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Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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Figure 2-29. Graphical results of Kendall's tau for trend in daily flow (corrected for<br />

withdrawals) for Lithia Springs Major for period 1983 to 2002. The slope of the Thiel line is<br />

0.00245 with a p-value of 0.0000.<br />

Buckhorn Springs Main Discharge<br />

Buckhorn Springs Main daily discharge corrected for withdrawals is shown in<br />

Figure 2-30. Again, despite the period of record drought, a Kendall's tau test of<br />

the daily flows against time indicates a significant increasing trend in flow for<br />

Buckhorn Springs (Figure 2-31; p=0.0000; slope = 0.00047). Since 1987, the<br />

mean annual flow of Buckhorn Springs corrected for withdrawals has been 13<br />

cfs, with all mean annual flows ranging from 10 to 15 cfs. In contrast to Lithia<br />

Springs, Buckhorn Springs flow varies over a relatively narrow range.<br />

2-63

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