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Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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decrease in both phosphorus <strong>and</strong> fluoride concentrations in the late 1970s.<br />

Although low flows decreased considerably since the 1960s <strong>and</strong> 1970s, they<br />

have not decreased below the levels seen in the earlier part of the record<br />

(1940s). Since rainfall was generally higher in this earlier period, one would<br />

expect flows during this earlier period to exceed or at least match those of the<br />

1960s-1970s, but this is not the case. While Stoker et al. (1995) attributed the<br />

flow decline to a lowering of the potentiometric surface, Hickey (1998) was<br />

correct in attributing this decline to climate <strong>and</strong> curtailment of mining related<br />

discharges. This is also confirmed by decreases in parameter concentrations<br />

that are associated with groundwater inputs (e.g., calcium <strong>and</strong> sulfate).<br />

2-41

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