review any of my<br />
trades prior <strong>to</strong> entry <strong>to</strong> the exchange<br />
or market. I understand that<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> has the right <strong>to</strong> reject,<br />
change or remove any order entered<br />
by me or <strong>to</strong> cancel any trade resulting<br />
from an order entered by me.”<br />
If <strong>you</strong> agree with these statements and<br />
acknowledge <strong>you</strong>r acceptance of th<strong>is</strong><br />
change in processing <strong>you</strong>r orders, <strong>you</strong>r<br />
future eligible orders will be processed<br />
on a Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> bas<strong>is</strong> (effective<br />
November 27, 2000.) It’s that simple!<br />
Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong> access <strong>is</strong> yet another<br />
example of <strong>how</strong> <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
continually provides <strong>you</strong> with the <strong>to</strong>ols<br />
and support <strong>to</strong> be the best inves<strong>to</strong>r <strong>you</strong><br />
can be and achieve <strong>you</strong>r financial<br />
goals.<br />
If <strong>you</strong> have not received a letter,<br />
but would like Direct-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>Market</strong><br />
access please contact <strong>you</strong>r<br />
Investment Representative.<br />
If <strong>you</strong> have questions about th<strong>is</strong><br />
service, v<strong>is</strong>it our website at<br />
www.tdwaterhouse.ca, contact us, or<br />
v<strong>is</strong>it <strong>you</strong>r local <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> office<br />
(1-800-465-5463).<br />
Value Investing Versus Growth Investing<br />
It has been said that there are as many<br />
investment strategies as there are inves<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />
True enough, but most investment<br />
strategies fall in<strong>to</strong> one of the two broad<br />
categories based on their underlying<br />
philosophy. These categories are Value<br />
Investing and Growth Investing.<br />
Value Investing<br />
Value investing <strong>is</strong> based on the simple<br />
prem<strong>is</strong>e that the cheaper <strong>you</strong> can buy a<br />
s<strong>to</strong>ck, the greater the profit <strong>you</strong> can<br />
make on it. Consequently, a value<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r concentrates h<strong>is</strong> efforts on<br />
finding s<strong>to</strong>cks that are trading at low<br />
prices measured by various criteria. For<br />
example, s<strong>to</strong>ck prices are often related<br />
<strong>to</strong> the profits of the underlying company<br />
by the Price-<strong>to</strong>-Earnings Ratio (P/E).<br />
S<strong>to</strong>cks whose P/Es are low (as compared<br />
<strong>to</strong> the broad market indices, other s<strong>to</strong>cks<br />
in the same industry, or the past h<strong>is</strong><strong>to</strong>ry<br />
of the s<strong>to</strong>ck under consideration) are<br />
often called value s<strong>to</strong>cks.<br />
While the logic of value investing (“buy<br />
low, sell high”) appears <strong>to</strong> be seductively<br />
obvious, the actual performance of most<br />
value inves<strong>to</strong>rs in the past two decades<br />
has been far from impressive. The key<br />
<strong>to</strong> their under-performance lies in the<br />
second half of the “magic formula”.<br />
Buying low <strong>is</strong> easy, but in order <strong>to</strong> sell<br />
high, the s<strong>to</strong>cks bought at bargain prices<br />
must move up after the purchase. In order<br />
<strong>to</strong> achieve th<strong>is</strong> result, a value inves<strong>to</strong>r<br />
must find the s<strong>to</strong>cks that are cheap now,<br />
but have a compelling reason <strong>to</strong> become<br />
much more expensive in the future.<br />
Finding such s<strong>to</strong>cks was not so difficult<br />
in the past, when there were many good<br />
companies overlooked by the investing<br />
community. At the present, <strong>how</strong>ever, all<br />
l<strong>is</strong>ted s<strong>to</strong>cks are screened and analyzed by<br />
a multitude of professional analysts and<br />
investment managers on a regular bas<strong>is</strong>.<br />
As a result, truly great s<strong>to</strong>cks rarely trade at<br />
low prices. Most inves<strong>to</strong>rs who buy s<strong>to</strong>cks<br />
cheaply, later d<strong>is</strong>cover serious fundamental<br />
problems that justified the low s<strong>to</strong>ck<br />
price. In our view, th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> the reason that<br />
value investing has delivered below<br />
average results in the past two decades.<br />
Growth Investing<br />
A growth inves<strong>to</strong>r <strong>is</strong> not particularly<br />
concerned with P/Es or other yardsticks for<br />
s<strong>to</strong>ck prices. Instead, he selects the<br />
companies whose shares have already<br />
exhibited a pattern of strong growth. The<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r then uses various analytical <strong>to</strong>ols<br />
trying <strong>to</strong> assess the probability that the strong<br />
performance will continue in the future.<br />
As a result, the growth inves<strong>to</strong>r usually<br />
pays much higher prices for h<strong>is</strong> shares<br />
(measured by P/Es, etc.) than the value<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r. The philosophy of growth<br />
investing (“buy high, sell higher”) <strong>is</strong><br />
supported by the fact that the best s<strong>to</strong>cks,<br />
like the best products in most other fields,<br />
usually command high prices. The only<br />
time the growth inves<strong>to</strong>r gets a chance<br />
<strong>to</strong> buy h<strong>is</strong> favourite s<strong>to</strong>cks at a d<strong>is</strong>count<br />
<strong>is</strong> after a general market decline.<br />
By paying high prices, the growth<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r leaves himself open <strong>to</strong> very<br />
high levels of volatility. D<strong>is</strong>appointing<br />
news and broad declines in s<strong>to</strong>ck prices<br />
hurt high-flying s<strong>to</strong>cks much more than<br />
sleepy laggards. Th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> why value<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>rs usually shine during s<strong>to</strong>ck<br />
market declines, when their portfolios<br />
fall less than those of growth inves<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />
Th<strong>is</strong> fact has led <strong>to</strong> the belief that an<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r might do well by switching<br />
from growth s<strong>to</strong>cks <strong>to</strong> value s<strong>to</strong>cks and<br />
back at appropriate times.<br />
Unfortunately, th<strong>is</strong> argument contains a<br />
logical flaw. Profitable switching<br />
requires an accurate forecast of market<br />
declines. But if such forecasting were<br />
possible, one would save more money by<br />
selling all of h<strong>is</strong> s<strong>to</strong>cks before a decline,<br />
rather than switching in<strong>to</strong> value s<strong>to</strong>cks.<br />
In reality, nobody has been able <strong>to</strong><br />
cons<strong>is</strong>tently forecast s<strong>to</strong>ck market moves.<br />
To sum up, value investing <strong>is</strong> more<br />
appealing than growth investing on an<br />
intuitive level. It also leads <strong>to</strong> less volatile<br />
portfolios. Yet during periods of economic<br />
expansion, growth inves<strong>to</strong>rs enjoy better<br />
long-term performance than value inves<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />
The recommendations and opinions expressed herein<br />
are those of Alexander Gluskin Investments Inc. and<br />
do not neccessarily reflect those of <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
and are not specifically endorsed by <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>.<br />
3
F O C U S O N R E S E A R C H<br />
Surveys Rank <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Research #1!!<br />
The results are in – <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> <strong>is</strong><br />
Canada’s Best D<strong>is</strong>count Broker. Based<br />
on the 2 nd annual Canadian Business<br />
Magazine d<strong>is</strong>count broker report<br />
card, Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 16, 2000, not only <strong>is</strong><br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Number One for the<br />
second year running, but best in class<br />
for four out of the six categories:<br />
<strong>Here</strong> <strong>is</strong> a recent sample of th<strong>is</strong> award-winning research:<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Securities Morning email Action Note Highligh –<br />
4<br />
• Online Trading<br />
• Telephone Service<br />
• Mutual Funds & Products<br />
• Research & Value Added Service<br />
Their survey said: “<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
made the first tier [for Online Trading]<br />
because of the ease of navigating the<br />
site – we could get just about anywhere<br />
with just two clicks of a mouse. We<br />
especially liked <strong>Waterhouse</strong>’s new<br />
eServices feature, which s<strong>to</strong>res and<br />
sends electronic copies of trade<br />
confirmations and statements <strong>to</strong> cus<strong>to</strong>mers.”<br />
In their “Research” category, Canadian<br />
Business noted, “On <strong>to</strong>p of free research,<br />
several brokers offer premium reports<br />
for sale through their sites. We bought<br />
a few <strong>to</strong> see <strong>how</strong> useful they are. The<br />
best stuff comes from <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>,<br />
which actually sells <strong>TD</strong>’s own analysts’<br />
reports [online], complete with<br />
buy-sell recommendations.”<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> provides access <strong>to</strong><br />
<strong>TD</strong> Securities Inc. research, which offers<br />
conc<strong>is</strong>e reports with valuable information,<br />
comparative analys<strong>is</strong> and key<br />
recommendations. WebBroker clients<br />
have access <strong>to</strong> individual reports on<br />
Canadian and U.S. companies, Action<br />
L<strong>is</strong>t industry reports spanning 18 major<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>rs, and daily e-mails of Action<br />
Notes, including upgrades and downgrades.<br />
The complete <strong>TD</strong> Securities<br />
Subscription Service includes 10<br />
company reports and timely delivery<br />
of a daily e-mail that includes specific<br />
ratings, changes and developments.<br />
The subscriptions can be purchased<br />
for as little as $13.75/month. Sign up<br />
for WebBroker now and receive<br />
1 month of all available research free!<br />
annual interest rates<br />
Effective May 18, 2000 (subject <strong>to</strong> change without notice)<br />
$CDN $US<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Bank Prime<br />
lending rate 7.50%<br />
U.S. Prime 9.50%<br />
lending rate<br />
Margin Debit Balances<br />
Direct Trading<br />
All Balances P + 1.0% P + 1.0%
Focus on the<br />
economy<br />
Macro and Micro<br />
Economics – what the<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r should know<br />
Investment dec<strong>is</strong>ions involve many types<br />
of choices. Among them <strong>is</strong> the dec<strong>is</strong>ion<br />
<strong>to</strong> invest in a country, a broad economic<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r, a specific industry or an<br />
individual company. Some people invest<br />
in an individual country – quite literally<br />
– by putting their money in a countryspecific<br />
mutual fund. Others invest in<br />
specific sec<strong>to</strong>rs or industries through<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r- or industry-specific mutual funds<br />
or through baskets of individual s<strong>to</strong>cks.<br />
And many inves<strong>to</strong>rs focus on specific<br />
companies. Few inves<strong>to</strong>rs would make a<br />
country-, sec<strong>to</strong>r- or industry-specific<br />
investment without doing some research<br />
on the country, sec<strong>to</strong>r or industry. But<br />
even inves<strong>to</strong>rs who focus solely on<br />
individual companies do some research<br />
on the broader national economic <strong>is</strong>sues<br />
and the forces driving the country in<br />
which the company operates. It <strong>is</strong> much<br />
more likely for a sec<strong>to</strong>r or company <strong>to</strong><br />
do well when the country’s economy <strong>is</strong><br />
doing well. Regardless of their investing<br />
focus, inves<strong>to</strong>rs should look at both the<br />
“big” and “small” pictures. That <strong>is</strong> why<br />
both macro and micro economic analys<strong>is</strong><br />
<strong>is</strong> important for all inves<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />
Macro economics – the big picture<br />
Macro economics looks at the big<br />
economic picture – at the health and<br />
performance of national economies.<br />
Economic growth, inflation, labour<br />
markets and unemployment,<br />
international trade, interest rates,<br />
currency trends, and broad economic<br />
policies such as monetary and f<strong>is</strong>cal<br />
policies are all part of the macro<br />
economic picture.<br />
Typical inves<strong>to</strong>r questions that macro<br />
economic analys<strong>is</strong> can answer are:<br />
• How fast <strong>is</strong> a country’s economy<br />
growing? Is its growth rate at, above,<br />
or below its longer-term cru<strong>is</strong>ing<br />
speed? Is growth likely <strong>to</strong> slow down<br />
or speed up in the near term?<br />
• What <strong>is</strong> the national rate of inflation?<br />
Indexes: 1996=100<br />
250<br />
200<br />
125<br />
100<br />
”New Economy” Industries –<br />
a micro economic measure<br />
Total Economy –<br />
a marco economic measure<br />
50<br />
50<br />
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000F 2001F 2002F<br />
F: forecast by <strong>TD</strong> Economics as at Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2000<br />
Source: Stat<strong>is</strong>tics Canada, <strong>TD</strong> Economics<br />
Is it accelerating or slowing down?<br />
• How rapidly <strong>is</strong> employment<br />
increasing? Is there a high rate of<br />
unemployment, with an accompanying<br />
drain on the country’s unemployment<br />
insurance fund? Or <strong>is</strong> the<br />
unemployment rate so low that upward<br />
pressure on wages may trigger<br />
inflationary pressures?<br />
• How involved <strong>is</strong> the country in the<br />
rapidly growing amount of international<br />
trade around the globe? Does it achieve<br />
a balance in its international current<br />
account (trade in goods and services<br />
and flows of interest and dividends in<br />
and out of the country) on average –<br />
every few years, or does it run<br />
pers<strong>is</strong>tent surpluses or deficits?<br />
• Is the government budget in balance?<br />
If not, <strong>is</strong> the government likely <strong>to</strong><br />
change its taxation or spending policies<br />
<strong>to</strong> balance the budget?<br />
• Are its interest rates high or low –<br />
h<strong>is</strong><strong>to</strong>rically, and/or relative <strong>to</strong> interest<br />
rates in other countries? Are they r<strong>is</strong>ing<br />
or falling?<br />
• Is the country’s currency fixed in<br />
relation <strong>to</strong> another currency, or does it<br />
float? Is it appropriately valued relative<br />
<strong>to</strong> that of its major trading partner(s)?<br />
If not, <strong>how</strong> soon <strong>is</strong> it likely <strong>to</strong> adjust?<br />
• Does the central bank (e.g. the Bank of<br />
Canada, the U.S. Federal Reserve)<br />
have an inflation target? If current<br />
inflation <strong>is</strong> outside the target range, <strong>is</strong><br />
the central bank likely <strong>to</strong> adjust shortterm<br />
interest rates <strong>to</strong> influence the<br />
inflation rate?<br />
Answers <strong>to</strong> these questions tell an<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r a great deal about the current<br />
performance of a national economy. The<br />
interaction among these various macro<br />
economic variables can help an inves<strong>to</strong>r<br />
predict <strong>how</strong> the economy <strong>is</strong> likely <strong>to</strong><br />
perform in the future. If they are so<br />
inclined, inves<strong>to</strong>rs can go deeper in<strong>to</strong><br />
250<br />
200<br />
125<br />
100<br />
CANADA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH<br />
Macro and Micro Economics<br />
Peter Drake,<br />
Deputy Chief Econom<strong>is</strong>t,<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Bank Financial Group8 2<br />
macro economic analys<strong>is</strong>, delving in<strong>to</strong><br />
areas such as the economy’s demographic<br />
make-up (the age-structure of its<br />
population), or its international<br />
competitiveness (its ability <strong>to</strong> successfully<br />
sell goods and services in foreign markets).<br />
The latter <strong>is</strong> especially important in a<br />
world where international trade <strong>is</strong><br />
increasing rapidly and <strong>is</strong> key <strong>to</strong> most<br />
countries’ economic prosperity. Of course,<br />
macro economic analys<strong>is</strong> also provides<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>rs with the knowledge <strong>to</strong> allocate<br />
their investments among various countries.<br />
Micro economics – focusing on sec<strong>to</strong>rs,<br />
industries and companies<br />
Micro economics focuses on individual<br />
parts of the economy – specific sec<strong>to</strong>rs,<br />
industries and companies. It concerns<br />
itself with the economic character<strong>is</strong>tics of<br />
industries and companies – <strong>how</strong> they<br />
behave <strong>to</strong>ward each other, <strong>how</strong> they behave<br />
<strong>to</strong>ward their cus<strong>to</strong>mer, <strong>how</strong> they are<br />
regulated, what government policies affect<br />
them and what drives their profit growth.<br />
An inves<strong>to</strong>r thinking of making an<br />
investment in a particular economic<br />
sec<strong>to</strong>r, industry or company could look<br />
<strong>to</strong> micro economic analys<strong>is</strong> <strong>to</strong> help<br />
answer the following questions:<br />
• How many firms are in the industry?<br />
How competitive <strong>is</strong> the industry? Are<br />
there few enough firms that an individual<br />
company <strong>is</strong> able <strong>to</strong> change the prices of<br />
its products without worrying about<br />
what its competition will do?<br />
• Is the industry protected from foreign<br />
competition, or must it compete globally?<br />
• Are companies in the industry free <strong>to</strong><br />
set their own prices or must they get<br />
perm<strong>is</strong>sion from a regula<strong>to</strong>ry body?<br />
• Are companies in the industry free <strong>to</strong><br />
enter new markets or must they get<br />
perm<strong>is</strong>sion from a government or<br />
public agency?<br />
continued on page 8<br />
5
ondcorner<br />
Want Monthly Income? …<br />
Consider MBS<br />
Brought <strong>to</strong> <strong>you</strong> by <strong>TD</strong> Securities8 3<br />
Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) are<br />
ideal for inves<strong>to</strong>rs looking for monthly<br />
income from a safe investment that<br />
provides a competitive rate of return.<br />
What are they?<br />
MBS are fixed rate investments, which<br />
represent an ownership interest in a pool<br />
of mortgages. The monthly payments<br />
they provide <strong>to</strong> inves<strong>to</strong>rs represent a<br />
share of the interest and principal<br />
payments generated by these mortgages.<br />
Mortgage-Backed Securities are<br />
guaranteed by the Canadian Mortgage<br />
and Housing Corporation (CMHC), an<br />
agency of the Government of Canada.<br />
Th<strong>is</strong> guarantee of timely and complete<br />
payment of both principal and interest<br />
means an MBS carries low r<strong>is</strong>k and has<br />
the same credit rating as Government of<br />
Canada Bonds.<br />
There are two main types of MBS:<br />
1. Open MBS represent ownership in a<br />
pool of residential mortgages<br />
containing prepayment prov<strong>is</strong>ions.<br />
Since any prepayments from the<br />
underlying mortgages must be paid <strong>to</strong><br />
inves<strong>to</strong>rs in the next installment, the<br />
monthly income may fluctuate above<br />
the guaranteed monthly payment<br />
amount and the principal amount will<br />
be repaid faster.<br />
2. Closed MBS represent ownership in a<br />
pool of ‘no prepayment option’<br />
mortgages, which then offers a fairly<br />
predictable level of monthly income<br />
and a known maturity date. Inves<strong>to</strong>rs<br />
looking for monthly income will tend<br />
<strong>to</strong> invest in Closed MBS because of<br />
the certainty of the cash flows they<br />
will receive.<br />
With a Closed MBS, generally about 4%<br />
<strong>to</strong> 10% of the principal <strong>is</strong> repaid <strong>to</strong> the<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r over the life of the investment,<br />
with the remainder paid at maturity.<br />
Unlike most fixed income investments,<br />
MBS do not simply pay a constant level<br />
of income but rather, a scheduled<br />
blended payment of mostly interest and<br />
some principal that will always be above<br />
a certain minimum amount.<br />
Benefits<br />
MBS are liquid investments and are<br />
actively traded on the secondary market.<br />
Like most fixed income investments, the<br />
market values of MBS fluctuate<br />
inversely with interest rates. However, if<br />
held <strong>to</strong> maturity, the rate of return on<br />
<strong>you</strong>r original investment <strong>is</strong> guaranteed.<br />
Fixed Income products are an important<br />
part of a diversified portfolio and can<br />
offer many benefits <strong>to</strong> match inves<strong>to</strong>rs’<br />
needs. Traditionally, interest bearing<br />
bonds pay a fixed coupon rate semiannually.<br />
One of the primary benefits of<br />
MBS, <strong>how</strong>ever, <strong>is</strong> the monthly income<br />
stream they generate. Th<strong>is</strong> makes it well<br />
suited <strong>to</strong> provide retirement income,<br />
inside or outside an RRIF or <strong>to</strong> an<br />
inves<strong>to</strong>r seeking monthly cash flows <strong>to</strong><br />
manage other financial obligations.<br />
Since the typical Canadian mortgage<br />
term tends <strong>to</strong> be fairly short, MBS with<br />
investment terms of 10 years and shorter<br />
are most common.<br />
If <strong>you</strong> are looking for a predictable cash<br />
flow, contact <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> <strong>to</strong> find<br />
out more about our current offerings<br />
of closed MBS’ that might suit <strong>you</strong>r<br />
investment portfolio. Call <strong>you</strong>r local<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> office or one of the<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Fixed Income Special<strong>is</strong>ts<br />
at 1-888-9<strong>TD</strong>-BOND (983-2663).<br />
WebBroker Select<br />
Real-time, streaming financial data Access industry-grade information<br />
6<br />
If <strong>you</strong>’re an extremely active trader, it’s<br />
critical <strong>to</strong> react quickly <strong>to</strong> changing<br />
market conditions. Frequently, that<br />
means subscribing <strong>to</strong> costly financial<br />
news services and charting services <strong>to</strong><br />
keep up <strong>to</strong> date with shifting market<br />
dynamics.<br />
That’s why <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> <strong>is</strong> pleased<br />
<strong>to</strong> announce the recent introduction of<br />
WebBroker Select, our latest, most<br />
powerful investment resource that<br />
makes it easier – and more costeffective<br />
– than ever <strong>to</strong> track market<br />
movements and anticipate trends.<br />
Currently available exclusively <strong>to</strong> our<br />
Platinum President’s Account8 clients,<br />
WebBroker Select gives <strong>you</strong> free access<br />
<strong>to</strong> <strong>to</strong>ols and information not previously<br />
available <strong>to</strong> the average retail inves<strong>to</strong>r.<br />
Link <strong>to</strong> major s<strong>to</strong>ck markets across<br />
North America<br />
The central feature of WebBroker Select<br />
<strong>is</strong> its Dynamic <strong>Market</strong> Data Portal,<br />
which provides <strong>you</strong> with a direct<br />
connection <strong>to</strong> every major s<strong>to</strong>ck market<br />
in North America. Through the<br />
Dynamic <strong>Market</strong> Data Portal, <strong>you</strong>’ll<br />
receive real-time, streaming financial<br />
data that updates au<strong>to</strong>matically when<br />
information changes. In addition <strong>to</strong><br />
quotes and charts, <strong>you</strong> also receive news<br />
and trade information generated directly<br />
through the market exchanges, giving<br />
<strong>you</strong> real-time access <strong>to</strong> <strong>Market</strong> Depth<br />
and NASDAQ Level II data.<br />
Track up <strong>to</strong> 250 individual s<strong>to</strong>cks<br />
The primary page <strong>you</strong>’ll consult when<br />
making investment dec<strong>is</strong>ions <strong>is</strong> called<br />
Tracker. With Tracker, <strong>you</strong> can<br />
simultaneously view up <strong>to</strong> 25 s<strong>to</strong>ck<br />
symbols per portfolio, in as many as ten<br />
portfolios – providing <strong>you</strong> with the ability<br />
<strong>to</strong> track up <strong>to</strong> 250 individual s<strong>to</strong>cks. By<br />
selecting any one of those individual<br />
symbols, <strong>you</strong>’ll get instant information<br />
access <strong>to</strong> the in-depth, real-time market<br />
data associated with that particular<br />
s<strong>to</strong>ck. You can even receive cus<strong>to</strong>mized<br />
information about the <strong>to</strong>p gainers and<br />
losers, as well as house positions, on<br />
the major North American markets of<br />
<strong>you</strong>r choice.<br />
Powerful technical charting <strong>to</strong>ols<br />
WebBroker Select’s powerful technical<br />
charting <strong>to</strong>ols can be cus<strong>to</strong>mized <strong>to</strong> suit<br />
continued on page 8
Term Insurance: Fast and Easy Online<br />
What <strong>you</strong> really need <strong>to</strong> know<br />
We insure our homes and our cars without<br />
a second thought. But what about <strong>you</strong>r<br />
family’s most valuable assets – <strong>you</strong>, <strong>you</strong>r<br />
spouse, and <strong>you</strong>r children?<br />
Indeed, Canadians recognize the value of<br />
life insurance – the majority of households<br />
have individual life insurance policies 1 .<br />
Th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> not surpr<strong>is</strong>ing given the<br />
availability of flexible, cost-effective<br />
term life insurance policies.<br />
Term insurance <strong>is</strong> the most widely held<br />
life insurance product in Canada<br />
accounting for almost 60% of the <strong>to</strong>tal<br />
life insurance purchased. 1<br />
One of the reasons so many Canadians<br />
choose term life insurance <strong>is</strong> its<br />
affordability. The premiums are low<br />
because <strong>you</strong>’re buying pure insurance,<br />
with no costly components tacked-on.<br />
Specific needs<br />
Although these policies are available in<br />
terms ranging from one year <strong>to</strong> 100<br />
years, the most popular <strong>is</strong> 10-year term.<br />
It offers great value and <strong>is</strong> ideal for<br />
safeguarding specific needs. <strong>Here</strong> are a<br />
few examples.<br />
• Your family’s lifestyle and <strong>you</strong>r<br />
children’s education. With a standalone<br />
term life policy, <strong>you</strong> can retain<br />
control over <strong>you</strong>r insurance coverage.<br />
The death benefit does not decrease,<br />
N O V E M B E R T R A D E R S’ S N A P S H O T<br />
• Among the <strong>to</strong>p three months of the<br />
year along with December and January<br />
• Also start of the best six months of<br />
the year<br />
• Four great Novembers in a row<br />
• Up 32 times, down 17 on S&P<br />
• Day before and after Thanksgiving Day<br />
combined only 7 losses in 47 years<br />
• Last 14 elections 7 Republican<br />
vic<strong>to</strong>ries averaged 2.6% gain on<br />
Dow, 7 Democrats, 0.5%<br />
• Largest Dow gains followed wins by<br />
Clin<strong>to</strong>n in 1996 (8.2%) and Reagan in<br />
1980 (7.4%); largest loss 1948 Truman<br />
upsets Dewey<br />
<strong>you</strong> get <strong>to</strong> choose the beneficiary, and<br />
the money can be used by <strong>you</strong>r<br />
beneficiary for anything from<br />
burdensome debts and day-<strong>to</strong>-day<br />
expenses, <strong>to</strong> music lessons and<br />
university tuition fees.<br />
• An at-home parent. Insuring a stay-athome<br />
partner makes good economic<br />
sense, particularly if <strong>you</strong> have children.<br />
The replacement costs of child-care and<br />
homemaking services can be significant<br />
and can create additional stress <strong>to</strong> an<br />
already difficult time.<br />
• Your investment portfolio. If <strong>you</strong> own<br />
capital property or other non-reg<strong>is</strong>tered<br />
investments, or don’t have a qualifying<br />
beneficiary for <strong>you</strong>r reg<strong>is</strong>tered<br />
investments, the tax bill at death could<br />
erode more than half the value of those<br />
assets. Insurance can provide an<br />
immediate, tax-free source of cash <strong>to</strong><br />
cover the tax obligations and any other<br />
final expenses.<br />
Buy direct and save with <strong>TD</strong> Life 2<br />
Ten-year term life insurance <strong>is</strong> affordable<br />
and flexible. But premiums can vary<br />
widely so it pays <strong>to</strong> shop around. How<br />
do the major companies compare? You<br />
be the judge.<br />
In many categories of term life,<br />
<strong>TD</strong> 10-Year Term Life 3 has the lowest<br />
monthly rates. 4<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
Probability of the S&P 500 r<strong>is</strong>ing on each<br />
trading day in November.<br />
Copyright the Hirsch Organization Inc. 2000.<br />
Publ<strong>is</strong>hed by Yale Hirsch. The Almanac <strong>is</strong> a<br />
combination market encyclopedia, forecasting<br />
<strong>to</strong>ol and desk diary that pinpoints crucial trends<br />
and dozens of potential profit opportunities<br />
based on proven h<strong>is</strong><strong>to</strong>rical patterns. Excerpt<br />
from the S<strong>to</strong>ck Trader’s Almanac.<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
$65.93<br />
Empire Life<br />
$61.20<br />
Sun Life<br />
$51.30 $50.18<br />
Imperial Life<br />
Commercial Union Life<br />
$49.05<br />
Great West Life<br />
$41.35<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Life<br />
10<br />
Monthly Premiums: Male, Age 45, Non-Smoker, $250,000 Policy*<br />
As <strong>you</strong>’ve come <strong>to</strong> expect with<br />
<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>, <strong>TD</strong> Life’s 10-Year Term<br />
Life insurance plan offers tremendous<br />
value along with savings and the<br />
convenience of dealing direct. There are<br />
no comm<strong>is</strong>sions, no appointments, and<br />
no hassles. You get do-it-<strong>you</strong>rself<br />
coverage and a team of licensed<br />
special<strong>is</strong>ts ready <strong>to</strong> ass<strong>is</strong>t should <strong>you</strong><br />
need advice.<br />
<strong>TD</strong> 10-Year Term Life <strong>is</strong> available <strong>to</strong><br />
Canadian residents aged 18-70. It <strong>is</strong><br />
guaranteed renewable without a medical<br />
exam <strong>to</strong> age 80. As well, should <strong>you</strong>r<br />
needs change, <strong>you</strong> can convert it <strong>to</strong> a<br />
permanent policy without a medical<br />
exam <strong>to</strong> age 69.<br />
Call 1-888-982-0080 <strong>to</strong>day <strong>to</strong> speak<br />
with licensed non-comm<strong>is</strong>sioned<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Insurance 8 special<strong>is</strong>ts. 5 They’ll<br />
take <strong>you</strong>r application by phone<br />
conveniently and hassle-free. Or v<strong>is</strong>it<br />
www.tdinsurance.com <strong>to</strong> get <strong>you</strong>r own<br />
no-obligation quotes from up <strong>to</strong> 25 life<br />
insurers. You can apply online<br />
anytime and could qualify for<br />
immediate coverage.<br />
1<br />
Life Insurance <strong>Market</strong>ing Research Association,<br />
2000. 2 Toron<strong>to</strong> Dominion Life Insurance Company.<br />
3<br />
Underwritten by Toron<strong>to</strong> Dominion Life Insurance<br />
Company (<strong>TD</strong> Life). Not available in PEI, New<br />
Brunswick or Quebec. 4 Based on a review of term<br />
life insurance rates available on the Compulife ® life<br />
insurance rate compar<strong>is</strong>on software program<br />
conducted by <strong>TD</strong> Life for amounts of $100,000 and<br />
above, in September 2000. ® Compulife <strong>is</strong> a reg<strong>is</strong>tered<br />
trademark of Compulife Inc. *Position of <strong>TD</strong><br />
10-Year Term Life insurance monthly costs versus<br />
Empire Life, Sun Life, Imperial Life, Commercial<br />
Union Life, and Great West Life. Monthly costs<br />
compiled from the Compulife ® life insurance rate<br />
compar<strong>is</strong>on software program as of September 2000.<br />
Coverage <strong>to</strong> at least age 75, convertible <strong>to</strong> age 60,<br />
non-preferred r<strong>is</strong>k, guaranteed renewable premiums.<br />
Differences among compared products may ex<strong>is</strong>t.<br />
5<br />
Licensed life insurance agents of <strong>TD</strong> Life.<br />
7
WebBroker Select...<br />
continued from page 6<br />
<strong>you</strong>r needs. In addition <strong>to</strong> d<strong>is</strong>playing<br />
results in line, ticker, or candlestick<br />
formations, the charting feature allows<br />
<strong>you</strong> <strong>to</strong> choose from technical indica<strong>to</strong>rs<br />
such as On Balance Volume, RSI, and<br />
MACD, and price indica<strong>to</strong>rs such as<br />
Bollinger Bands and Moving Averages.<br />
Results can be d<strong>is</strong>played for intraday,<br />
or for a period of up <strong>to</strong> ten years.<br />
Price and news alerts<br />
At <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>, we understand the<br />
importance of reacting <strong>to</strong> unanticipated<br />
market movements as quickly as<br />
possible. Because WebBroker Select <strong>is</strong><br />
an online platform, <strong>you</strong> can stay in<br />
<strong>to</strong>uch with <strong>you</strong>r portfolio anytime, from<br />
anywhere <strong>you</strong> happen <strong>to</strong> be. WebBroker<br />
Select will even send real-time alerts <strong>to</strong><br />
<strong>you</strong>r pager, <strong>you</strong>r e-mail enabled digital<br />
PCS phone, or by e-mail on such<br />
critical information as price, volume,<br />
and news for the s<strong>to</strong>cks <strong>you</strong>’re most<br />
interested in.<br />
WebBroker Select <strong>is</strong> exclusively<br />
available <strong>to</strong> <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Platinum<br />
President’s Account clients for free*<br />
by simply reg<strong>is</strong>tering at<br />
http://www.tdwaterhouse.ca/select. If<br />
<strong>you</strong> are a Platinum President’s Account<br />
client, <strong>you</strong> have been pre-reg<strong>is</strong>tered for<br />
WebBroker Select, and should already<br />
have received <strong>you</strong>r WebBroker Connect<br />
ID, Login, and Trading password in the<br />
mail. To get that information<br />
immediately, or <strong>to</strong> find out <strong>how</strong> <strong>to</strong><br />
become a Platinum President’s Account<br />
client, contact us <strong>to</strong>ll-free at<br />
1-800-281-4227 – and begin <strong>to</strong> track<br />
the securities markets with<br />
unprecedented accuracy and depth.<br />
*Brokerage industry professionals must pay<br />
monthly exchange fees using major credit cards.<br />
Fees will be reimbursed in the form of a credit <strong>to</strong><br />
their <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> account.<br />
Focus on the economy...<br />
continued from page 5<br />
• Are companies in the industry free <strong>to</strong><br />
merge with or acquire other companies<br />
in the industry or must they go through<br />
a lengthy review process?<br />
• Is the regula<strong>to</strong>ry climate for the industry<br />
becoming more or less stringent?<br />
• How responsive are labour markets <strong>to</strong><br />
changing conditions in specific industries?<br />
Are there adequate education and<br />
training resources for specific skills<br />
needed by specific industries?<br />
• What <strong>is</strong> the <strong>to</strong>tal industrial make-up of<br />
a country? Do the various industries<br />
that ex<strong>is</strong>t complement each other?<br />
How <strong>is</strong> the mix of industries responding<br />
<strong>to</strong> changes in global demands for<br />
goods and services?<br />
Like macro economic analys<strong>is</strong>, micro<br />
economic analys<strong>is</strong> can be quite useful in<br />
making inter-country compar<strong>is</strong>ons of<br />
specific industries. With many firms<br />
expanding their global reach, the microeconomic<br />
environment in each country<br />
where a firm operates can have an<br />
important bearing on the company’s<br />
success and bot<strong>to</strong>m line.<br />
Micro and macro – the full economic <strong>to</strong>olkit<br />
It should be clear by now that inves<strong>to</strong>rs<br />
can get the most help from economic<br />
analys<strong>is</strong> by taking the time <strong>to</strong> consider<br />
both macro and micro economic <strong>is</strong>sues.<br />
In an ideal world, inves<strong>to</strong>rs would be<br />
able <strong>to</strong> confine their investments <strong>to</strong><br />
those where both macro and micro<br />
economic fac<strong>to</strong>rs are favourable. But it<br />
doesn’t always work that way. There can<br />
be situations where a company which<br />
represents an excellent investment<br />
opportunity <strong>is</strong> operating in a less-thanfavourable<br />
macro economic<br />
environment. Obviously, the inves<strong>to</strong>r<br />
needs <strong>to</strong> do some extra due diligence in<br />
such circumstances, but the investment<br />
may still be worthwhile.<br />
Finding the information on macro and<br />
micro economic <strong>is</strong>sues<br />
Inves<strong>to</strong>rs can go directly <strong>to</strong> the various<br />
government agencies <strong>to</strong> get both macro<br />
and micro economic information. In<br />
Canada, two useful web sites are those<br />
of Stat<strong>is</strong>tics Canada (www.statcan.ca)<br />
and Industry Canada<br />
(www.strateg<strong>is</strong>.ic.gc.ca). It <strong>is</strong> also<br />
helpful <strong>to</strong> get some analys<strong>is</strong> <strong>to</strong> go along<br />
with the stat<strong>is</strong>tics. <strong>TD</strong> Economics’ web<br />
site (www.tdbank.ca/tdeconomics)<br />
contains both macro and micro<br />
economic analys<strong>is</strong> and forecasts. Nearly<br />
all financial institutions have their own<br />
economic web sites. Non-profit<br />
economic think tanks and forecasting<br />
organizations can also provide useful<br />
information. In Canada, the C.D. Howe<br />
Institute (www.cd<strong>how</strong>e.org), the Fraser<br />
Institute (www.fraserinstitute.ca) and the<br />
Conference Board of Canada<br />
(www.conferenceboard.ca) are good<br />
places <strong>to</strong> start. One of the best sites,<br />
especially for economic information on<br />
other countries, <strong>is</strong> the Organization of<br />
Economic Cooperation and<br />
Development (OECD) (www.oecd.org).<br />
Each of the country surveys deals<br />
specifically with macro economic<br />
performance and policies and with<br />
(micro economic) structural <strong>is</strong>sues and<br />
policies. Regardless of where <strong>you</strong> start<br />
surfing, <strong>you</strong> will find numerous sites <strong>to</strong><br />
obtain useful information.<br />
Like almost everything connected with<br />
economic analys<strong>is</strong>, inves<strong>to</strong>rs will soon<br />
d<strong>is</strong>cover that different economics<br />
organizations express different opinions<br />
or draw differing conclusions from what<br />
appear <strong>to</strong> be similar data. For th<strong>is</strong><br />
reason, smart inves<strong>to</strong>rs take the time <strong>to</strong><br />
consider views and opinions from<br />
several sources before drawing their<br />
own conclusions and making their own<br />
investment dec<strong>is</strong>ions.<br />
Th<strong>is</strong> newsletter <strong>is</strong> brought <strong>to</strong> <strong>you</strong> by <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Inves<strong>to</strong>r Services (Canada) Inc. (“<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>”). Th<strong>is</strong> newsletter <strong>is</strong> for informational purposes only. Investments should be evaluated relative <strong>to</strong> each<br />
individual’s investment objectives. <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> and the <strong>TD</strong> Bank and/or its officers, direc<strong>to</strong>rs, subsidiaries or representatives may hold some of the securities mentioned herein and may from time <strong>to</strong> time<br />
purchase and/or sell same on the s<strong>to</strong>ck market or otherw<strong>is</strong>e. The information contained in th<strong>is</strong> newsletter <strong>is</strong> not, and should not be<br />
construed as investment advice <strong>to</strong> any party. All 3rd party products and services referred <strong>to</strong> or advert<strong>is</strong>ed in th<strong>is</strong> newsletter are sold by the<br />
company or organization named. While these products or services may serve as valuable aids <strong>to</strong> the independent inves<strong>to</strong>r, <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
does not specifically endorse any of these products or services. <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> makes the 3rd party products and services referred <strong>to</strong>, or<br />
advert<strong>is</strong>ed in th<strong>is</strong> newsletter available as a convenience <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers only and <strong>is</strong> not liable for any claims, losses or damages <strong>how</strong>ever<br />
ar<strong>is</strong>ing out of any purchase or use of 3rd party products or services. Some of the products l<strong>is</strong>ted are Reg<strong>is</strong>tered Trademarks and are the<br />
property of their respective holders. <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Inves<strong>to</strong>r Services (Canada) Inc. (“<strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>”) <strong>is</strong> a subsidiary of <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong><br />
Group, Inc., a subsidiary of <strong>TD</strong> Bank. <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> Member - CIPF. † Based on a study publ<strong>is</strong>hed in Canadian Business Magazine,<br />
Oct. 16, 2000. 1 <strong>TD</strong> Bank <strong>is</strong> a licensed user of the trademark. 2 The <strong>TD</strong> Bank Financial Group means The Toron<strong>to</strong>-Dominion Bank and its<br />
affiliated companies, who provide deposit, investment, securities, trust, insurance and other products or services. 3 <strong>TD</strong> Securities represents<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Securities Inc., <strong>TD</strong> Securities (USA) Inc. and certain investment and corporate banking activities of <strong>TD</strong> Bank. Copyright 2000 of<br />
<strong>TD</strong> Bank, all rights reserved. 8 Trade-mark of <strong>TD</strong> Bank, <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong> <strong>is</strong> a licensed user. ▲ Trade-mark of <strong>TD</strong> <strong>Waterhouse</strong>.<br />
www.tdwaterhouse.ca<br />
tdwnews@tdbank.ca<br />
1-800-465-5463