Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ... Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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medium (Block 2) and high (Block 3) flows are shown along with period of record median daily flows for the Alafia River at Lithia. .............................2-38 Figure 2-17. Annual percent exceedance flows (points) for the Alafia River at Lithia gage displayed with a 5-yr running average (line)............................2-42 Figure 2-18. Annual percent exceedance flows (points) for the North Prong of the Alafia River gage displayed with a 5-yr running average (line). .................2-44 Figure 2-19. Annual percent exceedance flows (points) for the South Prong of the Alafia River gage displayed with 5-yr running average (line). ....................2-46 Figure 2-20. Phosphorus and fluoride concentrations in the Alafia River and the North and South Prongs. ...........................................................................2-48 Figure 2-21. Land use in the watershed upstream of USGS gage sites on the South and North Prongs of the Alafia River based on mapping conducted in 1972, 1990 and 1999.................................................................................2-50 Figure 2-22. Graphical results of Kendall’s tau test for trend in mean annual flows for the South Prong of the Alafia River for the period 1970 to 1999. Both the OLS and Thiel best fit lines are shown. The slope of the Thiel line is -0.1918 with a p value of 0.8028.............................................................................2-51 Figure 2-23. Plots comparing decadal median daily flows normalized by watershed area for the Alafia River at Lithia and the North and South Prongs. ...................................................................................................................2-54 Figure 2-24. Comparison of selected annual percent exceedance flows normalized by watershed area for the Alafia River at Lithia and the North and South Prongs.............................................................................................2-55 Figure 2-25. Lithia Springs Major bathing area being utilized for recreation. ...2-58 Figure 2-26. Photographs showing pumping platform located above Buckhorn Springs Main (upper photo) and Buckhorn Creek downstream of the spring vent (lower photo). .....................................................................................2-59 Figure 2-27. Daily flow record for Lithia Springs Major corrected for withdrawals. ...................................................................................................................2-61 Figure 2-28. Relationships between Lithia Springs Major discharge and stage. Upper panel shows gage height (water surface elevation in feet above NGVD) versus discharge for all available data. Lower panel shows gage height versus discharge when flows in the Alafia River are 70 cubic feet per second or less............................................................................................2-62 Figure 2-29. Graphical results of Kendall's tau for trend in daily flow (corrected for withdrawals) for Lithia Springs Major for period 1983 to 2002. The slope of the Thiel line is 0.00245 with a p-value of 0.0000. .....................................2-63 Figure 2-30. Daily flow records for Buckhorn Springs Main corrected for withdrawals................................................................................................2-64 Figure 2-31. Graphical results of Kendall's tau for trend in daily flow (corrected for withdrawals) for Buckhorn Springs Main for period 1987 to 2002. The slope of the Thiel line is 0.00047 with a p-value of 0.0000. .................................2-64 Figure 2-32. Phosphorus concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the Alafia River at Lithia gage. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow.................................2-68 viii

Figure 2-33. Phosphorus concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the South Prong Alafia River near Lithia, FL. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow.......2-69 Figure 2-34. Fluoride concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the Alafia River at Lithia, FL. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow.................................2-71 Figure 2-35. Phosphorus concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the Peace River at Arcadia, FL gage. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow..................2-72 Figure 2-36. Nitrate or nitrate/nitrite concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the Alafia River at Lithia, FL gage. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow.2- 74 Figure 2-37. Nitrate or nitrate/nitrite nitrogen concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the Withlacoochee River at Holder, FL gage. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow...............................................................................2-75 Figure 2-38. Potassium concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS at the Alafia River at Lithia, FL gage. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is concentration versus flow, and the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow..................2-78 Figure 3-1. Example of low flow in riffle or shoal area. Many potential in-stream habitats such as limestone (foreground), snags, sandbars, and exposed roots are not inundated in this stream reach under low flow conditions................3-8 Figure 4-1. Study corridor for the Alafia River.....................................................4-2 Figure 4-2. Location of USGS transects on the Alafia River used for HEC-RAS analyses. Figure reprinted from Robertson (1978). ....................................4-3 Figure 4-3. Location of eleven shoals identified on the Alafia River....................4-4 Figure 4-4. Downstream vegetation cross section (transect) locations and GAP classes on the Alafia River...........................................................................4-6 Figure 4-5. Upstream vegetation cross-section (transect) locations and GAP classes for the Alafia River ..........................................................................4-7 Figure 4-6. Weighted usable area (WUA) versus discharge for spotted sunfish in the Alafia River at PHABSIM cross-section 64. .........................................4-13 Figure 4-7 Example of a plot of habitat gain/loss relative to flow reductions of 10, 20, 30, and 40%. Data were obtained from time series analysis and the flow reductions are relative to the historic flows recorded at the USGS Lithia Gage site from 1970-1999...................................................................................4-14 Figure 4-8. RALPH plot of the number of days during the southern river pattern water year (SRPWY) that 200 cfs is exceeded at the USGS Lithia gage on the Alafia River. .........................................................................................4-17 ix

medium (Block 2) <strong>and</strong> high (Block 3) flows are shown along with period of<br />

record median daily flows for the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> at Lithia. .............................2-38<br />

Figure 2-17. Annual percent exceedance flows (points) for the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> at<br />

Lithia gage displayed with a 5-yr running average (line)............................2-42<br />

Figure 2-18. Annual percent exceedance flows (points) for the North Prong of the<br />

<strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> gage displayed with a 5-yr running average (line). .................2-44<br />

Figure 2-19. Annual percent exceedance flows (points) for the South Prong of the<br />

<strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> gage displayed with 5-yr running average (line). ....................2-46<br />

Figure 2-20. Phosphorus <strong>and</strong> fluoride concentrations in the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>and</strong> the<br />

North <strong>and</strong> South Prongs. ...........................................................................2-48<br />

Figure 2-21. L<strong>and</strong> use in the watershed upstream of USGS gage sites on the<br />

South <strong>and</strong> North Prongs of the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> based on mapping conducted in<br />

1972, 1990 <strong>and</strong> 1999.................................................................................2-50<br />

Figure 2-22. Graphical results of Kendall’s tau test for trend in mean annual flows<br />

for the South Prong of the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> for the period 1970 to 1999. Both the<br />

OLS <strong>and</strong> Thiel best fit lines are shown. The slope of the Thiel line is -0.1918<br />

with a p value of 0.8028.............................................................................2-51<br />

Figure 2-23. Plots comparing decadal median daily flows normalized by<br />

watershed area for the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> at Lithia <strong>and</strong> the North <strong>and</strong> South Prongs.<br />

...................................................................................................................2-54<br />

Figure 2-24. Comparison of selected annual percent exceedance flows<br />

normalized by watershed area for the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> at Lithia <strong>and</strong> the North <strong>and</strong><br />

South Prongs.............................................................................................2-55<br />

Figure 2-25. Lithia Springs Major bathing area being utilized for recreation. ...2-58<br />

Figure 2-26. Photographs showing pumping platform located above Buckhorn<br />

Springs Main (upper photo) <strong>and</strong> Buckhorn Creek downstream of the spring<br />

vent (lower photo). .....................................................................................2-59<br />

Figure 2-27. Daily flow record for Lithia Springs Major corrected for withdrawals.<br />

...................................................................................................................2-61<br />

Figure 2-28. Relationships between Lithia Springs Major discharge <strong>and</strong> stage.<br />

Upper panel shows gage height (water surface elevation in feet above<br />

NGVD) versus discharge for all available data. Lower panel shows gage<br />

height versus discharge when flows in the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> are 70 cubic feet per<br />

second or less............................................................................................2-62<br />

Figure 2-29. Graphical results of Kendall's tau for trend in daily flow (corrected for<br />

withdrawals) for Lithia Springs Major for period 1983 to 2002. The slope of<br />

the Thiel line is 0.00245 with a p-value of 0.0000. .....................................2-63<br />

Figure 2-30. Daily flow records for Buckhorn Springs Main corrected for<br />

withdrawals................................................................................................2-64<br />

Figure 2-31. Graphical results of Kendall's tau for trend in daily flow (corrected for<br />

withdrawals) for Buckhorn Springs Main for period 1987 to 2002. The slope<br />

of the Thiel line is 0.00047 with a p-value of 0.0000. .................................2-64<br />

Figure 2-32. Phosphorus concentrations in water samples collected by the USGS<br />

at the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> at Lithia gage. Upper plot is time series plot; middle plot is<br />

concentration versus flow, <strong>and</strong> the bottom plot is time series plot of residuals<br />

of phosphorus concentration regressed against flow.................................2-68<br />

viii

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