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Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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c<strong>and</strong>idate for demonstrating mining impacts related to increased area of mined<br />

l<strong>and</strong> was sound, in that, given the relatively larger increase in mined area since<br />

1963 <strong>and</strong> the relative lack of other l<strong>and</strong> use changes, one should expect to see a<br />

flow impact if increasing area of l<strong>and</strong>s mined does in fact lead to decreases in<br />

stream flow. However, this was not the case. The remarkably similar discharges<br />

evident between the two watersheds despite relatively large differences in<br />

percent of l<strong>and</strong> disturbed by mining suggests that these watersheds have<br />

tolerated considerable l<strong>and</strong> disturbance without appreciable changes in flow as<br />

measured at USGS gage sites. Inspection of these decadal plots further<br />

suggests that the timing <strong>and</strong> seasonality of flows was not appreciably affected<br />

either. As a final check various annual percent exceedance flows per unit area<br />

(cfs/square mile) are compared in Figure 2-24. With the possible exception of<br />

the lowest flows plotted (annual 90% exceedance flows), examination of these<br />

plots suggests that mining may have lead to slightly increased flow. Again, if SDI<br />

(2003) is correct, one should expect to see a substantially greater reduction in<br />

flow when the South Prong is compared to the North Prong, this is not the case.<br />

2-53

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