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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario<br />

D. CHANGES TO THE CANADIAN JURISDICTIONS MODEL<br />

Unadjusted data on the collisions characteristics for each Canadian jurisdiction is<br />

entered into Spreadsheet C1. These data are obtained from TRAID for 2004.<br />

Data on collision characteristics can be replaced by similar data for other years—<br />

for example 2005. In so doing the model automatically updates all calculations based on<br />

the new collision data input into Spreadsheet C1. When making changes to the data in the<br />

model, the analyst should also record the year that the new data represents in cell C1!A2.<br />

This will automatically record the year for the collision data in other spreadsheets.<br />

The most likely users of the Canadian Jurisdictions Model will be individual<br />

jurisdictions. As a result the model was designed to provide jurisdiction-specific<br />

estimates of the social costs of the motor vehicle collisions. These estimates are produced<br />

once the user transfers the revised and adjusted data automatically produced by the model<br />

from Spreadsheet C1.3 to corresponding cells in Spreadsheet C2. This is done by copying<br />

cells from Spreadsheet C1.3 and pasting them (using the Paste Special/Values function in<br />

Excel) to Spreadsheet C2. (For Newfoundland and Labrador appropriate cells to copy<br />

from Spreadsheet C1.3 are C1.3!A25:C1.3!F43.) The model then automatically calculates<br />

the social cost of collisions occurring in the jurisdiction in Spreadsheet C3.<br />

The model can be used to calculate the social cost of motor vehicle collisions<br />

occurring in all jurisdictions by copying total collision characteristics automatically<br />

calculated for <strong>Canada</strong> from Spreadsheet C1.3 (correct cells for <strong>Canada</strong> from Spreadsheet<br />

C1.3 are C1.3!A5:C1.3!F23) and pasting them (using the Paste Special/Values function in<br />

Excel) to Spreadsheet C2.<br />

The model records the social costs for all jurisdictions and for <strong>Canada</strong> in<br />

Spreadsheet C3T.<br />

E. MORE ADVANCED CHANGES TO THE MODELS<br />

Calculations in the Ontario model are based on factors derived from data collected<br />

in the study. These data, the calculations based on them, and the derived factors used in<br />

analyses are provided in Spreadsheet B. The analyst has the opportunity to change any of<br />

these derived factors either by assuming different factors or by entering new data in place<br />

of the data collected during the study. The most likely changes to the model are noted in<br />

this section.<br />

1. Price indices<br />

The model uses three separate price indices for values related to human<br />

consequences (Statistics <strong>Canada</strong>, The Labour Market, 71-222-XWE), health care costs<br />

(Statistics <strong>Canada</strong>, Consumer Price Index, Health Care Services), and all other cost items<br />

(Statistics <strong>Canada</strong>, Consumer Price Index, All Items). Actual values for these indices are<br />

162 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research

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