Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

More documents

Recommendations

Info

REVUE DE PRESSE~PRESS REVIEW.BERHEVOKA ÇAPÊ~RIVISTA STAMPA.DENTRO DE LA PRENSA.BASIN ÖZETi INTERNATIONAL HERALDTRIBUNE, TUESDAY, MAY 9,1995 EUROPE Saddam Is the Belle of the BaU Iraq's Oil Riches Lure Suitors; U.S. Firms Stay Home .- By Daniel Southerland WarhillglOlI Pœl Sn1Iice WASHINGTON - Stretching for miles through the abandoned battlefields of southern Iraq lies a vast oil field called Majnoon - Arabic for "the crazed one." Given the tension it is causing in the international oil business, the field might better be called "Saddam's Revenge." The riches of Majnoon and other Iraqi oil fields are making Baghdad a popular destination - at least among the giant oil companies that hope to do business with Iraq once the United Nations lifts sanctions against it. Indeed, a conference in Baghdad in March on the future of the Iraqi oil industry was attended by representatives of 35 oil companies. Elf Aquitaine of France already is negotiating a $2.5 billion deal to develop Majnoon. Elf, along with its French n- val, Total SA, started the negotiations with Iraqin May 1991,just three months after. Operation Desert Storm. Meanwhile, Italian, Brazilian, Spanish and Russian companies are pursuing other deals to develop Iraq's vast oil reserves, which analysts calculate are second only to those of Saudi Arabia. U.S. companies, by contrast, are sitting on the sidelines as their competitors rush to woo Baghdad. Although some U.S. giants, such as Mobil Corp., had close ties with the Iraqis before the Gulf War, none of them attended the Baghdad conference. The American concerns are blocked by their government, which - nearly alone among its allies - insists that the UN economic sanctions against Baghdad should continue indefinitely. "The U.S. companies are gomg to be way behind once the sanctions are lifted," said Lawrence Goldstein, president of the industry-supported Petroleum Industry Research Foundation. "On Iraq, the U.S. oil companies clearly have to follow the administration, and the administration is not going to budge on this." Iraq may be one of the last great prize.s in the oil business. At a time when giant oil fields are increasingly difficult to find around the world, Iraq claims at least nine of them. Some analysts place Majnoon in the so-called super-giant category, capable eventually of producing 600,000 barrels a day. Before the Iraq-Iran war began in 1980, Iraq was pumping 3.5 million barrels of crude oil a day. But the subsequent 15 years of war and economic sanctions have Once sanctions are lifted, Iraq could become the most important and unpredictable factor in the oil market. left the country's oil infrastructure in disarray. Once sanctions are lifted, however, much of the damage could be repaired within a few years, making Iraq the most important and unpredictable new factor in the international oil market. Iraqi officials say their aim is to expand output to 6 million barrels per day by the next decade, a production levelthat would be nearly equal to that of Saudi Arabia. The Iraq bonanza brings the danger of oversupply to the oil market. Analysts worry that Iraq's return will flood the market with oil and lead to a sharp drop in prices. Even without Iraq, the OPEC oil-producing nations have been unable to keep the price of oil above $20 a barrel. On an inflation-adjusted basis, oil now costs less than it did in 1973. Analysts also caution that deals made now with President Saddam Hussein might prove to be risky investments. The Iraqi leader remains intensely unpopular at home and abroad, and a future Iraqi government might not look favorably on Western oil companies that rushed to do business with Mr. Sadd am. The financial risks will be high, as well. Iraq's goal of producing 6 million barrels a day would require a minimum of $25 billion in investments during the next 10 years, analysts say. Because Iraq already is heavily in debt, the foreign companies would have to provide most of the financing before they made their profit. Despite these dangers, the lure of Iraqi oil seems irresistible because Iraqi crude is so easy to find and so cheap to produce. The Iraqi fields are also relatively undeveloped, unlike those of neighboring countries such as Iran, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Oil-producing companies such as Elf Aquitaine are not the only ones that will profit from Iraq's return to the market. European oil-service companies also are likely to win big contracts from drilling and exploration. So will the construction companies hired to build highways, power plants, export terminals and pumping stations. But for U.S. companies that would like to share in the spoils, Iraq appears to be a no-win situation. Industry executives say that, given Mr. Saddam's unpopularity in the United States, American companies are in no position to lobby for an easing of U.S. restrictions on dealings with Iraq. The prospect that Mr. Saddam would use his oil revenue to rebuild his war machine poses an additional problem. The existing U.N. trade embargo against Iraq prohibits all trade and financial transactions, ex~t for relief aid, and bans Irag from selling oil except under U.N. conditions that Iraq has refused to accept. 57
REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVIEW-BERHEVOKA ÇAPÊ-RIVISTA Ankara happy with Chirac victory in French election Turkish Daily News ANKARA- Happy w!th the n.arrow victory of Jacques Chirac in the preSidentIal electlOns on Sunday, Ankara sent a congratulatory message to the third-hme-lucky Gaullist president. . . President Süleyman Deinirel sent a message ta ChiI:ac . late Sunday expressing the hope that the excellent ties between th~ two countries would be further enhanced during his presidency.. .. . . Prime Minister Tansu Ciller, ~ho IS ~n Pans for the anniversary of the World War II ViCtOry"ISalso eXp'ected to offer her congratulations to France s n~w president. "The bilateral ties between the two countnes are excellent France has been one of Turkey's main supPQrtersin the ~ealization of the customs union," a Turkish diplomat said. "We are convinced that this will continue with Chirac." . Although Turkish diplomats describe Chirac as a leader favorable to Turkey, Ankara's satisfaction with the result IS largely attributed to the "Alain Juppe factor." Juppe, \"h~ has supported Çhir~c since the be$mmng qf hiS ~a.mpalgn, IS .expected .to ~e the'pnm~ l,Il1m~ter,or, at least, retam his foreign mimstenal past. Despite the recent controversy caused by the remarks of President Süleyman Demirel, quoted in Sabah, that Juppe had told him that the problems of Turkey stemmed from its unitarian character, Turkish diplomats describe Juppe as one of the supporters of Turkish territorial integrity. . French Foreign Ministry has denied that Juppe had made such a statement. "Alain Juppe is familiar with the Turkish. issues and.has personal ties with many of Turkish officials. He has also been an energetic supporter of c10serties between Turkey and the European Union," a diplomat said, addi~g . that the samewas true 'for Alam Lamassoure, who is a candidate for for- . ei~ ministry if Juppe becomes the prime numster. . "Since France will have a team that is already familiar with Turkey, there will be no adaptation period that usually follows eleCl1ons,"he said. .Turkishofficials also admit that they.' are not exactly sad thatthe Mitterrand era is over, despite the fact that it was during the socialist president's time that an historical visit was made between the two countries thereby wiping the disagreements of the past. . . "From time to time, certain moves or stateménts made bythe Elysee Palace created tensions between the two capitals. With Chirac, we believe that these will be omitted," another diplomat said. Turks hope that the Gaullist president will be less likely to. give Turkey public tongue-lashing on human rights than his SOCialiStpredecessor. Turkish diplomats are also secretly jubilant with the end of Danielle STAMPA-DENTRO DE LA PRENSA-BASIN ÖZETi Turkish Daily News CIA: Turkey and Iran would intervene in an Iraqi Kurdish State WEDNESDA Y. MA Y 10. 1995 'Fate of N. Iraqi Kurds depends on Baghdad' By Ugur Akmel Turkish Daily News W ASHINGTON- If there ever was a Kurdish state in northern Iraq, "Iran and Turkey, fearing the effect an Iraqi Kurdish state would have on their own Kurdish minorities, would intervene militarily and economically . to either dominate or otherwise prevent its creation," according to an U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) analysis ~repaied last month in. response to an mquiry made by Sen. Arlen Specter, chairman of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. The CIA said such an independent entity "would be landlocked, have few economic resources and be vulnerable to outside interference." The CIA also noted that the . Iraqi National Congress formally supports autonomy but not separahsm. "The Iraqi National Congress formally supports enhanced Kurdish autonomy within a unified, federated Iraq, but both the INC and its Western sponsors oppose Iraqi Kurdish separatism," the report said.. Admiral William O. Studeman, acting CIA director, in a letter written on April 3, 1995 to Sen. Specter that theonzed about a post-Saddam Iraq, noted that "serious infighting since mid-1994 has severely damaged the unity of the Iraqi Kurds, undermined their fledgling regional administration and' decreased their chances of maintaining a united political and military front in dealing with Baghdad.. The prospects for Kurdish reintegration into Iraq after Saddam, however, hinge more on the strength of the successor regime than on the . strength of the Kurds." Studeman said "if Saddam' s successor heads a strong centrai government and united Iraqi military, the Kurds - no matter how united - could not withstand a concertedeffort to reimposegovernment controlover northern Iraq and force Kurdish integration. Despite its degraded and demoralized state, . Iraq's regular army still outnumbers and is better equipped, trained and organized than the Kurds." The CIA analysis theorized that, in a post-Saddam world, even a weak government in Baghdad would be of no help for Kurds. "Ev,enif a successor regime were weak and divided, fis~ures in the Iraqi Kurdish opposition make it likely that some Kurdish leaders would side with Baghdad to strengthen their hand against their Kurdish rivals." 58
Page 1 and 2:
: .. I \ INSTITUT URD DE PARIS Bull
Page 3 and 4:
SOMMAIRE • LE PRÉSIDENT TURC AGI
Page 5 and 6:
Il /22-12;. \/Ili-/llill l'J'J, Hll
Page 7 and 8:
Il L!l-I2.$. \/"iJuill 199.> Hulk/i
Page 9 and 10:
Il 122-12). \llliJuill 199.> Bul/c/
Page 11 and 12:
Il 122-/23. \lt/;:/II;II 199.> BIII
Page 13 and 14:
Il '22-'23. ,\l"H"ill '99.) Blll/Cl
Page 15 and 16:
" ::~~ .. ' .. ~";:f() ::,':" ;"",:
Page 17 and 18:
REVUE DE PRESSE~PRESS REVlEW~BERHEV
Page 19 and 20:
REVUE DE PRESSE~PRESS REVIEW~BERHEV
Page 21 and 22: 1. 5. 95 Journal officiel des Commu
Page 23 and 24: REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVIEW-BERHEV
Page 25 and 26: REVUE DE PRESSE~PRESS REVIEW~BERHEV
Page 29 and 30: ," ';'-" To Russia: Turkey treasure
Page 35 and 36: Çiller signals end to Turkey's N.
Page 45 and 46: _Bamk 4 MAI 1995 ,. TURQUIE-ARMENIE
Page 49 and 50: REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVI.E:\¥-BE
Page 51 and 52: I ::ö ~ g "tl ~ ?;J V:l trl, "tl ~
Page 55 and 56: REVUE DE PRESSE,PRESS REVIEW,BERHEV
Page 57 and 58: ". ,. i j " -.-1 (J) ~ ~ 0> '< ~, t
Page 59 and 60: ..Turkey, Iransign $20 billion ener
Page 67: REVUE DE PRESSE~PRESS REVIEW~BERHEV
Page 70 and 71: REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REvIEw'-BERHE
Page 80 and 81: A - ,-F -P-, -.-::.A - -F.- P- --
Page 92 and 93: REVUE DE PRESSE#PRESS REVIEW#BERHEV
Page 96 and 97: REVUE DE PRESSE-PRÊSS REVIEW-BERHE
Page 102 and 103: i? ~ :< 3: > -< ~ ~v. ~ ~ ~ ~ ::tl
Page 104 and 105: REVUE DE PRESSE~PRESS REVIEW.BERHEV
Page 122 and 123:
.0 REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVIEW-BER
Page 124 and 125:
Persécution des Kurdes d'Irak --'
Page 126 and 127:
REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVLEW-BERHEV
Page 128 and 129:
REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVIEW-BERHEV
Page 130 and 131:
REvuE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVIEW-BERHEV
Page 132 and 133:
Page 134 and 135:
Page 136 and 137:
" '. . , ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ trl \ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Page 138 and 139:
Page 140 and 141:
Page 142 and 143:
Le Soir - 8 juin 1995 J 0- .- Sur l
Page 144 and 145:
Page 146 and 147:
Page 148 and 149:
Page 150 and 151:
Page 152 and 153:
Page 154 and 155:
Page 156 and 157:
Page 158 and 159:
Page 160 and 161:
Page 162 and 163:
Page 164 and 165:
eaches and other facilities. We mus
Page 166 and 167:
REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVlEW-BERHEV
Page 168 and 169:
Page 170 and 171:
REVUE DE PRESSE-PRESS REVIEw-BERHEV
Page 172 and 173:
11---------------------------------
Page 174 and 175:
Page 176 and 177:
Page 178 and 179:
Page 180 and 181:
Page 182 and 183:
Page 184 and 185:
Page 186 and 187:
Page 188 and 189:
Page 190 and 191:
Page 192 and 193:
Page 194 and 195:
Page 196 and 197:
Page 198 and 199:
US Congress debates' ongoing genoci
Page 200 and 201:
Page 202 and 203:
Page 204 and 205:
'( . Conseil de l'Europe: grands pr
Page 206:
show all

Bulletin de liaison et d'information - Institut kurde de Paris

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?