Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ... Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

swfwmd.state.fl.us
from swfwmd.state.fl.us More from this publisher
07.09.2014 Views

adaptive management approach we are committed to examining in greater detail the effects that direct river connection plays in maintaining wetland hydrology. It will, however, probably take several years to adequately assess and understand this relationship in sufficient enough detail before it may be more adequately addressed in our MFL methodology. We have discussed to some extent our plans for this monitoring effort with Dr. Hodgson. With respect to a bias in the sampling and/or enumeration of fishes, we relied exclusively on the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission database as cited. While their sampling techniques and gear may well be directed toward the dominant recreational fish species; our selection of fish species for PHABSIM analyses was based on a consideration of the numerically most abundant species for which habitat suitability curves were available. The only exception, as we noted, was with the spotted sunfish, which appears to be one of the most abundant species in the state. For this species, it was necessary to develop a habitat suitability curve using a modified Delphi method as described in our report. Others including the peer review panel for the middle Peace River MFL (Shaw et al. 2005) have suggested inclusion of other species and the refinement or development of habitat suitability curves specific to Florida. We concur, and will be working with Dr. Jim Gore (University of South Florida) to accomplish this goal over the next several years. Staff appreciates the suggestion of incorporating a habitat suitability curve for a relevant wading bird species in our PHABSIM analysis, and we have discussed this with Dr. Gore as well. While there are habitat suitability indexes available for a number of species, these indexes alone do not provide the detailed flow, water depth and substrate information needed to develop habitat suitability curves; however, staff anticipates exploring further with Dr. Gore the idea of developing the necessary criteria for a representative wading bird species. At present, however, we have not nor do we plan on selecting "target species" in the sense that we would seek to optimize one species' habitat over another. Currently we select the most restrictive percent reduction scenario consistent with a 15 percent reduction in available habitat regardless of species or life stage as the criterion on which to base an MFL recommendation. If too many species are added to the analysis, it is likely that we would have to develop a criterion based on an averaging of the results or prioritization of the species. As an interesting aside, the peer review panel mentioned that it might be desirable to develop a curve for an exotic species (e.g., blue tilapia) so that the species might be selected against. We concur that selection of additional species and development of Florida habitat suitability curves could be a desired enhancement to our methodology. Findings and Recommendations: Tampa Bypass Canal (Response to commentary in first paragraph) The District recognizes that some individuals may interpret the District’s position on the TBC MFL as a de facto zero cfs MFL, but in the absence of a stronger relationship between inflow and the water resources, the District’s position is that setting an MFL at this time is not justifiable. Appendix D viii

1) The DISTRICT acknowledges the many problems of impounded estuaries. The predation noted is the result of physical constraints imposed by a confined channel, devoid of protective habitat that terminates in a flood control structure. Peebles ( 2004) reports that a flow of >100 cfs displaces the medusa downstream and away from the control structure. Such flows are essentially the median baseline discharge (97 cfs) from S-160 and are well beyond what might be considered as low flow. Peebles and others have also questioned whether the attractiveness of a freshwater source truncated by a physical barrier is beneficial or detrimental to estuarine-dependent species. The management conundrum for impounded flood control projects is whether there is justifiable benefit to the ecological resources associated with a minimum flow that may increase predation. 2) Residence times were calculated from the hydrodynamic model and summarized (see page 3-40) for a range of flows. Additional details can be found in Luther and Meyers (2005) available from the District. Chlorophyll (as surrogate for phytoplankton) was not explicitly evaluated because of a prior TBC task force determination that salinity and dissolved oxygen were the primary water quality parameters critical to setting an MFL. The relationship between dissolved oxygen and flow was evaluated and reported (Section 3.8). Surface DO (expressed as percent saturation) was poorly related to flow and lagged flow terms, suggesting that residence time is not an important factor. For some segments, flow was not a significant predictor of percent saturation (at p=0.05). The evaluations were conducted on segments and any relationship between residence time and chlorophyll would be expected to show up in the DO to flow evaluations. 3) The DISTRICT readily acknowledges that biological data is highly variable and that organism abundance is the result of many environmental and ecological forcing functions. The DISTRICT also understands that low correlations are typical for many types of biological data. However, the MFL statutes pertain to management of flows, which in the case of the TBC account for approximately 15 percent of significant fish and invertebrate abundances. Thus, 85 percent of the resource response is unrelated to the establishment of an MFL. The DISTRICT does not feel it is prudent to establish an MFL at this time based on those conditions. TBEP comment on the correlation coefficient issue references a flow of 66 cfs. It should be noted the evaluation was not based on a single flow, but included a range of flows and lag flows associated with the fish and invertebrate sampling effort. Over the course of the 2000-2003 sampling, gaged and ungaged flows ranged from 6 to 4,600 cfs. (Actual sample date flows ranged from 6 to 870 cfs). The confusion appears to be rooted in a 15 percent reduction in abundance when the 20-year median flows are reduced from 92 cfs to 66 cfs. 4) The suggested re-evaluation of abundance based on segmentation cannot be related to inflows at the same time because the location of the organisms changes with inflow. Thus, at inflow ‘X’ the organisms might be found in a downstream segment. Increasing Appendix D ix

adaptive management approach we are committed to examining in greater detail the<br />

effects that direct river connection plays in maintaining wetl<strong>and</strong> hydrology. It will,<br />

however, probably take several years to adequately assess <strong>and</strong> underst<strong>and</strong> this<br />

relationship in sufficient enough detail before it may be more adequately addressed in<br />

our MFL methodology. We have discussed to some extent our plans for this monitoring<br />

effort with Dr. Hodgson.<br />

With respect to a bias in the sampling <strong>and</strong>/or enumeration of fishes, we relied<br />

exclusively on the <strong>Florida</strong> Fish <strong>and</strong> Wildlife Conservation Commission database as<br />

cited. While their sampling techniques <strong>and</strong> gear may well be directed toward the<br />

dominant recreational fish species; our selection of fish species for PHABSIM analyses<br />

was based on a consideration of the numerically most abundant species for which<br />

habitat suitability curves were available. The only exception, as we noted, was with the<br />

spotted sunfish, which appears to be one of the most abundant species in the state.<br />

For this species, it was necessary to develop a habitat suitability curve using a modified<br />

Delphi method as described in our report. Others including the peer review panel for<br />

the middle Peace <strong>River</strong> MFL (Shaw et al. 2005) have suggested inclusion of other<br />

species <strong>and</strong> the refinement or development of habitat suitability curves specific to<br />

<strong>Florida</strong>. We concur, <strong>and</strong> will be working with Dr. Jim Gore (University of South <strong>Florida</strong>)<br />

to accomplish this goal over the next several years. Staff appreciates the suggestion of<br />

incorporating a habitat suitability curve for a relevant wading bird species in our<br />

PHABSIM analysis, <strong>and</strong> we have discussed this with Dr. Gore as well. While there are<br />

habitat suitability indexes available for a number of species, these indexes alone do not<br />

provide the detailed flow, water depth <strong>and</strong> substrate information needed to develop<br />

habitat suitability curves; however, staff anticipates exploring further with Dr. Gore the<br />

idea of developing the necessary criteria for a representative wading bird species. At<br />

present, however, we have not nor do we plan on selecting "target species" in the sense<br />

that we would seek to optimize one species' habitat over another. Currently we select<br />

the most restrictive percent reduction scenario consistent with a 15 percent reduction in<br />

available habitat regardless of species or life stage as the criterion on which to base an<br />

MFL recommendation. If too many species are added to the analysis, it is likely that we<br />

would have to develop a criterion based on an averaging of the results or prioritization<br />

of the species. As an interesting aside, the peer review panel mentioned that it might<br />

be desirable to develop a curve for an exotic species (e.g., blue tilapia) so that the<br />

species might be selected against. We concur that selection of additional species <strong>and</strong><br />

development of <strong>Florida</strong> habitat suitability curves could be a desired enhancement to our<br />

methodology.<br />

Findings <strong>and</strong> Recommendations: Tampa Bypass Canal<br />

(Response to commentary in first paragraph) The District recognizes that some<br />

individuals may interpret the District’s position on the TBC MFL as a de facto zero cfs<br />

MFL, but in the absence of a stronger relationship between inflow <strong>and</strong> the water<br />

resources, the District’s position is that setting an MFL at this time is not justifiable.<br />

Appendix D viii

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!