Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter Page Number EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................................... I A. Social Costs of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario .................................... i B. Social Costs of Motor Vehicle Collisions For <strong>Canada</strong> and for each Jurisdiction ................................................................................................. ii C. Modeling the Social Costs of Collision ....................................................... ii ABBREVIATIONS.................................................................................................. I I INTRODUCTION............................................................................................. 1 II SOCIAL COST FINDINGS AND MODEL OVERVIEW.................................... 3 A. Introduction ................................................................................................ 3 B. Social Costs of Motor Vehicle Collisions.................................................... 3 C. Basic Structure of the Model ...................................................................... 6 III ONTARIO MODEL ........................................................................................ 13 A. Raw Data ................................................................................................. 13 B. Adjustments to the Raw Data................................................................... 14 C. Other Characteristics of Injured Individuals.............................................. 24 D. Other Resources Expended Due to Collisions ......................................... 25 E. Valuation of Human Consequences......................................................... 29 F. Valuation of Non-Human Consequences ................................................. 32 IV SOCIAL COST OF MOTOR VEHICLE COLLISIONS IN ONTARIO ............. 47 A. Introduction .............................................................................................. 47 B. Social Costs ............................................................................................. 47 C. Social Costs based on Alternate Values for Human Consequences........ 49 D. Comparison of Social Costs Estimates for 2004 and 1990 ...................... 51 E. Comparison of 2004 Estimate with Estimates Available Through SMARTRISK ............................................................................................ 52 V ONTARIO SUB-MODELS AND THEIR SOCIAL COSTS.............................. 55 A. Raw Data and Revisions.......................................................................... 55 B. Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions related to Ontario Sub-Models ... 58 C. Government Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions related to Freeways ......... 63 VI CANADIAN JURISDICTIONS MODEL AND SOCIAL COSTS...................... 69 A. Raw Data and Revisions.......................................................................... 69 B. Social Cost............................................................................................... 92 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research i
APPENDIX A: DETAIL ON CALCULATIONS OF THE ONTARIO MODEL ......113 A. Raw Data ...............................................................................................113 B. Adjustments to the Raw Data.................................................................114 C. Other Characteristics of Injured Individuals............................................128 D. Other Resources Expended Due to Collisions .......................................131 E. Valuation of Human Consequences.......................................................138 F. Valuation of Non-Human Consequences ...............................................141 APPENDIX B: MAKING CHANGES TO THE MODELS ...................................159 A. Changes Affecting All Models ................................................................159 B. Changes to the Ontario Model ...............................................................160 C. Changes to the Ontario Sub-models ......................................................161 D. Changes to the Canadian Jurisdictions Model .......................................162 E. More Advanced Changes to the Models ................................................162 APPENDIX C: THE VALUE OF HUMAN CONSEQUENCES USING DISCOUNTED FUTURE EARNINGS..........................................................167 A. Discounted Future Earnings and Lost Household Production................167 B. Lifetime Earnings ...................................................................................168 C. Short-Term Productivity Loss .................................................................170 D. Input Data...............................................................................................170 E. Summary of DFE Losses .......................................................................171 APPENDIX D: VALUE OF HUMAN CONSEQUENCES OF COLLISIONS BY JURISDICTION BASED ON ALTERNATE ASSUMPTIONS.......................175 APPENDIX E: REFERENCES.....................................................................191 ii TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research
Page 1: TP 14800F Analysis and Estimation o
Page 5 and 6: • Large truck. Collisions involvi
Page 8: ABBREVIATIONS CAC Criteria Air Cont
Page 11 and 12: Analysis and Estimation of the Soci
Page 22 and 23: III ONTARIO MODEL This chapter desc
Page 24 and 25: Ontario Model redistribution. Simil
Page 26 and 27: Ontario Model • Pedestrian Injure
Page 28 and 29: Ontario Model Based on this analysi
Page 30 and 31: Ontario Model Step 3 Allocate addit
Page 32 and 33: Ontario Model damaged based on this
Page 34 and 35: Ontario Model 1. Number of total an
Page 36 and 37: Ontario Model 2.99; specialist—1.
Page 38 and 39: Ontario Model 5. Tow trucks Tow tru
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Page 42 and 43: Ontario Model We combine this value
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Ontario Model VARIABLE DATA LOST TI
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Ontario Model We have no data to gu
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Analysis and Estimation of the Soci
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V ONTARIO SUB-MODELS AND THEIR SOCI
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APPENDIX B: MAKING CHANGES TO THE M
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Appendix B—Making Changes to the
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Appendix C The Value of Human Conse
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APPENDIX D: VALUE OF HUMAN CONSEQUE
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APPENDIX E: REFERENCES Audrey, J. a
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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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