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On the Ecology of Mountainous Forests in a Changing Climate: A ...

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246 Appendix<br />

V .<br />

Sensitivity analysis: Species parameters and detailed<br />

results<br />

Tab. A-15 & A-16 list <strong>the</strong> lower and upper end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> plausibility <strong>in</strong>terval <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> species<br />

parameters, respectively. For some parameters <strong>of</strong> some species, it was not possible to derive<br />

<strong>the</strong>se values because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g restrictions:<br />

1) For some parameters <strong>of</strong> a few species, no measure <strong>of</strong> variability could be derived<br />

from <strong>the</strong> literature (e.g. kDm and kAm <strong>of</strong> P<strong>in</strong>us montana)<br />

2) It was not possible to determ<strong>in</strong>e plausible uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty ranges <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> kWiT s parameter<br />

for those species that have no susceptibility to low w<strong>in</strong>ter temperature<br />

(kWiT s = N).<br />

3) For parameters whose default value for a given species is already at <strong>the</strong> lower<br />

or upper boundary <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition range (e.g. sType, kNTol, kBrow, kLy,<br />

kLa, kLQ), <strong>the</strong> sensitivity could not be determ<strong>in</strong>ed because <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition range<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> parameters would have been exceeded<br />

4) For parameters whose default value for a given species is closer to <strong>the</strong> lower or<br />

upper boundary <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition range than half <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir plausibility<br />

<strong>in</strong>terval (e.g. kLy <strong>of</strong> Larix decidua), <strong>the</strong> parameter was set to <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>imum or<br />

maximum <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition range, respectively.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> cases 1) to 3) above, no simulation studies were conducted. These cases are marked<br />

by empty cells <strong>in</strong> Tab. A-15 & A-16.<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>the</strong> above restrictions, it was possible to derive a lower boundary <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> plausibility <strong>in</strong>terval for 364 species parameters and an upper boundary for 368 species<br />

parameters (Tab. A-15 & A-16).<br />

Tab. A-17 & A-18 give <strong>the</strong> percentage similarity coefficients between <strong>the</strong> steady state<br />

species composition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> FORCLIM-E/P/S model with <strong>the</strong> default parameter set and <strong>the</strong><br />

steady states as estimated with each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> parameters changed accord<strong>in</strong>g to Tab. A-15<br />

and A-16, respectively.<br />

In Tab. A-19 & A-120 <strong>the</strong> change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> biomass <strong>of</strong> those species whose parameters<br />

were lowered or <strong>in</strong>creased are listed. Empty cells denote ei<strong>the</strong>r miss<strong>in</strong>g parameters (cf.<br />

Tab. A-15 & A-18) or that no significant change (α = 5%) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> biomass occurred.

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