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On the Ecology of Mountainous Forests in a Changing Climate: A ...

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The forest model FORCLIM 45<br />

carbon balance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole forest ecosystem, which is important for <strong>the</strong> biospheric<br />

feedback to <strong>the</strong> climate system (Trabalka & Reichle 1986, Post et al. 1990, Tans et al.<br />

1990).<br />

E G M L H<br />

Plants<br />

Soil<br />

B<br />

W<br />

Environment<br />

Fig. 3.1: Structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> FORCLIM model. Dotted l<strong>in</strong>es denote <strong>the</strong> dependencies with<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> three submodels. The symbols are expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> text.<br />

3.2 Model assumptions<br />

3.2.1 Plant submodel: Tree population dynamics<br />

A basic paradigm <strong>of</strong> population ecology states that <strong>the</strong>re are four key processes determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> abundance <strong>of</strong> a population (e.g. Fischl<strong>in</strong> 1982, Begon et al. 1990): natality, mortality,<br />

immigration, and emigration. S<strong>in</strong>ce trees are sessile and <strong>the</strong> dispersal <strong>of</strong> most tree<br />

species is comparably slow, migration phenomena are not considered explicitly <strong>in</strong><br />

FORCLIM. The basic processes <strong>the</strong>refore are <strong>the</strong> establishment and <strong>the</strong> mortality <strong>of</strong> trees<br />

(Fig. 3.2). However, we are <strong>in</strong>terested not only <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> abundance, but also <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> structure<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population. Moreover, tree mortality rates are <strong>in</strong>fluenced to a large extent by<br />

competition; thus tree growth has to be modelled as well (Fig. 3.2).

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