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Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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Because minimum flows are intended to protect the water resources or ecology<br />

of an area, <strong>and</strong> because climatic variation can influence river flow regimes, we<br />

developed long-term compliance st<strong>and</strong>ard for the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> gage site at Lithia.<br />

The st<strong>and</strong>ards are hydrologic statistics that represent flows that may be expected<br />

to occur during long-term periods when short term-compliance st<strong>and</strong>ards are<br />

being met. The long-term compliance st<strong>and</strong>ards were generated using gagespecific<br />

historic flow records, prescribed flow reductions for the three seasonal<br />

blocks <strong>and</strong> low flow threshold values. For the analyses, the entire flow record<br />

was altered by the maximum allowable flow reduction in accordance with the<br />

prescribed flow reductions <strong>and</strong> the low flow threshold. Hydrologic statistics for<br />

the resulting altered flow data set, including five <strong>and</strong> ten-year mean <strong>and</strong> median<br />

flows were calculated. These statistics integrate duration <strong>and</strong> return frequency<br />

components of the flow regime for long-term (five or ten-year) periods, <strong>and</strong> were<br />

used to establish the long-term compliance st<strong>and</strong>ards.<br />

For flows in the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong> at the USGS Lithia gage, long-term compliance<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards were established at the minimum five <strong>and</strong> ten-year mean <strong>and</strong> median<br />

flows (Tables 5-6). St<strong>and</strong>ards were developed for evaluating flows on an annual<br />

basis <strong>and</strong> for the seasonal blocks corresponding to periods of low (Block 1),<br />

medium (Block 2) <strong>and</strong> high (Block 3) flows. Because these long-term compliance<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards were developed using the short-term compliance st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> the<br />

historic flow records, it may be expected that the long-term st<strong>and</strong>ards will be met<br />

if compliance with short-term st<strong>and</strong>ards is achieved.<br />

Collectively, the short <strong>and</strong> long-term compliance st<strong>and</strong>ards proposed for the<br />

USGS gage sites at Lithia comprise the District's proposed minimum flows <strong>and</strong><br />

levels for the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong>. The st<strong>and</strong>ards are intended to prevent significant<br />

harm to the water resources or ecology of the river that may result from water<br />

use. Since future structural alterations could potentially affect surface water or<br />

groundwater flow characteristics within the watershed <strong>and</strong> additional information<br />

pertaining to minimum flows development may become available, the District is<br />

committed to revision of the proposed levels, as necessary.<br />

5-26

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