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Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...

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dominant vegetation zones, mucky soils, <strong>and</strong> top of bank elevations (Table 5-1).<br />

Collectively, these data indicate that up to an 8% reduction in the flows<br />

necessary to inundate floodplain features of the <strong>Alafia</strong> <strong>River</strong>, including those we<br />

have not identified, will result in a 15% or less reduction in the number of days<br />

the features are inundated. However, the plots also show that there are flows,<br />

which occur during Block 3, which do not require that reductions be limited to 8%<br />

to avoid a 15% reduction in the number of days a flow is achieved. Using the<br />

25% exceedance of 374 cfs at the Lithia gage as a cutoff, we can apply a<br />

stepped prescription, which allows an 8% reduction in flows when flows exceed<br />

374 cfs <strong>and</strong> a 13% reduction in flows when flows are below 374 cfs (Figure 5-8).<br />

While other multiple steps could be made or an algorithm applied to determine<br />

the percent flow reduction allowed, the single step provides a conservative<br />

means assuring that unidentified factors are likely to be protected <strong>and</strong> that water,<br />

not needed to protect from significant harm, is available for consumptive use.<br />

Flow reduction (%) resulting in a 15% loss of days<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500<br />

Flow at USGS Lithia gage (cfs<br />

Figure 5-8. Percent-of-flow reductions that result in a 15% reduction in the number of<br />

days flows at the USGS Lithia gage are achieved.<br />

5-11

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