Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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Ontario Model • Collisions where one or more of the vehicles involved was a large truck 1 represent 7% of all collisions, 18% of fatal collisions and 15% ($2.7 billion) of the social costs of collision in Ontario in 2004. • Freeway collisions (those occurring on 400 series highways) compared to the other sub-groups of collision are most similar to the typical collision in Ontario. They represent 11% of all, 12% of fatal, 12% of injury, and 11% of PDO collisions. They also represent 14% ($2.4 billion) of the social costs of collision in Ontario in 2004. Government costs related to freeway collisions were $51 million in 2004. These represent a sub-set of costs (hospital/health care, police, courts, fire, and ambulance) incurred by government. 3. Canadian jurisdictions Social costs of the 613,000 motor vehicle collisions occurring in Canadian jurisdictions in 2004 were $62.7 billion. By type of collision, social costs were $39.0 billion (62%), $20.3 billion (32%), and $3.4 billion (5%) for fatal, injury and PDO collisions respectively. Social costs and the per cent (in brackets) by jurisdiction were: • Newfoundland and Labrador — $0.9 billion (1.4%). • Prince Edward Island — $0.5 billion (0.8%). • Nova Scotia — $1.7 billion (2.8%). • New Brunswick — $1.4 billion (2.3%). • Quebec — $17.4 billion (27.9%). • Ontario — $17.9 billion (28.6%). • Manitoba — $2.2 billion (3.5%). • Saskatchewan — $2.4 billion (3.9%). • Alberta — $9.1 billion (14.5%). • British Columbia — $8.8 billion (14.1%). • Yukon — $0.1 billion (0.2%). • Northwest Territories — $0.06 billion (0.1%). • Nunavut — $0.02 billion (0.0%). 1 Large truck is defined according to the following selected values under “Vehicle Type” in the MTO Accident Database System (ADS) : 8 truck—open (flatbed); 9 truck—closed (box, van); 10 truck—tank; 11 dump truck; 12 truck—car carrier; 13 truck— tractor; and 98 truck—other (cement mixer, crane, etc.) TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research 5
Analysis and Estimation of the Social Cost of Motor Vehicle Collisions in Ontario C. BASIC STRUCTURE OF THE MODEL The “model” to estimate the social cost of motor vehicle collisions comprises a series of models and sub-models, each made up of a series of linked spreadsheets. This basic structure is presented in Exhibit II-2. Major linkages between the spreadsheets are identified through arrows—the direction indicating the causal relationship between the spreadsheets. Exhibit II-2 Structure of the Social Cost Model ONTARIO MODEL B--Calculations A--Assumptions & Values O3--Social cost O2--Adjusted data O1--Raw data ONTARIO SUB-MODELS (n=4) OS4--Government costs OS3--Social cost OS2--Adjusted data OS1--Raw data CANADIAN JURISDICTION MODELS (n=13) CJ3--Social costs CJ2-Adjusted data CJ1.1--Revised raw data CJ1--Raw data CANADA MODEL C3--Social costs C2-Adjusted data C1.1--Revised raw data C1--Raw data 6 TNS Canadian Facts, Social and Policy Research
Page 1 and 2: TP 14800F Analysis and Estimation o
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V ONTARIO SUB-MODELS AND THEIR SOCI
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Ontario Sub-Models and Their Social
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Analysis and Estimation of the Soci
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APPENDIX B: MAKING CHANGES TO THE M
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Appendix C The Value of Human Conse
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APPENDIX D: VALUE OF HUMAN CONSEQUE
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APPENDIX E: REFERENCES Audrey, J. a
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Keith Vodden Dr. Douglas Smith - Transports Canada

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