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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario<br />

Note that the CAC damage estimate of $8 per tonne, from the work of Resources<br />

for the Future, is $8 per tonne of CO 2 , not $8 per tonne of the major (non-diesel) motor<br />

vehicle pollutants (HC, CO and NO x ). Average emissions (pounds per mile), according<br />

to EPA data are as follows:<br />

• CO 2 -- 0.916 pounds.<br />

• HC -- 0.0033 pounds.<br />

• CO -- 0.033 pounds.<br />

• NO x -- 0.005 pounds.<br />

As these numbers clearly indicate, emissions of the CAC pollutants are much<br />

smaller per mile than for CO 2 . Put somewhat differently, one tonne of CO 2 emissions will<br />

be accompanied by approximately eight pounds of HC emissions (0.0033/0.916*2205).<br />

Alternatively 2407 vehicle miles implies one tonne of CO 2 and eight pounds of HC.<br />

Somewhat different estimates are provided in Transport <strong>Canada</strong>’s Urban<br />

Congestion in <strong>Canada</strong> (2006-Table 4). These numbers imply an upper bound of $20 per<br />

tonne of CO 2 and $102 per tonne of CO 2 for CAC emissions. Our calculations use an<br />

average of these numbers and the Resources for the Future estimate of $18 for a total of<br />

$70 per tonne of CO 2 and its associated CAC emissions.<br />

In summary, the core elements of the congestion cost model are as follows:<br />

42 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research

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