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Revue <strong>de</strong> Presse-Press Review-Berhevoka Çapê-Rivista Stampa-Dentro <strong>de</strong> la Prensa-Basm Ozeti<br />
___ 1".-<br />
_ JOli Ut<br />
.J<br />
rule for more than 14 centuries. It is the<br />
proper time to rule ourselves now."<br />
Sadr still insists his main fight is with<br />
foreign inva<strong>de</strong>rs. He's the one Shia lea<strong>de</strong>r<br />
who has opposed the US. occupation from<br />
the beginning, and who has continued to<br />
calIfor a strict timetable for American withdrawal.<br />
An overwhelming majority of<br />
Iraqis now agree with him. A September<br />
polI by WorldPublicOpinion.org found that<br />
63 percent of 501 Iraqi Shiites surveyed<br />
supported attacks against Americans. Even<br />
in Baghdad, where ethnic tensions are<br />
worst, Shiites agree with Sunnis on one<br />
thing: the polI found that 80 percent of the<br />
capital's Shiites wanted U.S. forces to leave<br />
within a year. That number has changed<br />
dramatically in a matter of months. AJanuary<br />
poil found that most Shiites wanted<br />
US.-Ied troops to be reduced only "as the<br />
security situation improves."<br />
ln Washington, sorne politicians still<br />
talk about "victory:' while others aim only<br />
to stabilize the country and leave with sorne<br />
semblance of dignity. Many in the US.<br />
capital are dusting off yesterday's proposals<br />
for tomorrow's problems-more training,<br />
more troops, disarming the militias, more<br />
stability in Baghdad. The GOP presi<strong>de</strong>ntial<br />
front runner for 2008, John McCain, would<br />
prefer to increase the number of US. troops<br />
in Iraq by 20,000, at least temporarily. He<br />
has also called for Sadr to be "taken out."<br />
But it may be too late.<br />
The rnovernent may now be more important<br />
than the man. Sadr "is faced with a<br />
cornmon problem," says Toby Dodge of the<br />
International <strong>Institut</strong>e for Strategic Studies<br />
in London. "He can't control the use ofhis<br />
brand name, the use of his legitimacy:'<br />
Sorne eI<strong>de</strong>r followers of Sadr's father have<br />
broken away, disillusioned with the son.<br />
And sorne young toughs seem to be freelancing<br />
where they canoRenega<strong>de</strong> factions<br />
could eventually threaten Sadr's power. If<br />
he were to fall, "you'll end up with 30 different<br />
movements:' says ValiNasr, a scholar<br />
and author who has briefed the Bush<br />
administration on Iraq. "There are 30<br />
chieftains who have a tremendous amount<br />
of local power. If you remove hirn, there<br />
will be a scramble for who will inherit this<br />
movement ... It's a great danger doing that.<br />
You may actually make your life much<br />
more difficult."<br />
HOW THE MAHDI<br />
ARMYWORKS<br />
FOR NOW, SADR AND HIS MAHDI ARMY<br />
have the initiative. They can stir up trouble<br />
without much fear of retribution. A<br />
case in point: When kidnappers grabbed<br />
an Iraqi-American translator in Baghdad<br />
How He CaTIs the Shots<br />
With a growing private army and a pivotai group of parliamentary seats at his command,<br />
the radical Shiite c1eric Moqtada al-Sadr continues his rise as one of the country's<br />
most powerful figures. A look at his influence-and his competitors:<br />
UNITED<br />
IRAQI ALLIANCE<br />
The UIA, an alliance of conservative Shiite groups-including Sadr'sholds<br />
128 parliamentary seats, slgnificantly more than any other bloc.<br />
The Supreme Couneil<br />
for Islamie Revolution<br />
in Iraq (SCIRI) ISc10sely<br />
tled to-and reportedly<br />
tun<strong>de</strong>d by-Iran<br />
The party of lraql Prime<br />
Mmister Mallkl, Dawa<br />
possesses no organized<br />
mllitia. It also has fewer<br />
eleries than SCIRI<br />
IRAOI PARUAMENT SEATS<br />
last month, US. soldiers sealed off the<br />
Sadr City neighborhood where they believed<br />
he was being held. But Prime Minister<br />
Maliki-who <strong>de</strong>pends on Sadr for<br />
political support-quickly or<strong>de</strong>red the<br />
Americans to remove their roadblocks.<br />
Maliki has also forced the US. military to<br />
release men picked up during raids in<br />
Sadr City on suspicion of belonging to<br />
Shiite <strong>de</strong>ath squads.<br />
Though its I<strong>de</strong>ology IS close to<br />
that of the Sadnsts, Fadhila<br />
has ilS own agenda and has<br />
sometlmes elashed wlth<br />
Sadr's camp<br />
When the U.S. fails to respond to provocation,<br />
it loses credibility. And when it does<br />
respond, it can also lose. Last "'t'ck, before<br />
the massive car-bomb attacks, U.S. and<br />
Iraqi forces carried out a pinpnck raid in<br />
Sadr City to get intelligence on the kidnapped<br />
military translator, Ahmed Qusai<br />
al-Taayie. Like sa many othe!' US. military<br />
strikes in Iraq, however, it came at a price.<br />
American forces capturcd Sc\ en militia-<br />
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