Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada
Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada
Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada
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• Large truck. Collisions involving larger trucks represent 7% of all collisions,<br />
18% of fatal collisions and 15% ($3 billion) of the social costs.<br />
• Freeway collisions. Collisions occurring on 400 series highways represent 14%<br />
($2 billion) of social costs, 12% of fatal, and 11% of all collisions.<br />
B. SOCIAL COSTS OF MOTOR VEHICLE COLLISIONS FOR CANADA<br />
AND FOR EACH JURISDICTION<br />
The 613,000 motor vehicle collisions occurring in Canadian jurisdictions in 2004<br />
resulted in social costs of $63 billion. By type of collision, social costs were $39 billion<br />
(62%), $20 billion (32%), and $3 billion (5%) for fatal, injury and PDO collisions<br />
respectively. Beside Ontario other significant jurisdictions in terms of number and social<br />
costs of collisions were:<br />
• Quebec—28% of social costs and 23% of collisions.<br />
• Alberta—15% of social costs and 17% of collisions.<br />
• British Columbia—14% of social costs and 8% of collisions.<br />
C. MODELING THE SOCIAL COSTS OF COLLISION<br />
This project produced a model of the social costs of motor vehicle collisions<br />
occurring in Ontario in 2004. The project advances an earlier social cost model (1994)<br />
also adding costs components related to traffic delay (extra time, fuel, and pollution).<br />
The model was designed as a flexible tool to facilitate additional analyses<br />
including updating for future years. The core Ontario model was applied to sub-sets of<br />
collisions in Ontario and to collisions occurring in all Canadian jurisdictions in 2004.<br />
Changes to assumptions, values or parameters are easy to perform. The model includes<br />
high, low, and medium scenarios for valuing human consequences based on the<br />
technically preferred willingness-to-pay valuation methodology. These produce estimates<br />
of the human consequences of motor vehicle collisions in Ontario ranging from $7 billion<br />
to $22 billion. Also included is a scenario using a discounted future earnings approach<br />
that is used in some road safety applications. This method produces an alternative cost of<br />
human consequences of $1.5 billion.<br />
We are indebted to the Ministry of Transportation, Transport <strong>Canada</strong> and the<br />
Workplace Safety and Insurance Board that funded the project as well as provided<br />
guidance and needed data. We thank other data contributors: the Ministry of Health and<br />
Long Term Care; the Insurance Bureau of <strong>Canada</strong>; the Ontario Provincial Police; the<br />
Ontario Fire Marshal; and the Coroner’s Office.<br />
ii<br />
TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research