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• 8 • Information and liaison bulletin n° 261 • December 2006<br />

expected to take at least 10 to 15<br />

years). They also <strong>de</strong>ci<strong>de</strong>d not to<br />

finalise any other chapter so long<br />

as Turkey fails to accept to open its<br />

sea and air ports to Greek Cypriot<br />

traffic — its refusal on this point<br />

being the source of the sanction by<br />

the 25. They also found a<br />

compromise “if necessary” for the<br />

annual evaluations till 2009 of such<br />

progress as Turkey may have<br />

ma<strong>de</strong>. Finally, they agreed to “thaw<br />

out” the suspen<strong>de</strong>d chapters “at<br />

any moment” in the event of<br />

Turkish progress.<br />

On December 13, the Presi<strong>de</strong>nt of<br />

the European Commission, José<br />

Manuel Barroso, <strong>de</strong>scribed the<br />

freezing of negotiations as “a<br />

credible and equitable <strong>de</strong>cision”. This<br />

<strong>de</strong>cision “taken unanimously by the<br />

Foreign Ministers of the E.U.<br />

countries, is a credible and equitable<br />

<strong>de</strong>cision because it (the E.U.) sends a<br />

very strong signal to the Turks — that<br />

obligations must be observed”, was<br />

his analysis. “It is a strong signal,<br />

but a signal that is not inten<strong>de</strong>d to<br />

close the door on Turkey. It is not only<br />

a matter of not opening the eight<br />

chapters, but of not finalising any of<br />

the 35 chapters until Turkey respects<br />

its obligations”, he pointed out.<br />

In reaction, the Turkish Prime<br />

Minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan,<br />

<strong>de</strong>nounced an “injustice”. “Despite<br />

all our good will, the <strong>de</strong>cision of the<br />

E.U. Council of Ministers is,<br />

unfortunately an unjust one”, he<br />

<strong>de</strong>clared to his Justice and<br />

Development<br />

Party’s<br />

Parliamentary group. “Relations<br />

between the E.U. and Turkey are<br />

going through a harsh trial, <strong>de</strong>spite all<br />

our efforts to resolve the blockage”,<br />

Mr. Erdogan ad<strong>de</strong>d. The Turkish<br />

Prime Minister nevertheless<br />

<strong>de</strong>clared that Turkey was<br />

<strong>de</strong>termined to continue putting<br />

into practice the reforms nee<strong>de</strong>d<br />

for its entry into the European<br />

Union. “In the coming period, we<br />

know full well that we have to carry<br />

out our reforms with the same<br />

<strong>de</strong>termination” he pointed out. For<br />

his part, the Turkish Foreign<br />

Minister, Abdullah Gul, <strong>de</strong>plored<br />

“the lack of vision” of his European<br />

opposite numbers. As for the<br />

Turkish press, the present situation<br />

is not the worst scenario since the<br />

25 are agreed to unfreeze the<br />

chapters in the event of Turkish<br />

progress. “The European train has<br />

braked” headlined the daily Radikal,<br />

while for Zaman (mo<strong>de</strong>rate<br />

Islamic) “the E.U. train is continuing<br />

on its way”. The Turkish authorities<br />

refuse to allow ships or planes to<br />

enter their sea or airports that<br />

come from the Cyprus Republic,<br />

which occupies the Greek part of<br />

the island, divi<strong>de</strong>d since the<br />

Turkish invasion in 1974. They<br />

<strong>de</strong>mand that the E.U. first end the<br />

economic isolation of the “Turkish<br />

Republic of North Cyprus” — that<br />

is recognised by Ankara only.<br />

TEHERAN: THE FIRST ELECTORAL SETBACK<br />

FOR MAHMUD AHMEDINJAD<br />

A<br />

ccording to the final<br />

results ma<strong>de</strong> public on 21<br />

December by the Iranian<br />

Ministry of the Interior,<br />

the opponents of the<br />

Iranian Presi<strong>de</strong>nt have taken the<br />

lead in the municipal elections and<br />

in the Assembly of Experts, thus<br />

making a first electoral setback for<br />

Mahmud Ahmedinjad. The<br />

electors had top elect over 113,000<br />

local councillors out of 235,000<br />

candidates. Overall, the<br />

participation in these elections was<br />

about 60%, that is, 26 million of<br />

46.5 million Iranian electors,<br />

according to the government. The<br />

two previous local elections in<br />

Iran’s history, following their being<br />

set up in 1999 by the then<br />

presi<strong>de</strong>nt Mohammed Khatami,<br />

had drawn between 50% and 55%<br />

to the polls. However, four years<br />

ago less than 12% had taken part in<br />

the Teheran municipal elections.<br />

According to the final results, the<br />

winners were essentially “mo<strong>de</strong>rate<br />

conservatives” opposed to the<br />

present very radical Presi<strong>de</strong>nt,<br />

followed by reformers. These<br />

results may well embarrass<br />

Mahmud Ahmedinjad, whose anti-<br />

Israeli rhetoric and inflexible stand<br />

on the nuclear issue have<br />

provoked con<strong>de</strong>mnation in the<br />

West. The two polls on 15<br />

December were a test for Presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

Ahmedinjad, who has already lost<br />

the support of many conservatives,<br />

who consi<strong>de</strong>red that he was<br />

spending too much time in<br />

confrontations with the West at the<br />

expense of the economic question.<br />

The Iranian Presi<strong>de</strong>nt, for whom<br />

these elections were consi<strong>de</strong>red to<br />

be a first test of popularity, since<br />

taking office in 2005, avoi<strong>de</strong>d any<br />

fundamental analysis of these first<br />

results. Mr. Ahmedinjad simply<br />

<strong>de</strong>clared: “The people have won”.<br />

In Teheran, supporters of Presi<strong>de</strong>nt<br />

Mahmud Ahmedinjad, former<br />

Mayor of the city, where he built<br />

up his popularity, arrived last in<br />

the municipal elections, behind<br />

both the conservatives and the<br />

reformers, according to the State<br />

television. Four “reformist”<br />

candidates are also due to join the<br />

Council, whereas the reforming<br />

camp, which had controlled the<br />

municipality, was completely<br />

eliminated at the 2003 elections.<br />

Only two candidates of the ultraconservative<br />

“The good odour of<br />

service” list were amongst the first<br />

fifteen. One of these was the

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